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Fractal model of spontaneous imbibition in low-permeability reservoirs coupled with heterogeneity of pore seepage channels and threshold pressure
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作者 Ming-Sheng Zuo Hao Chen +3 位作者 Xi-Liang Liu Hai-Peng Liu Yi Wu Xin-Yu Qi 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期1002-1017,共16页
Spontaneous imbibition(SI)is an important mechanism for enhancing oil recovery in low-permeability reservoirs.Due to the strong heterogeneity,and the non-Darcy flow,the construction of SI model for lowpermeability res... Spontaneous imbibition(SI)is an important mechanism for enhancing oil recovery in low-permeability reservoirs.Due to the strong heterogeneity,and the non-Darcy flow,the construction of SI model for lowpermeability reservoirs is extremely challenging.Commonly,traditional SI models based on single or averaged capillary tortuosity ignore the influence of heterogeneity of pore seepage channels and the threshold pressure(TP)on imbibition.Therefore,in this work,based on capillary model and fractal theory,a mathematical model of characterizing SI considering heterogeneity of pore seepage channels is established.On this basis,the threshold pressure was introduced to determine the pore radius at which the wetted phase can displace oil.The proposed new SI model was verified by imbibition experimental data.The study shows that for weakly heterogeneous cores with permeability of 0-1 m D,the traditional SI model can characterize the imbibition process relatively accurately,and the new imbibition model can increase the coefficient of determination by 1.05 times.However,traditional model has serious deviations in predicting the imbibition recovery for cores with permeability of 10-50 m D.The new SI model coupling with heterogeneity of pore seepage channels and threshold pressure effectively solves this problem,and the determination coefficient is increased from 0.344 to 0.922,which is increased by2.68 times.For low-permeability reservoirs,the production of the oil in transitional pores(0.01-0.1μm)and mesopores(0.1-1μm)significantly affects the imbibition recovery,as the research shows that when the heterogeneity of pore seepage channels is ignored,the oil recovery in transitional pores and mesopores decreases by 7.54%and 4.26%,respectively.Sensitivity analysis shows that increasing interfacial tension,decreasing contact angle,oil-water viscosity ratio and threshold pressure will increase imbibition recovery.In addition,there are critical values for the influence of these factors on the imbibition recovery,which provides theoretical support for surfactant optimization. 展开更多
关键词 Spontaneous imbibition Low-permeability reservoir Fractal model threshold pressure Capillary tube
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Evaluation of rainfall threshold models for debris flow initiation in the Jiangjia Gully,Yunnan Province,China
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作者 YANG Hongjuan ZHANG Shaojie +2 位作者 HU Kaiheng WEI Fangqiang LIU Yanhui 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第6期1799-1813,共15页
Systematically determining the discriminatory power of various rainfall properties and their combinations in identifying debris flow occurrence is crucial for early warning systems.In this study,we evaluated the discr... Systematically determining the discriminatory power of various rainfall properties and their combinations in identifying debris flow occurrence is crucial for early warning systems.In this study,we evaluated the discriminatory power of different univariate and multivariate rainfall threshold models in identifying triggering conditions of debris flow in the Jiangjia Gully,Yunnan Province,China.The univariate models used single rainfall properties as indicators,including total rainfall(R_(tot)),rainfall duration(D),mean intensity(I_(mean)),absolute energy(Eabs),storm kinetic energy(E_(s)),antecedent rainfall(R_(a)),and maximum rainfall intensity over various durations(I_(max_dur)).The evaluation reveals that the I_(max_dur)and Eabs models have the best performance,followed by the E_(s),R_(tot),and I_(mean)models,while the D and R_(a)models have poor performances.Specifically,the I_(max_dur)model has the highest performance metrics at a 40-min duration.We used logistic regression to combine at least two rainfall properties to establish multivariate threshold models.The results show that adding D or R_(a)to the models dominated by Eabs,E_(s),R_(tot),or I_(mean)generally improve their performances,specifically when D is combined with I_(mean)or when R_(a)is combined with Eabs or E_(s).Including R_(a)in the I_(max_dur)model,it performs better than the univariate I_(max_dur)model.A power-law relationship between I_(max_dur)and R_(a)or between Eabs and R_(a)has better performance than the traditional I_(mean)–D model,while the performance of the E_(s)–R_(a)model is moderate.Our evaluation reemphasizes the important role of the maximum intensity over short durations in debris flow occurrence.It also highlights the importance of systematically investigating the role of R_(a)in establishing rainfall thresholds for triggering debris flow.Given the regional variations in rainfall patterns worldwide,it is necessary to evaluate the findings of this study across diverse watersheds. 展开更多
关键词 Rainfall threshold Logistic regression Maximum rainfall intensity Absolute energy Antecedent rainfall
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Vector Dominance with Threshold Searchable Encryption (VDTSE) for the Internet of Things
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作者 Jingjing Nie Zhenhua Chen 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2024年第6期4763-4779,共17页
The Internet of Medical Things(IoMT)is an application of the Internet of Things(IoT)in the medical field.It is a cutting-edge technique that connects medical sensors and their applications to healthcare systems,which ... The Internet of Medical Things(IoMT)is an application of the Internet of Things(IoT)in the medical field.It is a cutting-edge technique that connects medical sensors and their applications to healthcare systems,which is essential in smart healthcare.However,Personal Health Records(PHRs)are normally kept in public cloud servers controlled by IoMT service providers,so privacy and security incidents may be frequent.Fortunately,Searchable Encryption(SE),which can be used to execute queries on encrypted data,can address the issue above.Nevertheless,most existing SE schemes cannot solve the vector dominance threshold problem.In response to this,we present a SE scheme called Vector Dominance with Threshold Searchable Encryption(VDTSE)in this study.We use a Lagrangian polynomial technique and convert the vector dominance threshold problem into a constraint that the number of two equal-length vectors’corresponding bits excluding wildcards is not less than a threshold t.Then,we solve the problem using the proposed technique modified in Hidden Vector Encryption(HVE).This technique makes the trapdoor size linear to the number of attributes and thus much smaller than that of other similar SE schemes.A rigorous experimental analysis of a specific application for privacy-preserving diabetes demonstrates the feasibility of the proposed VDTSE scheme. 展开更多
关键词 Internet of Things(IoT) Internet of Medical Things(IoMT) vector dominance with threshold searchable encryption(VDTSE) threshold comparison electronic healthcare
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A study of the soil water potential threshold values to trigger irrigation of ‘Shimizu Hakuto’ peach at pivotal fruit developmental stages
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作者 Yusui Lou Yuepeng Han +4 位作者 Yubin Miao Hongquan Shang Zhongwei Lv Lei Wang Shiping Wang 《Horticultural Plant Journal》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第2期376-386,共11页
Water management is an important practice that affects fruit size and quality.Effective implementation of irrigation scheduling requires knowledge of the appropriate indicators and thresholds,which are established man... Water management is an important practice that affects fruit size and quality.Effective implementation of irrigation scheduling requires knowledge of the appropriate indicators and thresholds,which are established manly based on the effects of water deficits on final fruit quality.Few studies have focused on the real-time effects of water status on fruit and shoot growth.To establish soil water potential (ψ_(soil)) thresholds to trigger irrigation of peach at pivotal fruit developmental stages,photogrammetry,^(13)C labelling,and other techniques were used in this study to investigate real-time changes in stem diameter,fruit projected area,net leaf photosynthetic rate (P_(n)),and allocation of photoassimilates to fruit under soil water potential conditions ranging from saturation to stress in 6-year-old Shimizu hakuto’peach.Stem growth,fruit growth,and P_n exhibited gradually decreasing sensitivity to water deficits during fruit developmental stages I,II,and III.Stem diameter growth was significantly inhibited whenψ_(soil)dropped to-8.5,-7.6,and-5.4 k Pa,respectively.Fruit growth rate was low,reaching zero when theψ_(soil)was-9.0 to-23.1,-14.9 to-21.4,and-16.5 to-23.3 k Pa,respectively,and P_ndecreased significantly when theψ_(soil)reached-24.2,-22.7,and-20.4 kPa,respectively.In addition,more photoassimilates were allocated to fruit under moderateψ_(soil)conditions (-10.1 to-17.0 k Pa) than under otherψ_(soil)values.Our results revealed threeψ_(soil)thresholds,-10.0,-15.0,and-15.0 kPa,suitable for triggering irrigation during stages I,II,and III,respectively.These thresholds can be helpful for controlling excessive tree vigor,maintaining rapid fruit growth and leaf photosynthesis,and promoting the allocation of more photoassimilates to fruit. 展开更多
关键词 PEACH Soil water potential Irrigation threshold Fruit expansion PHOTOSYNTHESIS
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Impacts of proppant distribution on development of tight oil reservoirs with threshold pressure gradient
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作者 Ming Yue Wei-Yao Zhu +3 位作者 Fei-Fei Gou Tian-Ru Song Yu-Chun You Qi-Tao Zhang 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第1期445-457,共13页
Field evidence indicates that proppant distribution and threshold pressure gradient have great impacts on well productivity.Aiming at the development of unconventional oil reservoirs in Triassic Chang-7 Unit,Ordos Bas... Field evidence indicates that proppant distribution and threshold pressure gradient have great impacts on well productivity.Aiming at the development of unconventional oil reservoirs in Triassic Chang-7 Unit,Ordos Basin of China,we presented an integrated workflow to investigate how(1)proppant placement in induced fracture and(2)non-linear flow in reservoir matrix would affect well productivity and fluid flow in the reservoir.Compared with our research before(Yue et al.,2020),here we extended this study into the development of multi-stage fractured horizontal wells(MFHWs)with large-scale complicated fracture geometry.The integrated workflow is based on the finite element method and consists of simulation models for proppant-laden fluid flow,fracture flow,and non-linear seepage flow,respectively.Simulation results indicate that the distribution of proppant inside the induced cracks significantly affects the productivity of the MFHW.When we assign an idealized proppant distribution instead of the real distribution,there will be an overestimation of 44.98%in daily oil rate and 30.63%in cumulative oil production after continuous development of 1000 days.Besides,threshold pressure gradient(TPG)also significantly affects the well performance in tight oil reservoirs.If we simply apply linear Darcy’s law to the reservoir matrix,the overall cumulative oil production can be overrated by 77%after 1000 days of development.In general,this research provides new insights into the development of tight oil reservoirs with TPG and meanwhile reveals the significance of proppant distribution and non-linear fluid flow in the production scenario design. 展开更多
关键词 Proppant distribution Tight oil reservoir Multi-stage fractured horizontal well threshold pressure gradient Moving boundary
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Vehicle Abnormal Behavior Detection Based on Dense Block and Soft Thresholding
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作者 Yuanyao Lu Wei Chen +2 位作者 Zhanhe Yu Jingxuan Wang Chaochao Yang 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2024年第6期5051-5066,共16页
With the rapid advancement of social economies,intelligent transportation systems are gaining increasing atten-tion.Central to these systems is the detection of abnormal vehicle behavior,which remains a critical chall... With the rapid advancement of social economies,intelligent transportation systems are gaining increasing atten-tion.Central to these systems is the detection of abnormal vehicle behavior,which remains a critical challenge due to the complexity of urban roadways and the variability of external conditions.Current research on detecting abnormal traffic behaviors is still nascent,with significant room for improvement in recognition accuracy.To address this,this research has developed a new model for recognizing abnormal traffic behaviors.This model employs the R3D network as its core architecture,incorporating a dense block to facilitate feature reuse.This approach not only enhances performance with fewer parameters and reduced computational demands but also allows for the acquisition of new features while simplifying the overall network structure.Additionally,this research integrates a self-attentive method that dynamically adjusts to the prevailing traffic conditions,optimizing the relevance of features for the task at hand.For temporal analysis,a Bi-LSTM layer is utilized to extract and learn from time-based data nuances.This research conducted a series of comparative experiments using the UCF-Crime dataset,achieving a notable accuracy of 89.30%on our test set.Our results demonstrate that our model not only operates with fewer parameters but also achieves superior recognition accuracy compared to previous models. 展开更多
关键词 Vehicle abnormal behavior deep learning ResNet dense block soft thresholding
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Properties of radiation defects and threshold energy of displacement in zirconium hydride obtained by new deep-learning potential
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作者 王玺 唐孟 +3 位作者 蒋明璇 陈阳春 刘智骁 邓辉球 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第7期456-465,共10页
Zirconium hydride(ZrH_(2)) is an ideal neutron moderator material. However, radiation effect significantly changes its properties, which affect its behavior and the lifespan of the reactor. The threshold energy of dis... Zirconium hydride(ZrH_(2)) is an ideal neutron moderator material. However, radiation effect significantly changes its properties, which affect its behavior and the lifespan of the reactor. The threshold energy of displacement is an important quantity of the number of radiation defects produced, which helps us to predict the evolution of radiation defects in ZrH_(2).Molecular dynamics(MD) and ab initio molecular dynamics(AIMD) are two main methods of calculating the threshold energy of displacement. The MD simulations with empirical potentials often cannot accurately depict the transitional states that lattice atoms must surpass to reach an interstitial state. Additionally, the AIMD method is unable to perform largescale calculation, which poses a computational challenge beyond the simulation range of density functional theory. Machine learning potentials are renowned for their high accuracy and efficiency, making them an increasingly preferred choice for molecular dynamics simulations. In this work, we develop an accurate potential energy model for the ZrH_(2) system by using the deep-potential(DP) method. The DP model has a high degree of agreement with first-principles calculations for the typical defect energy and mechanical properties of the ZrH_(2) system, including the basic bulk properties, formation energy of point defects, as well as diffusion behavior of hydrogen and zirconium. By integrating the DP model with Ziegler–Biersack–Littmark(ZBL) potential, we can predict the threshold energy of displacement of zirconium and hydrogen in ε-ZrH_(2). 展开更多
关键词 zirconium hydride deep learning potential radiation defects molecular dynamics threshold energy of displacement
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The effects of population aging on industrial structure upgrading:Empirical analysis of provincial and threshold characteristics in China
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作者 Mao Hu Linyu Xiao Hong Qiu 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2024年第3期356-366,共11页
Global population aging trends are intensifying,presenting multifaceted economic and social challenges for countries worldwide.As the world’s largest developing country,China has entered a phase of extreme demographi... Global population aging trends are intensifying,presenting multifaceted economic and social challenges for countries worldwide.As the world’s largest developing country,China has entered a phase of extreme demographic aging,posing significant questions about its impact on the ongoing upgrading of industrial structures.How does this demographic shift influence the upgrading of industrial structures,and does technological innovation mitigate or exacerbate this impact?The empirical results indicate that population aging impedes upgrading the industrial structure,while technological innovation positively affects the relationship between the two.Moreover,using technological innovation as a threshold variable,the impact of population aging on industrial structure upgrading evolves in a“gradient”manner from“impediment”to“insignificant”to“promotion”as the technological innovation levels increase.These findings offer practical guidance for tailoring industrial policies to different stages of technological advancement. 展开更多
关键词 Population aging Technological innovation level Industrial structure upgrading Panel threshold models Instrumental variable method
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Impact of digital economy development on carbon productivity:An empirical analysis based on threshold effect and spatial spillover effect
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作者 XING Huai-zhen YAO Jing 《Ecological Economy》 2024年第2期123-138,共16页
Utilizing provincial panel data from 2014 to 2020,this study employs a fixed effect model,a threshold effect model,and a spatial lag model to empirically examine the correlation between digital economic development an... Utilizing provincial panel data from 2014 to 2020,this study employs a fixed effect model,a threshold effect model,and a spatial lag model to empirically examine the correlation between digital economic development and carbon productivity.The findings indicate that digital economic development significantly contributes to the enhancement of carbon productivity in the long term.Furthermore,through instrumental variable method,replacement of explanatory variables and other methods to test its endogeneity and stability,the results remain robust.In terms of regional heterogeneity,the impact of digital economic development on carbon productivity is less pronounced in the central and western regions compared to the eastern region.Additionally,further investigation reveals that industrial structure upgrading and science and technology investment level exhibit different threshold effects on the influence of digital economy development level on carbon productivity.Moreover,there is a significant spatial spillover effect of digital economy development on carbon productivity with H-H and L-L agglomeration spatial correlation. 展开更多
关键词 digital economy carbon productivity threshold effect spatial spillover effect
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The Toxic Effects of Strong Chlorin Disinfectant on Mangroves and Emission Thresholds
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作者 Yunan Yang Nan Zhou Xinyu Liu 《Open Journal of Ecology》 2024年第2期114-124,共11页
In this study, based on the simulated discharge results of chemical disinfectants, hypocotyl germination concentration gradient pre-test and concentration gradient determination experiment were set up respectively. La... In this study, based on the simulated discharge results of chemical disinfectants, hypocotyl germination concentration gradient pre-test and concentration gradient determination experiment were set up respectively. Laboratory cultivation was conducted to compare and analyze the root germination and germination indexes, three mangrove hypocotyls of Kandelia candel (Linn.) Druce, Ceriopstagal C.B. Rob. and Bruguiera sexangula var. Rhynchopetalas’ efficiency of cumulative root germination, cumulative germination and the cumulative expansion of the second pair of leaves, one-way analysis of variance was used to obtain the tolerance threshold of three mangrove hypocotyls to strong chlorin disinfectant. The study determined that the by-products of strong chlorin disinfectant, the toxic threshold concentrations of Kandelia candel (Linn.) Druce, Ceriopstagal C.B. Rob. and Bruguiera sexangula var. rhynchopetala are close to 0.55 mg/L, 0.55 mg/L and 0.25 mg/L, respectively. This concentration range is lower than the average concentration of 1.183 mg/L of active chlorine emitted from strong chlorine concentrate during pond clearing in high-level shrimp ponds, indicating that transient emissions of strong chlorine concentrate during pond clearing can have a toxic effect on mangrove plants. The strength of tolerance of the embryonic axes of the three mangrove species to effective chlorine contamination was, Ceriopstagal C.B. Rob. stronger than Bruguiera sexangula var. rhynchopetala, and Kandelia candel (Linn.) Druce is the weakest. 展开更多
关键词 Strong Chlorin Toxicity threshold Germination of Mangrove Hypocotyls One-Way Analysis of Variance
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Research on the Threshold Effect of China’s Pharmaceutical Export Trade on Internal and External R&D Investment
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作者 Qiao Jiahui Song Yu +1 位作者 Gong Jingran Chen Yuwen 《Asian Journal of Social Pharmacy》 2024年第2期135-146,共12页
Objective To study the threshold effect of export trade on internal and external R&D investment in China’s pharmaceutical industry,and to provide reference for some pharmaceutical enterprises to improve the inves... Objective To study the threshold effect of export trade on internal and external R&D investment in China’s pharmaceutical industry,and to provide reference for some pharmaceutical enterprises to improve the investment.Methods The panel data of pharmaceutical industry in 25 provinces and cities in China from 2009 to 2019 were selected to conduct empirical analysis by establishing a threshold regression model,and a better export trade interval was obtained.Results and Conclusion There is a threshold value for the effect of new product export on both internal and external R&D expenditures,and the threshold values are 845.2788 million yuan and 318.4198 million yuan,respectively.There is a single threshold effect of export trade on both internal and external R&D investment in China’s pharmaceutical industry,and the effect of export trade on internal and external R&D investment changes from negative to positive as the export trade develops from low to high. 展开更多
关键词 pharmaceutical industry threshold effect export trade R&D investment
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Research on the Impact of China’s Foreign Trade Technology Spillover on Green Total Factor Productivity of Countries Along the“Belt and Road”:Based on the Institutional Quality Threshold Effect
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作者 Li Chai Longnan Ma Lingwei Meng 《Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies》 2024年第2期120-125,共6页
China’s growing trade with countries along the“Belt and Road”Initiative is accompanied by a focus on green development.Based on the panel data from 2007 to 2018,this paper establishes a threshold regression model t... China’s growing trade with countries along the“Belt and Road”Initiative is accompanied by a focus on green development.Based on the panel data from 2007 to 2018,this paper establishes a threshold regression model to empirically analyze the institutional quality threshold effect of China’s foreign trade technology spillover on the GTFP of countries along the“Belt and Road.”The results show that China’s foreign trade technology spillover has a significant institutional quality double threshold effect on the green total factor productivity of the countries along the“Belt and Road.”As the institutional quality of the countries along the“Belt and Road”crosses a specific threshold value,the impact of China’s foreign trade technology spillover on the green total factor productivity of the countries along the“Belt and Road”has a significant positive promoting effect,and corresponding suggestions are put forward. 展开更多
关键词 Technology spillover Green total factor productivity Institutional quality threshold effect
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Deformation critical threshold estimation of Xiaowan ultrahigh arch dam with time-varying grey model 被引量:1
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作者 Er-feng Zhao Bo Li +1 位作者 Hao Chen Bing-bing Nie 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS CSCD 2023年第3期302-312,共11页
The structural behavior of the Xiaowan ultrahigh arch dam is primarily influenced by external loads and time-varying characteristics of dam concrete and foundation rock mass during long-term operation. According to ov... The structural behavior of the Xiaowan ultrahigh arch dam is primarily influenced by external loads and time-varying characteristics of dam concrete and foundation rock mass during long-term operation. According to overload testing with a geological model and the measured time series of installed perpendicular lines, the space and time evolution characteristics of the arch dam structure were analyzed, and its mechanical performance was evaluated. Subsequently, the deformation centroid of the deflective curve was suggested to indicate the magnitude and unique distribution rules for a typical dam section using the measured deformation values at multi-monitoring points. The ellipse equations of the critical ellipsoid for the centroid were derived from the historical measured time series. Hydrostatic and seasonal components were extracted from the measured deformation values with a traditional statistical model, and residuals were adopted as a grey component. A time-varying grey model was developed to accurately predict the evolution of the deformation behavior of the ultrahigh arch dam during future operation. In the developed model, constant coefficients were modified so as to be time-dependent functions, and the prediction accuracy was significantly improved through introduction of a forgetting factor. Finally, the critical threshold was estimated, and predicted ellipsoids were derived for the Xiaowan arch dam. The findings of this study can provide technical support for safety evaluation of the actual operation of ultrahigh arch dams and help to provide early warning of abnormal changes. 展开更多
关键词 Arch dam Deformation behavior EVOLUTION Critical threshold Grey model
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Chest computed tomography findings of the Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2 with different cycle threshold values 被引量:1
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作者 Wei-Feng Ying Qiong Chen +3 位作者 Zhi-Kui Jiang Da-Guang Hao Ying Zhang Qian Han 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 SCIE 2023年第4期756-763,共8页
BACKGROUND The Omicron variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2(SARSCoV-2)mainly infects the upper respiratory tract.This study aimed to determine whether the probability of pulmonary infection and t... BACKGROUND The Omicron variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2(SARSCoV-2)mainly infects the upper respiratory tract.This study aimed to determine whether the probability of pulmonary infection and the cycle threshold(Ct)measured using the fluorescent polymerase chain reaction(PCR)method were related to pulmonary infections diagnosed via computed tomography(CT).AIM To analyze the chest CT signs of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant infections with different Ct values,as determined via PCR.METHODS The chest CT images and PCR Ct values of 331 patients with SARS-CoV-2Omicron variant infections were retrospectively collected and categorized into low(<25),medium(25.00-34.99),and high(≥35)Ct groups.The characteristics of chest CT images in each group were statistically analyzed.RESULTS The PCR Ct values ranged from 13.36 to 39.81,with 99 patients in the low,155 in the medium,and 77 in the high Ct groups.Six abnormal chest CT signs were detected,namely,focal infection,patchy consolidation shadows,patchy groundglass shadows,mixed consolidation ground-glass shadows,subpleural interstitial changes,and pleural changes.Focal infections were less frequent in the low Ct group than in the medium and high Ct groups;these infections were the most common sign in the medium and high Ct groups.Patchy consolidation shadows and pleural changes were more frequent in the low Ct group than in the other two groups.The number of patients with two or more signs was greater in the low Ct group than in the medium and high Ct groups.CONCLUSION The chest CT signs of patients with pulmonary infection caused by the Omicron variants of SARSCoV-2 varied depending on the Ct values.Identification of the characteristics of Omicron variant infection can help subsequent planning of clinical treatment. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant Computed tomography Cycle threshold Polymerase chain reaction
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Remaining useful life prediction of aero-engines based on random-coefficient regression model considering random failure threshold 被引量:1
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作者 WANG Fengfei TANG Shengjin +3 位作者 LI Liang SUN Xiaoyan YU Chuanqiang SI Xiaosheng 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第2期530-542,共13页
Remaining useful life(RUL)prediction is one of the most crucial components in prognostics and health management(PHM)of aero-engines.This paper proposes an RUL prediction method of aero-engines considering the randomne... Remaining useful life(RUL)prediction is one of the most crucial components in prognostics and health management(PHM)of aero-engines.This paper proposes an RUL prediction method of aero-engines considering the randomness of failure threshold.Firstly,a random-coefficient regression(RCR)model is used to model the degradation process of aeroengines.Then,the RUL distribution based on fixed failure threshold is derived.The prior parameters of the degradation model are calculated by a two-step maximum likelihood estimation(MLE)method and the random coefficient is updated in real time under the Bayesian framework.The failure threshold in this paper is defined by the actual degradation process of aeroengines.After that,a expectation maximization(EM)algorithm is proposed to estimate the underlying failure threshold of aeroengines.In addition,the conditional probability is used to satisfy the limitation of failure threshold.Then,based on above results,an analytical expression of RUL distribution of aero-engines based on the RCR model considering random failure threshold(RFT)is derived in a closed-form.Finally,a case study of turbofan engine is used to demonstrate the effectiveness and superiority of the RUL prediction method and the parameters estimation method of failure threshold proposed. 展开更多
关键词 AERO-ENGINE remaining useful life(RUL) random failure threshold(RFT) random-coefficient regression(RCR) parameters estimation
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An Information Entropy-Based Methodology to Construct the Avulsion Threshold in the Tail Reach of the Estuarine Alluvial Plain
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作者 YANG Zhuo-yuan XIA Jun-qiang +3 位作者 DENG Shan-shan ZHOU Mei-rong JI Zu-wen YU Xin 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第5期794-806,共13页
Channel avulsion is a natural phenomenon that occurs abruptly on alluvial river deltas,which can affect the channel stability.The causes for avulsion could be generally categorized as topography-and flood-driven facto... Channel avulsion is a natural phenomenon that occurs abruptly on alluvial river deltas,which can affect the channel stability.The causes for avulsion could be generally categorized as topography-and flood-driven factors.However,previous studies on avulsion thresholds usually focused on topography-driven factors due to the centurial or millennial avulsion timescales of the world’s most deltas,but neglected the impacts of flood-driven factors.In the current study,a novel demarcation equation including the two driven factors was proposed,with the decadal timescale of avulsion being considered in the Yellow River Estuary(YRE).In order to quantify the contributions of different factors in each category,an entropy-based methodology was used to calculate the contributing weights of these factors.The factor with the highest weight in each category was then used to construct the demarcation equation,based on avulsion datasets associated with the YRE.An avulsion threshold was deduced according to the demarcation equation.This avulsion threshold was then applied to conduct the risk assessment of avulsion in the YRE.The results show that:two dominant factors cover respectively geomorphic coefficient representing the topography-driven factor and fluvial erosion intensity representing the flood-driven factor,which were thus employed to define a two dimensional mathematical space in which the demarcation equation can be obtained;the avulsion threshold derived from the equation was also applied in the risk assessment of avulsion;and the avulsion threshold proposed in this study is more accurate,as compared with the existing thresholds. 展开更多
关键词 avulsion threshold threshold conditions entropy weight method tail reach Yellow River Estuary
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Critical thresholds for stage division of water erosion process in different ridge systems in mollisol region of Northeast China
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作者 JIAO Jian QIN Wei +3 位作者 LI Kun-heng XU Hai-chao YIN Zhe HOU Shu-yan 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第6期1540-1560,共21页
Extreme rainfall events on a slope under ridge tillage systems cause concentrated stream soil loss.To analyse the critical thresholds for different stages of water erosion process of ridge systems,simulated rainfall-e... Extreme rainfall events on a slope under ridge tillage systems cause concentrated stream soil loss.To analyse the critical thresholds for different stages of water erosion process of ridge systems,simulated rainfall-erosion experiments for the contour wide ridge(CWR),contour narrow ridge(CNR),longitudinal wide ridge(LWR),and longitudinal narrow ridge(LNR)were conducted under four rainfall intensities,with slope gradients of 3°and 5°.For the runoff event,the runoff depth order was LNR>LWR>CWR>CNR;the soil loss order was CNR>LNR>CWR>LWR.The product of slope factor(S)and rainfall erosivity(R)or runoff depth(D),can be adopted as critical thresholds for different stages of runoff and soil erosion process.For the longitudinal ridge systems,R values were provided for LWR and LNR and were the beginning of sheet flow,whereas the product of rainfall erosivity and slope factor(RS)values were provided for LWR and LNR as the beginning of the accelerated concentrated flow.For the contour ridge systems,R values were provided for CWR and CNR as critical thresholds for the beginning of overflow.The product of runoff depth and slope factor(DS)values were 9.98 and 7.73 mm for CWR and CNR,respectively,and were critical thresholds for the beginning of ridge failure;the DS values were 18.45 and 12.75 mm for CWR and CNR,respectively,and were critical thresholds for the beginning of the formation of ephemeral gully erosion.The critical thresholds can distinguish different stages of soil erosion process modelling. 展开更多
关键词 RUNofF Soil loss threshold Ridge failure Artificial rainfall simulation
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Dynamic modeling of total ionizing dose-induced threshold voltage shifts in MOS devices
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作者 陆广宝 刘俊 +2 位作者 张传国 高扬 李永钢 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第1期113-122,共10页
The total ionizing dose(TID) effect is a key cause for the degradation/failure of semiconductor device performance under energetic-particle irradiation. We developed a dynamic model of mobile particles and defects by ... The total ionizing dose(TID) effect is a key cause for the degradation/failure of semiconductor device performance under energetic-particle irradiation. We developed a dynamic model of mobile particles and defects by solving the rate equations and Poisson's equation simultaneously, to understand threshold voltage shifts induced by TID in silicon-based metal–oxide–semiconductor(MOS) devices. The calculated charged defect distribution and corresponding electric field under different TIDs are consistent with experiments. TID changes the electric field at the Si/SiO_(2) interface by inducing the accumulation of oxide charged defects nearby, thus shifting the threshold voltage accordingly. With increasing TID, the oxide charged defects increase to saturation, and the electric field increases following the universal 2/3 power law. Through analyzing the influence of TID on the interfacial electric field by different factors, we recommend that the radiation-hardened performance of devices can be improved by choosing a thin oxide layer with high permittivity and under high gate voltages. 展开更多
关键词 dynamic modeling total ionizing dose threshold voltage shifts radiation-hardening
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Determination of multi-component content and construction of digital cores based on CT grey thresholds of altered igneous rocks
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作者 ZHANG Naiyu GUAN Yao +3 位作者 GUO Yuhang WANG Qinghui ZHANG Lihua PAN Baozhi 《Global Geology》 2023年第3期157-166,共10页
Altered igneous reservoirs have low porosity and permeability,compact structure and certain heterogeneity.A simple digital core with certain generality and multi-parameter constraints can be con-structed to characteri... Altered igneous reservoirs have low porosity and permeability,compact structure and certain heterogeneity.A simple digital core with certain generality and multi-parameter constraints can be con-structed to characterize the microscopic pore structure and mineral composition.In this paper,based on core X-ray,CT images and whole-rock mineral analysis,threshold segmentation of mass content and grayscale distribution of various minerals in different lithologies of igneous rocks in the buried hill of Huizhou depression is carried out to construct digital core of altered igneous rocks.The results show that after converting the mineral mass content into volume content,the minerals of altered igneous rocks in Huizhou depression can be classified into components.According to the range of grayscale value,components can be divided into six parts.Due to the difference of the content of components in different lithologies of igneous rocks,differentiated grayscale threshold segmentation is needed to obtain the digital core for a single lithology.The final digital core generation process includes two steps:building a single component digital core,and stacking and combining.This kind of universal digital core model can support the subsequent pore scale numerical simulation and comprehensive rock physics research. 展开更多
关键词 CT threshold segmentation digital core MINERAL
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Climate Variability & Establishment of Rainfall Threshold Line for Landslide Hazards in Rangamati, Bangladesh
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作者 Mahmuda Khatun Abu Taher Mohammad Shakhawat Hossain Hossain Md. Sayem 《Open Journal of Geology》 2023年第9期959-979,共21页
This study aims to evaluate the impact of extreme rainfall events on landslides under current and past climate scenarios. Rainfall-triggered landslides are analyzed by rainfall estimates, derived using statistics of e... This study aims to evaluate the impact of extreme rainfall events on landslides under current and past climate scenarios. Rainfall-triggered landslides are analyzed by rainfall estimates, derived using statistics of events. It is established that recent climate changes, mainly temperature and rainfall patterns have significantly increased the rainfall-induced landslide hazards in the Rangamati district, Bangladesh. It is also observed that the temperature and rainfall of Rangamati had increased gradually during the last 40 years (1981-2021). On 13 June 2017, a series of landslides triggered by heavy monsoon rains (300 mm/24 h) occurred and killed more than 112 people in the Rangamati hill district, Bangladesh. The highest annual decade rainfall is 3816 mm, recorded in 2010-21. A relationship between causalities and the number of events has also been established. The analysis shows that both antecedent and single-day major rainfall patterns can influence sliding events. It is established that monsoonal rainfall (June-September) can significantly influence catastrophic landslide hazard events. Finally, two rainfall threshold lines for the researched area are constructed based on antecedent and single-day major rainfall occurrences, as well as the number of fatalities caused by landslides. Total rainfall of 100 mm (16.66 mm/day) during six days appears to define the minimum rainfall that has led to shallow landslides/slope failures, while 210 mm (35 mm/day) within six days appears to define the lowest rainfall that could be a cause of catastrophic landslide in Rangamati district. 展开更多
关键词 Climate Change Antecedent Rainfall Rainfall threshold Catastrophic and Landslide
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