Prediction of photovoltaic power output based on different non-linear autoregressive artificial neural network algorithms

Prediction of power output plays a vital role in the installation and operation of photovoltaic modules.In this paper,two photovoltaic module technologies,amorphous silicon and copper indium gallium selenide installed outdoors on the rooftop of the University of Dodoma,located at 6.5738°S and 36.2631°E in Tanzania,were used to record the power output during the winter season.The average data of ambient temperature,module temperature,solar irradiance,relative humidity,and wind speed recorded is used to predict the power output using a non-linear autoregressive artificial neural network.We consider the Levenberg-Marquardt optimization,Bayesian regularization,resilient propagation,and scaled conjugate gradient algorithms to understand their abilities in training,testing and validating the data.A comparison with reference to the performance indices:coefficient of determination,root mean square error,mean absolute percentage error,and mean absolute bias error is drawn for both modules.According to the findings of our investigation,the predicted results are in good agreement with the experimental results.All the algorithms performed better,and the predicted power out of both modules using the Bayesian regularization algorithm is observed to exhibit good processing capabilities compared to the other three algorithms that are evident from the measured performance indices.

Assessing the Efficacy of Improved Learning in Hourly Global Irradiance Prediction

Increasing global energy consumption has become an urgent problem as natural energy sources such as oil,gas,and uranium are rapidly running out.Research into renewable energy sources such as solar energy is being pursued to counter this.Solar energy is one of the most promising renewable energy sources,as it has the potential to meet the world’s energy needs indefinitely.This study aims to develop and evaluate artificial intelligence(AI)models for predicting hourly global irradiation.The hyperparameters were optimized using the Broyden-FletcherGoldfarb-Shanno(BFGS)quasi-Newton training algorithm and STATISTICA software.Data from two stations in Algeria with different climatic zones were used to develop the model.Various error measurements were used to determine the accuracy of the prediction models,including the correlation coefficient,the mean absolute error,and the root mean square error(RMSE).The optimal support vector machine(SVM)model showed exceptional efficiency during the training phase,with a high correlation coefficient(R=0.99)and a low mean absolute error(MAE=26.5741 Wh/m^(2)),as well as an RMSE of 38.7045 Wh/m^(2) across all phases.Overall,this study highlights the importance of accurate prediction models in the renewable energy,which can contribute to better energy management and planning.

Error assessment of laser cutting predictions by semi-supervised learning

Experimentation data of perspex glass sheet cutting, using CO2 laser, with missing values were modelled with semi-supervised artificial neural networks. Factorial design of experiment was selected for the verification of orthogonal array based model prediction. It shows improvement in modelling of edge quality and kerf width by applying semi-supervised learning algorithm, based on novel error assessment on simulations. The results are expected to depict better prediction on average by utilizing the systematic randomized techniques to initialize the neural network weights and increase the number of initialization. Missing values handling is difficult with statistical tools and supervised learning techniques; on the other hand, semi-supervised learning generates better results with the smallest datasets even with missing values.

Application of the probability-based covering algorithm model in text classification

The probability-based covering algorithm(PBCA) is a new algorithm based on probability distribution. It decides, by voting, the class of the tested samples on the border of the coverage area, based on the probability of training samples. When using the original covering algorithm(CA), many tested samples that are located on the border of the coverage cannot be classified by the spherical neighborhood gained. The network structure of PBCA is a mixed structure composed of both a feed-forward network and a feedback network. By using this method of adding some heterogeneous samples and enlarging the coverage radius,it is possible to decrease the number of rejected samples and improve the rate of recognition accuracy. Relevant computer experiments indicate that the algorithm improves the study precision and achieves reasonably good results in text classification.

Optimal location of interline power flow controller for controlling multi transmission line： A new integrated technique

In this paper, an interline power flow controller （IPFC） is used for controlling multi transmission lines. However, the optimal placement of IPFC in the transmis-sion line is a major problem. Thus, we use a combination of tabu search （TS） algorithm and artificial neural network （ANN） in the proposed method to find out the best placement locations for IPFC in a given multi transmission line system. TS algorithm is an optimization algorithm and we use it in the proposed method to determine the optimum bus combination using line data. Then, using the optimum bus combination, the neural network is trained to find out the best placement locations for IPFC. Finally, IPFC is connected at the best locations indicated by the neural network. Furthermore, using Newton-Raphson load flow algorithm, the transmission line loss of the IPFC connected bus is analyzed. The proposed methodology is implemen- ted in MATLAB working platform and tested on the IEEE-14 bus system. The output is compared with the genetic algorithm （GA） and general load flow analysis. The results are validated with Levenberg-Marquardt back propagation and gradient descent with momentum network training algorithm.