Analyzing the Impacts on East Asia of Trump’s Potential Return

The 2024 election is a pivotal and highly contested event in the United States.Donald Trump is expected to compete against Joe Biden without any doubts.A potential return of Trump to the White House would likely cause significant reactions in East Asia,particularly among the three major countries in the region.This analysis will explore the detailed implications of Trump’s return.

中外数据新闻产品的对比研究——以“Trump town”和“博物馆里的国家宝藏”为例

本文选取美国Propublica~①开发的"Trump Town"~②和中国财新网设计的"博物馆里的国家宝藏"两个数据新闻产品进行对比。研究发现,它们都呈现出依赖数据和拥抱网络的基本性质,在形式、功能和影响上则表现出不同的特点。本文以后者为例,指出此类数据新闻产品的不足之处和完善措施,以期对同类产品的设计提供启示借鉴。

Traps and trumps from adjacent-to-tumor samples in gastric cancer research

The search for cancer biomarkers is frequently based on comparisons between tumors and adjacent-to-tumor samples. However, even after histological confirmation of been free of cancer cells, these adjacent-to-tumor samples might harbor molecular alterations which are not sufficient to cause them to look like cancer, but can differentiate these cells from normal cells. When comparing them, potential biomarkers are missed, and mainly the opportunity of finding initial aberrations presents in both tumors and adjacent samples, but not in true normal samples from non-cancer patients, resulting in misinterpretations about the carcinogenic process. Nevertheless, collecting adjacent-to-tumor samples brings trumps to be explored. The addition of samples from non-cancer patients opens an opportunity to increase the finds of the molecular cascade of events in the carcinogenic process. Differences between normal samples and adjacent samples might represent the first steps of the carcinogenic process. Adding samples of non-cancer patients to the analysis of molecular alterations relevant to the carcinogenic process opens a new window of opporttmides to the discovery of cancer biomarkers and molecular targets.

Trump Administration’s Foreign Policy:Structure, Causes and Impacts

The US administration's foreign policy embodies the strategic framework of great power competition,the slogan of“America First,”and fragmented decision-making.An alignment of factors such as the response to changes in international and domestic environments,the reconstruction of US national identity,the electoral political pressure that Donald Trump faces,and the confluence of Trump and establishment elites creates complex outcomes.Inherently political and partisan,Trump's foreign policy may already have had some irreversible negative impacts,and it is certain that US foreign strategy and policy have entered a major directional adjustment phase.

Donald Trump Administration’s Domestic and Foreign Policy after the Midterm Election

After Democrats recaptured control of the US House at the 2018 midterms,the ramifications for American domestic and foreign policies have included increased partisan checks on President Donald Trump's proposals for immigration,energy,pollution,taxes,healthcare,and social welfare,and on the Republican Party's conservative agenda overall.After the longest government shutdown in US history over funding for a border wall to keep out illegal immigrants,Trump declared a national emergency in February 2019.Under his administration,US trade pacts with China,Mexico,Canada,Japan,the EU and other countries also face uncertainty.The Indo?Pacific Strategy and relations with Russia and Europe will remain,as is.Yet even if Sino-US trade negotiations progress,bilateral friction over high technology and cultural exchange will likely increase,and disputes over Taiwan,the South China Sea and human rights will continue.

Trump's Middle East Policy and Its Prospect

Trump's Middle East policy could be summarized as"one axis and three approaches."The main driver is creating an alliance of Israel and Saudi Arabia, and his three approaches are to contain Iran, counter terrorism, and launch the deal of the century. Behind this Middle East policy is Trump's acceleration of global contraction, and a return to the US pro-Israel diplomatic tradition, both influenced by Trumpian style and the Jewish people around him. Any reliance on an Israel-Saudi Arabia alliance is inherently fragile, the potential for Iran regime change unclear,and Trump's planned deal would destabilize the region and expand a US-European rift. Changing this direction would require the US to think more deeply about Middle East long-term prospects to find a more balanced policy.

The Evolution of US-Cuba Relations in the Trump Era

Since 2017, US president Donald Trump has adopted a series of tough policies aimed at overturning Obama' s legacy of diplomacy toward Cuba. In order to ensure the stability of the political transition and economic development, the Cuban government has adopted a urational and prudent” struggle strategy vis-a-vis the United States, and this has meant that relations have not completely broken down. However, stagnation in the normalization process ofUS-Cuba relations has produced some negative effects, and these have led not only to an impact on the Cuban economy, but also to adverse effects on the United States in many areas. Nevertheless, US-Cuba relations in the Trump era will remain at rock bottom, and Cuba will continue to face significant pressure for survival.

Trump Administration's North Korea Policy Logic and DPRK Nuclear Issue Prospects

The North Korea nuclear challenge,urgent on the US foreign policy agenda since Donald Trump took office,has prompted unilateral,bilateral and multilateral moves to address rising tension on the peninsula.The underlying logic of US policy,which in November placed the DPRK back on the list of state sponsors of terrorism,promotes negotiation by imposing Maximum Pressure and by enlisting China's support.Possibly,North Korea will return to negotiations with its nuclear and missile development suspended temporarily.Other possibilities are a stalemate with North Korea joining the ranks of countries with credible nuclear deterrent,or an emerging crisis that escalates to military or other conflict.The lingering uncertainty is central to northeast Asia security.

The Iran Policy of the Trump Administration and Its Impact

Since Donald Trump has come into office as president of the United States, the US foreign policy toward Iran has undergone major changes, which has been prominently manifested in such actions as endorsing hardline advocates who are against Iran to important political offices, withdrawing from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action(JCPOA), and imposing high economic, political and military pressure on Iran. The introduction of such policies toward Iran by the Trump administration has not only been brought about by Trump himself, but also influenced by the domestic political environment of the United States.Moreover, it is also closely related to the current changes in the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East. The Iran policy of the Trump administration will likely have multiple impacts, such as giving rise to political instability within Iran, worsening regional security, impacting the international non-proliferation regime, widening the disparity between the US and Europe, and even increasing the possibility of a military conflict breaking out between the US and Iran.

Fair Plan 10: Post-Trump Global-Warming Mitigation

With the election of Donald Trump as President of the United States of America, it appears likely that the initiation of mitigation of human-caused Global-Warming/Climate-Change will be delayed many years. Accordingly, here we calculate the Emission Phaseout Duration, D = YE - YS, where YS and YE are the Start and End Years of the emissions reduction, for YS = 2020, 2025 and 2030, and maximum Global Warming targets, ΔTmax = 2.0°C, 1.9°C, 1.8°C, 1.7°C, 1.6°C and 1.5°C. The 2.0°C and 1.5°C maxima are the “Hard” and “Aspirational” targets of the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement. We find that D decreases with increasing YS from 2020, and with decreasing ΔTmax. In particular, D decreases from: 1) 76 years for YS = 2020 to 53 years for YS = 2030 for ΔTmax = 2.0°C, and 2) 34 years for YS = 2020 to 7 years for YS = 2030 for ΔTmax = 1.5°C. Thus, delaying the initiation of the phaseout of greenhouse-gas emissions from 2020 to 2030 makes it more difficult to achieve ΔTmax = 2.0°C and impossible to achieve ΔTmax = 1.5°C.

An Analysis of Donald Trump's Political Personality Traits and Policy Orientations

As a political leader, US President Trump's personality traits affect his policy orientations and current US foreign policy. The authors analyze Trump's personality in several categories—uninhibited and capricious, dynamic and capable, profit-orientated and self-centered,competitive and persistent, positive and extraverted. The traits of breaking traditions, skill at strategic deception and negotiation, action-motivated implementation, intuitive decision-making, pursuit of respect and interest exchange, and vengefulness will shape his policy and behavioral orientations. Initial study shows Trump to be a political leader with positive personality traits and double-sided dimensions. The analysis offers insight toward understanding the new US executive and his policy direction.

Changes in the US National Security Council in the Trump Administration

The structure of the National Security Council(NSC)under Donald Trump has been tweaked only slightly on the basis of the previous administration’s"three tiers of committees"model,and without any breakthrough in reform.However,the NSC also faces a series of new changes and features,including instability caused by changes in the President’s entourage,and dysfunction induced by the decreased number of formal meetings.These changes may be attributed principally to the impact of Trump’s governing style,management style and informal decision-making process.The NSC’s role in the decision-making system varies according to the frequent changes in National Security Advisor.In the 70 plus year history of the NSC,it is evident that its development direction is determined by structural changes in the international pattern,US national security challenges and the transfer of power within the decision-making system.How the President positions and utilizes the NSC ultimately determines the structure and efficiency of the mechanism.

The Trump Administration＇s Anti-terrorism Policy

Since taking office, the Trump administration's anti-terrorism policy has become increasingly clear. Its anti-terrorism measures and its internal and external anti-terrorism policies have introduced new features that are distinct from those of the Obama administration. These include linking terrorism to Islam, violating traditional political correctness in order to enhance homeland security, sending large-scale troops to the Middle East, and delegating more authority to the US Defense Department and the Armed Forces. Trump's anti-terrorism policies have made obvious progress both at home and abroad. Along with the adjustment of its national security strategy, the status of the anti-terrorism policy in Trump's national security strategy and national defense strategy will decline.However, for the foreseeable future, anti-terrorism will remain an important issue for the Trump Administration, and in some circumstances,the investment for it may increase.

The Trump Administration's Policy toward the United Nations

A far-reaching revision of US policy instruments toward the United Nations has been underway since Donald Trump took office. The policy, featuring a pronounced inclination toward unilateralism and pragmatism, is closely linked to the domestic trend of thought and will add to the uncertainty in the development of global governance.

US President Donald Trump’s Twitter Analysis and His Trade Policy Agenda

This paper makes a text analysis of the US President Donald Trump and his trade policy agenda at the national and international levels,followed by evidence-based statistical analyses of US trade.The results of President Trump’s twitters reveal that overall,President Donald Trump’s remarks contain his“populism”characterized by the use of easy-to-understand words as well as simple rhetoric,as shown most symbolically in the phrase“make America great again”.This is what is meant by“populism”,an important character of his administration(at the“meso”level)which exerts a large impact on the global(or“macro”)political and economic landscape.Such large-scale impacts can be generated by“micro”(individual level)remarks by President Trump.In more concrete terms,his micro(individual)speeches will influence his meso(national)level policy as well as the macro(NAFTA)level policy stance of the US.All these levels are interconnected in a sensitive way.NAFTA as a regional integration among the three nation states is actually under a significant influence from meso as well as micro interactions,and President Trump’s punitive trade stance may hit Chinese export negatively.Due consideration to the cross-hierarchical linkages is indeed a practical viewpoint when discussing the current,rather US-dominated trade deals.

The Characteristics of the Trump Administration's Sanctions

The Trump administration heavily relies on economic sanctions to solve diplomatic problems. Those sanctions are far more protrusive than the ones enforced by his predecessors in terms of scale and scope of the intended target. The Trump administration has manufactured many new programs for sanctions and has attached much importance to imposing sanctions on entities that violate human rights. It also has increased its use of secondary sanctions, export controls and investment restrictions. Both sanction-related criminal enforcement and fines have hit new heights. The main reason for this strategy is that Trump and his economic team are keen on waging a"money war."Meanwhile, sanctions can appeal to Trump’s requirements for quick, easy achievements, and can also contain and suppress opponents. The economic impact of these sanctions is obvious,while the political impact is still questionable. These sanctions have harmed the US alliance system and boosted the de-dollarization trend in the global economy, which makes it increasingly difficult for the United States to achieve its prospective goals in the future.

Germany and the United States in Dispute after Donald Trump Takes Office

After Donald Trump was elected US president,his controversial foreign policy disrupted the world situation,bringing about a series of disagreements and disputes with Germany and with Europe as a whole.As the two major powers in the West,Germany and the United States,in a state of dispute,will have multiple effects.These disputes undoubtedly show that the German-US relations are undergoing a major adjustment and reorientation.We must also realize that disputes between Germany and the United States have alienated relations between the two countries.However,the foundation on the overall Western values between the two countries has not changed.They still have a great deal of common ground on politics,economy and security.Therefore,these disagreements and disputes will not lead to the collapse of German-US relations.Cooperation vs.controversy,control vs.independence,further equalization and alienation of the two countries will characterize future developments in German-US relations.

Invasion or Construction-A Brief Introduction on Trump Immigration Policy in Higher Education Circles

The new immigration policies introduced by Trump administration have saturated the world's screens,which have gained a mixed reception from the higher education circles amid considerable controversy,exacerbating the plight of the brain drains,hurting the enthusiasm of those who have a strong desire to live in the USA,particularly the college leavers,and triggering a decline in the quality of education for foreign students,which could be a game-changer in the competition pattern of higher education and loom large.On this occasion,in matters of China,some more robust methodologies are to jump at the chance,attract qualified personnel and present some more aggressive human resources strategies.

China-US Relations in the Trump Era

To the astonishment of the whole world,against the protest of the American elites,Donald Trump won the presidential election of 2016.Whether you like him or not,President Trump will usher in a new era.Will he fulfill all the promises of the campaign?Will he'make America great again'?Will