Enhanced structural damage behavior of liquid-filled tank by reactive material projectile impact

A series of ballistic experiments were performed to investigate the damage behavior of high velocity reactive material projectiles(RMPs) impacting liquid-filled tanks,and the corresponding hydrodynamic ram(HRAM) was studied in detail.PTFE/Al/W RMPs with steel-like and aluminum-like densities were prepared by a pressing/sintering process.The projectiles impacted a liquid-filled steel tank with front aluminum panel at approximately 1250 m/s.The corresponding cavity evolution characteristics and HRAM pressure were recorded by high-speed camera and pressure acquisition system,and further compared to those of steel and aluminum projectiles.Significantly different from the conical cavity formed by the inert metal projectile,the cavity formed by the RMP appeared as an ellipsoid with a conical front.The RMPs were demonstrated to enhance the radial growth velocity of cavity,the global HRAM pressure amplitude and the front panel damage,indicating the enhanced HRAM and structural damage behavior.Furthermore,combining the impact-induced fragmentation and deflagration characteristics,the cavity evolution of RMPs under the combined effect of kinetic energy impact and chemical energy release was analyzed.The mechanism of enhanced HRAM pressure induced by the RMPs was further revealed based on the theoretical model of the initial impact wave and the impulse analysis.Finally,the linear correlation between the deformation-thickness ratio and the non-dimensional impulse for the front panel was obtained and analyzed.It was determined that the enhanced near-field impulse induced by the RMPs was the dominant reason for the enhanced structural damage behavior.

Effect of length-width ratio of rounded rectangle aquaculture tank in dual-diagonal-inlet layout on hydrodynamics

To adapt to the change of aquaculture workshop site,optimize the shape of aquaculture tanks and improve the utilization rate of breeding space,it is necessary to determine the appropriate length width ratio parameters of aquaculture tanks.In this paper,computational fluid dynamics(CFD)technology is adopted to study the flow field performance of aquaculture tanks with different L/B ratios(L:the length;B:the width,of aquaculture tank)and different jet direction conditions(lengthways jet and widthways jet).A three-dimensional numerical calculation model of turbulence in rounded rectangle aquaculture tanks in dual-diagonal-inlet layout was established.Jet directions are arranged lengthways and widthways,and the water flow velocity,resistance coefficient change,vorticity,etc.are analyzed under two working conditions.Results show that the flow field performance in aquaculture tank decreases with the increase of the L/B ratio.The flow field performed well when L/B was 1.0-1.3,sharply dropped at 1.4-1.6,and poor at 1.7-1.9.The results provided a theoretical basis for the design and optimization in flow field performance of the industrialized circulating aquaculture tanks.

Numerical Simulation of the Seismic Response of a Horizontal Storage Tank Based on a SPH-FEM Coupling Method

A coupled numerical calculation method combining smooth particle hydrodynamics(SPH)and the finite element method(FEM)was implemented to investigate the seismic response of horizontal storage tanks.Anumericalmodel of a horizontal storage tank featuring a free liquid surface under seismic action was constructed using the SPH–FEM coupling method.The stored liquid was discretized using SPH particles,while the tank and supports were discretized using the FEM.The interaction between the stored liquid and the tank was simulated by using the meshless particle contact method.Then,the numerical simulation results were compared and analyzed against seismic simulation shaking table test data to validate the method.Subsequently,a series of numerical models,considering different liquid storage volumes and seismic effects,were constructed to obtain time history data of base shear and top center displacement,which revealed the seismic performance of horizontal storage tanks.Numerical simulation results and experimental data showed good agreement,with an error rate of less than 18.85%.And this conformity signifies the rationality of the SPH-FEM coupling method.The base shear and top center displacement values obtained by the coupled SPH-FEM method were only 53.3% to 69.1% of those calculated by the equivalent mass method employed in the current code.As the stored liquid volume increased,the seismic response of the horizontal storage tank exhibited a gradual upward trend,with the seismic response increasing from 73% to 388% for every 35% increase in stored liquid volume.The maximum von Mises stress of the tank and the supports remained below the steel yield strength during the earthquake.The coupled SPH-FEM method holds certain advantages in studying the seismic problems of tanks with complex structural forms,particularly due to the representation of the flow field distribution during earthquakes by involving reservoir fluid participation.

The prediction of projectile-target intersection for moving tank based on adaptive robust constraint-following control and interval uncertainty analysis

To improve the hit probability of tank at high speed,a prediction method of projectile-target intersection based on adaptive robust constraint-following control and interval uncertainty analysis is proposed.The method proposed provides a novel way to predict the impact point of projectile for moving tank.First,bidirectional stability constraints and stability constraint-following error are constructed using the Udwadia-Kalaba theory,and an adaptive robust constraint-following controller is designed considering uncertainties.Second,the exterior ballistic ordinary differential equation with uncertainties is integrated into the controller,and the pointing control of stability system is extended to the impact-point control of projectile.Third,based on the interval uncertainty analysis method combining Chebyshev polynomial expansion and affine arithmetic,a prediction method of projectile-target intersection is proposed.Finally,the co-simulation experiment is performed by establishing the multi-body system dynamic model of tank and mathematical model of control system.The results demonstrate that the prediction method of projectile-target intersection based on uncertainty analysis can effectively decrease the uncertainties of system,improve the prediction accuracy,and increase the hit probability.The adaptive robust constraint-following control can effectively restrain the uncertainties caused by road excitation and model error.

Modern Corrosion Mapping of Storage Tank Bottoms--Notable Advancements in Critical Zone Coverage,Inspection Efficiency and Data Integrity

Every day,an NDT(Non-Destructive Testing)report will govern key decisions and inform inspection strategies that could affect the flow of millions of dollars which ultimately affects local environments and potential risk to life.There is a direct correlation between report quality and equipment capability.The more able the equipment is-in terms of efficient data gathering,signal to noise ratio,positioning,and coverage-the more actionable the report is.This results in optimal maintenance and repair strategies providing the report is clear and well presented.Furthermore,when considering tank floor storage inspection it is essential that asset owners have total confidence in inspection findings and the ensuing reports.Tank floor inspection equipment must not only be efficient and highly capable,but data sets should be traceable and integrity maintained throughout.Corrosion mapping of large surface areas such as storage tank bottoms is an inherently arduous and time-consuming process.MFL(magnetic flux leakage)based tank bottom scanners present a well-established and highly rated method for inspection.There are many benefits of using modern MFL technology to generate actionable reports.Chief among these includes efficiency of coverage while gaining valuable information regarding defect location,severity,surface origin and the extent of coverage.More recent advancements in modern MFL tank bottom scanners afford the ability to scan and record data sets at areas of the tank bottom which were previously classed as dead zones or areas not scanned due to physical restraints.An example of this includes scanning the CZ(critical zone)which is the area close to the annular to shell junction weld.Inclusion of these additional dead zones increases overall inspection coverage,quality and traceability.Inspection of the CZ areas allows engineers to quickly determine the integrity of arguably the most important area of the tank bottom.Herein we discuss notable developments in CZ coverage,inspection efficiency and data integrity that combines to deliver an actionable report.The asset owner can interrogate this report to develop pertinent and accurate maintenance and repair strategies.

Smoothed-Particle Hydrodynamics Simulation of Ship Motion and Tank Sloshing under the Effect of Regular Waves

Predicting the response of liquefied natural gas(LNG)contained in vessels subjected to external waves is extremely important to ensure the safety of the transportation process.In this study,the coupled behavior due to ship motion and liquid tank sloshing has been simulated by the Smoothed-Particle Hydrodynamics(SPH)method.Firstly,the sloshing flow in a rectangular tank was simulated and the related loads were analyzed to verify and validate the accuracy of the present SPH solver.Then,a three-dimensional simplified LNG carrier model,including two prismatic liquid tanks and a wave tank,was introduced.Different conditions were examined corresponding to different wave lengths,wave heights,wave heading angles,and tank loading rates.Finally,the effects of liquid tank loading rate on LNG ship motions and sloshing loading were analyzed,thereby showing that the SPH method can effectively provide useful indications for the design of liquid cargo ships.

Identification of the Diffusion Coefficients of Pollutants ( N O 3 - and Mn2+) through the Walls of Concrete Tank and Vulnerability of the Stored Water Quality

The populations of urban centers in Congo-Brazzaville have decided to develop various methods of water storage (concrete or masonry underground tanks) for domestic use, due to shortages in the distribution of water through the public network. However, questions remain as to the physico-chemical quality of the water stored in these tanks, when these structures are built in wet and relatively polluted areas. This paper presents a model of pollutant diffusion through the cementitious matrix (concrete) of tank walls simulated at a buried reservoir. The results of the experimental and numerical simulations show that certain concrete parameters, such as porosity, permeability and diffusivity, have a significant influence on the transfer of pollutants through the concrete walls, thus altering the physico-chemical quality of the stored water. The numerical models (1D) used to predict pollutant transfer and the quality of the stored water are consistent with those of the optimal control for identifying the diffusion coefficient. Major ion concentrations appear to be correlated with system porosity and diffusion coefficient. Nevertheless, the identification of the diffusion coefficient from the optimal control method, based on an explicit numerical resolution of a finite volume PDE for the approximation of the experiment, is not consistent with that of the optimal control method.

考虑土-储罐-液体相互作用的隔震储罐简化力学模型及地震响应研究

为了寻求一种既能减震又能降低成本的储罐结构,提出一种隔震储罐结构体系,根据力的平衡原则推导了滚动隔震装置恢复力模型,得出了复合滚动隔震装置的恢复力模型。基于三质点模型和场地土模型,提出了考虑土-储罐-液体相互作用(STLI)的隔震储罐的简化力学模型和运动方程,并研究了考虑STLI效应和不考虑STLI效应时抗震储罐和隔震储罐在不同场地的地震响应。结果表明:隔震储罐能够有效地降低其基底剪力及倾覆弯矩,但对晃动波高的控制有限,建议在高烈度区,满足晃动波高的前提下,隔震储罐在设计时可以降低烈度。考虑STLI效应后,抗震储罐的基底剪力和倾覆弯矩明显降低,且从Ⅰ类场地到Ⅳ类场地差异率逐渐增大,软土场地降低最为显著。隔震储罐地震响应受STLI效应的影响较小,可以有效地隔断上部结构与场地土之间的耦联,弱化STLI效应对上部结构的影响。

基于SPI-RRV指数中国气象干旱及其风险时空演变特征研究

为全面揭示变化环境下我国多维气象干旱特征,耦合气象干旱指数(SPI)和可靠性-回弹性-脆弱性(RRV)指数,提出了一种基于SPI-RRV指数的干旱风险评价方法,定量评价了中国气象干旱及其风险的时空演变特征。结果表明:SPI-RRV指数具有特征稳定和时空可比性强的特点,能够较为准确地评估气象干旱风险时空演变特征;南方平均干旱栅格比、干旱月占比和频次大于北方,湿润区和半湿润区干旱历时短、烈度大,半干旱区和干旱区干旱历时长、烈度相对较小;干旱高风险区转移具有显著年代际变化规律,空间上从西北向西南地区转移。

深部煤储层孔裂隙结构对煤层气赋存的影响-以鄂尔多斯盆地东缘大宁-吉县区块为例

深部煤储层孔隙–裂缝结构对深部煤层气资源潜力评价和勘探开发具有重要意义。选取鄂尔多斯盆地东缘大宁–吉县区块DJ57井本溪组5个煤岩样品为研究对象,在煤岩煤质参数测试的基础上,采用气体吸附法、高压压汞法和微米CT扫描等测试手段,对深部煤储层中的纳米级孔隙-微米级裂缝进行多尺度定量表征,综合评价不同尺度的孔裂隙结构特征。再结合渗透率和甲烷等温吸附试验,探讨了微观孔裂隙对深部煤储层中煤层气的赋存和渗流的影响。研究结果表明:基于多种孔隙表征方法对深部煤储层孔裂隙进行多尺度定量表征,其孔裂隙体积分布类型主要以“U”型为主,呈现出微孔与微裂缝并存双峰态,主要集中在0.3~1.5 nm和>100μm的范围内。其中,微孔(<2 nm)、介孔(2~50 nm)、宏孔(50 nm~10μm)和微裂缝(>10μm)体积平均分别占总孔裂隙体积的80.18%,6.70%,1.65%和11.47%。随着微孔发育而吸附气量呈增大的趋势,微孔可以提供大量吸附点位,为深部煤层气的吸附和赋存提供场所。随着微裂缝发育而游离气量呈增大的趋势,微裂缝可以提供大量储集空间,为深部煤层气的富集提供空间条件。此外,微裂缝在三维空间中相互连通,形成网状结构,连通性强。随着微裂缝越发育,煤储层渗透率越大,微裂缝增强了煤层气的渗流能力。纳米级孔隙和微米级裂隙发育特征分别控制着深部煤层气吸附能力和开发潜力。

水资源-能源-粮食-生态系统耦合协调及驱动力分析

为加深对我国水资源、能源、粮食、生态系统协同演变趋势的认识,构建水资源-能源-粮食-生态多维系统指标体系,运用耦合协调度模型对我国2005—2020年水资源-能源-粮食-生态系统耦合协调度进行评价,并采用多因素归因分析法进行驱动力分析。结果表明:我国水资源-能源-粮食-生态系统耦合协调度从2005年的0.55增长到2020年的0.84,各地区耦合协调度从勉强协调发展水平过渡到中级协调发展水平,各子系统对耦合协调度上升的驱动分别经历了由粮食子系统到生态子系统再到水资源子系统主导的过程;能源子系统的贡献率虽然比较小,但是未来可能是各地区提升水资源-能源-粮食-生态系统多维系统协调发展水平的突破口。

基于UPLC-QTOF-MS解析苦荞黄酮组成及药理学网络分析

为优化苦荞黄酮提取工艺并明确其具体成分结构和含量及药理作用,本研究以四川省凉山彝族自治州甘洛县优质苦荞为研究对象,对超声提取苦荞黄酮工艺进行了优化,采用超高效液相色谱-四级杆-飞行时间质谱(UPLC-QTOF-MS)对主要黄酮成分进行结构鉴定,并采用超高效液相色谱-三重四级杆质谱联用仪对鉴定到的黄酮进行准确定量,同时利用中药系统药理学(TCMSP)系统分析其网络药理学特性。结果表明,超声辅助乙醇提取苦荞黄酮的最优条件为乙醇浓度90%(V/V)、超声功率140 W、超声温度70℃、超声时间60 min、提取溶剂与苦荞原料比50∶1(mL·g^(-1)),该条件下,提取液中共鉴定到黄酮16种,其中芦丁、表儿茶素和儿茶素含量分别达到115.81、72.99和23.08μg·mL^(-1)。这16种黄酮在防治心血管疾病、慢性炎症性疾病上具有重要作用。本研究可为苦荞精深加工综合利用尤其是功能性苦荞产品开发利用奠定基础。

基于HS-GC-IMS和HS-SPME-GC-MS的蛋白酶对豆粕挥发性风味的影响分析

为研究不同蛋白酶酶解对豆粕挥发性风味成分的影响,选用4种蛋白酶(碱性蛋白酶、中性蛋白酶、木瓜蛋白酶、风味蛋白酶)对豆粕进行酶解,采用顶空-气相色谱-离子迁移谱(Headspace-gas chromatography-ion mobility spectroscopy,HS-GC-IMS)和顶空固相微萃取-气相色谱-质谱(Headspace solid phase microextraction-gas chromatography-mass spectrometry,HS-SPME-GC-MS)联用技术分析不同豆粕酶解物(Soybean meal hydrolysates,SMH)的挥发性风味成分,并结合主成分分析(Principal component analysis,PCA)、热图聚类和正交偏最小二乘判别法(Orthogonal partial least squares-discriminant analysis,OPLS-DA)对不同SMH进行分析。结果表明:碱性蛋白酶、中性蛋白酶、木瓜蛋白酶和风味蛋白酶酶解豆粕的挥发性风味成分存在较大差异。HS-GC-IMS鉴定出84种挥发性成分,筛选得到33种差异风味物质,发现酶解后酮类物质显著降低而醛类、醇类和酯类物质含量明显增加。PCA结果表明不同SMH之间的风味存在显著差异。最终通过OPLS-DA筛选出贡献较大的挥发性化合物,同时构建出可靠的用以鉴别SMH的模型。HS-SPME-GC-MS检测出103种差异风味物质,可用于区分不同SMH,被检出的挥发性组分中醛类、醇类和酮类等化合物为SMH风味的形成做出主要贡献,明晰了部分风味化合物形成的原因。PCA和聚类热图结果表明不同蛋白酶酶解对豆粕的挥发性风味物质的种类和含量有显著影响,其中,风味蛋白酶和木瓜蛋白酶对豆粕的风味改善最为显著。

四川盆地“槽-隆”控制下的寒武系筇竹寺组页岩储层特征及其差异性成因

四川盆地寒武系筇竹寺组是继五峰组-龙马溪组后页岩气勘探开发的重要接替层位,目前在德阳-安岳裂陷槽中心和槽缘部署的Z201井和WY1井页岩气勘探取得良好效果,但裂陷槽内筇竹寺组页岩储层发育特征仍不清楚。以槽内中心Z201井和槽缘WY1井为重点,结合其他页岩气勘探开发资料,系统分析了研究区筇竹寺组页岩各小层矿物特征、有机地化特征、储层及储集空间特征、含气性特征。研究结果表明:①筇竹寺组可划分为8个小层,页岩整体以脆性矿物为主,总有机碳含量(TOC)普遍大于1%,为优质烃源岩,且槽内TOC高于槽缘,具备良好的生气条件。②筇竹寺组页岩有机孔与无机孔均发育,槽内孔隙发育更好,具有极高的含气量。1,3,5和7小层黑色页岩储层品质较好,5小层储层品质最优。③德阳-安岳裂陷槽控制了筇竹寺组页岩储层发育,槽内Z201井钻遇的筇竹寺组页岩储层优于槽缘WY1井。④乐山-龙女寺古隆起控制筇竹寺组页岩有机质演化程度,古隆起内筇竹寺组有机质热演化成熟度普遍低于古隆起外,隆起区适中的热演化程度具备大规模富气的条件。筇竹寺组页岩储层各项条件较好,是未来页岩气勘探开发的主要接替区域。

基于DEMATEL-ISM的水利工程EPC项目价值增值机理研究

采用设计-采购-施工(engineering-procurement-construction,EPC)总承包模式的水利工程项目日益增多,研究其价值增值机理有利于总承包方做好项目的价值管理。从水利工程EPC项目的价值链分析入手,基于文献和专家访谈得到23个价值增值影响因素。采用问卷调查方式得到各因素间的影响程度评分,用决策实验和评估实验(decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory,DEMATEL)法计算了各因素的中心度和原因度,结合解释结构模型(interpretative structural modeling,ISM)对数据进行分析,将价值增值因素划分为6类,构建了水利工程EPC项目价值增值的递阶模型,探究和揭示了项目价值增值的路径和机理。研究结果对水利工程EPC总承包方制订管理策略有一定启示作用。

高速铁路主跨320 m钢-混部分斜拉桥无砟轨道适应性研究

南玉高铁六景郁江特大桥设计将钢-混部分斜拉桥结构引入时速350 km高速铁路领域,而300 m级以上大跨度桥上无砟轨道的竖向变形极易超限,影响列车通过的安全性和舒适性,因此,系统研究在此大跨桥梁结构上铺设无砟轨道的适应性十分必要。通过建立有限元及动力学模型,分析不同组合工况下无砟轨道结构的变形特点及动力特性,运用60 m弦测法探究各工况下无砟轨道的线形变化规律,从而确定大跨度钢-混部分斜拉桥铺设无砟轨道的适应性,并对设计和施工提出合理化建议。主要结论如下:在各种不利组合荷载作用下,桥上无砟轨道结构强度满足规范要求,列车通过大桥的各项安全性与舒适性指标均满足规范要求;混凝土收缩徐变和斜拉索升降温是影响无砟轨道线形标准的两大主因,应在无砟轨道施工前确保足够的沉降观测期和收缩徐变释放期,并充分考虑拉索的保温设计;在温度组合荷载作用下,桥上无砟轨道的60 m弦测不平顺幅值为6.79 mm,满足高速铁路静态验收标准;但在叠加列车荷载和收缩徐变后,变形弦测值均出现Ⅱ级及以上超限,通过合理设置预拱度后可有效改善轨道平顺性标准。

蒙药协日嘎-4汤对糖尿病肾病大鼠肾保护作用及肾组织单核细胞趋化蛋白-1表达

目的 探讨蒙药协日嘎-4汤对糖尿病肾病(DN)大鼠肾保护作用及可能的作用机制。方法 60只Wistar大鼠随机分为正常对照组、模型组、阳性对照组、协日嘎-4汤低、中、高剂量组等6组,每组10只。治疗8 w后观察各组24 h尿蛋白定量、血清尿素氮(BUN)、血肌酐(Scr)、肿瘤坏死因子(TNF)-α、白细胞介素(IL)-6、C反应蛋白(CRP)及肾组织病理变化和单核细胞趋化(MCP)-1表达。结果 与模型组比较,阳性对照组和协日嘎-4汤低、中、高剂量组血清BUN、Scr、TNF-α、IL-6、CRP水平和24 h尿蛋白定量均明显降低(P<0.05),协日嘎-4汤高剂量组更显著(P<0.01);各治疗组肾小管空泡变性、肾小球基底膜增厚及系膜增生改变明显减轻;肾组织MCP-1表达不同程度明显减少(P<0.05),协日嘎-4汤高剂量组更显著(P<0.01)。结论 蒙药协日嘎-4汤可通过下调DN大鼠肾组织MCP-1表达、降低炎症因子分泌,从而发挥肾脏保护作用。

基于“社-校-家-生”四维的大学生学业预警影响因素相关性分析——以安徽中医药大学中西医临床医学专业为例

通过回归分析探讨“社-校-家-生”四维影响因素对学业预警机制的相关性,对安徽中医药大学中西医临床医学专业的421名学生展开调研,采用主成分分析法,建立多因素回归分析模型。建立模型后,发现其中影响最大的五方面因素分别是家庭、课外活动、学习基础、人际关系、就业情况。其中,重要性分析中,父母最高文化水平、生活费/月、挂科数目、户籍所在地、担任班委、辅导员联系家长情况排序前六。通过对四维因素进行逐步回归分析与交互分析,发现对学业预警影响最为显著的为家庭因素和学校因素,且两者不存在交互关系。基于回归分析结果显示对学业成绩影响的主要因素为家庭因素、学校因素,其中家庭维度方面主要是生活费/月、户籍所在地起主要作用,与学业成绩呈负相关,学校维度层面主要是辅导员与家长的联系情况以及相关制度的制定与开展影响较大,与学业成绩呈正相关。

中国水-能-粮耦合系统协同安全发展战略研究

水是水-能-粮(WEF)耦合系统的核心要素,为保障国家粮食和能源安全,必须加强水资源管理,坚持水资源、能源和粮食协同安全发展。在系统总结国内外WEF耦合系统纽带关系研究进展、科学认识WEF基本内涵的基础上,分析了我国各省份水资源、能源、粮食开发利用过程中存在的问题,揭示当前WEF耦合系统发展面临的能源需求持续增长与能源安全结构性矛盾日益凸显、不稳定因素加剧粮食安全风险、资源不匹配带来水资源约束趋紧、高质量发展对水-能-粮-生提出更高要求四大挑战,围绕区域特点和高质量发展目标,针对性提出了区域可持续发展模式与策略。研究建议,在西北资源富集地区,通过“四水四定”、水权交易及调水工程缓解水资源短缺;在京津冀地下水超采区,优化粮食安全布局,强化水与能源协同调控;在东北粮食增产区,拓展粮食生产空间,保护水资源合理开发利用;在南方水资源丰沛区,深化农业供给侧结构性改革,统筹“水风光储”一体化开发,以期为实现绿色低碳的可持续发展路径提供科学支撑与决策参考。

老年急性脑梗死患者血清Del-1和IL-17水平变化及与梗死面积和预后的关系

目的 探究老年急性脑梗死(ACI)患者血清内皮发育调节基因-1(Del-1)、白细胞介素-17(IL-17)水平与脑梗死面积、病情严重程度及预后的关系。方法 回顾性收集2019-01-2021-12厦门大学附属东南医院收治的126例老年ACI患者(病例组)及105名健康体检者(对照组)的临床资料,根据脑梗死面积将病例组患者分为大面积梗死组(梗死最大直径>5 cm,n=14)、中面积梗死组(梗死最大直径3~5 cm,n=53)和小面积梗死组(梗死最大直径<3 cm,n=59);根据NIHSS评分分为重症组(NIHSS评分≥16分,n=13)、中症组(5分<NIHSS评分<15分,n=58)和轻症组(NIHSS评分≤5分,n=55);根据m RS评分分为预后良好组(mRS评分≤2分,n=81)和预后不良组(mRS评分>2分,n=45)。采用荧光免疫法检测血清Del-1、IL-17水平,受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估血清Del-1、IL-17水平预测老年ACI患者预后的价值。结果 病例组吸烟史比例、收缩压、舒张压、糖化血红蛋白、血清IL-17水平均高于对照组,血清Del-1水平低于对照组(P<0.05)。不同脑梗死面积患者血清Del-1水平比较,小面积梗死组>中面积梗死组>大面积梗死组;血清IL-17水平比较,小面积梗死组<中面积梗死组<大面积梗死组(P<0.05)。轻症组血清Del-1水平高于中症组、重症组(P<0.05),不同病情严重程度患者血清IL-17水平比较,重症组>中症组>轻症组(P<0.05)。预后良好组患者血清Del-1水平高于预后不良组,血清IL-17水平低于预后不良组(P<0.05)。ROC曲线分析显示,血清Del-1、IL-17预测ACI患者预后的AUC值分别为0.763、0.747(P<0.05)。结论 老年ACI患者血清Del-1水平较低,IL-17水平较高,二者与患者脑梗死面积、病情严重程度和预后关系密切,可作为预测老年ACI患者预后的可靠指标。