[Objective] The research aimed to study the variation characteristics of temperature and precipitation in Benxi area under the background of climate warming.[Method] Based on the monthly mean temperature and precipita...[Objective] The research aimed to study the variation characteristics of temperature and precipitation in Benxi area under the background of climate warming.[Method] Based on the monthly mean temperature and precipitation data of four routine meteorological stations in Benxi area from 1953 to 2010,by using linear tendency rate,linear regression equation,wavelet analysis,Mann-Kendall detection and so on,the variation characteristics of temperature and precipitation under the background of climate warming in the area were analyzed.[Result] The annual average temperature during 1953-2010 in Benxi area presented rise trend,and the linear tendency rate was 0.28 ℃/10 a.It was temperature increase trend in four seasons.The temperature rise rate in winter was the maximum and was the minimum in summer.The annual rainfall presented decrease trend,and the linear tendency rate was-18.16 mm/10 a.Except in spring,it was decrease trend in other seasons.Mann-Kendall mutation detection showed that the mutation of annual average temperature in Benxi area in recent 58 years appeared in 1986.There was no mutation phenomenon in summer.Spring mutation appeared in 1974,and autumn mutation appeared in 1987.Winter mutation was in 1981.The annual and seasonal precipitation didn’t have the mutation phenomenon.The wavelet analysis found that the annual average temperature had the periodic variations of 12-14,5-6 and 2 years in Benxi area in recent 58 years.The annual rainfall had the periodic fluctuations of 8-12,5-6 and 2 years.[Conclusion] The research provided the scientific basis for exploration and sustainable development of the climate resources in the mountain area.展开更多
By using the daily temperature data in 90 meteorological observatories in Shandong Province,the median and a new kind of extreme event detection method which was put forward by Hample,the variation characteristics of ...By using the daily temperature data in 90 meteorological observatories in Shandong Province,the median and a new kind of extreme event detection method which was put forward by Hample,the variation characteristics of extreme cold and warm weather climate events in Shandong Province were detected and analyzed.The results showed that the extreme high temperature days had no obvious variation,and the extreme warm days tended to increase.The extreme cold event decreased obviously and had the obvious inter-decadal variation characteristic.In the 1960s,the extreme cold(warm) event happened frequently,but they both decreased slightly during the 1970s-metaphase of 1980s.After the metaphase of 1990s,the extreme warm event happened frequently,but the extreme cold event decreased sharply.In the spatial distribution,the extreme cold events in most areas of Shandong tended to decrease.But the occurrence frequency variation of extreme warm event presented the radial distribution characteristics that it increased in the eastern coastal zone and decreased in the southwest,northwest of Shandong Province.Under the background that the global climate became warm obviously in the metaphase of 1980s,the positive trend scope of extreme warm event linear variation in Shandong Province obviously became large.The variation of extreme low temperature days in most areas tended to be stable,and the main trend of extreme cold days was still the rapid decrease.展开更多
Global warming and its climatic and environmental effects have mainly been investigated in terms of the absolute warming rate.Little attention has been paid to the contribution of absolute warming rate to variability ...Global warming and its climatic and environmental effects have mainly been investigated in terms of the absolute warming rate.Little attention has been paid to the contribution of absolute warming rate to variability on various time scales of surface air temperature(SAT),which may be a more direct index for measuring the ecoclimatic effect of warming trend.The present study analyzed the role of secular warming trend in the variations of global land SAT for 1901–2016.Less than one-third of annual SAT variations were contributed by the warming trend over large parts of the globe generally.The ratios were up to two-thirds over eastern South America,parts of South Africa and the regions around the southwestern Mediterranean and Sunda islands where the absolute warming rate was moderate but the endemic species were undergoing exceptional loss of habitat.The ratios also exhibited smallest seasonal difference over these regions.Therefore,the ratio of the warming trend to the SAT variations may be a better measure compared to the absolute warming rate for the local ecoclimate.We should also pay more attention to the regions with high ratio,not only the regions with the high absolute warming rate.展开更多
[Objective] The research aimed to study the influence of climate warming on the agriculture in Shenbei New District of Shenyang in recent 38 years.[Method] Based on the temperature data in Shenbei New District of Shen...[Objective] The research aimed to study the influence of climate warming on the agriculture in Shenbei New District of Shenyang in recent 38 years.[Method] Based on the temperature data in Shenbei New District of Shenyang during 1971-2008,by using the conventional statistical method,the variation trends of temperature and active accumulated temperature in Shenbei New District under the climate warming environment were analyzed,and the influence of climate warming on the agriculture was discussed.[Result] The annual average temperature,annual average maximum temperature,annual averageminimum temperature and ≥ 0℃,≥ 10℃ active accumulated temperatures which were passed stably in Shenbei New District in recent 38 years all showed the obvious rising trend.The climate tendency rates were respectively 0.4,0.3,0.1℃/10 a and 79.1,76.7℃·d/10 a.They all showed the declining trend in the coldest December,January and the rising trend in other months.The rising range of maximum temperature was bigger than that ofminimum temperature,and the rising range in summer was bigger than that in winter.The analysis result was different from that of many scholars.When the temperatures rose,and the heat resources increased,the agricultural cropping index improved,and the cultivated boundary of mid-late maturity variety moved northward.The industrialized agriculture developed quickly.Meanwhile,the risks of drought and flood disasters increased,and the insect pest aggravated.[Conclusion] The research provided the scientific basis for improving the cognizance about the influence of climate warming on the agricultural production and strengthening the strain capacity of local agricultural production adapting the climate variation.展开更多
利用戈达德太空研究所(Goddard Institute for Space Studies,GISS/NASA)建立的全球网格点月平均地表温度距平序列,通过一元线性回归、M-K检验对中亚地区1880～2011年地面气温变化的基本特征进行分析和讨论。结果表明:近130 a来,中亚地...利用戈达德太空研究所(Goddard Institute for Space Studies,GISS/NASA)建立的全球网格点月平均地表温度距平序列,通过一元线性回归、M-K检验对中亚地区1880～2011年地面气温变化的基本特征进行分析和讨论。结果表明:近130 a来,中亚地区温度变化趋势率为0.073℃/10 a,接近于全球,高于我国的近百年温度变化趋势率;中亚地区1、4、10月呈增温趋势,其中1月份温度变化幅度最大,4、10月份增温趋势率较大;而7月份呈微弱降温趋势。中亚地区年平均温度在20世纪80年代初期发生突变,出现较大的增温趋势,尤其是近50 a,增温明显。展开更多
文摘[Objective] The research aimed to study the variation characteristics of temperature and precipitation in Benxi area under the background of climate warming.[Method] Based on the monthly mean temperature and precipitation data of four routine meteorological stations in Benxi area from 1953 to 2010,by using linear tendency rate,linear regression equation,wavelet analysis,Mann-Kendall detection and so on,the variation characteristics of temperature and precipitation under the background of climate warming in the area were analyzed.[Result] The annual average temperature during 1953-2010 in Benxi area presented rise trend,and the linear tendency rate was 0.28 ℃/10 a.It was temperature increase trend in four seasons.The temperature rise rate in winter was the maximum and was the minimum in summer.The annual rainfall presented decrease trend,and the linear tendency rate was-18.16 mm/10 a.Except in spring,it was decrease trend in other seasons.Mann-Kendall mutation detection showed that the mutation of annual average temperature in Benxi area in recent 58 years appeared in 1986.There was no mutation phenomenon in summer.Spring mutation appeared in 1974,and autumn mutation appeared in 1987.Winter mutation was in 1981.The annual and seasonal precipitation didn’t have the mutation phenomenon.The wavelet analysis found that the annual average temperature had the periodic variations of 12-14,5-6 and 2 years in Benxi area in recent 58 years.The annual rainfall had the periodic fluctuations of 8-12,5-6 and 2 years.[Conclusion] The research provided the scientific basis for exploration and sustainable development of the climate resources in the mountain area.
文摘By using the daily temperature data in 90 meteorological observatories in Shandong Province,the median and a new kind of extreme event detection method which was put forward by Hample,the variation characteristics of extreme cold and warm weather climate events in Shandong Province were detected and analyzed.The results showed that the extreme high temperature days had no obvious variation,and the extreme warm days tended to increase.The extreme cold event decreased obviously and had the obvious inter-decadal variation characteristic.In the 1960s,the extreme cold(warm) event happened frequently,but they both decreased slightly during the 1970s-metaphase of 1980s.After the metaphase of 1990s,the extreme warm event happened frequently,but the extreme cold event decreased sharply.In the spatial distribution,the extreme cold events in most areas of Shandong tended to decrease.But the occurrence frequency variation of extreme warm event presented the radial distribution characteristics that it increased in the eastern coastal zone and decreased in the southwest,northwest of Shandong Province.Under the background that the global climate became warm obviously in the metaphase of 1980s,the positive trend scope of extreme warm event linear variation in Shandong Province obviously became large.The variation of extreme low temperature days in most areas tended to be stable,and the main trend of extreme cold days was still the rapid decrease.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41822503,41375092)the National Key R&D Program(Grant No.2016YFA0601502)。
文摘Global warming and its climatic and environmental effects have mainly been investigated in terms of the absolute warming rate.Little attention has been paid to the contribution of absolute warming rate to variability on various time scales of surface air temperature(SAT),which may be a more direct index for measuring the ecoclimatic effect of warming trend.The present study analyzed the role of secular warming trend in the variations of global land SAT for 1901–2016.Less than one-third of annual SAT variations were contributed by the warming trend over large parts of the globe generally.The ratios were up to two-thirds over eastern South America,parts of South Africa and the regions around the southwestern Mediterranean and Sunda islands where the absolute warming rate was moderate but the endemic species were undergoing exceptional loss of habitat.The ratios also exhibited smallest seasonal difference over these regions.Therefore,the ratio of the warming trend to the SAT variations may be a better measure compared to the absolute warming rate for the local ecoclimate.We should also pay more attention to the regions with high ratio,not only the regions with the high absolute warming rate.
文摘[Objective] The research aimed to study the influence of climate warming on the agriculture in Shenbei New District of Shenyang in recent 38 years.[Method] Based on the temperature data in Shenbei New District of Shenyang during 1971-2008,by using the conventional statistical method,the variation trends of temperature and active accumulated temperature in Shenbei New District under the climate warming environment were analyzed,and the influence of climate warming on the agriculture was discussed.[Result] The annual average temperature,annual average maximum temperature,annual averageminimum temperature and ≥ 0℃,≥ 10℃ active accumulated temperatures which were passed stably in Shenbei New District in recent 38 years all showed the obvious rising trend.The climate tendency rates were respectively 0.4,0.3,0.1℃/10 a and 79.1,76.7℃·d/10 a.They all showed the declining trend in the coldest December,January and the rising trend in other months.The rising range of maximum temperature was bigger than that ofminimum temperature,and the rising range in summer was bigger than that in winter.The analysis result was different from that of many scholars.When the temperatures rose,and the heat resources increased,the agricultural cropping index improved,and the cultivated boundary of mid-late maturity variety moved northward.The industrialized agriculture developed quickly.Meanwhile,the risks of drought and flood disasters increased,and the insect pest aggravated.[Conclusion] The research provided the scientific basis for improving the cognizance about the influence of climate warming on the agricultural production and strengthening the strain capacity of local agricultural production adapting the climate variation.
文摘利用戈达德太空研究所(Goddard Institute for Space Studies,GISS/NASA)建立的全球网格点月平均地表温度距平序列,通过一元线性回归、M-K检验对中亚地区1880～2011年地面气温变化的基本特征进行分析和讨论。结果表明:近130 a来,中亚地区温度变化趋势率为0.073℃/10 a,接近于全球,高于我国的近百年温度变化趋势率;中亚地区1、4、10月呈增温趋势,其中1月份温度变化幅度最大,4、10月份增温趋势率较大;而7月份呈微弱降温趋势。中亚地区年平均温度在20世纪80年代初期发生突变,出现较大的增温趋势,尤其是近50 a,增温明显。
