Based on meteorologic data in Xixi Watershed from 1972 to 1979, the SWAT model was applied to simulate the response of runoff and sediment yield in Xixi Watershed to climate change under 24 kinds of climate change sce...Based on meteorologic data in Xixi Watershed from 1972 to 1979, the SWAT model was applied to simulate the response of runoff and sediment yield in Xixi Watershed to climate change under 24 kinds of climate change scenarios, and then the spatial and temporal distribution of change rates of the runoff and sediment were analyzed. The results showed that the runoff yield would increase with the increase of precipitation or decrease of temperature, and the sediment yield would increase with the increase of precipitation or increase of temperature; the runoff would be more sensitive to variations in precipitation than to variations in temperature, and precipitation change would lead to more obvious change in the run- off yield; the temporal distribution of change rates of the runoff and sediment yield would be uneven in the 12 months, and the variation trends of the two change rates in the 12 months would be accordant; the spatial distribution of change rates of the runoff and sediment yield would be uneven in the sub-watersheds, and the change rate of the runoff yield would be bigger in the sub-watersheds where the runoff yield in the basic period would be smaller. This study can provide decision-making basis for sustainable development of Jinjiang Basin.展开更多
Six evaluation factors were selected to evaluate the susceptibility level of the Xixi Watershed to geological disasters such as collapse and landslide, namely formation lithology, rainfall, gradient, aspect, vegetatio...Six evaluation factors were selected to evaluate the susceptibility level of the Xixi Watershed to geological disasters such as collapse and landslide, namely formation lithology, rainfall, gradient, aspect, vegetation and buffer zone. The results showed that Longmen Town, Gongqiao Town, Lianhua Town, and Chengxiang Town in the lower reaches of the Xixi Watershed were more susceptible to geological disasters in case of rainstorm because of the easily-collapsed formation lithology; riverbank erosion by runoff was enhanced during rainstorm, thus both sides of the rivers in Chengxiang Town at the estuary of the Xixi Watershed were most susceptible to geological disasters; in case of rainstorm, geological disaster monitoring in location areas of Longmen Town, Guanqiao Town, Lianhua Town, Chengxiang Town in the lower reaches, particularly trunk streams in Chengxiang Town, should be enhanced. By evaluating environmental geo-disasters of the Xixi Watershed, the blank in the environmental geo-disaster evaluation of the local area will be filled in, and scientific support will be provided for the future prevention of environmental geodisaster.展开更多
基金Supported by the Science and Technology Development Plan Project of Binzhou City(Policy Guidance)(2013ZC1001)Scientific Research Foundation of Binzhou University(BZXYG1414)+1 种基金Key Science and Technology Project for the Control of Major Safety Production Accidents in 2015 of State Administration of Work Safety(Shandong-0052-2015AQ)Project for Experimental Techniques of Binzhou University(BZXYSYXM201207)
文摘Based on meteorologic data in Xixi Watershed from 1972 to 1979, the SWAT model was applied to simulate the response of runoff and sediment yield in Xixi Watershed to climate change under 24 kinds of climate change scenarios, and then the spatial and temporal distribution of change rates of the runoff and sediment were analyzed. The results showed that the runoff yield would increase with the increase of precipitation or decrease of temperature, and the sediment yield would increase with the increase of precipitation or increase of temperature; the runoff would be more sensitive to variations in precipitation than to variations in temperature, and precipitation change would lead to more obvious change in the run- off yield; the temporal distribution of change rates of the runoff and sediment yield would be uneven in the 12 months, and the variation trends of the two change rates in the 12 months would be accordant; the spatial distribution of change rates of the runoff and sediment yield would be uneven in the sub-watersheds, and the change rate of the runoff yield would be bigger in the sub-watersheds where the runoff yield in the basic period would be smaller. This study can provide decision-making basis for sustainable development of Jinjiang Basin.
基金Sponsored by 2015 Production Safety and Major Accident Prevention Technology Program of State Administration of Work Safety(Shandong-0052-2015AQ)Scientific Research Foundation of Binzhou University(BZXYG1414)+1 种基金Key Research and Development Program of Shandong Province(2015GNC111018)Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(ZR2014BP012)
文摘Six evaluation factors were selected to evaluate the susceptibility level of the Xixi Watershed to geological disasters such as collapse and landslide, namely formation lithology, rainfall, gradient, aspect, vegetation and buffer zone. The results showed that Longmen Town, Gongqiao Town, Lianhua Town, and Chengxiang Town in the lower reaches of the Xixi Watershed were more susceptible to geological disasters in case of rainstorm because of the easily-collapsed formation lithology; riverbank erosion by runoff was enhanced during rainstorm, thus both sides of the rivers in Chengxiang Town at the estuary of the Xixi Watershed were most susceptible to geological disasters; in case of rainstorm, geological disaster monitoring in location areas of Longmen Town, Guanqiao Town, Lianhua Town, Chengxiang Town in the lower reaches, particularly trunk streams in Chengxiang Town, should be enhanced. By evaluating environmental geo-disasters of the Xixi Watershed, the blank in the environmental geo-disaster evaluation of the local area will be filled in, and scientific support will be provided for the future prevention of environmental geodisaster.
