基于AHP-TOPSIS方法的智慧旅游发展水平指标体系建构与实证研究

智慧旅游是旅游融入互联网时代的新业态,是旅游高质量发展、提高游客满意度的重要抓手。基于我国智慧旅游发展促进政策及现有文献,研究构建智慧旅游发展水平指标体系,采用层次分析法(AHP)与优劣解距离法(TOPSIS)对云南16个州市智慧旅游发展水平进行实证。研究发现:云南省智慧旅游发展水平区域差异明显,总体上可分为较高、中等和较低发展水平,呈现出以昆明为中心,向周边州市降低的阶梯分布格局。通过综合分析,提出促进智慧旅游发展的对策建议:(1)加大政策扶持力度,激发智慧旅游主体活力;(2)凝炼云南经验,共享旅游数字化转型升级成果;(3)统筹规划智慧旅游体系建设,提升旅游智慧化水平,以期为推进我国旅游数字化、智慧化建设提供借鉴。

Development of Mountain Tourism in Central Yunnan in the Context of Rural Revitalization Strategy

This paper analyzes the necessity of mountain tourism development in central Yunnan from the aspects of market demand,rural industrial structure optimization demand,characteristic minority culture protection demand,ecological environment protection demand,beautiful rural construction demand and so on.On this basis,against the backdrop of rural revitalization strategy,the path of mountain tourism development in central Yunnan is analyzed.

滇西南1976年龙陵M_(S)7.3、M_(S)7.4双强震触发滑坡遥感解译及其构造意义

深入研究中国滇西南地区发育的龙陵-澜沧新生地震构造带对于合理划分活动地块边界及未来开展强震危险性评价工作具有重要意义。使用高分辨率卫星影像对已发生的双强震震例开展回溯研究是一种可行的技术手段。文中对震前、震后高分辨率Keyhole卫星影像进行遥感解译,结合野外验证和前人研究结果,获得了1976年M_(S)7.3、M_(S)7.4龙陵双强震触发滑坡较为完整的数据库。结果显示:1)共解译滑坡14448个,总面积为17.2km^(2),70.9%的滑坡分布在花岗岩质的岩体风化层中,单体滑坡面积集中在数百至1000m^(2)区间,多为表层风化层内的浅层滑坡,滑动距离较小;2)同震滑坡密集区与高烈度区不匹配,其空间分布显示破裂区规模约为30km,且均位于活动断裂的一侧,表明其发震构造并非为龙陵-瑞丽断裂或畹町断裂。滇西南地区共轭强震破裂可能局限了单次强震的空间规模,因此在确认未来强震危险区时应重点关注NE向与NW向构造的交会部位。

Research on Existing Problems and Development Countermeasures of Yunnan Rural Tourism in China

The paper has investigated the development situation of rural tourism in Yunnan Province, analyzed problems of rural tourism planning, actual operation and village-level party organizations in rural tourism construction. Rural infrastructure is laggard, the general quality of farmers is poor, agricultural production organization is low, rural eco-environment condition is not positive, and rural tourism service is low in service quality and incomplete in function, lack of characteristic and management problem is prominent. Rural tourism is short of marketing and financial support and benefit distribution is unbalanced. Thus, it has proposed that Yunnan rural tourism development should aim to promote modern agricultural management system, well conduct the planning and operation of rural tourism, and enhance village-level party organization construction.

The Strategy on the Development of the Silk Road Sport Tourism in Yunnan By

Yunnan, the southwest part of China, is one of the birthplaces of humanity. It has beautiful sceneries, mysterious religious and national color, therefore, Yunnan is the assembly point for scholars and merchants since ancient times. Because of adjacent to Vietnam, Burma and Laos, the traditional culture of Yunnan is exotic as well. Its tourism is more developed than ever, although some parts of it are still in poverty. We should lay the key point of construction in Yunnan if we want to balance the developments of regions. Based on Yunnan’s geographic features, and then strengthen the investment to Yunnan region, the development of Yunnan will be improved. It is wise to choose the Silk Road to promote the development of sport tourism in Yunnan. In the ancient, there was East European and Eurasian Silk Road that lay the China’s economic development of the tone. Today, with the rapid development of China’s economic, the southwest Silk Road could improve its development, which will achieve the multiple developments in economy, culture and society. This article will elaborate on the related strategies on how to improve the development of sport tourism by developing the Silk Road in Yunnan province, and to sum up the effective strategies of it.

Construction of Sports Tourism System in Yunnan Province under the Background of Silk Road

Modem tourism development to the present, the tourists are not pursuing the general sense of the mountains and rivers, but the pursuit of harmony between man and nature, unity and the challenges of the nature in order to return to nature, fitness and leisure. Under this condition, this paper proposes the model of construction of sports tourism system in Yunnan province under the core background of Silk Road. The research results of the sports tourism theory and practice have played an important role in promoting the development of sports and tourism. But the concept of sports tourism, different opinions, there is still no unified understanding, especially for the tourism sports research is rare. Our research provides the novel perspective on the solutions to the Yunnan sport travelling that will promote the development of the related subiects.

The Orientation and Development of Zhenjiang Pearl S.Buck Tourism Products Exploitation

This study aimed to make an orientation for the development of Zhenjiang Pearl S.Buck tourism products.According to the spatial structure styles of tourism products,this paper discussed the exploitation of Zhenjiang Pearl S.Buck tourism products from the perspective of spot products,linear products and network products.It expanded the Pearl S.Buck research to tourism science field and put forward some ideas of promoting the comprehensive benefits of Pearl S.Buck tourism resource as well as the exploitation of similar tourism products.

Development of Top-quality Tourism Corridor with Cultural Heritage of Emperor's Tomb of Wulingyuan Mausoleum as Theme Experience

Cultural heritage of emperor's tomb of Wulingyuan Mausoleum lies in Xianyang which is located at north-central of Guanzhong Plain and which is the central area of Guanzhong-Tianshui economic development zone.With special geographical position and excellent location condition,it is the important tourism resource and archaeological remains in Shaanxi Province.By using relevant knowledge on tourism,in the perspective of development principle,necessity,feasibility,construction strategy and thought of top-quality tourism corridor with cultural heritage of emperor's tomb of Wulingyuan Mausoleum as theme experience,the author systematically explained the mode elements and value of experiential tourism products,and publicized the tourism resources to a certain extent.On the basis of publicity,the author strived to provide reference for the sustainable development of economy and ecology in this region.

丽江与芦山两次M_(S)7.0地震震例回溯研究及亚失稳特征探讨

基于川滇地区的跨断层观测资料,采用多种形变分析方法,针对川滇地区监测状况较好的1996年丽江、2013年芦山两次M_(S)7.0地震开展震例回溯研究,并以亚失稳理论及实验室结果为指导,归纳总结跨断层观测获得的断层运动在亚失稳阶段的时空变化特征及可能的表现形式,寻找区域范围内断层运动协同化现象,探索地震进入亚失稳状态的跨断层识别标志。结果表明:两次地震前,震源区在震前数年主要表现为弱变形的状态,可能是孕震晚期发震断层闭锁、断层近场应力应变积累趋于极限的表现。震源区边缘附近300 km范围内在震前数月至3年出现显著的断层形变异常,断层活动具有协同化现象,但仅个别跨断层场地观测到了与实验室岩石破裂失稳过程类似的图像,大多数场地仅仅观测到了稳态(线性阶段)、亚稳态(偏离线性阶段)特征,亚失稳态特征并不清晰,分析可能与跨断层场地所处的构造位置及观测周期有一定关系。

Tourism Image Plan for Wunvfeng National Forest Park

After the introduction of tourist resources in Wunvfeng National Forest Park, the paper had planed its overall image from the perspectives of concept design, visual identity, behavioral norms and audio identity. The slogan of Wunvfeng National Forest Park had been identified as "tour of nature and mythology-Wunvfeng", and the park's emblem, symbolic mascots, spokesman of tourism image and tourist souvenirs had been set, so as to better display tourist advantages of Wunvfeng National Forest Park and create more economic and social benefits.

滇西南地区地壳S波速度结构反演及强震孕震环境分析

基于滇西南地区31个宽频带地震台站记录的远震三分量波形数据,提取径向P波接收函数,以“中国地震科学实验场地区地壳剪切波速模型”为初始模型,进行精细化结构反演(垂向精度达2km级),并采用Bootstrap重采样技术进行统计和评估,获取了各台站下方的S波速度结构,结合地壳厚度、泊松比分布,对滇西南地区的地壳深部结构及强震孕震环境进行研究。结果表明:①研究区地壳S波速度分布在横向和垂向上均存在明显的非均匀特性。在中上地壳0~20km深度范围内存在明显且连续的低速层,平均厚度约15km,最大厚度达20km。在中下地壳20~28km深度范围内局部区域存在明显的低速层(厚度约8km),主要分布在普文断裂北端至阿墨江断裂中部区域(23°N附近),另外,在红河断裂附近和澜沧江断裂北部的局部区域也有分布;②从孕震环境来看,景谷M_(S)6.6和M_(S)5.8、墨江M_(S)5.9地震均发生在中上地壳低速层内,老挝M_(S)6.0地震发生在高、低速度的过渡区域。滇西南地区新生破裂带较为发育,地震波速的减小可能与地壳断裂或微裂隙中有流体的存在有关,研究区NW向新生破裂带的存在以及流体的长期作用,为带内高应变的突然释放提供了条件。另外,4个地震均发生在泊松比变化的高梯度带上,且地震发生处地壳厚度变化均较大。地壳厚度、泊松比变化剧烈的地区,地壳物质组成差异明显,壳内应变易于积累,有利于强震的诱发。

The Impetus for RCEP in Facilitating the High-quality Development of the Tourism Service Trade in Yunnan Province,China

The present world pattern has undergone major changes,the trend of world multi-polarization is constantly emerging,and peace and development remain the main themes of today’s society.The formal signing and implementation of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)is important for meeting the needs of peace and development of many countries and regions.China is in a new era of reform and opening-up,and the RCEP content is in line with China’s concept of pursuing a path of rejuvenation.Based on the locations of important borders,Yunnan Province has become one of the key places for China’s opening-up and development regarding Southeast Asia and South Asia,and the high-quality development of its tourism service trade is of great significance.This study first used the grounded theory analysis method to organize,analyze and process the records of international conferences and government press conferences held in Yunnan Province,as well as important related issues since the signing of RCEP.Then,the social network analysis method was used to analyze the social recognition degree of RCEP in promoting the high-quality development of the tourism service trade in Yunnan Province from the perspectives of different levels and group consensus.The results show that cooperation is the key macro driving force for RCEP in promoting the high-quality development of the tourism service trade in Yunnan Province.Regarding the opportunities and environment of the transportation dividend,policy dividend and investment dividend,port construction,border township construction and exhibition-related construction are important cooperation contents,so they are conducive to the recovery of the tourism industry in a broader development space.Competition can improve the driving force of RCEP in promoting the high-quality development of the tourism service trade in Yunnan Province at the micro level,and has more practical significance.For example,RCEP can better rely on its own geographical advantages and international market competitiveness,optimize the use of resources inside and outside ports,and use high-tech products to form a more green,ecological,organic and sustainable development.In different levels of social identity,RCEP’s power of cooperation is more strongly recognized,while the power of competition is less recognized.However,from the perspective of grouping the various groups,RCEP’s powers of cooperation and competition are jointly recognized by the other groups,indicating that cooperation and competition are necessary for the realization of RCEP’s power.The results of this study provide a certain reference for understanding the dynamics of RCEP in more detail from more angles and for the local implementation of RCEP rules and measures.

Measuring Tourist’s Water Footprint in a Mountain Destination of Northwest Yunnan, China

Monitoring and minimizing tourist’s water consumption is essential for the sustainable development of mountain destinations in the world. However, available data and a generally accepted protocol on such measurement are still limited. This study uses water footprint accounting to quantify tourist’s water demand in the Liming valley, a World Heritage site and a rapidly growing tourism destination in Northwest Yunnan, China. Both the water for direct and indirect use is taken into account based on the consumptive behavior of the tourists in the valley. Data were collected through guesthouse monitoring and a tourist survey in the 2005 tourist season. The results indicate that an average tourist leaves behind a footprint of 5.2 m3 on local water resources per day. Food production and waste dilution are the two most important water consumption factors. The results also show tourists consume more water than the local residents on per capita basis. This suggests more commitment is necessary to cope with this stress by individual tourists. Management implications to make water use more sustainable in mountain destinations are derived from this study.

泸定M_(S)6.8地震卫星红外辐射异常

1研究背景将卫星遥感红外资料应用于地震监测,起始于20世纪80年代前苏联科学家。后续国内外学者陆续开展了这方面的研究,提出了涡度、RST、ZS、距平和功率谱等异常提取方法,取得了大量震例和机理方面的研究成果(张元生等,2002;Tramutoli et al,2005;Ouzounov et al,2007;Freund,2011;Jing et al,2022)。张铁宝等(2016)研究表明,川滇块体东边界带强震前,川滇块体存在显著的超阈值辐射增强异常。利用该地区通过震例总结得到的红外辐射异常特征,持续对川滇块体红外辐射进行了多年跟踪,在2022年9月5日四川泸定M_(S)6.8地震前,川滇块体又再次出现了类似的异常变化。泸定地震发生在川滇块体东边界的鲜水河断裂带磨西段。本研究主要分析泸定地震前红外辐射的异常变化。

Q value of anelastic S-wave attenuation in Yunnan region

The study of seismic attenuation property is a major subject in seismology. Seismic waves recorded by seismic stations （seismographs） contain source effect, seismic wave propagation effect, site response of seismic stations and instrumental response. The path effect of seismic wave propagation, site response of seismic stations and instrumental response must be taken out in the study of source property with seismic data. The path effect of seismic wave propagation （seismic attenuation） involves an important influential factor, the anelastic attenuation of medium, which is measured with quality factor Q, apart from geometric attenuation with the distance. As a basic physical parameter of the Earth medium, Q value is essential for quantitative study of earthquakes and source property （e.g. determination of source parameters）, which is widely used in earthquake source physics and engineering seismology.

泸定M_(S)6.8地震前后川滇强震活动幕式图像分析

1研究背景2022年9月5日四川泸定发生M_(S)6.8地震,该事件对于未来强震活动形势发展及主体活动区域转移有何意义,是目前关注的焦点。本文继承了黄圣睦(2000)的川滇地区幕式结构研究思路和判定依据,其主要内容为:川滇作为一个地震构造块体,有着相同的新构造环境和地震活动紧密相连的充分依据。川滇之间没有像四川和甘肃或四川和青海之间存在的EW向秦岭构造带的横亘、阻截,将四川和云南作为整体研究,其幕式活动图像明显,可以比较容易把握强震活动规律。

Geochemistry of Jinman Copper Vein Deposit,West Yunnan Province,China─Ⅱ.Fluid Inclusion and Stable Isotope Geochemical Characteristics

The Jinman deposit is a Ag-bearing copper vein deposit located at the north marginof the Lanping-Simao back-arc basin in West Yunnan. Systematic studies of fluid inclusions andstable isotopes are presented in this paper. The filling-replacement stage and the boiling-exhala-tive precipitation stage of mineralization took place at T1 = 140 - 280℃ and T2 = 94 - 204℃under pressure of (600 - 1200) ×105 Pa. The salinity of ore-forming solutions ranges from 5 wt%-20. 8 wt% (NaCl). Sulphide δ34S(CDT) values are in the rang of - 9.6‰ - + 11.03% witha range of 22. 66‰ showing an apparent "pagoda"-shaped distribution in histogram. Mean-while, the δ34S values of the various sulphides are consistent with the characters of isotope equi-librium fractionation, i. e., δ34SPy>δ34 SCp> δ34SBn. The TS/TOC ratios of the ores are widelyvariable between 0.16 and 5. 54 with no correlation of any kind can be established. Accirding to themodel of Ohmoto, the oxidation-reduction ratios of sulfur species in ore-forming solutions at the twomineralization stages were calculated to be R’1 = 2. 16×10(-17) and R’2 = 1. 55×104. δ13CCO2 (PDB)values obtained from fluid inclusions in calcite and quartz are between - 8.12‰ - - 3. 18‰, av-eraging - 5. 26‰, which are comparable with the isotopic composition of mantle-derived CO2.Inclusions in quartz yield δ13CCH4(PDB) between - 32. 11‰ and - 22. 04‰ (averaging- 26. 69‰),similar to that of methane in modern geothermal gases. For the ore-forming soutions, δ18OH2O(SMOW) values are between - 10. 57‰ and + 9. 77‰ and δDH2O(SMOW) are between - 51‰and - 135‰. Considering the effect of isotope exchange during waterrock reactions, most ofthe data are plotted along or close to the line defined by the reaction of meteoric water withclastic rocks, while a small part of the points fall near the reaction line of magmatic water withclastic rocks. In δ13C vs. δ18O diagram, the ore-forming soutions are plotted for the most partinto the mixing area between the meteoric fluid and the deep-seated fluid and partially on themixing line of P = 1.

基于LSTM神经网络的股票价格预测

针对传统的时间序列方法和传统的机器学习算法对股票价格预测的精度较低这一问题,鉴于股票数据的非线性、非平稳性以及序列间的相关性,建立了LSTM神经网络预测模型,以云南旅游股票历史交易数据为输入,对云南旅游股票的收盘价进行预测,并求解基于各预测模型下的统计指标MAE,RMSE,且与其他两种模型的预测结果进行比较.结果表明,LSTM神经网络预测模型比其他2种(BP、Elman)神经网络预测模型的预测误差更小,结果更为准确,预测值更接近于股票价格的真实值.

Rural Tourism, Shanxi Merchants’ Culture and New Rural Construction of Socialism

Rural tourism was a new form of tourism gradually emerging in China in recent years. It satisfied urban residents' pursuit of nature and had a promising market prospect. New rural construction of socialism was an important historical task in the process of economic and social development of China at present and in future period. New rural construction was the important basis of rural tourism development and meanwhile rural tourism development could promote new rural construction. Shanxi Merchant's Culture of Xi Village in Jinzhong City was a kind of excellent rural tourism resource. Developing rural tourism was one of the effective ways to promote new rural construction of socialism in Xi Village.

基于熵权-TOPSIS法的云南省休闲农业与乡村旅游共生耦合研究

以云南省为研究对象,结合该省休闲农业与乡村旅游的发展现状,选取了2017—2021年反映该省休闲农业与乡村旅游发展水平的16项指标,并基于熵权-TOPSIS法和耦合协调度模型,对其耦合关联度、耦合协调度及综合评价指标等进行了分析,以期为该地区实现休闲农业与乡村旅游高质量发展提供参考。结果表明:(1)2017—2021年,云南省休闲农业与乡村旅游的综合发展指数和耦合协调度均呈上升态势,休闲农业综合发展指数从2017年的0.1106上升至2021年0.8108,年增长率为64.55%,乡村旅游综合发展指数从2017年的0.3118上升至2021年的0.6860,年增长率为21.79%。(2)云南省休闲农业与乡村旅游耦合协调度由濒临失调向良好协调转变。鉴于此,提出了突出特色,跨界融合,完善共生单元;创新机制,加强基础,改善共生环境;优化布局,强化协作,构建共生模式等对策建议。