The phenomena associated with the performance of newly listed companies has increased the interest of many researchers who have developed a vast literature on long-term underpricing and underperformance, which togethe...The phenomena associated with the performance of newly listed companies has increased the interest of many researchers who have developed a vast literature on long-term underpricing and underperformance, which together with hot and cold issue markets, represent the three anomalies that have always accompanied with Initial Public Offerings (IPOs). The objective of this work is to investigate the long-run performance of IPOs of venture and non-venture-backed companies. The analysis of a sample of 102 IPOs carried out in Italy in 1998-2005 revealed that both companies (venture-backed and non-venture-backed) showed negative values, thus, confirming the phenomenon of underperformance. During the 36 months following their listing, venture-backed companies seemed to register negative and statistically significant values both with the CARsVB methodology (-93.99%) and the Buy and Hold Abnormal Returns methodology (BHARsVB -88.37%). Venture-backed companies, unlike non- venture-backed companies, seem to be able to restrain the losses, measured by both methods, in the first 12 months (CARsB - 12.38% -20.15% CARSNNVB; BHARsVB - 10.17%; BHARsNVB - 15.51%). During the 36 months, however, the IPOs showed negative and statistically significant values regardless of whether they were venture or non-venture-backed. The test on the difference between the average abnormal returns of the two methodologies (CAARS and BHAARs) did not produce statistically significant results. The Wealth Relative was calculated and from the results it would appear that the portfolio of venture-backed IPOs does not register "brilliant" performances. The portfolio of 102 IPOs does not seem to beat the "market portfolio". In conclusion, therefore, the phenomenon of underperformance seems to be real in our country and is documented by strongly negative and statistically significant values obtained from the samples of IPOs analyzed.展开更多
This paper formulates a kind of dynamical macro economic model based on Sidrauski's work,then presents the sufficient and necessary conditions of the stability of model at equilibrium states,and shows some result...This paper formulates a kind of dynamical macro economic model based on Sidrauski's work,then presents the sufficient and necessary conditions of the stability of model at equilibrium states,and shows some results for special production functions.展开更多
To explain medium-term momentum and long-term reversal,we use the difference between the optional model and the CAPM model to construct a winner-loser portfolio.According to the CAPM model’s zero explanatory ability ...To explain medium-term momentum and long-term reversal,we use the difference between the optional model and the CAPM model to construct a winner-loser portfolio.According to the CAPM model’s zero explanatory ability with respect to stock market anomalies,we obtain an anomaly interpretative model.This study shows that this anomaly interpretative model can explain stock market perceptions and medium-term momentum.Most importantly,BM is a critical factor in the model’s explanatory ability.We present a robustness test,which includes selecting new sample data,adding new auxiliary variables,changing sample years,and adding industry fixed effects.In general,the BM effect does have considerable explanatory power in medium-term momentum and long-term reversal.展开更多
The objective of this paper is to investigate whether mergers create value for shareholders in both the short and long term. For this purpose, 120 announcements of mergers that were registered in Italy during the peri...The objective of this paper is to investigate whether mergers create value for shareholders in both the short and long term. For this purpose, 120 announcements of mergers that were registered in Italy during the period 1994-2006 among listed companies were examined. The short-term analysis was conducted using the event study methodology in order to estimate the cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) in the time window around the announcement date (-10, +10). In this work, the sample of 120 mergers was divided into two sub-samples: the first considers the mergers that were carried out in all sectors of the economy, and the second focuses only on bank mergers. From the results obtained it would appear that, while the sub-sample of all mergers registered a statistically significant value creation for the shareholders of both the bidder and target companies, values also confirmed by combined analysis, the second sub-sample registered negative values for bidder companies and positive values for target companies. Negative values also seem to be confirmed by the results of the combined analysis both at the date of announcement and throughout the entire period of observation. For the long-term analysis, the Buy and Hold Abnormal Returns (BHARs) methodology was used, with which it was possible to observe the returns for three years. In the 36 months following the merger, the portfolios showed a significant destruction of value展开更多
The efficient market theory is a central point in finance. If the capital market is competitive, the investors cannot expect superior gains from their investment strategies with respect to the risk profile. Event stud...The efficient market theory is a central point in finance. If the capital market is competitive, the investors cannot expect superior gains from their investment strategies with respect to the risk profile. Event studies are an approach to verify the impact of the information on the stock prices. In an efficient market, stock prices should fully, promptly, and quickly capture all the information. Instead, the market shows phenomena of an under-reaction and over-reaction for both the short and the long run. The mergers and acquisitions (M&As) are examples of anomalies. Often, the bidder companies record the negative abnormal returns for both the short and the long run. In contrast to the efficient market theory, the empirical evidence shows that this phenomenon is widespread in all (or most of) the countries of the world. This work examines the long-run performance in M&As. For this purpose, 40 bidders were observed in Italy during the period of 1994-2008 among listed companies. The buy and hold abnormal returns (BHARs) methodology was used, with which it was possible to observe the returns for three years following the deal.展开更多
文摘The phenomena associated with the performance of newly listed companies has increased the interest of many researchers who have developed a vast literature on long-term underpricing and underperformance, which together with hot and cold issue markets, represent the three anomalies that have always accompanied with Initial Public Offerings (IPOs). The objective of this work is to investigate the long-run performance of IPOs of venture and non-venture-backed companies. The analysis of a sample of 102 IPOs carried out in Italy in 1998-2005 revealed that both companies (venture-backed and non-venture-backed) showed negative values, thus, confirming the phenomenon of underperformance. During the 36 months following their listing, venture-backed companies seemed to register negative and statistically significant values both with the CARsVB methodology (-93.99%) and the Buy and Hold Abnormal Returns methodology (BHARsVB -88.37%). Venture-backed companies, unlike non- venture-backed companies, seem to be able to restrain the losses, measured by both methods, in the first 12 months (CARsB - 12.38% -20.15% CARSNNVB; BHARsVB - 10.17%; BHARsNVB - 15.51%). During the 36 months, however, the IPOs showed negative and statistically significant values regardless of whether they were venture or non-venture-backed. The test on the difference between the average abnormal returns of the two methodologies (CAARS and BHAARs) did not produce statistically significant results. The Wealth Relative was calculated and from the results it would appear that the portfolio of venture-backed IPOs does not register "brilliant" performances. The portfolio of 102 IPOs does not seem to beat the "market portfolio". In conclusion, therefore, the phenomenon of underperformance seems to be real in our country and is documented by strongly negative and statistically significant values obtained from the samples of IPOs analyzed.
基金Supported by Sichuan Youth Science and Technology Foundation(2 61 ) and Laboratory of Manage-mentDecision and Information Sy
文摘This paper formulates a kind of dynamical macro economic model based on Sidrauski's work,then presents the sufficient and necessary conditions of the stability of model at equilibrium states,and shows some results for special production functions.
基金I follow the tutor to do two fund projects which is the National Social Science Fund Project(15BJY164)the Ministry of Education Humanities and Social Sciences Fund Project(14YJA790034),respectively.
文摘To explain medium-term momentum and long-term reversal,we use the difference between the optional model and the CAPM model to construct a winner-loser portfolio.According to the CAPM model’s zero explanatory ability with respect to stock market anomalies,we obtain an anomaly interpretative model.This study shows that this anomaly interpretative model can explain stock market perceptions and medium-term momentum.Most importantly,BM is a critical factor in the model’s explanatory ability.We present a robustness test,which includes selecting new sample data,adding new auxiliary variables,changing sample years,and adding industry fixed effects.In general,the BM effect does have considerable explanatory power in medium-term momentum and long-term reversal.
文摘The objective of this paper is to investigate whether mergers create value for shareholders in both the short and long term. For this purpose, 120 announcements of mergers that were registered in Italy during the period 1994-2006 among listed companies were examined. The short-term analysis was conducted using the event study methodology in order to estimate the cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) in the time window around the announcement date (-10, +10). In this work, the sample of 120 mergers was divided into two sub-samples: the first considers the mergers that were carried out in all sectors of the economy, and the second focuses only on bank mergers. From the results obtained it would appear that, while the sub-sample of all mergers registered a statistically significant value creation for the shareholders of both the bidder and target companies, values also confirmed by combined analysis, the second sub-sample registered negative values for bidder companies and positive values for target companies. Negative values also seem to be confirmed by the results of the combined analysis both at the date of announcement and throughout the entire period of observation. For the long-term analysis, the Buy and Hold Abnormal Returns (BHARs) methodology was used, with which it was possible to observe the returns for three years. In the 36 months following the merger, the portfolios showed a significant destruction of value
文摘The efficient market theory is a central point in finance. If the capital market is competitive, the investors cannot expect superior gains from their investment strategies with respect to the risk profile. Event studies are an approach to verify the impact of the information on the stock prices. In an efficient market, stock prices should fully, promptly, and quickly capture all the information. Instead, the market shows phenomena of an under-reaction and over-reaction for both the short and the long run. The mergers and acquisitions (M&As) are examples of anomalies. Often, the bidder companies record the negative abnormal returns for both the short and the long run. In contrast to the efficient market theory, the empirical evidence shows that this phenomenon is widespread in all (or most of) the countries of the world. This work examines the long-run performance in M&As. For this purpose, 40 bidders were observed in Italy during the period of 1994-2008 among listed companies. The buy and hold abnormal returns (BHARs) methodology was used, with which it was possible to observe the returns for three years following the deal.