Characteristics of the dynamic changes in active accumulated temperature in Sichuan,China in the last 51 years against the background of climate change

It is of utmost necessity to understand the dynamics of regional active accumulated temperature(AAT)to cope with the negative impacts of global warming on agroforestry development and food security and to provide a real-time and effective reference basis for regional agroforestry planning.The daily temperature data from 30 meteorological stations in Sichuan Province from 1970 to 2020,and sea surface temperature(SST)index data from the Atlantic Multiphase Oscillation(AMO)and Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO)were used for the study.Sichuan Province was divided into the western region(WS)and the eastern region(ES),considering 1000 m above sea level as the boundary.The spatiotemporal characteristics of≥0℃ and≥10℃ active accumulated temperature(AAT0,AAT10)in WS and ES were analyzed comprehensively using 5-day average sliding,empirical orthogonal function(EOF),ensemble empirical mode decomposition(EEMD),and multiple mutation tests.The results show that(1)AAT0 and AAT10 of WS ranged from 3034℃ to 3586℃ and 1971℃ to 2636℃,respectively,while the AAT0 and AAT10 of ES ranged from 5863℃ to 6513℃ and 4847℃ to 5875℃,respectively.The period around 1997 was a significant abrupt change,and the AAT in the province generally increased during the subsequent time period(2)AAT in the study area is mainly driven by the fluctuations of AMO,as reflected by the low-to-high variation of AAT coinciding with the jump of the cold-to-warm phase of AMO.Considering different time scale fluctuations in the past 51 years,the major cycle for both AAT0 and AAT10 in WS is 3.40 a,while the major cycles in ES are 3.64 a and 3.19 a,respectively with a sub-cycle of 7.29 a.AAT fluctuation has an insignificant periodic characteristic of 25.50 a on the interdecadal scale(3)The spatial heterogeneity of AAT in WS is prominent and is mainly reflected by the significantly warm conditions in the south of the WS region and relatively slight warm conditions in the north,as well as by the isolated cooling area in the form of"freezing point",i.e.,Xiaojin county.In contrast,the spatial variability of AAT in ES is more or less consistent,with the warming areas concentrated in the foothills of the western edge of the basin and a slight increase in AAT observed in the central part of the basin.

Effects of temperatures on the development and reproduction of the armyworm, Mythimna roseilinea: Analysis using an age-stage, two-sex life table

The armyworm Mythimna roseilinea（Walker） is a major pest of grain crops in South China. So far little is known about its basic biology and ecology, making prediction of population dynamics difficult. This study examined the relationships of individual development and population growth with temperature based on an age-stage, two-sex life table of M. roseilinea reared on maize in the laboratory at 18, 21, 24, 27 and 30℃. The highest values of net reproductive rate（R_0） and fecundity were observed at 21 and 24℃, respectively. Both the intrinsic rate of increase（r） and finite rate of increase（λ） increased significantly and mean generation time（T） decreased significantly with increasing temperature. M. roseilinea was able to develop, survive and lay eggs at all temperature regimes tested. Development rates of the egg, larval, pupal, as well as the whole pre-oviposition stages had a positive linear relationship with temperature. The calculated development threshold temperatures of egg, larval, pupal, pre-oviposition and total pre-oviposition stages were 13.29, 8.39, 14.35, 7.42, and 12.24℃, respectively, and their effective accumulated temperatures were 63.59, 445.00, 211.11, 89.02, and 698.95 degree-days, respectively. These results provide insight into temperature-based phenology and population ecology of this insect pest and will allow population prediction and management available in the field.

Effective accumulated temperature and developmental threshold temperature for Semanotus bifasciatus(Motschulsky) in Beijing

In order to understand the occurrence and development of Semanotus bifasciatus （Motschulsky）, a borer insect of Platycladus orientalis in parts of northern and eastern China and to improve its prediction, the developmental threshold temperature （C1） and effective accumulated temperature （K） of S. bifasciatus were determined under conditions of constant and variable temperatures. The results show that under constant temperatures the value of C1 has a range of 8.90±1.77℃and the value of K lies between 95.19±13.14 degree-day for eggs; the values for larvae are C1= 13.26±3.06℃ and the number of degree-day is K 2,885.07±187.87 degree-day; for pupae the ranges are C1 = 8.93±2.49℃ and K= 131.20±25.63 degree-day. Under the condition of ambient temperatures, the values for eggs are C1= 17.33±1.24℃ and K= 70.79±8.99 degree-day. It is suggested that S. bifasciatus adults over-winter in a state of dormancy, not at a diapause. Warm winter may accelerate the life cycle ofS. bifasciatus. Equations can be used to predict an early occurrence ofS. bifasciatus.

Change Trends of Accumulated Temperature and Effects on Agricultural Production in Shenyang during Recent 58 Years

[Objective] The aim was to study the change trend of accumulated temperature in Shenyang in recent 58 years, as well as its effect on agricultural production. [Method] Based on the surface temperature data in Shenyang, the change trends of ≥0 ℃ and ≥10 ℃ accumulated temperature in Shenyang in recent 58 years were analyzed by means of climatic statistics method, and the effects of accumulated temperature variation on agricultural production were discussed. [Result] In recent 58 years, the first day with temperature ≥0 ℃ advanced 10 d, and the last day put off slightly, while sustained days prolonged 13 d, and ≥0 ℃ accumulated temperature increased by 343 ℃·d; meanwhile, the first day with temperature ≥10 ℃ advanced 9 d, and the last day put off 8 d, while sustained days prolonged 16 d, and ≥10 ℃ accumulated temperature increased by 370 ℃·d; compared with the first 20 years, sustained days with temperature ≥0 ℃ and ≥10 ℃ prolonged 9 d in the last 20 years, and ≥0 ℃ and ≥10 ℃ accumulated temperature increased by 196 and 202 ℃·d, respectively. In addition, the increase of heat resources affected agricultural production in Shenyang. [Conclusion] The study could provide theoretical foundation for grasping heat resources variation and adjusting agriculture distribution.

Impact of Accumulated Temperature on Wetland Vegetation Area in Poyang Lake

Accumulated temperature,which is now widely used in agronomy,is an important ecological factor to the growth of plants,but few relative studies have been found on the vegetation area of floodplain grasslands in Poyang Lake.This research used the classification and regression tree(CART)to classify normalized vegetation area index derived from MODIS LAI(Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer Leaf Area Index)images from 2008 to 2014,according to different climate indexes,such as mean daily air temperature(n),accumulated temperature(jw),daily maximum temperature(g),daily minimum temperature(d),accumulative precipitation(j),water level(s)and average water level for 20 days preceding(a).The results showed that:(1)The accumulated temperature and the 20-day average WL(water level)were found to have the greatest impact on variation in wetland vegetation area,and they both dominated the classification process twice;(2)Two classification thresholds of accumulated temperature were 790°C and 1784°C,approximately corresponding to the beginning of April and midMay;(3)790°C could also be used as a threshold to select remote sensing images to analysis the annual variability of vegetation,i.e.while accumulated temperature is lower than 790°C,remote sensing images of similar accumulated temperature rather than similar date should be selected from different years for comparison.We also found that,effects of different hydrological factors on area of floodplain grasslands showed stage characteristics:(1)From January to March,water level changes slowly with less rainfall,as a result,the 20-day average WL which can interpret the hydrologic characteristics smoothly showed significant importance in this stage;(2)While entering April,intense rainfall make accumulative precipitation to be the dominating factor of classification;(3)From late April to mid-May,in condition of accumulative precipitation higher than 405 mm,daily water level is of most importance,because to the flood recession process as well as rapid water level fluctuations.

Effects of Rice Yield and Quality Across Accumulated Temperature Zone Planting in Cold Area

Five rice varieties were planted to determine the variation of the yield and quality traits in five different regions in a cold area of China. The results showed that the number of the panicles, the number of grains per panicle and percentage of head-milled rice displayed quadratic curves against the accumulated temperature, and the sterile rate decreased with greater accumulated temperature. However, 1 000-grain weight had no correlation with the accumulated temperature and protein content, amylose content and taste also had no obvious relation with the accumulated temperature. The results from the accumulated temperature differed with rice variety, so the temperature insensitive type variety should be proposed for production.

Developmental Threshold Temperature and Effective Accumulated Temperature of Potosia brevitarsis Lewis

[ Objective] The paper was to study the relationship between temperature and development of Potosia brevitarsis Lewis. [ Methods] Six constant tem- peratures （21, 24, 27, 30, 33 and 36 ℃ ） were set in the laboratory to study developmental threshold temperature and effective accumulated temperature of P. brevitarsis. [ Result] The developmental durations of various states of P. brevitarsis were shortened with the increasing temperature ranged from 21 ℃ to 36 ℃ ; the developmental rates were accelerated with the increasing temperature. The developmental threshold temperatures of egg, larva, pupa and pre-ovipesition of adult were estimated to be 12.79, 9.15, 14.86 and 13.80 ℃, respectively; the effective accumulated temperature were 136.25, 3 031.31,308.92 and 98.35 d · ℃, respectively. The developmental threshold temperature and effective amcumulated temperature for one complete generation were 9.96 ℃ and 3 628.73 d · ℃, re- spectively. Combined with meteorological data, the theoretical generation number of P. brevitarsis occurred in Shihezi was presumed to be one per year, which was basically coincided with actual occurrence generations in fields. [ Conclusion] The paper provided theoretical basis for effective control against P. brevitarsis.

Case study on the first immigration of fall armyworm,Spodoptera frugiperda invading into China

The fall armyworm(FAW),Spodoptera frugiperda is one of the most damaging crop pests,and it has become major threat to the food security of many countries.In order to monitor possible invasion of this pest into China,a searchlight trap was established in March 2018 in western Yunnan Province,China,where it has served as the"first station"for many pests that have migrated from Myanmar to China.A number of suspected FAW moths were captured and identified by DNA sequencing.The results showed that the FAW moth was first captured on December 11 and formed its first immigration peak in mid-December 2018.DNA detection revealed that the early invading FAW population was the"corn-strain".The field survey indicated that the pest mainly colonized corn in Pu’er,Dehong and Baoshan areas.Migration trajectory simulation implied that the moths might have mainly come from the eastern area in the mid-latitude region of Myanmar(20-25°N,94-100°E).This case study confirmed the first immigration of FAW into China,and will be helpful for guiding monitoring and management work to control this pest.

Variation Characteristics of Thermal Resources in East Hexi Corridor in Recent 50 Years

[Objective] The aim was to study variation characteristics of thermal resources in east Hexi Corridor in recent 50 years. [Method] Using the daily average air temperature data from 5 meteorological stations in east Hexi Corridor from 1959 to 2010, the variation of accumulated temperature steadily above 10 and 0 ℃, lasting days, the beginning and ending day were summarized, and then the variation characteristics of thermal resources under the background of climate warming were analyzed. [Result] The air temperature increased continuously in east Hexi Corridor, and the climatic trend rate of the annual average air temperature was 0.34 ℃/10 a, more significant than any other region in China. And it was well correlated with the thermal resource indexes such as the accumulated temperature steadily above 10 and 0 ℃, and their lasting days, and the beginning and ending day. Climate warming had made the accumulated temperature steadily above 10 and 0 ℃ increased significantly in east Hexi Corridor widespread. The accumulated temperature steadily above 10 and 0 ℃ had increased significantly. The lasting days of accumulated temperature steadily above 10 and 0 ℃ increased significantly too. The delay of ending days was more significant than the advancing of beginning days. [Conclusion] These changes in thermal resources were conductive to increase food production and maintain the stability of food production in east Hexi Corridor.

Changes of Essential Substance Contents in Exorista civilis Rondani during Diapause Stage

[ Objective ] The paper was to study the occurrence regularity of Lysiphlebus testaceipes Cresson. [ Method ] With Aphis craccivora Koch as the breeding host, developmental duration, development threshold temperature and effective accumulative temperatme of L. testaceipes Cresson were studied at six constant tem- peratures of 12, 16, 20, 24, 28 and 32℃ in the laboratory, respectively. [ Result] The developmental durations of each growth stage of L. testaceipes Cresson were shortened with the increasing temperature ranged from 12 to 32℃, and the growth rate was significantly accelerated with the increasing temperature. However, when the temperature was up to 32℃, the growth and development from mummy to adult was suppressed, and the developmental duration was extended for 0.45 d than that at 28℃. The developmental durations from egg to adult at 12, 16, 20, 24, 28 and 32℃ were 38.50, 21.25, 14.11, 12.17, 10.28 and 9.01 d, respectively. The developmental threshold temperatures of egg-mummy, mummy-adult and egg-adult were estimated to be 6.5, 6.25 and 5.36℃, respectively; and the effective accumulated temperatures were 136.28, 75.74 and 227.23 d·℃, respectively. [ Conclusion] Forecast formula of developmental duration and Logistic models were established according to effective accumulated temperature and developmental threshold temperature.

Variation Characteristics of Heat Resources in Liaoning Province, China in Recent 60 Years and Their Impact on Meteorological Services

To study the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources to serve agricultural production and economic development. The climate data from 1958 to 2017 were selected, and the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources in Liaoning, China were analyzed by using the method of climate diagnosis and analysis. The results show that: the southern coastal area of Liaoning has the most heat resources, the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area the least, and the central plain area in the middle distribution pattern;compared with 1958-1980, 1981-2017 ≥0°C, ≥10°C accumulated temperature, etc. The value line is advanced 100-160km northward. The accumulated temperature of ≥0°C and ≥10°C in Liaoning experienced abrupt changes in climate in 1993 and 1994, and the climate abrupt change in the southern coastal area was earlier than that in the inland. , the increase in the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area is less than that in the central plain area and the southern coastal area. The study on the impact on meteorological services found that the increase or decrease of heat resources has a significant impact on agro-meteorological services, which can prolong the growing season of crops, relatively reduce the damage of frost, improve comprehensive utilization of land, and increase crop yields;at the same time, with the increase of heat resources and the northward expansion of the isoline of accumulated temperature, the area affected by pests and diseases has expanded, which has aggravated the harm to agriculture economic burden.

Changes of annual accumulated temperature over Southern China during 1960-2011

The spatial and temporal variations of ≥10℃ annual accumulated temperature （AAT10） were analyzed by using the linear trend line method, cumulative anomaly method and the multiple linear regression model （MLRM） interpolation method based on the daily meteorological observation data from 104 meteorological stations in Southern China and surrounding 39 meteorological stations from 1960 to 2011. The results show that： （1） From time scale point of view, the climatic trend of the AAT10 increased with an average of 7.54℃/decade in Southern China since 1960. The area of AAT10〈6000℃ decreased from 1960 to 2011, and the area of 6000℃〈AAT10〈8000℃ decreased from 1960 to 1979 and increased from 1980 to 2011, and the area of AAT10〉8000℃ increased from 1960 to 2011. （2） From spatial scale point of view, the AAT10 in Southern China reduced with increasing latitude and reduced with increasing altitude. The proportion of the area with 5000℃〈 AAT10〈8000℃ accounted for 70% of the study area, followed by the area of 4000℃〈AAT10 〈5000℃; and the area of AAT10〈4000℃ and AAT10〉8000℃ was the least. Climate trend rate of the AAT10 at 99% of the meteorological stations was greater than zero, which indicated that the AAT10 increased significantly in the central Yunnan province, southern Guangdong province as well as Hainan Island. （3） Comparison of period A （1960-1989） and period B （1980-2011） with the change of temperature zones shows that the boundaries of cool temperate zone, mid-temperate zone and warm temperate zone shifted northward and shrank westward. The northern boundary of north subtropical zone and mid-subtropical zone shifted northward gradually by over 0.5° and 0.5° latitude, respectively. The western part of northern boundary of south subtropical zone and marginal tropical zone shifted northward by 0.2° and 0.4° latitude, respectively. The change of temperature zones was expanded to high altitude and latitude. （4） The increase of the AAT10 is conducive to the production of tropical crops planted, which will increase the planting area that was suitable for tropical crops, and expand the planting boundaries to high latitude and high altitude.

Effect of temperature on anoxic metabolism of nitrites to nitrous oxide by polyphosphate accumulating organisms

Temperature is an important physical factor, which strongly influences biomass and metabolic activity. In this study, the effects of temperature on the anoxic metabolism of nitrite （NO2） to nitrous oxide （N2O） by polyphosphate accumulating organisms, and the process of the accumulation of N2O （during nitrite reduction）, which acts as an electron acceptor, were investigated using 91% ：e 4% Candidatus Accumulibacterphosphatis sludge. The results showed that N2O is accumulated when Accumulibacter first utilize nitrite instead of oxygen as the sole electron acceptor during the denitrifying phosphorus removal process. Properties such as nitrite reduction rate, phosphorus uptake rate, N2O reduction rate, and polyhydroxyalkanoate degradation rate were all influenced by temperature variation （over the range from 10 to 30℃ reaching maximum values at 25℃）. The reduction rate of N2O by N2O reductase was more sensitive to temperature when N2O was utilized as the sole electron acceptor instead of NO2, and the N2O reduction rates, ranging from 0.48 to 3.53 N2O-N/（hr.g VSS）, increased to 1.45 to 8.60 mg N2O-N/（hr·g VSS）. The kinetics processes for temperature variation of 10 to 30℃ were （01 = 1.140-1.216 and θ2 = 1.139-1.167）. In the range of 10℃ to 30℃, almost all of the anoxic stoichiometry was sensitive to temperature changes. In addition, a rise in N2O reduction activity leading to a decrease in N2O accumulation in long term operations at the optimal temperature （27℃ calculated by the Arrhenius model）.

Improving harvest efficiency of maize varieties via accumulated temperature in a certain planting area

The ripening and drying of maize(Zea mays L.)grain are closely related to temperature.In accordance with maize grain drying characteristics,regional accumulated temperature(AT0≥0℃)distribution is of great significance for a rational allocation of maize varieties,thus reducing grain moisture content(MC)to improve maize harvest efficiency.From 2016 to 2018,a multi-site trial was carried out in the spring maize production area of Northeastern China.In this study,under a guaranteed rate of 80%for AT0,this area was divided into 15 accumulated temperature zones(ATZs)with an interval of 100℃ based on climatic data of 78 local weather stations.Then the AT0 demand of different maize varieties during different growth stages was calculated by combining experimental records with the established prediction model of MC,and then,the spatial partition for different types of maize varieties under different MCs was analyzed.The results showed that all the tested varieties could not reach physiological maturity(PM)at ATZs 13-15,hence,where maize planting is risky.With the increasing accumulated temperature demand of different types of maize varieties from planting to PM,to the MC of 25%and to the MC of 20%,the unplantable areas were gradually expanded from south to north while the region where the maize varieties could be harvested under different MCs was also moved southwardly.Additionally,at 1-2 ATZs,it is entirely possible to achieve mechanical kernel harvesting under the MC of 20%,even though the AT0 requirements of the varieties are relatively high.Conclusively,on the grounds of AT0 demand law of maize varieties and heat resource distribution in Northeastern China,the layout optimization for achieving different harvesting scenarios is conducive to providing a basis not only for selecting suitable varieties but also for promoting mechanical kernel harvesting in the spring maize production area of this region.

Local temperature and El Niño Southern Oscillation influence migration phenology of East Asian migratory waterbirds wintering in Poyang,China

Temperature is a critical factor influencing avian phenology,due to its direct impact on food and water availability.Most previous studies have focused on the timing of spring migration and the arrival of birds at breeding grounds along the European and American flyways;little is known about migration ecology at the wintering sites along the Asian flyways.Using linear regression models,this study investigates how local temperature variation and EI Niño Southern Oscillation(ENSO)influences the arrival and departure timing of 9 waterbird species breeding in Mongolia or Siberia and overwintering in Poyang,China from 2002 to 2013.Birds mainly arrive at Poyang in October and depart for their breeding sites in March.Out of the 9 species,6 show a strong negative relationship between departure time and overwintering temperature in Poyang.Departure dates also show a negative association with overwintering ENSO and March ENSO for two species.Both local and large-scale climate indices show no influence on the arrival timing of waterbirds.We suggest that birds react to the annual variation of overwintering temperature:an earlier departure of waterbirds is facilitated by a warmer overwintering period and vice versa.The long-term accumulated temperature effect is more pronounced than ENSO and the short-term local temperature effect.Our findings could help quantify the potential impact of global warming on waterbirds.

A MODEL OF POTENTIAL MAIZE YIELD IN RELATION TO ACCUMULATED TEMPERATURE AND ITS APPLICATION IN ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF CLIMATIC CHANGE

Plant breeding for different maturities plays an important role in agricultural strategies for adaptation to climatic change.In this paper using the data of ten corn hybrids with early,medium and late maturities and different leaf angles, including erectophile and planophile,observed in Beijing,Yanqing,Tai'an,Gongzhuling of Jilin and Shihezi of Xinjiang,a normal growing function was derived on the basis of the main pattern of accumulated dry matter: W=1/1+exp(8.56-13.52u) In accordance with the function authors built up a model of potential maximum biomass which depends on accumulated temperature B_(max)=100+1.11∑~T_m(kg/mu)(1ha=15mu) The model was applied to estimate the potential corn yield of hybrids with different maturities,and applications of the results in assessing the impact of climatic change are discussed.

Mapping the vertical distribution of maize roots in China in relation to climate and soil texture

Aims Optimizing water and fertilizer management for crops requires an understanding of root distribution.Maize(Zea mays L.)is currently the most widely planted cereal crop in China,yet the vertical dis-tribution of maize roots across different regions remains unknown.The aims of this work were(i)to quantify the effects of climate and soil texture on the vertical distribution of maize roots,and(ii)to show the depth distribution of root biomass in China.Methods We used data of maize root biomass from 11 Chinese ecological stations with discontinuous observations from 2004 to 2014 to fit the regression coefficientβfor an asymptotic equation Y=1-βd,where d is the soil depth and Y is the proportion of root biomass from the surface to depth d.A statistical model was then developed to quantify the effects of climate and soil texture on the fittedβval-ues.Using the statistical model,we map the depth distribution of maize root biomass in China.Important Findings Maize root biomass in the 0-100 cm soil depth varied by an order of magnitude at different stations,from 64 to 268 g m−2.Maize planted in sandy soils and/or maize with high accumu-lated temperature for development had higher root biomass and deeper rooting systems.The fittedβvalues ranged from 0.785 to 0.977,which can be modeled by an integration of the accu-mulated temperature during the maize growing period and the soil clay and sand fractions(R2=0.66,n=50,P<0.001).Up to 82%of maize planting regions in China showed shallower rooting systems where more than 90%and 95%of the root bio-mass occurred in the top 20 and 30 cm soil layers,respectively.Deeper rooting systems occurred in some temperate arid and temperate semi-arid regions,with less than 80%of the root bio-mass in the top 20 cm soil.Our findings highlighted the vertical distribution of maize roots,and underlined the spatial variability in the vertical distribution of roots across China’s planting areas of maize.

A PRELIMINARY SIMULATION OF EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON RICE IN THE MIDDLE AND LOWER REACHES OF CI-IANGJIANG RIVER AND WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION ON THE HUANG-HUAI-HAI PLAIN

In this paper,based on the analysis of the variation of effective accumulated temperature and precipita- tion in the last 100 years,together with the potential impacts of greenhouse effects on the climate in China simulated with the current major climatic models(GFDL,GISS,NCAR,OSU and UKMO),the impacts of climate change on rice in the middle and lower reaches of Changjiang River and winter wheat production on the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain~* are simulated with the available weather-yield statistic models on the assumption that te- mperature variation ranges 1—4℃ and precipitation variation ranges ±10—20%.The result is that under the current planting systems and agrotechniques,the impact of climate change on wheat production is more signifi- cant than that on rice;the climatic conditions of agricultural production in the north of China will become more favourable while those in the south of the middle and lower reaches of Changjiang River remain the same;but those in the southern part of North China and the basins between Changjiang River and Haihe River are rather unstable.In general,it is difficult to reach the conclusion that advantages or disadvantages dominate in such climate changes because of uncertainties.

Construction method of quantitative evaluation model for the maturity of Korla fragrant pear

The maturity variation laws of Korla fragrant pears were explored for a quantitative evaluation of harvest maturity to solve the reasonable matching between harvest maturity of Korla fragrant pears and market quality demands.Korla fragrant pears from different harvesting periods were chosen as the research objects.Some quality indexes were chosen as the evaluation indexes per industry standards,including hardness,soluble solid content(SSC),single-fruit weight,fruit longitudinal diameter,fruit equatorial diameter,pericarp color parameters(L*,a*,and b*),and titratable acid.Variation data of these quality indexes with accumulated temperature were collected.Scores of several quality indexes were gained through principal component analysis.A mathematical model of scores and accumulated temperatures was constructed.On this basis,a quantitative maturity model of Korla fragrant pears was constructed.Results demonstrate that SSC,single-fruit weight,fruit longitudinal diameter,fruit equatorial diameter,L*,a*,and b*are significantly and positively correlated with the accumulated temperature.Meanwhile,hardness and titratable acid showed significant negative correlations with the accumulated temperature.Relations between scores of principal components and accumulated temperature conform to the Sigmoidal model.The constructed quantitative maturity model of Korla fragrant pears can quantify the maturity of pears.Research conclusions can provide insight into the harvest periods,evaluate Korla fragrant pears’maturity,and lay a theoretical foundation for quantitative research on fruit maturity.