Starting from an extended mapping approach, a new type of variable separation solution with arbitrary functions of generalized (2+1)-dimensional Broer-Kaup system (GBK) system is derived. Then based on the derived sol...Starting from an extended mapping approach, a new type of variable separation solution with arbitrary functions of generalized (2+1)-dimensional Broer-Kaup system (GBK) system is derived. Then based on the derived solitary wave solution, we obtain some specific chaotic solitons to the (2+1)-dimensional GBK system.展开更多
The extended symmetry approach is used to study the general Korteweg-de Vries-type (KdV-type) equation. Several variable-coefficient equations are obtained. The solutions of these resulting equations can be construc...The extended symmetry approach is used to study the general Korteweg-de Vries-type (KdV-type) equation. Several variable-coefficient equations are obtained. The solutions of these resulting equations can be constructed by the solutions of original models if their solutions are well known, such as the standard constant coefficient KdV equation and the standard compound KdV--Burgers equation, and so on. Then any one of these variable-coefficient equations can be considered as an original model to obtain new variable-coefficient equations whose solutions can also be known by means of transformation relations between solutions of the resulting new variable-coefficient equations and the original equation.展开更多
In this paper, the extended projective approach, which was recently presented and successfully used in some continuous nonlinear physical systems, is generalized to nonlinear partial differential-difference systems (...In this paper, the extended projective approach, which was recently presented and successfully used in some continuous nonlinear physical systems, is generalized to nonlinear partial differential-difference systems (DDEs), As a concrete example, new families of exact solutions to the (2+1)-dimensional Toda lattice system are obtained by the extended projective approach.展开更多
In this paper, we extend the mapping approach to the N-order Schrodinger equation. In terms of the extended mapping approach, new families of variable separation solutions with some arbitrary functions are derived.
Starting from a special variable transformation and with the help of an extended mapping approach, the high-order Schrodinger equation (n = 3, 4) is solved. A new family of variable separation solutions with arbitra...Starting from a special variable transformation and with the help of an extended mapping approach, the high-order Schrodinger equation (n = 3, 4) is solved. A new family of variable separation solutions with arbitrary functions is derived.展开更多
An approximation method, namely, the Extended Wronskian Determinant Approach, is suggested to study the one-dimensional Dirac equation. An integral equation, which can be solved by iterative procedure to find the wave...An approximation method, namely, the Extended Wronskian Determinant Approach, is suggested to study the one-dimensional Dirac equation. An integral equation, which can be solved by iterative procedure to find the wave functions, is established. We employ this approach to study the one-dimensional Dirac equation with one-well potential,and give the energy levels and wave functions up to the first order iterative approximation. For double-well potential,the energy levels up to the first order approximation are given.展开更多
In this paper, we generalize the extended tanh-function approach, which was used to find new exact travelling wave solutions of nonlinear partial differential equations or coupled nonlinear partial differential equati...In this paper, we generalize the extended tanh-function approach, which was used to find new exact travelling wave solutions of nonlinear partial differential equations or coupled nonlinear partial differential equations, to nonlinear differential-difference equations. As illustration, two series of exact travelling wave solutions of the discrete sine-Gordon equation are obtained by means of the extended tanh-function approach.展开更多
Extended mapping approach is introduced to solve (2+1)-dimensional Nizhnik-Novikov Veselov equation. A new type of variable separation solutions is derived with arbitrary functions in the model. Based on this excit...Extended mapping approach is introduced to solve (2+1)-dimensional Nizhnik-Novikov Veselov equation. A new type of variable separation solutions is derived with arbitrary functions in the model. Based on this excitation, rich localized structures such as multi-lump soliton and ring soliton are revealed by selecting the arbitrary function appropriately.展开更多
The stochastic paralld gradient descent (SPGD) algorithm is widely used in wavefront sensor-less adaptive optics (WSAO) systems. However, the convergence is relatively slow. Modal-based algorithms usually provide ...The stochastic paralld gradient descent (SPGD) algorithm is widely used in wavefront sensor-less adaptive optics (WSAO) systems. However, the convergence is relatively slow. Modal-based algorithms usually provide much faster convergence than SPGD; however, the limited actuator stroke of the deformable mirror (DM) often prohibits the sensing of higher-order modes or renders a closed-loop correction inapplicable. Based on a comparative analysis of SPGD and the DM-modal-based algorithm, a hybrid approach involving both algorithms is proposed for extended image-based WSAO, and is demonstrated in this experiment. The hybrid approach can achieve similar correction results to pure SPGD, but with a dramatically decreased iteration number.展开更多
This paper deals with the problem of position and attitude tracking control for a rigid spacecraft.A fully actuated system(FAS)model for the six degree-of-freedom(6DOF)spacecraft motion is derived first from the state...This paper deals with the problem of position and attitude tracking control for a rigid spacecraft.A fully actuated system(FAS)model for the six degree-of-freedom(6DOF)spacecraft motion is derived first from the state-space model by variable elimination.Considering the uncertainties from external disturbance,unknown motion information,and uncertain inertia properties,an extended state observer(ESO)is designed to estimate the total disturbance.Then,a tracking controller based on FAS approach is designed,and this makes the closed-loop system a constant linear one with an arbitrarily assignable eigenstructure.The solution to the parameter matrices of the observer and controller is given subsequently.It is proved via the Lyapunov stability theory that the observer errors and tracking errors both converge into the neighborhood of the origin.Finally,numerical simulation demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed controller.展开更多
Background: Pituitary adenoma (PA) is a common intracranial tumor and surgical treatment is considered to be the best treatment for most patients. The extended endoscopic endonasal approach (EEEA) has been used to tre...Background: Pituitary adenoma (PA) is a common intracranial tumor and surgical treatment is considered to be the best treatment for most patients. The extended endoscopic endonasal approach (EEEA) has been used to treat increasing numbers of patients with PA in recent years. We conducted this study to evaluate the safety and efficacy of this approach for PA resection. Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of all patients who underwent an EEEA to remove PA by a binostril, four-handed technique between October 2013 and April 2016 in our department. The medical information of the patients including gender, age, tumor size, hormone level, clinical outcome, and complications were collected and analyzed.Results: From a total of 593 pituitary adenoma surgeries, 171 patients (101 male and 70 female, mean age 47.4 ± 12.8 years) underwent EEEA, including 96 with functional adenomas (56.14%) and 75 with nonfunctional adenomas (43.86%). The most common symptoms were headache and vision change. Gross total resection was achieved in 126 patients (73.68%). Common complications were hyposmia or anosmia, diabetes insipidus, hypopituitarism, postoperative cerebrospinal fluid leak, cerebral hemorrhage, and epistaxis. The mean duration of follow-up was 14.6 months (range: 6–31 months). Conclusions: The application of EEEA for PA resection by a binostril, four-handed technique provided great surgical freedom with minimal invasion, and resulted in few complications. EEEA is a secure and effective surgical method that could be used for the majority of PAs.展开更多
We have calculated the nucleon effective mass in symmetric nuclear matter within the framework of the Brueckner-Bethe-Goldstone (BBG) theory, which has been extended to include both the contributions from the ground...We have calculated the nucleon effective mass in symmetric nuclear matter within the framework of the Brueckner-Bethe-Goldstone (BBG) theory, which has been extended to include both the contributions from the ground-state correlation effect and the three-body force (TBF) rearrangement effect. The effective mass is predicted by including the ground-state correlation effect and the TBF rearrangement effect, and we discuss the momentum dependence and the density dependence of the effective mass. It is shown that the effect of ground state correlations plays an important role at low densities, while the TBF-induced rearrangement effect becomes predominant at high densities.展开更多
Live streaming is a booming industry in China,involving an increasing number of Internet users.Previous studies show that trust is a cornerstone to develop ecommerce.Trust in the streaming industry is different from t...Live streaming is a booming industry in China,involving an increasing number of Internet users.Previous studies show that trust is a cornerstone to develop ecommerce.Trust in the streaming industry is different from that of other e-commerce areas.There are two major dimensions of trust in the live streaming context:platform trust and cewebrity trust,which are both important for customers to adopt and reuse a specific live streaming service.We collected questionnaire data from 520 participates who have used live streaming services in China.We model the collected data and identified factors that can influence users’propensity by an extended technology acceptance model(TAM)method.According to our analysis,both cewebrity trust and platform trust will greatly influence users’intention to reuse a certain platform.Moreover,results also indicate that cewebrity trust is far more important than platform trust.These findings can lead to several management strategies to improve the adherence of users to streaming platforms.展开更多
The Jacobian elliptic function expansion method for nonlinear differential-different equations and its algorithm are presented by using some relations among ten Jacobian elliptic functions and successfully construct m...The Jacobian elliptic function expansion method for nonlinear differential-different equations and its algorithm are presented by using some relations among ten Jacobian elliptic functions and successfully construct more new exact doubly-periodic solutions of the integrable discrete nonlinear Schrodinger equation. When the modulous m → 1or 0, doubly-periodic solutions degenerate to solitonic solutions including bright soliton, dark soliton, new solitons as well as trigonometric function solutions.展开更多
The paper investigates the multiple rogue wave solutions associated with the generalized Hirota-Satsuma-Ito(HSI)equation and the newly proposed extended(3+1)-dimensional Jimbo-Miwa(JM)equation with the help of a symbo...The paper investigates the multiple rogue wave solutions associated with the generalized Hirota-Satsuma-Ito(HSI)equation and the newly proposed extended(3+1)-dimensional Jimbo-Miwa(JM)equation with the help of a symbolic computation technique.By incorporating a direct variable trans-formation and utilizing Hirota’s bilinear form,multiple rogue wave structures of different orders are ob-tained for both generalized HSI and JM equation.The obtained bilinear forms of the proposed equations successfully investigate the 1st,2nd and 3rd-order rogue waves.The constructed solutions are verified by inserting them into original equations.The computations are assisted with 3D graphs to analyze the propagation dynamics of these rogue waves.Physical properties of these waves are governed by different parameters that are discussed in details.展开更多
Today, induction machines are playing, thanks to their robustness, an important role in world industries. Although they are quite reliable, they have become the target of various types of defects. Thus, for a long tim...Today, induction machines are playing, thanks to their robustness, an important role in world industries. Although they are quite reliable, they have become the target of various types of defects. Thus, for a long time, many research laboratories have been focusing their works on the theme of diagnosis in order to find the most efficient technique to predict a fault in an early stage and to avoid an unplanned stopping in the chain of production and costs ensuing. In this paper, an approach called Park's vector product approach (PVPA) was proposed which was endowed with a dominant sensitivity in the case in which there would be rotor or stator faults. To show its high sensitivity, it was compared with the classical methods such as motor current signature analysis (MCSA) and techniques studied in recent publications such as motor square current signature analysis (MSCSA), Park's vector square modulus (PVSM) and Park-Hilbert (P-H) (PVSMp_H). The proposed technique was based on three main steps. First, the three-phase currents of the induction motor led to a Park's vector. was calculated to show Secondly, the proposed PVPA the distinguishing spectral signatures of each default and specific frequencies. Finally, simulation and experimental results were presented to confirm the theoretical assumptions.展开更多
The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic is one of the major health emergencies in decades that affected almost every country in the world.As of June 30,2020,it has caused an outbreak with more than 10 m...The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic is one of the major health emergencies in decades that affected almost every country in the world.As of June 30,2020,it has caused an outbreak with more than 10 million confirmed infections,and more than 500,000 reported deaths globally.Due to the unavailability of an effective treatment(or vaccine)and insufficient evidence regarding the transmission mechanism of the epidemic,the world population is currently in a vulnerable position.The daily cases data sets of COVID-19 for profoundly affected countries represent a stochastic process comprised of deterministic and stochastic components.This study proposes an integrated deterministic–stochastic approach to forecast the long-term trajectories of the COVID-19 cases for Italy and Spain.The deterministic component of the daily-cases univariate time series is assessed by an extended version of the SIR[Susceptible–Infected–Recovered–Protected–Isolated(SIRCX)]model,whereas its stochastic component is modeled using an autoregressive(AR)time series model.The proposed integrated SIRCX-AR(ISA)approach based on two operationally distinct modeling paradigms utilizes the superiority of both the deterministic SIRCX and stochastic AR models to find the long-term trajectories of the epidemic curves.Experimental analysis based on the proposed ISA model shows significant improvement in the long-term forecasting of COVID-19 cases for Italy and Spain in comparison to the ODE-based SIRCX model.The estimated Basic reproduction numbers for Italy and Spain based on SIRCX model are found to be 4.78 and 3.25,respectively.ISA model-based results reveal that the number of cases in Italy and Spain between 11 May,2020–9 June,2020 will be 10,982(6383–15,582)and 13,731(3395–29,013),respectively.Additionally,the expected number of daily cases on 9 July,2020 for Italy and Spain is estimated to be 30(0–183)and 92(0–602),respectively.展开更多
基金浙江省自然科学基金,Foundation of New Century "151 Talent Engineering" of Zhejiang Province,丽水学院校科研和教改项目,the Scientific Research Foundation of Key Discipline of Zhejiang Province
文摘Starting from an extended mapping approach, a new type of variable separation solution with arbitrary functions of generalized (2+1)-dimensional Broer-Kaup system (GBK) system is derived. Then based on the derived solitary wave solution, we obtain some specific chaotic solitons to the (2+1)-dimensional GBK system.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 10675065)the Scientific Research Fundof the Education Department of Zhejiang Province of China (Grant No. 20070979)
文摘The extended symmetry approach is used to study the general Korteweg-de Vries-type (KdV-type) equation. Several variable-coefficient equations are obtained. The solutions of these resulting equations can be constructed by the solutions of original models if their solutions are well known, such as the standard constant coefficient KdV equation and the standard compound KdV--Burgers equation, and so on. Then any one of these variable-coefficient equations can be considered as an original model to obtain new variable-coefficient equations whose solutions can also be known by means of transformation relations between solutions of the resulting new variable-coefficient equations and the original equation.
基金The project supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province under Grant No. Y604106, the Foundation of New Century 151 Talent Engineering of Zhejiang Province, the Scientific Research Foundation of Key Discipline of Zhejiang Province, and the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang LishuiThe authors are in debt to Profs. J.F. Zhang, Z.M. Sheng, and L.Q. Chen, Drs. Z.Y. Ma and W.H. Huang for their helpful suggestions and fruitful discussions, and express their sincere thanks to Prof. S.Y. Lou for his useful references.University under Grant No. KZ05010
文摘In this paper, the extended projective approach, which was recently presented and successfully used in some continuous nonlinear physical systems, is generalized to nonlinear partial differential-difference systems (DDEs), As a concrete example, new families of exact solutions to the (2+1)-dimensional Toda lattice system are obtained by the extended projective approach.
基金The project supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province of China under Grant No. Y604106, the Foundation of New Century "151 Talent Engineering" of Zhejiang Province, the Scientific Research Foundation of Key Discipline of Zhejiang Province, and the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Lishui University under Grant No. KZ05005
文摘In this paper, we extend the mapping approach to the N-order Schrodinger equation. In terms of the extended mapping approach, new families of variable separation solutions with some arbitrary functions are derived.
基金The project supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province of China under Grant No. Y604106, the Foundation of New Century "151 Talent Engineering" of Zhejiang Province, the Scientific Research Foundation of Key Discipline of Zhejiang Province, and the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Lishui University under Grant No. KZ04008
文摘Starting from a special variable transformation and with the help of an extended mapping approach, the high-order Schrodinger equation (n = 3, 4) is solved. A new family of variable separation solutions with arbitrary functions is derived.
文摘An approximation method, namely, the Extended Wronskian Determinant Approach, is suggested to study the one-dimensional Dirac equation. An integral equation, which can be solved by iterative procedure to find the wave functions, is established. We employ this approach to study the one-dimensional Dirac equation with one-well potential,and give the energy levels and wave functions up to the first order iterative approximation. For double-well potential,the energy levels up to the first order approximation are given.
文摘In this paper, we generalize the extended tanh-function approach, which was used to find new exact travelling wave solutions of nonlinear partial differential equations or coupled nonlinear partial differential equations, to nonlinear differential-difference equations. As illustration, two series of exact travelling wave solutions of the discrete sine-Gordon equation are obtained by means of the extended tanh-function approach.
基金The authors would like to thank Profs. Jie-Fang Zhang and Chun-Long Zheng for helpful discussions.
文摘Extended mapping approach is introduced to solve (2+1)-dimensional Nizhnik-Novikov Veselov equation. A new type of variable separation solutions is derived with arbitrary functions in the model. Based on this excitation, rich localized structures such as multi-lump soliton and ring soliton are revealed by selecting the arbitrary function appropriately.
基金supported by the Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education(Grant No.20131101120023)the Excellent Young Scholars Research Fund of the Beijing Institute of Technology(Grant No.2012YG0203)
文摘The stochastic paralld gradient descent (SPGD) algorithm is widely used in wavefront sensor-less adaptive optics (WSAO) systems. However, the convergence is relatively slow. Modal-based algorithms usually provide much faster convergence than SPGD; however, the limited actuator stroke of the deformable mirror (DM) often prohibits the sensing of higher-order modes or renders a closed-loop correction inapplicable. Based on a comparative analysis of SPGD and the DM-modal-based algorithm, a hybrid approach involving both algorithms is proposed for extended image-based WSAO, and is demonstrated in this experiment. The hybrid approach can achieve similar correction results to pure SPGD, but with a dramatically decreased iteration number.
基金This research was partially supported by the Science Center Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.62188101the Major Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.61690210 and 61690212the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.62103164 and 61703437.
文摘This paper deals with the problem of position and attitude tracking control for a rigid spacecraft.A fully actuated system(FAS)model for the six degree-of-freedom(6DOF)spacecraft motion is derived first from the state-space model by variable elimination.Considering the uncertainties from external disturbance,unknown motion information,and uncertain inertia properties,an extended state observer(ESO)is designed to estimate the total disturbance.Then,a tracking controller based on FAS approach is designed,and this makes the closed-loop system a constant linear one with an arbitrarily assignable eigenstructure.The solution to the parameter matrices of the observer and controller is given subsequently.It is proved via the Lyapunov stability theory that the observer errors and tracking errors both converge into the neighborhood of the origin.Finally,numerical simulation demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed controller.
文摘Background: Pituitary adenoma (PA) is a common intracranial tumor and surgical treatment is considered to be the best treatment for most patients. The extended endoscopic endonasal approach (EEEA) has been used to treat increasing numbers of patients with PA in recent years. We conducted this study to evaluate the safety and efficacy of this approach for PA resection. Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of all patients who underwent an EEEA to remove PA by a binostril, four-handed technique between October 2013 and April 2016 in our department. The medical information of the patients including gender, age, tumor size, hormone level, clinical outcome, and complications were collected and analyzed.Results: From a total of 593 pituitary adenoma surgeries, 171 patients (101 male and 70 female, mean age 47.4 ± 12.8 years) underwent EEEA, including 96 with functional adenomas (56.14%) and 75 with nonfunctional adenomas (43.86%). The most common symptoms were headache and vision change. Gross total resection was achieved in 126 patients (73.68%). Common complications were hyposmia or anosmia, diabetes insipidus, hypopituitarism, postoperative cerebrospinal fluid leak, cerebral hemorrhage, and epistaxis. The mean duration of follow-up was 14.6 months (range: 6–31 months). Conclusions: The application of EEEA for PA resection by a binostril, four-handed technique provided great surgical freedom with minimal invasion, and resulted in few complications. EEEA is a secure and effective surgical method that could be used for the majority of PAs.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (11175219,10875151,10740420550)Major State Basic Research Developing Program of China (2007CB815004)+2 种基金Knowledge Innovation Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences (KJCX2-EW-N01)Chinese Academy of Sciences Visiting Professorship for Senior International Scientists (2009J2-26)CAS/SAFEA International Partnership Program for Creative Research Teams (CXTD-J2005-1)
文摘We have calculated the nucleon effective mass in symmetric nuclear matter within the framework of the Brueckner-Bethe-Goldstone (BBG) theory, which has been extended to include both the contributions from the ground-state correlation effect and the three-body force (TBF) rearrangement effect. The effective mass is predicted by including the ground-state correlation effect and the TBF rearrangement effect, and we discuss the momentum dependence and the density dependence of the effective mass. It is shown that the effect of ground state correlations plays an important role at low densities, while the TBF-induced rearrangement effect becomes predominant at high densities.
基金This study was supported by National Social Science Foundation(Project No:12CGL046).
文摘Live streaming is a booming industry in China,involving an increasing number of Internet users.Previous studies show that trust is a cornerstone to develop ecommerce.Trust in the streaming industry is different from that of other e-commerce areas.There are two major dimensions of trust in the live streaming context:platform trust and cewebrity trust,which are both important for customers to adopt and reuse a specific live streaming service.We collected questionnaire data from 520 participates who have used live streaming services in China.We model the collected data and identified factors that can influence users’propensity by an extended technology acceptance model(TAM)method.According to our analysis,both cewebrity trust and platform trust will greatly influence users’intention to reuse a certain platform.Moreover,results also indicate that cewebrity trust is far more important than platform trust.These findings can lead to several management strategies to improve the adherence of users to streaming platforms.
文摘The Jacobian elliptic function expansion method for nonlinear differential-different equations and its algorithm are presented by using some relations among ten Jacobian elliptic functions and successfully construct more new exact doubly-periodic solutions of the integrable discrete nonlinear Schrodinger equation. When the modulous m → 1or 0, doubly-periodic solutions degenerate to solitonic solutions including bright soliton, dark soliton, new solitons as well as trigonometric function solutions.
文摘The paper investigates the multiple rogue wave solutions associated with the generalized Hirota-Satsuma-Ito(HSI)equation and the newly proposed extended(3+1)-dimensional Jimbo-Miwa(JM)equation with the help of a symbolic computation technique.By incorporating a direct variable trans-formation and utilizing Hirota’s bilinear form,multiple rogue wave structures of different orders are ob-tained for both generalized HSI and JM equation.The obtained bilinear forms of the proposed equations successfully investigate the 1st,2nd and 3rd-order rogue waves.The constructed solutions are verified by inserting them into original equations.The computations are assisted with 3D graphs to analyze the propagation dynamics of these rogue waves.Physical properties of these waves are governed by different parameters that are discussed in details.
文摘Today, induction machines are playing, thanks to their robustness, an important role in world industries. Although they are quite reliable, they have become the target of various types of defects. Thus, for a long time, many research laboratories have been focusing their works on the theme of diagnosis in order to find the most efficient technique to predict a fault in an early stage and to avoid an unplanned stopping in the chain of production and costs ensuing. In this paper, an approach called Park's vector product approach (PVPA) was proposed which was endowed with a dominant sensitivity in the case in which there would be rotor or stator faults. To show its high sensitivity, it was compared with the classical methods such as motor current signature analysis (MCSA) and techniques studied in recent publications such as motor square current signature analysis (MSCSA), Park's vector square modulus (PVSM) and Park-Hilbert (P-H) (PVSMp_H). The proposed technique was based on three main steps. First, the three-phase currents of the induction motor led to a Park's vector. was calculated to show Secondly, the proposed PVPA the distinguishing spectral signatures of each default and specific frequencies. Finally, simulation and experimental results were presented to confirm the theoretical assumptions.
基金The authors acknowledge learned reviewers for their constructive comments and suggestions on the earlier version of this paper。
文摘The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic is one of the major health emergencies in decades that affected almost every country in the world.As of June 30,2020,it has caused an outbreak with more than 10 million confirmed infections,and more than 500,000 reported deaths globally.Due to the unavailability of an effective treatment(or vaccine)and insufficient evidence regarding the transmission mechanism of the epidemic,the world population is currently in a vulnerable position.The daily cases data sets of COVID-19 for profoundly affected countries represent a stochastic process comprised of deterministic and stochastic components.This study proposes an integrated deterministic–stochastic approach to forecast the long-term trajectories of the COVID-19 cases for Italy and Spain.The deterministic component of the daily-cases univariate time series is assessed by an extended version of the SIR[Susceptible–Infected–Recovered–Protected–Isolated(SIRCX)]model,whereas its stochastic component is modeled using an autoregressive(AR)time series model.The proposed integrated SIRCX-AR(ISA)approach based on two operationally distinct modeling paradigms utilizes the superiority of both the deterministic SIRCX and stochastic AR models to find the long-term trajectories of the epidemic curves.Experimental analysis based on the proposed ISA model shows significant improvement in the long-term forecasting of COVID-19 cases for Italy and Spain in comparison to the ODE-based SIRCX model.The estimated Basic reproduction numbers for Italy and Spain based on SIRCX model are found to be 4.78 and 3.25,respectively.ISA model-based results reveal that the number of cases in Italy and Spain between 11 May,2020–9 June,2020 will be 10,982(6383–15,582)and 13,731(3395–29,013),respectively.Additionally,the expected number of daily cases on 9 July,2020 for Italy and Spain is estimated to be 30(0–183)and 92(0–602),respectively.