The Bayes estimator of the parameter is obtained for the scale exponential family in the case of identically distributed and positively associated(PA) samples under weighted square loss function.We construct the emp...The Bayes estimator of the parameter is obtained for the scale exponential family in the case of identically distributed and positively associated(PA) samples under weighted square loss function.We construct the empirical Bayes(EB) estimator and prove it is asymptotic optimal.展开更多
Under square loss, this paper constructs the empirical Bayes(EB) estimation for the parameter of normal distribution which has both asymptotic optimality and admissibility. Moreover, the convergence rate of the EB e...Under square loss, this paper constructs the empirical Bayes(EB) estimation for the parameter of normal distribution which has both asymptotic optimality and admissibility. Moreover, the convergence rate of the EB estimation obtained is proved to be O(n^-1).展开更多
Sampling-based planning algorithm is a powerful tool for solving planning problems in highdimensional state spaces.In this article,we present a novel approach to sampling in the most promising regions,which significan...Sampling-based planning algorithm is a powerful tool for solving planning problems in highdimensional state spaces.In this article,we present a novel approach to sampling in the most promising regions,which significantly reduces planning time-consumption.The RRT#algorithm defines the Relevant Region based on the cost-to-come provided by the optimal forward-searching tree.However,it uses the cumulative cost of a direct connection between the current state and the goal state as the cost-to-go.To improve the path planning efficiency,we propose a batch sampling method that samples in a refined Relevant Region with a direct sampling strategy,which is defined according to the optimal cost-to-come and the adaptive cost-to-go,taking advantage of various sources of heuristic information.The proposed sampling approach allows the algorithm to build the search tree in the direction of the most promising area,resulting in a superior initial solution quality and reducing the overall computation time compared to related work.To validate the effectiveness of our method,we conducted several simulations in both SE(2)and SE(3)state spaces.And the simulation results demonstrate the superiorities of proposed algorithm.展开更多
For the multi-parameter discrete exponential family,we construct an empirical Bayes(EB)estimator of the vector-valued parameterθ.under some conditions,this estimator is proved to be asymptotically optimal.
This work develops asymptotically optimal dividend policies to maximize the expected present value of dividends until ruin.Compound Poisson processes with regime switching are used to model the surplus and the switch...This work develops asymptotically optimal dividend policies to maximize the expected present value of dividends until ruin.Compound Poisson processes with regime switching are used to model the surplus and the switching(a continuous-time controlled Markov chain) represents random environment and other economic conditions.Assuming the switching to be fast varying together with suitable conditions,it is shown that the system has a limit that is an average with respect to the invariant measure of a related Markov chain.Under simple conditions,the optimal policy of the limit dividend strategy is a threshold policy.Using the optimal policy of the limit system as a guide,feedback control for the original surplus is then developed.It is demonstrated that the constructed dividend policy is asymptotically optimal.展开更多
In this paper, a model averaging method is proposed for varying-coefficient models with response missing at random by establishing a weight selection criterion based on cross-validation. Under certain regularity condi...In this paper, a model averaging method is proposed for varying-coefficient models with response missing at random by establishing a weight selection criterion based on cross-validation. Under certain regularity conditions, it is proved that the proposed method is asymptotically optimal in the sense of achieving the minimum squared error.展开更多
By Karamata regular variation theory and constructing comparison functions, the author shows the existence and global optimal asymptotic behaviour of solutions for a semilinear elliptic problem Δu = k(x)g(u), u ...By Karamata regular variation theory and constructing comparison functions, the author shows the existence and global optimal asymptotic behaviour of solutions for a semilinear elliptic problem Δu = k(x)g(u), u 〉 0, x ∈ Ω, u|δΩ =+∞, where Ω is a bounded domain with smooth boundary in R^N; g ∈ C^1[0, ∞), g(0) = g'(0) = 0, and there exists p 〉 1, such that lim g(sξ)/g(s)=ξ^p, ↓Aξ 〉 0, and k ∈ Cloc^α(Ω) is non-negative non-trivial in D which may be singular on the boundary.展开更多
The main objective of this paper is to consider model averaging methods for kriging models.This paper proposes a Mallows model averaging procedure for the orthogonal kriging model and demonstrate the asymptotic optima...The main objective of this paper is to consider model averaging methods for kriging models.This paper proposes a Mallows model averaging procedure for the orthogonal kriging model and demonstrate the asymptotic optimality of the model averaging estimators in terms of mean square error.Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed method and compare it with the competitors to demonstrate its superiority.The authors also analyse a real dataset for an illustration.展开更多
In this paper, we devote to constructing the one-sided empirical Bayes(EB) test for the location parameter in the Gamma distribution by nonparametric method. Under some mild conditions, we prove that the EB test is as...In this paper, we devote to constructing the one-sided empirical Bayes(EB) test for the location parameter in the Gamma distribution by nonparametric method. Under some mild conditions, we prove that the EB test is asymptotically optimal with the rate of the order O(n^(-δs/(2s+1))), where 1/2 ≤ δ < 1 and s > 1 is a given natural number. An example is also given to illustrate that the conditions of the main theorems are easily satisfied.展开更多
For multisensor systems,when the model parameters and the noise variances are unknown,the consistent fused estimators of the model parameters and noise variances are obtained,based on the system identification algorit...For multisensor systems,when the model parameters and the noise variances are unknown,the consistent fused estimators of the model parameters and noise variances are obtained,based on the system identification algorithm,correlation method and least squares fusion criterion.Substituting these consistent estimators into the optimal weighted measurement fusion Kalman filter,a self-tuning weighted measurement fusion Kalman filter is presented.Using the dynamic error system analysis (DESA) method,the convergence of the self-tuning weighted measurement fusion Kalman filter is proved,i.e.,the self-tuning Kalman filter converges to the corresponding optimal Kalman filter in a realization.Therefore,the self-tuning weighted measurement fusion Kalman filter has asymptotic global optimality.One simulation example for a 4-sensor target tracking system verifies its effectiveness.展开更多
For the data with error of measurement in historical samples, the empirical Bayes test rule for the parameter of Rayleigh distribution is constructed, and the asymptotically optimal property is obtained. It is shown t...For the data with error of measurement in historical samples, the empirical Bayes test rule for the parameter of Rayleigh distribution is constructed, and the asymptotically optimal property is obtained. It is shown that the convergence rate of the proposed EB test rule can be arbitrarily close to O(n-1/2) under suitable conditions.展开更多
The steady, laminar, incompressible and two dimensional micropolar flow between two porous disks was investigated using optimal homotopy asymptotic method(OHAM) and fourth order Runge–Kutta numerical method. Comparis...The steady, laminar, incompressible and two dimensional micropolar flow between two porous disks was investigated using optimal homotopy asymptotic method(OHAM) and fourth order Runge–Kutta numerical method. Comparison between OHAM and numerical method shows that OHAM is an exact and high efficient method for solving these kinds of problems. The results are presented to study the velocity and rotation profiles for different physical parameters such as Reynolds number, vortex viscosity parameter, spin gradient viscosity and microinertia density parameter. As an important outcome, the magnitude of the microrotation increases with an increase in the values of injection velocity while it decreases by increasing the values of suction velocity.展开更多
A new hybrid MMA-MGCMMA (HMM) algorithm for solving topology optimization problems is presented. This algorithm combines the method of moving asymptotes (MMA) algorithm and the modified globally convergent version...A new hybrid MMA-MGCMMA (HMM) algorithm for solving topology optimization problems is presented. This algorithm combines the method of moving asymptotes (MMA) algorithm and the modified globally convergent version of the method of moving asymptotes (MGCMMA) algorithm in the optimization process. This algorithm preserves the advantages of both MMA and MGCMMA. The optimizer is switched from MMA to MGCMMA automatically, depending on the numerical oscillation value existing in the calculation. This algorithm can improve calculation efficiency and accelerate convergence compared with simplex MMA or MGCMMA algorithms, which is proven with an example.展开更多
For the multisensor linear discrete time-invariant stochastic systems with correlated noises and unknown noise statistics,an on-line noise statistics estimator is presented by using the correlation method.Substituting...For the multisensor linear discrete time-invariant stochastic systems with correlated noises and unknown noise statistics,an on-line noise statistics estimator is presented by using the correlation method.Substituting it into the steady-state Riccati equation,the self-tuning Riccati equation is obtained.Using the Kalman filtering method,based on the self-tuning Riccati equation,a self-tuning weighted measurement fusion white noise deconvolution estimator is presented.By the dynamic error system analysis(DESA) method,it is proved that the self-tuning fusion white noise deconvolution estimator converges to the optimal fusion steadystate white noise deconvolution estimator in a realization,so that it has the asymptotic global optimality.A simulation example for Bernoulli-Gaussian input white noise shows its effectiveness.展开更多
The empirical Bayes test problem is considered for scale parameter of twoparameter exponential distribution under type-II censored data.By using wavelets estimation method,the EB test function is constructed,of which ...The empirical Bayes test problem is considered for scale parameter of twoparameter exponential distribution under type-II censored data.By using wavelets estimation method,the EB test function is constructed,of which the asymptotic optimality and convergence rates are obtained.Finally,an example concerning the main result is given.展开更多
In this paper, empirical Bayes test for a parameter θ of two-parameter exponential distribution is investigated with replicated past data. Under some conditions, the asymptotically optimal property is obtained. It is...In this paper, empirical Bayes test for a parameter θ of two-parameter exponential distribution is investigated with replicated past data. Under some conditions, the asymptotically optimal property is obtained. It is indicated that the rate of convergence can be very close to O(N-2^-1) in this case that a parameter μ is known.展开更多
In recent years,the emergence of nanotechnology experienced incredible development in the field of medical sciences.During the past decade,investigating the characteristics of nanoparticles during fluid flow has been ...In recent years,the emergence of nanotechnology experienced incredible development in the field of medical sciences.During the past decade,investigating the characteristics of nanoparticles during fluid flow has been one of the intriguing issues.Nanoparticle distribution and uniformity have emerged as substantial criteria in both medical and engineering applications.Adverse effects of chemotherapy on healthy tissues are known to be a significant concern during cancer therapy.A novel treatment method of magnetic drug targeting(MDT)has emerged as a promising topical cancer treatment along with some attractive advantages of improving efficacy,fewer side effects,and reduce drug dose.During magnetic drug targeting,the appropriate movement of nanoparticles(magnetic)as carriers is essential for the therapeutic process in the blood clot removal,infection treatment,and tumor cell treatment.In this study,we have numerically investigated the behavior of an unsteady blood flowinfused with magnetic nanoparticles during MDT under the influence of a uniform external magnetic field in a microtube.An optimal homotopy asymptotic method(OHAM)is employed to compute the governing equation for unsteady electromagnetohydrodynamics flow.The influence of Hartmann number(Ha),particle mass parameter(G),particle concentration parameter(R),and electro-osmotic parameter(k)is investigated on the velocity of magnetic nanoparticles and blood flow.Results obtained show that the electro-osmotic parameter,along with Hartmann’s number,dramatically affects the velocity of magnetic nanoparticles,blood flow velocity,and flow rate.Moreover,results also reveal that at a higher Hartman number,homogeneity in nanoparticles distribution improved considerably.The particle concentration andmass parameters effectively influence the capturing effect on nanoparticles in the blood flow using a micro-tube for magnetic drug targeting.Lastly,investigation also indicates that the OHAM analysis is efficient and quick to handle the system of nonlinear equations.展开更多
In this paper, the system of Burgers’ equations is solved by the optimal homotopy asymptotic method with Daftardar-Jafari polynomials OHAM-DJ. Two numerical examples are illustrated the efficient of this methods for ...In this paper, the system of Burgers’ equations is solved by the optimal homotopy asymptotic method with Daftardar-Jafari polynomials OHAM-DJ. Two numerical examples are illustrated the efficient of this methods for solving the system of Burgers’ equations.展开更多
Prediction plays an important role in data analysis.Model averaging method generally provides better prediction than using any of its components.Even though model averaging has been extensively investigated under inde...Prediction plays an important role in data analysis.Model averaging method generally provides better prediction than using any of its components.Even though model averaging has been extensively investigated under independent errors,few authors have considered model averaging for semiparametric models with correlated errors.In this paper,the authors offer an optimal model averaging method to improve the prediction in partially linear model for longitudinal data.The model averaging weights are obtained by minimizing criterion,which is an unbiased estimator of the expected in-sample squared error loss plus a constant.Asymptotic properties,including asymptotic optimality and consistency of averaging weights,are established under two scenarios:(i)All candidate models are misspecified;(ii)Correct models are available in the candidate set.Simulation studies and an empirical example show that the promise of the proposed procedure over other competitive methods.展开更多
In recent years,Kriging model has gained wide popularity in various fields such as space geology,econometrics,and computer experiments.As a result,research on this model has proliferated.In this paper,the authors prop...In recent years,Kriging model has gained wide popularity in various fields such as space geology,econometrics,and computer experiments.As a result,research on this model has proliferated.In this paper,the authors propose a model averaging estimation based on the best linear unbiased prediction of Kriging model and the leave-one-out cross-validation method,with consideration for the model uncertainty.The authors present a weight selection criterion for the model averaging estimation and provide two theoretical justifications for the proposed method.First,the estimated weight based on the proposed criterion is asymptotically optimal in achieving the lowest possible prediction risk.Second,the proposed method asymptotically assigns all weights to the correctly specified models when the candidate model set includes these models.The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified through numerical analyses.展开更多
基金Supported by the Anhui University of Technology and Science Foundation for the Recruiting Talent(2009YQ005) Acknowledgements The authors thank the referee for his/her careful reading of the manuscript and many useful suggestions.
文摘The Bayes estimator of the parameter is obtained for the scale exponential family in the case of identically distributed and positively associated(PA) samples under weighted square loss function.We construct the empirical Bayes(EB) estimator and prove it is asymptotic optimal.
基金Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China(70471057)Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Education Department of Shaanxi Province(03JK065)
文摘Under square loss, this paper constructs the empirical Bayes(EB) estimation for the parameter of normal distribution which has both asymptotic optimality and admissibility. Moreover, the convergence rate of the EB estimation obtained is proved to be O(n^-1).
基金supported by Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Robotics Perception and Intelligence(ZDSYS20200810171800001)the Hong Kong RGC GRF(14200618)awarded to Max Q.-H.Meng.
文摘Sampling-based planning algorithm is a powerful tool for solving planning problems in highdimensional state spaces.In this article,we present a novel approach to sampling in the most promising regions,which significantly reduces planning time-consumption.The RRT#algorithm defines the Relevant Region based on the cost-to-come provided by the optimal forward-searching tree.However,it uses the cumulative cost of a direct connection between the current state and the goal state as the cost-to-go.To improve the path planning efficiency,we propose a batch sampling method that samples in a refined Relevant Region with a direct sampling strategy,which is defined according to the optimal cost-to-come and the adaptive cost-to-go,taking advantage of various sources of heuristic information.The proposed sampling approach allows the algorithm to build the search tree in the direction of the most promising area,resulting in a superior initial solution quality and reducing the overall computation time compared to related work.To validate the effectiveness of our method,we conducted several simulations in both SE(2)and SE(3)state spaces.And the simulation results demonstrate the superiorities of proposed algorithm.
文摘For the multi-parameter discrete exponential family,we construct an empirical Bayes(EB)estimator of the vector-valued parameterθ.under some conditions,this estimator is proved to be asymptotically optimal.
基金supported in part by the National Science Foundation under DMS-0907753supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.70871055)+1 种基金supported in part by the National Science Foundation under DMS-0603287supported in part by Research Grants Council of HKSAR (Project No:HKU706209P)
文摘This work develops asymptotically optimal dividend policies to maximize the expected present value of dividends until ruin.Compound Poisson processes with regime switching are used to model the surplus and the switching(a continuous-time controlled Markov chain) represents random environment and other economic conditions.Assuming the switching to be fast varying together with suitable conditions,it is shown that the system has a limit that is an average with respect to the invariant measure of a related Markov chain.Under simple conditions,the optimal policy of the limit dividend strategy is a threshold policy.Using the optimal policy of the limit system as a guide,feedback control for the original surplus is then developed.It is demonstrated that the constructed dividend policy is asymptotically optimal.
文摘In this paper, a model averaging method is proposed for varying-coefficient models with response missing at random by establishing a weight selection criterion based on cross-validation. Under certain regularity conditions, it is proved that the proposed method is asymptotically optimal in the sense of achieving the minimum squared error.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (10671169)
文摘By Karamata regular variation theory and constructing comparison functions, the author shows the existence and global optimal asymptotic behaviour of solutions for a semilinear elliptic problem Δu = k(x)g(u), u 〉 0, x ∈ Ω, u|δΩ =+∞, where Ω is a bounded domain with smooth boundary in R^N; g ∈ C^1[0, ∞), g(0) = g'(0) = 0, and there exists p 〉 1, such that lim g(sξ)/g(s)=ξ^p, ↓Aξ 〉 0, and k ∈ Cloc^α(Ω) is non-negative non-trivial in D which may be singular on the boundary.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.11871294。
文摘The main objective of this paper is to consider model averaging methods for kriging models.This paper proposes a Mallows model averaging procedure for the orthogonal kriging model and demonstrate the asymptotic optimality of the model averaging estimators in terms of mean square error.Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed method and compare it with the competitors to demonstrate its superiority.The authors also analyse a real dataset for an illustration.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11671375 and 11471303)Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Provincial Education Department(KJ2017A171)
文摘In this paper, we devote to constructing the one-sided empirical Bayes(EB) test for the location parameter in the Gamma distribution by nonparametric method. Under some mild conditions, we prove that the EB test is asymptotically optimal with the rate of the order O(n^(-δs/(2s+1))), where 1/2 ≤ δ < 1 and s > 1 is a given natural number. An example is also given to illustrate that the conditions of the main theorems are easily satisfied.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.60874063)the Innovation Scientific Research Foundation for Graduate Students of Heilongjiang Province(No.YJSCX2008-018HLJ),and the Automatic Control Key Laboratory of Heilongjiang University
文摘For multisensor systems,when the model parameters and the noise variances are unknown,the consistent fused estimators of the model parameters and noise variances are obtained,based on the system identification algorithm,correlation method and least squares fusion criterion.Substituting these consistent estimators into the optimal weighted measurement fusion Kalman filter,a self-tuning weighted measurement fusion Kalman filter is presented.Using the dynamic error system analysis (DESA) method,the convergence of the self-tuning weighted measurement fusion Kalman filter is proved,i.e.,the self-tuning Kalman filter converges to the corresponding optimal Kalman filter in a realization.Therefore,the self-tuning weighted measurement fusion Kalman filter has asymptotic global optimality.One simulation example for a 4-sensor target tracking system verifies its effectiveness.
基金The NSF(1012138,0612163)of Guangdong Ocean Unversitythe Scientific and Technological Project(2010C3112006)of Zhanjiang
文摘For the data with error of measurement in historical samples, the empirical Bayes test rule for the parameter of Rayleigh distribution is constructed, and the asymptotically optimal property is obtained. It is shown that the convergence rate of the proposed EB test rule can be arbitrarily close to O(n-1/2) under suitable conditions.
文摘The steady, laminar, incompressible and two dimensional micropolar flow between two porous disks was investigated using optimal homotopy asymptotic method(OHAM) and fourth order Runge–Kutta numerical method. Comparison between OHAM and numerical method shows that OHAM is an exact and high efficient method for solving these kinds of problems. The results are presented to study the velocity and rotation profiles for different physical parameters such as Reynolds number, vortex viscosity parameter, spin gradient viscosity and microinertia density parameter. As an important outcome, the magnitude of the microrotation increases with an increase in the values of injection velocity while it decreases by increasing the values of suction velocity.
基金This project is supported by National Basic Research Program of China(973Program, No.2003CB716207) and National Hi-tech Research and DevelopmentProgram of China(863 Program, No.2003AA001031).
文摘A new hybrid MMA-MGCMMA (HMM) algorithm for solving topology optimization problems is presented. This algorithm combines the method of moving asymptotes (MMA) algorithm and the modified globally convergent version of the method of moving asymptotes (MGCMMA) algorithm in the optimization process. This algorithm preserves the advantages of both MMA and MGCMMA. The optimizer is switched from MMA to MGCMMA automatically, depending on the numerical oscillation value existing in the calculation. This algorithm can improve calculation efficiency and accelerate convergence compared with simplex MMA or MGCMMA algorithms, which is proven with an example.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(60874063)Science and Technology Research Foundation of Heilongjiang Education Department(11551355)Key Laboratory of Electronics Engineering,College of Heilongjiang Province(DZZD20105)
文摘For the multisensor linear discrete time-invariant stochastic systems with correlated noises and unknown noise statistics,an on-line noise statistics estimator is presented by using the correlation method.Substituting it into the steady-state Riccati equation,the self-tuning Riccati equation is obtained.Using the Kalman filtering method,based on the self-tuning Riccati equation,a self-tuning weighted measurement fusion white noise deconvolution estimator is presented.By the dynamic error system analysis(DESA) method,it is proved that the self-tuning fusion white noise deconvolution estimator converges to the optimal fusion steadystate white noise deconvolution estimator in a realization,so that it has the asymptotic global optimality.A simulation example for Bernoulli-Gaussian input white noise shows its effectiveness.
基金Supported by the NNSF of China(70471057)Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of the Education Department of Shannxi Province(03JK065)
文摘The empirical Bayes test problem is considered for scale parameter of twoparameter exponential distribution under type-II censored data.By using wavelets estimation method,the EB test function is constructed,of which the asymptotic optimality and convergence rates are obtained.Finally,an example concerning the main result is given.
基金The NSF (10661003) of Chinathe NSF (1012138,0612163) of Guangdong Ocean University
文摘In this paper, empirical Bayes test for a parameter θ of two-parameter exponential distribution is investigated with replicated past data. Under some conditions, the asymptotically optimal property is obtained. It is indicated that the rate of convergence can be very close to O(N-2^-1) in this case that a parameter μ is known.
基金the research grant of Jeju National University in 2020,the Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF)grant funded by the Korea Government(Ministry of Science and ICT)(NRF-2018R1A4A1025998)Higher Education Commission of Pakistan(Project No.210-3800/NRPU/R&D/HEC/1530).
文摘In recent years,the emergence of nanotechnology experienced incredible development in the field of medical sciences.During the past decade,investigating the characteristics of nanoparticles during fluid flow has been one of the intriguing issues.Nanoparticle distribution and uniformity have emerged as substantial criteria in both medical and engineering applications.Adverse effects of chemotherapy on healthy tissues are known to be a significant concern during cancer therapy.A novel treatment method of magnetic drug targeting(MDT)has emerged as a promising topical cancer treatment along with some attractive advantages of improving efficacy,fewer side effects,and reduce drug dose.During magnetic drug targeting,the appropriate movement of nanoparticles(magnetic)as carriers is essential for the therapeutic process in the blood clot removal,infection treatment,and tumor cell treatment.In this study,we have numerically investigated the behavior of an unsteady blood flowinfused with magnetic nanoparticles during MDT under the influence of a uniform external magnetic field in a microtube.An optimal homotopy asymptotic method(OHAM)is employed to compute the governing equation for unsteady electromagnetohydrodynamics flow.The influence of Hartmann number(Ha),particle mass parameter(G),particle concentration parameter(R),and electro-osmotic parameter(k)is investigated on the velocity of magnetic nanoparticles and blood flow.Results obtained show that the electro-osmotic parameter,along with Hartmann’s number,dramatically affects the velocity of magnetic nanoparticles,blood flow velocity,and flow rate.Moreover,results also reveal that at a higher Hartman number,homogeneity in nanoparticles distribution improved considerably.The particle concentration andmass parameters effectively influence the capturing effect on nanoparticles in the blood flow using a micro-tube for magnetic drug targeting.Lastly,investigation also indicates that the OHAM analysis is efficient and quick to handle the system of nonlinear equations.
文摘In this paper, the system of Burgers’ equations is solved by the optimal homotopy asymptotic method with Daftardar-Jafari polynomials OHAM-DJ. Two numerical examples are illustrated the efficient of this methods for solving the system of Burgers’ equations.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.11971421,71925007,72091212,and 12288201Yunling Scholar Research Fund of Yunnan Province under Grant No.YNWR-YLXZ-2018-020+1 种基金the CAS Project for Young Scientists in Basic Research under Grant No.YSBR-008the Start-Up Grant from Kunming University of Science and Technology under Grant No.KKZ3202207024.
文摘Prediction plays an important role in data analysis.Model averaging method generally provides better prediction than using any of its components.Even though model averaging has been extensively investigated under independent errors,few authors have considered model averaging for semiparametric models with correlated errors.In this paper,the authors offer an optimal model averaging method to improve the prediction in partially linear model for longitudinal data.The model averaging weights are obtained by minimizing criterion,which is an unbiased estimator of the expected in-sample squared error loss plus a constant.Asymptotic properties,including asymptotic optimality and consistency of averaging weights,are established under two scenarios:(i)All candidate models are misspecified;(ii)Correct models are available in the candidate set.Simulation studies and an empirical example show that the promise of the proposed procedure over other competitive methods.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.71973116 and 12201018the Postdoctoral Project in China under Grant No.2022M720336+2 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.12071457 and 11971045the Beijing Natural Science Foundation under Grant No.1222002the NQI Project under Grant No.2022YFF0609903。
文摘In recent years,Kriging model has gained wide popularity in various fields such as space geology,econometrics,and computer experiments.As a result,research on this model has proliferated.In this paper,the authors propose a model averaging estimation based on the best linear unbiased prediction of Kriging model and the leave-one-out cross-validation method,with consideration for the model uncertainty.The authors present a weight selection criterion for the model averaging estimation and provide two theoretical justifications for the proposed method.First,the estimated weight based on the proposed criterion is asymptotically optimal in achieving the lowest possible prediction risk.Second,the proposed method asymptotically assigns all weights to the correctly specified models when the candidate model set includes these models.The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified through numerical analyses.