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Hospital Bed Allocation Strategy Based on Queuing Theory during the COVID-19 Epidemic 被引量:1
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作者 Jing Hu Gang Hu +2 位作者 Jiantao Cai Lipeng Xu Qirun Wang 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2021年第1期793-803,共11页
During the current epidemic,it is necessary to ensure the rehabilitation treatment of children with serious illness.At the same time,however,it is essential to effectively prevent cross-infection and prevent infection... During the current epidemic,it is necessary to ensure the rehabilitation treatment of children with serious illness.At the same time,however,it is essential to effectively prevent cross-infection and prevent infections from occurring within the hospital setting.To resolve this contradiction,the rehabilitation department of Nanjing Children’s Hospital adjusted its bed allocation based on the queuing model,with reference to the regional source and classification of the children’s conditions in the rehabilitation department ward.The original triple rooms were transformed into a double room to enable the treatment of severely sick children coming from other places.A M/G/2 queuing model with priority was also applied to analyze the state of patient admissions.Moreover,patients in Nanjing were also classified into mild and severe cases.The M/M/1 queuing model with priority was used for analysis of this situation,so that severely ill children could be treated in time while patients with mild symptoms could be treated at home.This approach not only eases the bed tension in the ward,but also provides suitable conditions for controlling cross-infection. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 bed allocation queuing theory
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2020—2025年广东省医疗机构床位需求预测 被引量:5
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作者 何易洲 陈昭悦 +3 位作者 夏英华 曹蓉 何群 张永慧 《中国卫生资源》 北大核心 2021年第2期203-207,共5页
目的预测2020—2025年广东省医疗机构的床位需求总量。方法基于卫生服务需求法与Holt双参数指数平滑模型,结合年龄别人口数据预测床位需求。结果2025年,广东省住院人数为2425.11万人,床位需求数为70.04万张,每千常住人口床位需求数为5.6... 目的预测2020—2025年广东省医疗机构的床位需求总量。方法基于卫生服务需求法与Holt双参数指数平滑模型,结合年龄别人口数据预测床位需求。结果2025年,广东省住院人数为2425.11万人,床位需求数为70.04万张,每千常住人口床位需求数为5.63张、每千常住人口拥有床位数5.55张,供需比例为98.58%。预测模型的平均百分误差为1.63%(标准差=±1.90%,均方根误差=20.63)。结论结合人口的年龄结构进行预测结果更稳定、误差更小。2020年,广东省的床位配置量基本能满足床位需求,供需较为平衡。但2024年床位需求将超过床位配置总量。未来,广东省应加大床位资源的投入力度,提高基层卫生机构的床位利用率,全面落实分级诊疗制度。 展开更多
关键词 医疗机构medical institution 床位配置bed allocation 需求预测demand prediction 卫生服务需求法health service demand method Holt指数平滑法Holt exponential smoothing method 广东省Guangdong Province
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Inpatient bed allocation policy under uncertain capacity 被引量:1
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作者 Xing Liu Youhua Chen +3 位作者 Li Luo Ting Zhu Wenwu Shen TAIWO Enayon Sunday 《Journal of Management Science and Engineering》 2019年第4期228-251,共24页
This paper concerns the problem of inpatient bed allocation for two classes of patients(scheduled and non-scheduled)when there is uncertainty about daily available capacity.In the afternoon of each day,patients from t... This paper concerns the problem of inpatient bed allocation for two classes of patients(scheduled and non-scheduled)when there is uncertainty about daily available capacity.In the afternoon of each day,patients from the scheduled class,also called backlogged elective admissions,are selected from a waiting list,for the admission on the next day.The non-scheduled class,also called emergent admissions,are new requests that arise randomly each day with emergent needs.The capacity of available beds for a medical specialty to provide hospitalization services is uncertain when backlogged elective pa-tients are chosen.Admitting too many of elective patients may result in exceeding a day’s capacity,which can potentially necessitate"overflowing"or"postponing"some emergent requests that should be performed as soon as possible.Therefore,the problem faced by the medical specialty facility at the decision-making point of each day is how many of the backlogged elective patients can be admitted.We formulate this problem as a Markov decision process(MDP)and study the structural properties of the model to characterize the nature of the optimal policy.We propose easy-to-implement policies(the fixed quota policy and the best fixed quota policy),which perform well under fitted distributions.By reporting numerical analyses using real data from a Chinese public hospital,we finally compare the improvements that our proposed solutions could bring to the hospital with the existing practices under several different cost structures. 展开更多
关键词 Bed allocation Markov decision process Emergency reservation Healthcare management
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