The dynamics of snow cover differs greatly from basin to basin in the Songhua River of Northeast China, which is attributable to the differences in the topographic shift as well as changes in the vegetation and climat...The dynamics of snow cover differs greatly from basin to basin in the Songhua River of Northeast China, which is attributable to the differences in the topographic shift as well as changes in the vegetation and climate since the hydrological year(HY) 2003. Daily and flexible multi-day combinations from the HY 2003 to 2014 were produced using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS) from Terra and Aqua remote sensing satellites for the snow cover products in the three basins including the Nenjiang River Basin(NJ), Downstream Songhua River Basin(SD) and Upstream Songhua River Basin(SU). Snow cover duration(SCD) was derived from flexible multiday combination each year. The results showed that SCD was significantly associated with elevation, and higher SCD values were found out in the mountainous areas. Further, the average SCDs of NJ, SU and SD basins were 69.43, 98.14 and 88.84 d with an annual growth of 1.36, 2.04 and 2.71 d, respectively. Binary decision tree was used to analyze the nonlinear relationships between SCD and six impact factors, which were successfully applied to simulate the spatial distribution of depth and water equivalent of snow. The impact factors included three topographic factors(elevation, aspect and slope), two climatic factors(precipitation and air temperature) and one vegetation index(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI). By treating yearly SCD values as dependent variables and six climatic factors as independent variables, six binary decision trees were built through the combination classification and regression tree(CART) with and without the consideration of climate effect. The results from the model show that elevation, precipitation and air temperature are the three most influential factors, among which air temperature is the most important and ranks first in two of the three studied basins. It is suggested that SCD in the mountainous areas might be more sensitive to climate warming, since precipitation and air temperature are the major factors controlling the persistence of snow cover in the mountainous areas.展开更多
The electrical system of CNC machine tool is very complex which involves many uncertain factors and dynamic stochastic characteristics when failure occurs.Therefore,the traditional system reliability analysis method,f...The electrical system of CNC machine tool is very complex which involves many uncertain factors and dynamic stochastic characteristics when failure occurs.Therefore,the traditional system reliability analysis method,fault tree analysis(FTA)method,based on static logic and static failure mechanism is no longer applicable for dynamic systems reliability analysis.Dynamic fault tree(DFT)analysis method can solve this problem effectively.In this method,DFT first should be pretreated to get a simplified fault tree(FT);then the FT was modularized to get the independent static subtrees and dynamic subtrees.Binary decision diagram(BDD)analysis method was used to analyze static subtrees,while an approximation algorithm was used to deal with dynamic subtrees.When the scale of each subtree is smaller than the system scale,the analysis efficiency can be improved significantly.At last,the usefulness of this DFT analysis method was proved by applying it to analyzing the reliability of electrical system.展开更多
CNC machine tool is a large complex system which contains both mechanical and electrical components.As one of these components,the spindle is crucial for the performance of CNC machine tool.To improve the quality of C...CNC machine tool is a large complex system which contains both mechanical and electrical components.As one of these components,the spindle is crucial for the performance of CNC machine tool.To improve the quality of CNC machine,the reliability of spindle was evaluated in this paper using a fault tree analysis(FTA)method.The FTA method is a set of calculation methods based on Boolean algebra.However,it is difficult to analyze a large and complex fault tree with inaccurate results and low efficiency as well as the complexity of time and space.Both of them will result in the so-called "combinatorial explosion".To overcome this problem,the analysis method based on binary decision diagram(BDD)was introduced in our works,and a sorting method about bottom events was also recommended which can reduce the size of the BDD effectively.展开更多
为解决传统故障树(fault tree analysis, FTA)分析中建树困难、过于庞大和定性分析复杂的问题,提出了一种基于元动作全故障模式与改进二元决策图的故障树分析方法。首先,根据元动作全故障模式分析方法找出关键故障模式;其次,针对关键故...为解决传统故障树(fault tree analysis, FTA)分析中建树困难、过于庞大和定性分析复杂的问题,提出了一种基于元动作全故障模式与改进二元决策图的故障树分析方法。首先,根据元动作全故障模式分析方法找出关键故障模式;其次,针对关键故障模式,按照故障模式-参数-结构-原因的原则来查找基本原因,从而得到关键故障模式的故障树;再次,采用改进的二元决策图(binary decision graph, BDG)对建立的故障树进行定性分析,得到最小割集,并通过定量计算得到各底事件的相对概率重要度,找到关键的故障原因,为机电产品的设计和改进提供参考依据;最后,以三级行星齿轮减速器为例进行基于元动作的故障树分析,并与传统的故障树分析方法进行比较。最终结果验证了所述方法的适用性和有效性,提高了机电产品故障分析的通用性和分析效率。展开更多
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41471291,41801283,41070104)Startup Foundation for Doctors of Jilin Jianzhu University(No.861111)13th Five-Year Plan of Technical and Social Research Project for Jilin Colleges(No.JJKH20170257KJ)
文摘The dynamics of snow cover differs greatly from basin to basin in the Songhua River of Northeast China, which is attributable to the differences in the topographic shift as well as changes in the vegetation and climate since the hydrological year(HY) 2003. Daily and flexible multi-day combinations from the HY 2003 to 2014 were produced using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS) from Terra and Aqua remote sensing satellites for the snow cover products in the three basins including the Nenjiang River Basin(NJ), Downstream Songhua River Basin(SD) and Upstream Songhua River Basin(SU). Snow cover duration(SCD) was derived from flexible multiday combination each year. The results showed that SCD was significantly associated with elevation, and higher SCD values were found out in the mountainous areas. Further, the average SCDs of NJ, SU and SD basins were 69.43, 98.14 and 88.84 d with an annual growth of 1.36, 2.04 and 2.71 d, respectively. Binary decision tree was used to analyze the nonlinear relationships between SCD and six impact factors, which were successfully applied to simulate the spatial distribution of depth and water equivalent of snow. The impact factors included three topographic factors(elevation, aspect and slope), two climatic factors(precipitation and air temperature) and one vegetation index(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI). By treating yearly SCD values as dependent variables and six climatic factors as independent variables, six binary decision trees were built through the combination classification and regression tree(CART) with and without the consideration of climate effect. The results from the model show that elevation, precipitation and air temperature are the three most influential factors, among which air temperature is the most important and ranks first in two of the three studied basins. It is suggested that SCD in the mountainous areas might be more sensitive to climate warming, since precipitation and air temperature are the major factors controlling the persistence of snow cover in the mountainous areas.
文摘The electrical system of CNC machine tool is very complex which involves many uncertain factors and dynamic stochastic characteristics when failure occurs.Therefore,the traditional system reliability analysis method,fault tree analysis(FTA)method,based on static logic and static failure mechanism is no longer applicable for dynamic systems reliability analysis.Dynamic fault tree(DFT)analysis method can solve this problem effectively.In this method,DFT first should be pretreated to get a simplified fault tree(FT);then the FT was modularized to get the independent static subtrees and dynamic subtrees.Binary decision diagram(BDD)analysis method was used to analyze static subtrees,while an approximation algorithm was used to deal with dynamic subtrees.When the scale of each subtree is smaller than the system scale,the analysis efficiency can be improved significantly.At last,the usefulness of this DFT analysis method was proved by applying it to analyzing the reliability of electrical system.
基金National Science and Technology Major Project of China(No.2013ZX04013-011)
文摘CNC machine tool is a large complex system which contains both mechanical and electrical components.As one of these components,the spindle is crucial for the performance of CNC machine tool.To improve the quality of CNC machine,the reliability of spindle was evaluated in this paper using a fault tree analysis(FTA)method.The FTA method is a set of calculation methods based on Boolean algebra.However,it is difficult to analyze a large and complex fault tree with inaccurate results and low efficiency as well as the complexity of time and space.Both of them will result in the so-called "combinatorial explosion".To overcome this problem,the analysis method based on binary decision diagram(BDD)was introduced in our works,and a sorting method about bottom events was also recommended which can reduce the size of the BDD effectively.
