Risk factors and diagnostic biomarkers for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease-associated hepatocellular carcinoma:Current evidence and future perspectives

High rates of excessive calorie intake diets and sedentary lifestyles have led to a global increase in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD).As a result,this condition has recently become one of the leading causes of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).Furthermore,the incidence of NAFLD-associated HCC(NAFLD-HCC)is expected to increase in the near future.Advanced liver fibrosis is the most common risk factor for NAFLD-HCC.However,up to 50%of NAFLDHCC cases develop without underlying liver cirrhosis.Epidemiological studies have revealed many other risk factors for this condition;including diabetes,other metabolic traits,obesity,old age,male sex,Hispanic ethnicity,mild alcohol intake,and elevated liver enzymes.Specific gene variants,such as single-nucleotide polymorphisms of patatin-like phospholipase domain 3,transmembrane 6 superfamily member 2,and membrane-bound O-acyl-transferase domaincontaining 7,are also associated with an increased risk of HCC in patients with NAFLD.This clinical and genetic information should be interpreted together for accurate risk prediction.Alpha-fetoprotein(AFP)is the only biomarker currently recommended for HCC screening.However,it is not sufficiently sensitive in addressing this diagnostic challenge.The GALAD score can be calculated based on sex,age,lectin-bound AFP,AFP,and des-carboxyprothrombin and is reported to show better diagnostic performance for HCC.In addition,emerging studies on genetic and epigenetic biomarkers have also yielded promising diagnostic potential.However,further research is needed to establish an effective surveillance program for the early diagnosis of NAFLD-HCC.

Specific metabolic biomarkers as risk and prognostic factors in colorectal cancer

Advances in genomics,molecular pathology and metabolism have generated many candidate biomarkers of colorectal cancer with potential clinical value.Epidemiological and biological studies suggest a role for adiposity,dyslipidaemia,hyperinsulinemia,altered glucose homeostasis,and elevated expression of insulin-like growth factor(IGF)axis members in the risk and prognosis of cancer.This review discusses some recent past and current approaches being taken by researches in obesity and metabolic disorders.The authors describe three main systems as the most studied metabolic candidates of carcinogenesis:dyslipidemias,adipokines and insulin/IGF axis.However,each of these components is unsuccessful in defining the diseases risk and progression,while their co-occurrence increases cancer incidence and mortality in both men and women.

Risk factors and urinary biomarkers of non-albuminuric and albuminuric chronic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND A number of recent studies indicate a transformation in the natural course of chronic kidney disease(CKD)in type 2 diabetes(T2D)patients:an increasing prevalence of declined renal function without proceeding to the accompanying elevation of albuminuria.It has been suggested that albuminuric and nonalbuminuric CKD patterns could be different in their phenotypes and pathogenic mechanisms.AIM To identify the risk factors and biomarkers of albuminuric and non-albuminuric patterns of CKD in patients with T2D.METHODS Three hundred sixty patients with T2D duration≥10 years were included in this observational cross-sectional study.The associations of a panel of demographic and clinical characteristics,complications,comorbidities,and metabolic and hematology parameters with albuminuric and non-albuminuric CKD patterns were analyzed.The urinary excretion of nephrin and podocin,two podocytespecific markers,and WAP-four-disulfide core domain protein 2(WFDC-2),a marker of tubulointerstitial fibrosis,was determined by ELISA in comparison with healthy controls.RESULTS Non-albuminuric CKD was associated with age≥65 years(P=0.0001),female sex(P=0.04),diabetes duration≥15 years(P=0.0009),and the use of diuretics(P=0.0005).Male sex(P=0.01),smoking(P=0.01),waist-to-hip ratio>1.0(P=0.01)and hemoglobin A1c(HbA1c)>8.0%(P=0.005)were risk factors for elevated albuminuria not accompanied by a decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate(eGFR).Duration of diabetes≥15 years and the use of calcium channel blockers were risk factors for albuminuria with decreased eGFR(both P=0.01).In multivariate logistic regression analysis,age,HbA1c,female sex and diuretics were significant predictors for reduced eGFR,while waist-to-hip ratio,HbA1c and male sex were associated with elevated urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio(UACR).Excretion of nephrin and podocin was increased in patients with albuminuria,regardless of decline in renal function(P<0.001),correlating positively with UACR.The urinary excretion of WFDC-2 was markedly higher in men than in women(P<0.000001).Men with T2D demonstrated increased WFDC-2 levels independently of the CKD pattern(all P<0.05).In T2D women,WFDC-2 excretion was increased in those with reduced renal function(P≤0.01),correlating negatively with eGFR.CONCLUSION The data provide further evidence that albuminuric and non-albuminuric CKD phenotypes correspond to different pathways of diabetic kidney disease progression.

Risk factors for the prognosis of colon cancer

A study on clinical outcomes and prognostic factors in T4N0M0 colon cancer patients after R0 resection revealed that ileostomy,T stage,right hemicolectomy,irregular follow-up,and CA199 level were independent risk factors affecting overall survival.T4-stage cancer invades the entire thickness of the intestinal tract,increasing the difficulty of treatment and the risk of recurrence,and requires a combination of chemotherapy,immunotherapy,and targeted therapy to control the spread of cancer cells.The prognosis of right hemicolectomy is significantly worse than that of left hemicolectomy,and right hemicolectomy is an independent risk factor for a poor prognosis.Advanced age,histopathological type,and lymph node metastasis are also risk factors for colon cancer.

Risk factors and survival prediction model establishment for prognosis in patients with radical resection of gallbladder cancer

BACKGROUND Gallbladder cancer(GBC)is the most common malignant tumor of the biliary system,and is often undetected until advanced stages,making curative surgery unfeasible for many patients.Curative surgery remains the only option for long-term survival.Accurate postsurgical prognosis is crucial for effective treatment planning.tumor-node-metastasis staging,which focuses on tumor infiltration,lymph node metastasis,and distant metastasis,limits the accuracy of prognosis.Nomograms offer a more comprehensive and personalized approach by visually analyzing a broader range of prognostic factors,enhancing the precision of treatment planning for patients with GBC.AIM A retrospective study analyzed the clinical and pathological data of 93 patients who underwent radical surgery for GBC at Peking University People's Hospital from January 2015 to December 2020.Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to calculate the 1-,2-and 3-year survival rates.The log-rank test was used to evaluate factors impacting prognosis,with survival curves plotted for significant variables.Single-factor analysis revealed statistically significant differences,and multivariate Cox regression identified independent prognostic factors.A nomogram was developed and validated with receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves.Among 93 patients who underwent radical surgery for GBC,30 patients survived,accounting for 32.26%of the sample,with a median survival time of 38 months.The 1-year,2-year,and 3-year survival rates were 83.87%,68.82%,and 53.57%,respectively.Univariate analysis revealed that carbohydrate antigen 19-9 expre-ssion,T stage,lymph node metastasis,histological differentiation,surgical margins,and invasion of the liver,ex-trahepatic bile duct,nerves,and vessels(P≤0.001)significantly impacted patient prognosis after curative surgery.Multivariate Cox regression identified lymph node metastasis(P=0.03),histological differentiation(P<0.05),nerve invasion(P=0.036),and extrahepatic bile duct invasion(P=0.014)as independent risk factors.A nomogram model with a concordance index of 0.838 was developed.Internal validation confirmed the model's consistency in predicting the 1-year,2-year,and 3-year survival rates.CONCLUSION Lymph node metastasis,tumor differentiation,extrahepatic bile duct invasion,and perineural invasion are independent risk factors.A nomogram based on these factors can be used to personalize and improve treatment strategies.

Systematic review of risk factors,prognosis,and management of colorectal signet-ring cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND Colorectal signet-ring cell carcinoma(CSRCC)is a rare clinical entity which accounts for approximately 1%of all colorectal cancers.Although multiple studies concerning this specific topic have been published in the past decades,the pathogenesis,associated risk factors,and potential implications on treatment are still poorly understood.Besides the low incidence,historically confusing histological criteria have resulted in confusing data.Nevertheless,the rising incidence of CSRCC along with relatively young age at presentation and associated dismal prognosis,highlight the actual interest to synthesize the known literature regarding CSRCC.AIM To provide an updated overview of risk factors,prognosis,and management of CSRCC.METHODS A literature search in the MEDLINE/PubMed database was conducted with the following search terms used:‘Signet ring cell carcinoma’and‘colorectal’.Studies in English language,published after January 1980,were included.Studies included in the qualitative synthesis were evaluated for content concerning epidemiology,risk factors,and clinical,diagnostic,histological,and molecular features,as well as metastatic pattern and therapeutic management.If possible,presented data was extracted in order to present a more detailed overview of the literature.RESULTS In total,67 articles were included for qualitative analysis,of which 54 were eligible for detailed data extraction.CSRCC has a reported incidence between 0.1%-2.4%and frequently presents with advanced disease stage at the time of diagnosis.CSRCC is associated with an impaired overall survival(5-year OS:0%-46%)and a worse stagecorrected outcome compared to mucinous and not otherwise specified adenocarcinoma.The systematic use of exploratory laparoscopy to determine the presence of peritoneal metastases has been advised.Surgery is the mainstay of treatment,although the rates of curative resection in CSRCC(21%-82%)are lower compared to those in other histological types.In case of peritoneal metastasis,cytoreductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy should only be proposed in selected patients.CONCLUSION CSRCC is a rare clinical entity most often characterized by young age and advanced disease at presentation.As such,diagnostic modalities and therapeutic approach should be tailored accordingly.

Characteristics and Risk Factors for Pediatric Sepsis

Objective Sepsis is considered a major cause of health loss in children and had high mortality and morbidity.Currently,there is no reliable model for predicting the prognosis of pediatric patients with sepsis.This study aimed to analyze the clinical characteristics of sepsis in children and assess the risk factors associated with poor prognosis in pediatric sepsis patients to identify timely interventions and improve their outcomes.Methods This study analyzed the clinical indicators and laboratory results of septic patients hospitalized in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit of Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,China,from January 1,2019,to December 31,2021.Risk factors for sepsis were identified by logistic regression analyses.Results A total of 355 children with sepsis were enrolled,with 333 children(93.8%)in the good prognosis group,and 22 children(6.2%)in the poor prognosis group.Among them,there were 255 patients(71.8%)in the sepsis group,and 100 patients(28.2%)in the severe sepsis group.The length of hospital stay in the poor prognosis group was longer than that in the good prognosis group(P<0.01).The levels of interleukin 1β(IL-1β)in the poor prognosis group were higher than those in the good prognosis group(P>0.05),and the platelet(PLT),albumin(ALB),and hemoglobin(Hb)levels were lower in the poor prognosis group(P<0.01).The IL-8 levels in the severe sepsis group were higher than those in the sepsis group(P<0.05).Multiple logistic regression analysis suggested that lower Hb levels,ALB levels,peak PLT counts,and higher IL-1βlevels were independent risk factors for poor prognosis in children with sepsis.Conclusion Lower Hb,ALB,and PLT counts and elevated IL-1βare independent risk factors for poor prognosis in children with sepsis.

Risk factors for intensive-care-unit-acquired weakness

Wang et al reported 1063 cases from the initial 14 d of intensive care unit(ICU)stay,and analyzed relevant data such as age,comorbidities,recent dosages,vapor pressure dosages,duration of mechanical ventilation,length of ICU stay,and rehabilitation therapy,which are closely related to ICU-acquired weakness(ICUAW).It is suggested that the length of ICU stay and the duration of mechanical ventilation are the main factors.ICU-AW is the most common neuromuscular injury in the ICU,which affects clinical progression and outcomes of patients.This manuscript helps to improve the early recognition of ICU-AW,thereby reducing mortality and improving prognosis.

Fetal Macrosomia in the Maternity Ward of the Community University Hospital: Risk Factors and Maternal-Fetal Prognosis

Introduction: Fetal macrosomia is a birth weight greater than or equal to 4000 grams. The aim of this study is to determine the frequency of macrosomia, to identify the risk factors, and to evaluate the maternal and perinatal prognosis in the obstetrics and gynaecology department of the Community University Hospital Centre (CHUC). Methodology: This was a retrospective case-control study over a period of 24 months in the maternity ward of the CHUC. Results: The frequency of delivery of macrosomic fetuses was 4.1%, and the average age of women with large fetuses was 29.5 years. In 65.7% of cases, they were not engaged in any income-generating activity. Most of them had at least secondary education (65.7%) and were mainly multiparous (78.8%). The risk factors found were maternal age greater than or equal to 35 years, multiparity, previous large fœtus, gestational diabetes, obesity and male sex. Maternal complications were dominated by uterine atony (52.2%), perineal tear (31.9%), and cervical tear (15.9%). In our series, macrosomic newborns were three times more likely to present with a neonatal complication than normal-weight newborns. Neonatal mortality was 2.1%. Conclusion: Reducing macrosomia requires a better understanding of the risk factors, early detection, correct management during vaginal delivery and close monitoring of labour with good control of obstetric manoeuvres.

Risk factors for anastomotic fistula development after radical colon cancer surgery and their impact on prognosis

BACKGROUND Colon cancer is a common malignant tumor in the gastrointestinal tract that is typically treated surgically.However,postradical surgery is prone to complic-ations such as anastomotic fistulas.AIM To investigate the risk factors for postoperative anastomotic fistulas and their impact on the prognosis of patients with colon cancer.METHODS We conducted a retrospective analysis of 488 patients with colon cancer who underwent radical surgery.This study was performed between April 2016 and April 2019 at a tertiary hospital in Wuxi,Jiangsu Province,China.A t-test was used to compare laboratory indicators between patients with and those without postoperative anastomotic fistulas.Multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors for postoperative anastomotic fistulas.The Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Colorectal Cancer was also used to assess postoperative recovery.RESULTS Binary logistic regression analysis revealed that age[odds ratio(OR)=1.043,P=0.015],tumor,node,metastasis stage(OR=2.337,P=0.041),and surgical procedure were independent risk factors for postoperative anastomotic fistulas.Multiple linear regression analysis showed that the development of postoperative anastomotic fistula(P=0.000),advanced age(P=0.003),and the presence of diabetes mellitus(P=0.015),among other factors,independently affected CONCLUSION Postoperative anastomotic fistulas significantly affect prognosis and survival rates.Therefore,focusing on the clinical characteristics and risk factors and immediately implementing individualized preventive measures are important to minimize their occurrence.

Correlation between molecular biomarkers and risk factors for the clinical progression of benign prostatic hyperplasia using tissue microarray immunostaining

Background The pathogenesis of benign prostatic hyperplasia （BPH） has been widely studied,and several biomarkers are known to play roles in its development.This study aimed to investigate the possible role of cysteine-rich protein 61 （CYR61）,vascular endothelial growth factor （VEGF）,androgen receptor （AR）,interleukin-6 （IL-6）,cytochrome c,caspase-3,and proliferating cell nuclear antigen （PCNA） in the clinical progression of BPH.Methods Tissue specimens from 96 BPH cases who underwent transurethral resection of the prostate were processed and transferred to tissue microarrays.Patient age,prostate volume,serum prostate-specific antigen （PSA） level,and International Prostate Symptom Score （IPSS） of all BPH cases were collected before surgery.The expression of CYR61,VEGF,AR,IL-6,cytochrome c,caspase-3,and PCNA was examined by immunostaining in the BPH specimens,and any possible correlation between the different biomarkers and risk factors for BPH clinical progression was analyzed.Results The expression of CYR61,VEGF,AR,IL-6,cytochrome c,caspase-3,and PCNA in the BPH cases was 68.8％ （66/96）,77.1％ （74/96）,43.8％ （42/96）,31.3％ （30/96）,35.4％ （34/96）,56.3％ （54/96）,and 29.2％ （28/96）,respectively.The expression of both CYR61 and VEGF was positively correlated with patient age,prostate volume,and serum PSA level （P ＜0.05）.Furthermore,cytochrome c and caspase-3 expression were inversely related to prostate volume （P ＜0.05）,and AR expression was positively related to serum PSA level （P ＜0.05）.Conclusion CYR61 and VEGF expression might serve as biomarkers for predicting the clinical progression of BPH due to effects on stromal cell proliferation and angiogenesis.

Evaluation of biomarkers, genetic mutations, and epigenetic modifications in early diagnosis of pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND Pancreatic cancer(PC)is one of the deadliest malignancies with an alarming mortality rate.Despite significant advancement in diagnostics and therapeutics,early diagnosis remains elusive causing poor prognosis,marred by mutations and epigenetic modifications in key genes which contribute to disease progression.AIM To evaluate the various biological tumor markers collectively for early diagnosis which could act as prognostic biomarkers and helps in future therapeutics of PC in Kashmir valley.METHODS A total of 50 confirmed PC cases were included in the study to evaluate the levels of carbohydrate antigen 19-9(CA 19-9),tissue polypeptide specific antigen(TPS),carcinoembryonic antigen(CEA),vascular endothelial growth factor-A(VEGF-A),and epidermal growth factor receptor(EGFR).Mutational analysis was performed to evaluate the mutations in Kirsten rat sarcoma(KRAS),Breast cancer type 2(BRCA-2),and deleted in pancreatic cancer-4(DPC-4)genes.However,epigenetic modifications(methylation of CpG islands)were performed in the promoter regions of cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor 2A(p16;CDKN2A),MutL homolog 1(hMLH1),and Ras association domain-containing protein 1(RASSF1A)genes.RESULTS We found significantly elevated levels of biological markers CA 19-9(P≤0.05),TPS(P≤0.05),CEA(P≤0.001),and VEGF(P≤0.001).Molecular genetic analysis revealed that KRAS gene mutation is predominant in codon 12(16 subjects,P≤0.05),and 13(12 subjects,P≤0.05).However,we did not find a mutation in DPC-4(1203G>T)and BRCA-2(617delT)genes.Furthermore,epigenetic modification revealed that CpG methylation in 21(P≤0.05)and 4 subjects in the promoter regions of the p16 and hMLH1 gene,respectively.CONCLUSION In conclusion,CA 19-9,TPS,CEA,and VEGF levels were significantly elevated and collectively have potential as diagnostic and prognostic markers in PC.Global data of mutation in the KRAS gene commonly in codon 12 and rare in codon 13 could augment the predisposition towards PC.Additionally,methylation of the p16 gene could also modulate transcription of genes thereby increasing the predisposition and susceptibility towards PC.

Uncovering the epidemiology of bladder cancer in the Arab world: A review of risk factors, molecular mechanisms, and clinical features

Objective:Bladder cancer(BC)is a significant public health concern in the Middle East and North Africa,but the epidemiology and clinicopathology of the disease and contributors to high mortality in this region remain poorly understood.The aim of this systematic review was to investigate the epidemiological features of BC in the Arab world and compare them to those in Western countries in order to improve the management of this disease.Methods:An extensive electronic search of the PubMed/PMC and Cochrane Library databases was conducted to identify all articles published until May 2022,following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines.A total of 95 articles were included in the final analysis after title,abstract,and full-text screening,with additional data obtained from the GLOBOCAN and WHO 2020 databases.

Lysyl oxidase and hypoxia-inducible factor 1α: biomarkers of gastric cancer

BACKGROUND Gastric cancer(GC) is one of the main causes of cancer mortality worldwide.Recent studies on tumor microenvironments have shown that tumor metabolism exerts a vital role in cancer progression.AIM To investigate whether lysyl oxidase(LOX) and hypoxia-inducible factor 1α(HIF1α) are prognostic and predictive biomarkers in GC.METHODS A total of 80 tissue and blood samples were collected from 140 patients admitted to our hospital between August 2008 and March 2012. Immunohistochemical staining was performed to measure the expression of LOX and HIF1α in tumor and adjacent tissues collected from patients with GC. Real-time quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction(qRT-PCR) analysis was used to detect the mRNA expression levels of LOX and HIF1α in patients with GC. In addition, single-factor analysis was applied to analyze the relationship between LOX, HIF1α and prognosis of GC.RESULTS Immunohistochemical staining suggested that the expression levels of LOX and HIF1α increased in tumor tissues from patients with GC. QRT-PCR analysis indicated that mRNA expression of LOX and HIF1α was also upregulated in tumor tissues, which was in accordance with the above results. We also detected expression of these two genes in blood samples. The expression level of LOX and HIF1α was higher in patients with GC than in healthy controls. Additional analysis showed that the expression level of LOX and HIF1α was related to the clinicopathological characteristics of GC. Expression of LOX and HIF1α increased with the number of lymph node metastases, deeper infiltration depth and later tumor–node–metastasis stages. Single-factor analysis showed that high expression of LOX and HIF1α led to poor prognosis of patients with GC.CONCLUSION LOX and HIF1α can be used as prognostic and predictive biomarkers for GC.

Risk factors for long-term prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients after anatomic hepatectomy

BACKGROUND The risk factors for patients with major postoperative complications immediately after liver resection have been identified;however,the intermediate and longterm prognoses for these patients have yet to be determined.AIM To evaluate the factors responsible for the long-term recurrence-free survival rate in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)following anatomic hepatectomy.METHODS We performed a retrospective analysis of 74 patients with HCC who underwent precise anatomic hepatectomy at our institution from January 2013 to December 2015.The observational endpoints for this study were the tumor recurrence or death of the HCC patients.The overall follow-up duration was three years.The recurrence-free survival curves were plotted by the Kaplan-Meier method and were analyzed by the log-rank test.The value of each variable for predicting prognosis was assessed via multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.RESULTS The 1-year and 3-year recurrence-free survival rates of HCC patients were 68.92%and 55.41%,respectively,following anatomic liver resection.The results showed that the 3-year recurrence-free survival rate in HCC patients was closely related to preoperative cirrhosis,jaundice level,tumor stage,maximal tumor diameter,complications of diabetes mellitus,frequency of intraoperative hypotensive episodes,estimated blood loss(EBL),blood transfusion,fluid infusion,and postoperative infection(P<0.1).Based on multivariate analysis,preoperative cirrhosis,tumor stage,intraoperative hypotension,and EBL were identified to be predictors of 3-year recurrence-free survival in HCC patients undergoing anatomic hepatectomy(P<0.05).CONCLUSION Tumor stage and preoperative cirrhosis adversely affect the recurrence-free survival rate in HCC patients following anatomic hepatectomy.The long-term recurrence-free survival rate of patients with HCC is closely related to intraoperative hypotension and EBL.

Updates on global epidemiology,risk and prognostic factors of gastric cancer

Gastric cancer(GC)is defined as the primary epithelial malignancy derived from the stomach,and it is a complicated and heterogeneous disease with multiple risk factors.Despite its overall declining trend of incidence and mortality in various countries over the past few decades,GC remains the fifth most common malignancy and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related death globally.Although the global burden of GC has shown a significant downward trend,it remains severe in certain areas,such as Asia.GC ranks third in incidence and mortality among all cancer types in China,and it accounts for nearly 44.0%and 48.6%of new GC cases and GC-related deaths in the world,respectively.The regional differences in GC incidence and mortality are obvious,and annual new cases and deaths are increasing rapidly in some developing regions.Therefore,early preventive and screening strategies for GC are urgently needed.The clinical efficacies of conventional treatments for GC are limited,and the developing understanding of GC pathogenesis has increased the demand for new therapeutic regimens,including immune checkpoint inhibitors,cell immunotherapy and cancer vaccines.The present review describes the epidemiology of GC worldwide,especially in China,summarizes its risk and prognostic factors,and focuses on novel immunotherapies to develop therapeutic strategies for the management of GC patients.

Risk factors,biomarkers and patho-mechanisms of chronic kidney disease

Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China,the research team led by Prof.Hou Fanfan(侯凡凡)and Liu Youhua at the State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research,Southern Medical University,has made remarkable progress in identifying the risk factors and biomarkers and elucidating the patho-mechanisms of chronic kidney disease(CKD).Four papers describing these findings were

A Nomogram Model for Prediction of Mortality Risk of Patients with Dangerous Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding:A Two-center Retrospective Study

Objective:This study aimed to establish a nomogram model to predict the mortality risk of patients with dangerous upper gastrointestinal bleeding(DUGIB),and identify high-risk patients who require emergent therapy.Methods:From January 2020 to April 2022,the clinical data of 256 DUGIB patients who received treatments in the intensive care unit(ICU)were retrospectively collected from Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University(n=179)and the Eastern Campus of Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University(n=77).The 179 patients were treated as the training cohort,and 77 patients as the validation cohort.Logistic regression analysis was used to calculate the independent risk factors,and R packages were used to construct the nomogram model.The prediction accuracy and identification ability were evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve,C index and calibration curve.The nomogram model was also simultaneously externally validated.Decision curve analysis(DCA)was then used to demonstrate the clinical value of the model.Results:Logistic regression analysis showed that hematemesis,urea nitrogen level,emergency endoscopy,AIMS65,Glasgow Blatchford score and Rockall score were all independent risk factors for DUGIB.The ROC curve analysis indicated the area under curve(AUC)of the training cohort was 0.980(95%CI:0.962-0.997),while the AUC of the validation cohort was 0.790(95%CI:0.685-0.895).The calibration curves were tested for Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit for both training and validation cohorts(P=0.778,P=0.516).Conclusion:The developed nomogram is an effective tool for risk stratification,early identification and intervention for DUGIB patients.

Risk Factors Analysis on Traumatic Brain Injury Prognosis

Objective To investigate the independent risk factors of traumatic brain injury （TBI） prognosis. Methods A retrospective analysis was performed in 885 hospitalized TBI patients from January 1, 2003 to January 1, 2010 in the First Affiliated Hospital of Medical College of Xi＇an Jiaotong LIniversity. Sin- gle-factor and logistic regression analysis were conducted to evaluate the association of different variables with TBI outcome. Results The single-factor analysis revealed outcome, including age （P=0.044 for the age group （P〈0.O01）, cerebrospinal fluid leakage （P〈0.001）, reflex （P〈0.001）, shock （P〈0.001）, associated （P〈0.001）, cerebral contusion （P〈0.001）, diffuse significant association between several variables and TB1 40-60, P〈0.00l for the age group ≥60）, complications Glasgow Coma Scale （GCS） （P〈0.001）, pupillary light extra-cranial lesions （P=0.01）, subdural hematoma axonal injury （P〈0.001）, and subarachnoid hemorrhage （P〈0.001）, suggesting the influence of those factors on the prognosis of TBI. Furthermore, logistic regression analysis identified age, GCS score, pupillary light reflex, subdural hematoma, and subarachnoid hemorrhage as independent risk factors of TB1 prognosis. Conclusion Age, GCS score, papillary light reflex, subdural hematoma, and subarachnoid hemorrhage may be risk factors influencing the prognosis of TBI. Paying attention to those factors might improve the outcome of TBI in clinical treatment.

Risk factors and prognosis of critically ill cancer patients with postoperative acute respiratory insufficiency

BACKGROUND:This study aimed to investigate the risk factors and outcome of critically ill cancer patients with postoperative acute respiratory insufficiency.METHODS:The data of 190 critically ill cancer patients with postoperative acute respiratory insufficiency were retrospectively reviewed.The data of 321 patients with no acute respiratory insufficiency as controls were also collected.Clinical variables of the first 24 hours after admission to intensive care unit were collected,including age,sex,comorbid disease,type of surgery,admission type,presence of shock,presence of acute kidney injury,presence of acute lung injury/acute respiratory distress syndrome,acute physiologic and chronic health evaluation(APACHE Ⅱ) score,sepsis-related organ failure assessment(SOFA),and PaO_2/FiO_2 ratio.Duration of mechanical ventilation,length of intensive care unit stay,intensive care unit death,length of hospitalization,hospital death and one-year survival were calculated.RESULTS:The incidence of acute respiratory insufficiency was 37.2%(190/321).Multivariate logistic analysis showed a history of chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases(P=0.001),surgeryrelated infection(P=0.004),hypo-volemic shock(P<0.001),and emergency surgery(P=0.018),were independent risk factors of postoperative acute respiratory insufficiency.Compared with the patients without acute respiratory insufficiency,the patients with acute respiratory insufficiency had a prolonged length of intensive care unit stay(P<0.001),a prolonged length of hospitalization(P=0.006),increased intensive care unit mortality(P=0.001),and hospital mortality(P<0.001).Septic shock was shown to be the only independent prognostic factor of intensive care unit death for the patients with acute respiratory insufficiency(P=0.029,RR:8.522,95%CI:1.243-58.437,B=2.143,SE=0.982,Wald=4.758).Compared with the patients without acute respiratory insufficiency,those with acute respiratory insufficiency had a shortened one-year survival rate(78.7%vs.97.1%,P<0.001).CONCLUSION:A history of chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases,surgery-related infection,hypovolemic shock and emergency surgery were risk factors of critically ill cancer patients with postoperative acute respiratory insufficiency.Septic shock was the only independent prognostic factor of intensive care unit death in patients with acute respiratory insufficiency.Compared with patients without acute respiratory insufficiency,those with acute respiratory insufficiency had adverse shortterm outcome and a decreased one-year survival rate.