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Risk Analysis on Groundwater Resources Carrying Capacity Based on Blind Number Theory 被引量:5
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作者 ZHANG Ji1,2,YU Sujun31. Key Laboratory of Mountain Hazards and Surface Process,Chinese Academy of Sciences/Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Chengdu 610041,Sichuan,China 2. Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China 3. School of Environmental Science and Engineering,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610041,Sichuan,China 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS 2007年第4期669-676,共8页
Blind numbers of evaluation indices about groundwater resources carrying capacity are defined from the concomitancy of randomness, fuzziness, grey property and unascertainment of groundwater system. Based on fuzzy the... Blind numbers of evaluation indices about groundwater resources carrying capacity are defined from the concomitancy of randomness, fuzziness, grey property and unascertainment of groundwater system. Based on fuzzy theory, a comprehensive evaluation model on groundwater resources carrying capacity is constructed with blind information. Then a risk assessment model of surcharge about groundwater resources carrying capacity is established on blind reliability theory. The probable value "*" matrix of fuzzy membership degree about carrying capacity corresponding to each judgment level can be obtained with the aid of blind algorithm as well as the subjective reliability "×" matrix. And then a graph of "groundwater carrying capacity v.s. accumulative reliability" can be gained Based on the graph, fuzzy membership degree of groundwater resources carrying capacity to each judgment level under different risk probability can be got. Thus, a comparatively reasonable judgment to groundwater resources carrying capacity might be obtained, with comprehensive analysis to the state of society, economy technology and ecology. 展开更多
关键词 blind number theory groundwater resources carrying capacity evaluation risk analysis
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