[Objective] This paper aims to construct an improved fuzzy decision tree which is based on clustering,and researches into its application in the screening of maize germplasm.[Method] A new decision tree algorithm base...[Objective] This paper aims to construct an improved fuzzy decision tree which is based on clustering,and researches into its application in the screening of maize germplasm.[Method] A new decision tree algorithm based upon clustering is adopted in this paper,which is improved against the defect that traditional decision tree algorithm fails to handle samples of no classes.Meanwhile,the improved algorithm is also applied to the screening of maize varieties.Through the indices as leaf area,plant height,dry weight,potassium（K） utilization and others,maize seeds with strong tolerance of hypokalemic are filtered out.[Result] The algorithm in the screening of maize germplasm has great applicability and good performance.[Conclusion] In the future more efforts should be made to compare improved the performance of fuzzy decision tree based upon clustering with the performance of traditional fuzzy one,and it should be applied into more realistic problems.展开更多
The probability of default(PD) is the key element in the New Basel Capital Accord and the most essential factor to financial institutions' risk management.To obtain good PD estimation,practitioners and academics h...The probability of default(PD) is the key element in the New Basel Capital Accord and the most essential factor to financial institutions' risk management.To obtain good PD estimation,practitioners and academics have put forward numerous default prediction models.However,how to use multiple models to enhance overall performance on default prediction remains untouched.In this paper,a parametric and non-parametric combination model is proposed.Firstly,binary logistic regression model(BLRM),support vector machine(SVM),and decision tree(DT) are used respectively to establish models with relatively stable and high performance.Secondly,in order to make further improvement to the overall performance,a combination model using the method of multiple discriminant analysis(MDA) is constructed.In this way,the coverage rate of the combination model is greatly improved,and the risk of miscarriage is effectively reduced.Lastly,the results of the combination model are analyzed by using the K-means clustering,and the clustering distribution is consistent with a normal distribution.The results show that the combination model based on parametric and non-parametric can effectively enhance the overall performance on default prediction.展开更多
文摘[Objective] This paper aims to construct an improved fuzzy decision tree which is based on clustering,and researches into its application in the screening of maize germplasm.[Method] A new decision tree algorithm based upon clustering is adopted in this paper,which is improved against the defect that traditional decision tree algorithm fails to handle samples of no classes.Meanwhile,the improved algorithm is also applied to the screening of maize varieties.Through the indices as leaf area,plant height,dry weight,potassium（K） utilization and others,maize seeds with strong tolerance of hypokalemic are filtered out.[Result] The algorithm in the screening of maize germplasm has great applicability and good performance.[Conclusion] In the future more efforts should be made to compare improved the performance of fuzzy decision tree based upon clustering with the performance of traditional fuzzy one,and it should be applied into more realistic problems.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China Key Project under Grant No.70933003the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.70871109 and 71203247
文摘The probability of default(PD) is the key element in the New Basel Capital Accord and the most essential factor to financial institutions' risk management.To obtain good PD estimation,practitioners and academics have put forward numerous default prediction models.However,how to use multiple models to enhance overall performance on default prediction remains untouched.In this paper,a parametric and non-parametric combination model is proposed.Firstly,binary logistic regression model(BLRM),support vector machine(SVM),and decision tree(DT) are used respectively to establish models with relatively stable and high performance.Secondly,in order to make further improvement to the overall performance,a combination model using the method of multiple discriminant analysis(MDA) is constructed.In this way,the coverage rate of the combination model is greatly improved,and the risk of miscarriage is effectively reduced.Lastly,the results of the combination model are analyzed by using the K-means clustering,and the clustering distribution is consistent with a normal distribution.The results show that the combination model based on parametric and non-parametric can effectively enhance the overall performance on default prediction.
