The currently applied methodology of absolute gassiness forecasting in roadways being driven in Polish hard coal mines is based on the results of investigations frombefore more than twenty years. At present the roadwa...The currently applied methodology of absolute gassiness forecasting in roadways being driven in Polish hard coal mines is based on the results of investigations frombefore more than twenty years. At present the roadways are being driven in majority ofcases in quite different conditions than those which had been the subject of the said investigations. The application of 'old' methods of forecasting of methane emission during driving of roadways often brings about great discrepancies between the results of the forecasts and actual situation. It is firstly necessary to determine a potential set of factorswhich exert an influence on situation regarding methane emission into roadways beingdriven in order to prepare a verified mathematical model of absolute gassiness forecastingOn the basis of available literature and the investigations conducted by the Central MiningInstitute an initial list of factors has been prepared which can have an impact upon methane emission into roadways being driven. The assumptions of heuristic method have beentaken advantage of for selection of parameters and indices describing the phenomenon ofmethane emission. It has been dictated by the fact that the available literature is lacking apretty unambiguous viewpoint on the subject under consideration and at the same time itis necessary to perform an a priori assessment of the information contained in a givenfeature (factor). A prepared initial set has been scrutinized to be verified on the basis of aconducted expert survey among seventy specialists in this field. After collecting of the results of the survey their statistical elaboration was prepared. The co-efficient of agreementof multiple ordering, the so called concordance co-efficient has been taken advantage of inorder to check the competency of experts. The investigations prove that the experts are inagreement in their opinions. The estimation of a collective assessment of all participants ofthe survey was conducted with the use of the rank sum's test by J. Gren, The results ofthe conducted analysis allowed determining a potential set of factors which influence thesituation of methane emission into roadways being driven. This set, after conductance offurther detailed investigations, can constitute a base for elaboration of a function describ-ing methane emission into roadways being driven in hard coal mines.展开更多
文摘The currently applied methodology of absolute gassiness forecasting in roadways being driven in Polish hard coal mines is based on the results of investigations frombefore more than twenty years. At present the roadways are being driven in majority ofcases in quite different conditions than those which had been the subject of the said investigations. The application of 'old' methods of forecasting of methane emission during driving of roadways often brings about great discrepancies between the results of the forecasts and actual situation. It is firstly necessary to determine a potential set of factorswhich exert an influence on situation regarding methane emission into roadways beingdriven in order to prepare a verified mathematical model of absolute gassiness forecastingOn the basis of available literature and the investigations conducted by the Central MiningInstitute an initial list of factors has been prepared which can have an impact upon methane emission into roadways being driven. The assumptions of heuristic method have beentaken advantage of for selection of parameters and indices describing the phenomenon ofmethane emission. It has been dictated by the fact that the available literature is lacking apretty unambiguous viewpoint on the subject under consideration and at the same time itis necessary to perform an a priori assessment of the information contained in a givenfeature (factor). A prepared initial set has been scrutinized to be verified on the basis of aconducted expert survey among seventy specialists in this field. After collecting of the results of the survey their statistical elaboration was prepared. The co-efficient of agreementof multiple ordering, the so called concordance co-efficient has been taken advantage of inorder to check the competency of experts. The investigations prove that the experts are inagreement in their opinions. The estimation of a collective assessment of all participants ofthe survey was conducted with the use of the rank sum's test by J. Gren, The results ofthe conducted analysis allowed determining a potential set of factors which influence thesituation of methane emission into roadways being driven. This set, after conductance offurther detailed investigations, can constitute a base for elaboration of a function describ-ing methane emission into roadways being driven in hard coal mines.
