Spatiotemporal patterns and drivers of cultivated land conversion in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,northern China

Protection and optimization of cultivated land resources are of great significance to national food security.Cultivated land conversion in northern China has increased in recent years due to the industrialization and urbanization of society.However,the assessment of cultivated land conversion in this area is insufficient,posing a potential risk to cultivated land resources.This study evaluated the evolution and spatiotemporal patterns of cultivated land conversion in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,China,and the driving factors to improve rational utilization and to protect cultivated land resources.The spatiotemporal patterns of cultivated land conversion in Inner Mongolia were analyzed using the cultivated land conversion index,kernel density analysis,a standard deviation ellipse model,and a geographic detector.Results showed that from 2000 to 2020,the trends in cultivated land conversion area and rate in Inner Mongolia exhibited fluctuating growth,with the total area of cultivated land conversion reaching 7307.59 km^(2) at a rate of 6.69%.Spatial distribution of cultivated land conversion was primarily concentrated in the Hetao Plain,Nengjiang Plain,Liaohe Plain,and the Hohhot-Baotou-Ordos urban agglomeration.Moreover,the standard deviational ellipse of cultivated land conversion in Inner Mongolia exhibited a directional southwest-northeast-southwest-northeast distribution,with the northeast-southwest direction identified as the main driving force of spatial change in cultivated land conversion.Meanwhile,cultivated land conversion exhibited an increase-decrease-increase change process,indicating that spatial distribution of cultivated land conversion in Inner Mongolia became gradually apparent within the study period.The geographic detector results further revealed that the main driving factors of cultivated land conversion in Inner Mongolia were the share of secondary and tertiary industries and per-unit area yield of grain,with explanatory rates of 57.00%,55.00%,and 51.00%,respectively.Additionally,improved agricultural production efficiency and the coordinated development of population urbanization and industry resulted in cultivated land conversion.Collectively,the findings of this study indicated that,from 2000 to 2020,the cultivated land conversion in Inner Mongolia was significant and fluctuated in time,and had strong spatial heterogeneity.The primary drivers of these events included the effects of agriculture,population,and social economy.

Quantitative Simulation of Dynamic Changes in Cultivated Land in Areas of Reclamation and Returning Cultivated Land to Forest or Pastures under RCPs Climate Scenarios

Northeast China as one of important agricultural production bases is an area under reclamation and returning cultivated land to forests or pastures. Therefore, it is of great practical significance in guaranteeing the sustainable development and national food security to study the spatial and temporal variation of cultivated land in Northeast China under future climate scenarios. In this study, based on data of land use, natural environment and social-economy, dynamics of land system（DLS） model was used to to simulate the spatial distribution and changing trends of cultivated land in the typical areas of reclamation and returning cultivated land to forest or pastures in Northeast China during 2010-2030 under land use planning scenario and representative concentration pathways（RCPs） scenarios quantitatively.The results showed that the area of cultivated land had an overall decreasing trend under the land use planning scenario, but the area of upland field increased slightly from 2000 to 2010 and then declined greatly, while the area of paddy field continuously declined from 2000 to 2030. Under the Asia-Pacific Integrated model（AIM）scenario, the total area of cultivated land had a tendency to increase considerably,with the upland field expanding more obviously and the paddy field declining slightly.In addition, the cultivated land showed a greater decreasing trend under the model for energy supply strategy alternatives and their general environmental impact（MESSAGE） scenario compared to the land use planning scenario. Moreover, analysis on the conversion between different land use types indicated that the reclamation and returning cultivated land to forests or pastures was likely to continue under future scenarios, but the frequency of occurrence could decrease as the time goes by. The conclusions can provide significant decision-making information for the rational agricultural planning and cultivated land protection in Northeast China to adapt to the climate change.

Estimation of Land Production and Its Response to Cultivated Land Conversion in North China Plain

Food safety and its related influencing factors in China are the hot research topics currently,and cultivated land conversion is one of the significant factors influencing food safety in China.Taking the North China Plain as the study area,this paper examines the changes of cultivated land area using satellite images,estimates land productivity from 1985 to 2005 using the model of Estimation System for Land Productivity(ESLP),and analyzes the impact of cultivated land conversion on the land production.Compared with the grain yield data from statistical yearbooks,the results indicate that ESLP model is an effective tool for estimating land productivity.Land productivity in the North China Plain showed a slight decreasing trend from 1985 to 2005,spatially,increased from the north to the south gradu-ally,and the net changes varied in different areas.Cultivated land area recorded a marginal decrease of 8.0 × 105 ha,mainly converted to other land uses.Cultivated land conversion had more significant negative impacts on land produc-tion than land productivity did.Land production decreased by about 6.48 × 106 t caused by cultivated land conversion between 1985 and 2005,accounting for 91.9% of the total land production reduction.Although the land productivity increased in Anhui and Jiangsu provinces,it can not offset the overall adverse effects caused by cultivated land con-version.Therefore,there are significant meanings to control the cultivated land conversion and improve the land pro-ductivity for ensuring the land production in the North China Plain.

ANALYSIS AND MODELING ON CULTIVATED LAND CONVERSION——Case Study of Hebei Province

： With the acceleration of thc urbanization and industrialization of China, it is inevitable that cultivated land convcrts to built-up land for industrial, commercial and residential uses, which would impose pressure both on food security and on the sustainability of urbanization itself tbr such a country with large population and few cultivated land. Based on thc three-time Landsat Thematic Mapper （TM） digital imagcs and statistic data of Hebei Province, the general facts of cultivated land conversion and its driving forces were analyzcd by establishing econometric model in this papcr. Some conclusions werc drawn as the following： during 1985 2000, the rate of cultivated land converting to built-up arca in Hebei was 4.01% or 0.27% pcr year. Of all the converted cultivated land, 20.96% was converted to built-up area and of all the new built-up areas, 83.4% was converted from cultivated land; meanwhile the conversion is uneven not only in time but also in space; factors such as edgc length shared by cultivated land and built-up land, agricultural value per hectare, non-agriculture value per hectarc, GDP, total population, farmer＇s net income per capita and time had significant effects on this conversion.

Analysis on the Influencing Factors and Control Measures of "Non-Grain Conversion" of Cultivated Land in Agricultural Land Transfer

Through the method of literature analysis,this paper analyzes the present situation of the"non-grain conversion"of cultivated land in the transfer of agricultural land in China,summarizes the influencing factors and consequences of the phenomenon of"non-grain conversion"of cultivated land in the transfer of agricultural land,and finally puts forward some measures.The study found that costs and benefits are the fundamental factors affecting the"non-grain conversion"of cultivated land in agricultural land transfer,and other main factors include government and policy guidance,industrial and commercial capital to the countryside,labor transfer and so on.The"non-grain conversion"of cultivated land in the transfer of agricultural land is a serious threat to China s food security,leading to the decline of the quality of agricultural land and the destruction of the ecological environment,as well as the risk of breach of contract in"industrial and commercial capital to the countryside".Based on the understanding of the influencing factors of non-grain conversion,this paper puts forward the following measures:strengthening the control of the use of cultivated land in agricultural land transfer;implementing accurate subsidies for grain cultivation and ensuring the benefit of grain growers;adopting grain planting incentive mechanism to increase grain enthusiasm;strengthening media publicity and education to enhance food security awareness.The improvement of the current situation of the"non-grain conversion"of cultivated land in the transfer of agricultural land will be of great significance to the protection of agricultural land and food security in China.

Research on Converting Cultivated Land into Forests and Regional Sustainable Development

The capability of sustainable development of Wuchuan County is evaluated comprehensively with theories and methods of regional sustainable development capability evaluation, which are extensively applied at home and abroad. The results indicate that the developing speed and patterns of Wuchuan County cannot satisfy the demand of the regional sustainable development. Moreover, the patterns, distributions, tree species, growing patterns, and other aspects must consider the restriction of ecological water utilization. It is put forward that the standards for selecting the converting lands are slope, desertification degree, and rainfall.In addition, the control of soil erosion and the prevention of land desertification are selected as the dualpurpose of the converting project.

Mutual Conversion of Land Use between Urban and Rural Area in the Process of Urbanization: A Case Study of Shandong Province

Urbanization is one of the driving forces for the land use change in type and structure, and its prominent effect is to convert rural land to urban land. This paper takes Shan-dong Province as an example to analyze the current situation of the mutual conversion between the urban and rural areas from the aspects of the structure of land use, the decreasing tendency of the cultivated land, the changes of land use in urban and rural residential areas. It points out that cultivated land is converted to residential area land, industrial and/or mining area land. The relationship between the urban area land and the cultivated land is more direct; meanwhile, the changes of rural residential area lag behind obviously. The decrease of the cultivated land and the decline of soil quality will be the two difficult problems in the process of urbanization.

Conversion of Andean montane forest to exotic forest plantation modifies soil physicochemical properties in the buffer zone of Ecuador's Podocarpus National Park

Background:Andean montane forests(AMF)are biodiversity hotspots that provide fundamental hydrological services as well as carbon storage and sequestration.In recent decades,southern Ecuador AMFs have been seriously threatened by increased logging and conversion to forest plantations with exotic species.In this context,our main objective was to evaluate the effects of AMF conversion to forest plantations on soil physicochemical properties in the buffer zone(Bz)of the Podocarpus National Park(PNP),in southern Ecuador.For this purpose,random samples were taken at a depth of 0-10 cm in four plots in each contrast zone and analyzed for bulk density,porosity,textural class,leaf litter depth,soil pH,as well as the contents of organic matter(SOM),soil organic carbon(SOC),total nitrogen,and available phosphorus and potassium.Results:The results indicate that the conversion of AMFs produces an increase in bulk density and a decrease in SOM,SOC,and total nitrogen contents,thus modifying soil properties,which could result in a decrease in water regulation capacity and produce an increased risk of soil erosion.This accelerates degradation processes,as well as threatens shortages of the drinking water supply.Conclusions:This study can help decision-makers to implement soil management plans in the Bz of the PNP,based on the implementation of new regulations,where the conservation of AMF is promoted.In addition,it is recommended to apply environmental restoration strategies in the anthropized areas of the AMF,as well as in the areas with exotic eucalyptus and pine plantations.

Cultivation Techniques of Panax notoginseng F.H. Chen under Different Forests

To overcome the issues of high cost and continuous cropping obstacles in facility cultivation of Panax notoginseng_ F. H. Chen, satisfy the market demand, save the production cost, improve the utilization rate of forest land, increase the in-come of forest farmers and protect the ecological environment, the cultivation tech-niques of high-quality P. notoginseng seedlings from Wenshan, Yunnan under four kinds of forests （walnut forest, China fir forest, grape forest and kiwi forest） were in-vestigated in this study. The results showed that the height growth, crown diameter, survival rate and 3-year-old tuber weight of P. notoginseng_under walnut forest were higher than those under the other three kinds of forests; the height growth, crown diameter, survival rate and 3-year-old tuber weight of P. notoginseng under China fir forest were higher than those under grape forest and kiwi forest; and the crown di-ameter and survival rate under grape forest were higher, and the height growth and tuber weight under grape forest were lower than those under kiwi forest. Walnut is a broad-leaved deciduous tree species, so large-scale cultivation of P. notoginseng_should be conducted under broadleaf deciduous forest with canopy density around 0.8, taking advantage of the cool environment and rich humus layer under forest. This cultivation technology could save labor, shade, fertilizer and other costs, and accord with the ecological habit and the growth rules of P. notoginseng, thus im-proving yield and achieving high economic benefit.

Changes of Organic Carbon in Soil under Different Land Use Patterns in Alpine Agricultural Region of Qinghai

Using organic carbon density grouping method,the change trends of soil total organic carbon(SOC),light fraction content and light fraction organic carbon under 4 land use patterns of returning cultivated land to forest(cropland,artificial forest,inter-cropping of forest and grassland and original sample plot)in alpine agricultural region of Qinghai were studied.The content of SOC was in order:intercropping of forest and grassland > original sample plot > artificial forest > cropland.There was signi...

Estimation of soil organic carbon stock and its controlling factors in cropland of Yunnan Province,China

Soil organic carbon(SOC)is the most important indicators of soil quality and health.Identifying the spatial distribution of SOC and its influencing factors in cropland is crucial to understand the terrestrial carbon cycle and optimize agronomic management.Yunnan Province,characterized by mountainous topography and varied elevation,is one of the highest SOC regions in China.Yet its SOC stock of cropland and influencing factors has not been fully studied due to the lack of adequate soil investigation.In this study,the digital mapping of SOC at 1 km resolution and the estimation of total SOC stock in cropland of Yunnan Province was undertaken using 8637 topsoil(0-20 cm)samples and a series of spatial data through Random Forest(RF)model.It was showed that across the cropland of Yunnan Province,the mean SOC density and total stock were 4.84 kg m^(-2) and 337.5 Mt,respectively.The spatial distribution indicated that relatively high SOC density regions resided in the northwest and northeast parts of Yunnan Province.Elevation(19.5%),temperature(17.3%),rainfall(14.5%),and Topographic wetness index(9.9%)were the most important factors which controlled spatial variability of SOC density.Agronomic practices(e.g.,crop straw treatments,fertilizer management)should be optimized for the sustainable development of crop production with high SOC sequestration capacity in Yunnan Province.

基于Sentinel-2和Landsat卫星时序数据的耕地撂荒识别

充足的粮食供应是当下经济发展和社会稳定的重要保障之一,撂荒作为耕地边际化的极端表现,对其开展监测对保障耕地数量和质量至关重要。本文以四川省南充市营山县为研究区域,通过GEE平台,使用Sentinel-2和Landsat 7、8数据构建时序数据集,计算NDVI、EVI、NDWI、BSI、MSI等指数,分别利用支持向量机和随机森林法提取耕地撂荒,总分类精度为73.76%,Kappa系数为0.68,针对耕地撂荒最佳提取效果,F_(1)得分为0.6911。本文方法对山地丘陵地区耕地撂荒监测有较大的借鉴意义。

下辽河平原区耕地非农化时空演变特征及驱动机制

探索耕地非农化的时空演变特征及其驱动机制是耕地保护的前提,分析下辽河平原区2000—2020年耕地非农化的时空演变特征及驱动机制,可以为该地区耕地保护政策的制定与防止耕地非农化提供理论依据。本文基于2000年、2005年、2010年、2015年和2020年5个时期的土地利用数据,以下辽河平原区为研究区域,结合社会经济数据,运用ArcGIS 10.2空间叠加分析,计算耕地非农化面积,采用重心迁移模型、核密度分析、地理探测器等统计学和地理信息系统的空间分析方法,揭示下辽河平原区耕地非农化特征及其演变趋势,并探讨其耕地非农化的驱动因素。研究结果表明:1)在时间上,下辽河平原区耕地非农化面积和非农化率呈现周期性波动,耕地非农化总面积为2201.52 km^(2),耕地非农化率为7.11%。2)在空间分布上,耕地非农化的重心主要从辽中区向东北方向迁移至于洪区,下辽河平原区耕地非农化东部地区高于西部地区,核密度最大值1657.3,主要在于洪区、浑南区、沈北新区、苏家屯区附近;耕地非农化的次集中区域为新民市和昌图县,其核密度最大值分别为1033.18和1018.49。3)在驱动因素上,耕地非农化驱动因素影响依次为农业机械总动力>户籍人口>城镇人口>固定资产投资>第三产业增加值>GDP>粮食产量>第二产业增加值,交互作用探测器表现为双因子增强或非线性增强关系。综合来看,耕地非农化是社会、经济因素综合作用的复杂结果。鉴于此,本文建议通过严格控制城市建设用地占用耕地的规模、挖掘农村居民点利用潜力、转变经济发展方式、推动农业产业结构调整等措施治理耕地非农化。

县域耕地非农化时空演变特征及动态趋势研究——以安徽省为例

耕地是国家粮食安全的物质基础,把握耕地非农化的时空演变规律及动态趋势,对保障粮食供给和可持续发展具有重要意义。以安徽省为研究对象,基于ArcGIS、GeoDa和Matlab软件,提取安徽省1995—2020年耕地非农化数据,在县域尺度上,采取探索性空间数据分析方法研究耕地非农化时空演变特征,运用MarKov链分析耕地非农化的动态演变趋势,为合理管控耕地非农化提供科学依据。结果表明,安徽省耕地非农化面积高值区主要位于安徽省中部(合肥都市圈)重点发展区,低值区主要集中在安徽省北部和南部一些经济欠发达地区,空间集聚性呈先减后增再减趋势,集聚效应逐渐减弱,冷热点区在空间上形成了“块状热点集群”和“点状冷点集群”。安徽省县域耕地非农化水平的趋势主要表现为:不同等级间不够稳定,易发生转移;等级转移基本发生在相邻类型之间,较少出现“跳跃式”转移;考虑空间因素后发现,相邻县区差异化的耕地非农化水平对本县区发生等级转移的概率有不同程度的影响,随着空间溢出效应增强,维持原等级的概率越低,更易发生转移;等级转移的概率同时受空间滞后类型和初始等级的影响。

1990—2020年滇中城市群耕地非农化时空变化特征及驱动机制

[目的]通过分析滇中城市群30年耕地非农化的演变路径、时空变化特征及驱动机制,为滇中城市群耕地资源的保护及精准管理提供理论依据。[方法]基于滇中城市群土地利用数据和统计年鉴数据,运用重心迁移模型、变化轨迹模型、空间自相关分析、主成分分析等方法揭示1990—2020年滇中城市群耕地非农化过程、空间分布特征及主要驱动因素。[结果](1)从时间上看,滇中城市群耕地非农化面积呈波动下降趋势,2000年前后由年均增加约6.88×10^(3)hm^(2)转变为年平均减少约2.66×10^(4)hm^(2),受政策、经济和城市化影响导致其变化最剧烈。从空间上看,耕地非农化集中分布于滇中城市群的中部、东部、东南部和东北部地区。(2)30年来,滇中城市群耕地非农化在空间分布上趋于均衡,区域间耕地非农化差异变小,空间格局趋于稳定。(3)滇中城市群耕地主要转出为林地和草地,少部分转化为建设用地,变化型耕地中有54.60%与草地相关,29.33%与林地相关,4.64%与建设用地相关,主要发生在滇中城市群的中部、北部、东南部和西北部的局部区域。(4)滇中城市群耕地非农化存在显著的空间聚集效应,以高—高聚集和低—低聚集为主,高—高聚集主要分布在中部、北部和东南部,低—低集聚主要分布在西北部、西部和西南部。(5)滇中城市群耕地非农化受社会经济和自然条件共同影响。社会经济中的农业人口、国有固定产投资和城市化率是耕地非农化最主要的驱动因素,影响系数分别为-0.18,0.11,0.10;而自然因素年平均降水量和年平均气温在耕地非农化空间分布和扩张过程起着关键性的作用,影响系数分别为0.17,-0.15。[结论]研究结果揭示30年来滇中城市群耕地非农化的时空变化特征、演变路径及驱动机制。对合理利用和保护耕地资源,保障云南省粮食安全具有重要作用,在一定程度上可为滇中城市群的耕地保护和耕地布局优化提供决策参考。

耕地非农转换空间非均衡测度及空间扩散路径分析——以武汉城市圈为例

基于武汉城市圈48个区(县)2000—2020年5期土地利用变化数据,采用洛伦兹曲线、基尼系数测算武汉城市圈耕地非农转换空间非均衡程度,并利用重心模型绘制基于耕地非农转换速度的分级重心曲线,分析耕地非农转换空间分布特征及时空扩散路径。结果表明:(1)武汉城市圈耕地非农转换速度呈现中部高,四周低的总体特征。(2)耕地非农转换速度空间分异特征明显,不同时期耕地非农转换最快的区域均集中于武汉市及黄石市下辖区县。(3)武汉城市圈耕地非农化在县域尺度上空间分布极不均衡,且非均衡程度有先下降后逐步上升的趋势,其中2005—2010年非均衡程度最低。(4)2000—2020年不同时期耕地非农转换速度分级的重心集中分布于武汉市洪山区、蔡甸区、江夏区、江岸区以及鄂州市的鄂城区。(5)武汉城市圈耕地非农化重心空间迁移方向为西北—东南—西北,其空间扩散路径整体呈现回旋状。该研究实现了武汉城市圈在县域尺度耕地非农转换方向和均衡性的动态可视化,为协调土地非均衡发展和促进区域均衡发展提供了一定科学依据。

三江流域(云南区段)耕地非粮化空间格局及驱动因素

为厘清中国西南典型丘陵山区的耕地非粮化态势并提供针对性的管控策略,以三江流域(云南区段)为研究区,探究该地区非粮化的空间格局及驱动因素,从耕地资源禀赋、社会经济因素和农业投入因素3个角度来识别非粮化的驱动力,划分非粮化的驱动类型,得到如下结果表明。1)2019年三江流域(云南区段)非粮化总面积为100.41万hm^(2),非粮化率均值为34.69%,其中金沙江流域中各县级单元的非粮化程度明显高于怒江和澜沧江流域。2)粮食单位产出量、乡村人口占比、坡度和人均耕地面积是耕地非粮化的重要驱动因子。3)耕地非粮化的驱动类型可划分为资源驱动型、劳动力驱动型和经济驱动型,其中劳动力驱动型是区域内主要的驱动类型,经济驱动型均为县级市或市辖区,资源驱动型主要分布在经济驱动型的周围。根据不同驱动类型的县域,寻求耕地非粮化的不同管控途径,有助于为国家粮食安全和耕地保护政策调整提供科学依据。

西藏自治区和青海省耕地质量评价及影响因素研究

以西藏自治区和青海省为研究区,从土壤性状和技术条件评价耕地质量,识别其主导限制因子,探索其宏观影响因素,以期为提升耕地生产力、保障高原地区粮食安全提供支撑.基于主观和客观综合赋权确定指标权重,引入随机森林(RF)方法探索区域宏观自然-经济-社会因素影响.结果显示:西藏自治区和青海省耕地主要以中等地为主,面积占比为44.6%,中等地多为青海省的湟水谷地地区的坡耕地,较高的田面坡度制约了耕地高效利用.海拔和距城镇距离对于高原地区整体耕地质量具有重要影响.在多数地区,海拔与耕地质量呈现出负相关关系;距城镇距离对于耕地质量的影响存在空间差异;在藏中南和边疆带区,受到技术条件影响,高质量耕地往往布局在城市周边;在高原东北部河谷地区,邻近城市周边的耕地土壤质量更低,土壤退化更易发生.

新形势下耕地资源质量分类与等别转换的应用研究——以济南市为例

以济南市为研究区域,在2021年度耕地资源质量分类成果的基础上,运用改进的灰靶模型和指标赋分求和法2种等别转换方式将济南市耕地资源质量分类成果转换为等别数据。结果表明:改进的灰靶模型兼顾了耕地的自然本底特征和耕地的粮食产能,在赋权和评价过程更为客观、科学,转换后的等别成果更为合理,济南市质量较好的耕地主要位于中部和北部平原地区以及沿黄地区,等别主要为3等和4等地,占总耕地面积的77%,符合济南市实际情况;采用指标赋分求和法转换的等别整体较为合理,但主观性较强,评价结果区域内部差异性较小。因此,改进的灰靶模型在耕地资源质量分类与等别衔接研究中应用性更强,转换成果可为耕地占补平衡与进出平衡等实践应用提供参考。

土地资源管理中县级国土空间总体规划编制问题及对策

针对南华县国土空间总体规划中耕地“非农化”“非粮化”、用地布局缺乏科学性等问题,通过采取工程措施与调出补划相结合的方式,调整规划分区规则以及分类型、分区域布局新增建设用地等措施,使永久基本农田中的“非耕地”面积减少了149.02 hm^(2),农田保护区面积增加了9 607.35 hm^(2),城镇开发边界和村庄建设边界外的新增建设用地规模由6 044.02 hm^(2)下降到417.83 hm^(2)。