Problem regions and regional problems of socioeconomic development in China： A perspective from the coordinated development of industrialization, informatization, urbanization and agricultural modernization

Identifying the problem regions and regional problems, and thus improving regional policies, are crucial for the sustainable development of various economic entities. The coordinated development of industrialization, informatization, urbanization and agricultural modernization（hereinafter referred to as ＂Sihua＂） is not only a practical need but an important strategic direction of integrating urban-rural development and regional development in recent China, and it also provides a significant perspective for identifying problem regions and regional problems so as to improve the regional policies. This study mainly aims to： firstly, establish a comprehensive evaluation index system so as to explore the spatial pattern of coordinated development of Sihua in China at prefecture level; secondly, to develop an evaluation criteria system to identify the problem regions and regional problems from the perspective of coordinated development of Sihua. This paper comes first in the scientific community to evaluate the coordinated development state of Sihua in China at prefecture level and identify the problem regions and regional problems from the perspective of Sihua development by quantitative analysis. This study may benefit the improvement of regional policies and thus contribute to the sustainable socio-economic development of China.

A Study of Agricultural Technology Extension and Synchronous Development of Agricultural Modernization,Urbanization and Industrialization in China

Through the study of relationship between agricultural technology extension and the development of agricultural modernization,urbanization and industrialization,it is found that agricultural technology extension is an important means to achieve synchronous development of agricultural modernization,urbanization and industrialization. Based on the sample data in China during 1978-2011,we perform the empirical analysis using VAR model and cointegration analysis and impulse response methods. The results show that there is a long-term positive equilibrium relationship between agricultural technology extension and the development of agricultural modernization,urbanization and industrialization,and agricultural technology extension plays a role in promoting agricultural modernization,urbanization and industrialization to varying degrees. Finally,it is concluded that there is a need to establish efficient agricultural technology extension mechanism and diversified agricultural technology extension investment mechanism to make agricultural technology extension better promote China's agricultural modernization,urbanization and industrialization.

Study on Balanced Development of Industrialization,Urbanization and Agricultural Modernization in Henan Province

This article expounds the connotation of balanced development of " industrialization,urbanization and agricultural modernization",and points out the problems thwarting balanced development of " industrialization,urbanization and agricultural modernization" in Henan Province as follows:the level of industrialization is not high;the general level of urbanization is low;the agricultural foundation is weak and there are many institutional barriers.The goal of balanced development of " industrialization,urbanization and agricultural modernization" in Henan Province is to take a road of industrialization and urbanization,not at the expense of agriculture and food.Based on this,the measures are put forward for balanced development of " industrialization,urbanization and agricultural modernization " in Henan Province as follows:keep to the new road of industrialization with characteristics of Henan Province,promote the development of industry and accelerate the transformation of pattern;keep to the road of new urbanization with characteristics of Henan Province,and promote the rapid change in urban development pattern;adhere to the road of agricultural modernization with characteristics of Henan Province,and promote the rapid change in pattern of agricultural development.

The Collaborative Relationship among Industrialization,Urbanization,Informatization and Agricultural Modernization and the Path of Synchronous Development in China: An Analysis Based on the Data during 1978-2011

The synchronous development of industrialization,urbanization,agricultural modernization and informatization is the basic trend and future requirements of China's economic and social development. By using the relevant data of 1978- 2011,and establishing the VAR model,we find that in the short term,industrialization is the Granger cause of urbanization; urbanization is the Granger cause of industrialization,informatization,and agricultural modernization; agricultural modernization is the Granger cause of industrialization,informatization and urbanization; informatization is the Granger reason of industrialization,urbanization and agricultural modernization. In the long run,there are long-term and stable relations among them,and at the same time,their changes affect the structure of each other,and there are pulling effect among them.

Coupling and coordination of provincial new urbanization and high-quality agricultural development in China, 2004-2018

The construction of a new type of urbanization is a necessary path for the development of modern cities,and a powerful support for coordinating the balanced development of urban and rural areas and promoting high-quality agricultural development.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2004 to 2018,the article constructs a new urbanization and agricultural high-quality development evaluation system;then using the coupling coordination degree model and the spatial correlation analysis method,the paper empirically tests the coupling coordination of the two systems degree and its spatial relevance.The results of the study show that the average level of coupling and coordination between new urbanization and high-quality agricultural development in the period under study is at a barely coordinated level,with the highest level being moderately coordinated.There are significant inter-regional differences,with a higher level of coupling and coordination in the eastern regions and more room for improvement in the central and western regions.At this stage,the trend of"club convergence"is remarkable,with highhigh agglomeration and low-low agglomeration coexisting,and the polarization is serious.Therefore,comprehensively promoting the rural revitalization strategy,adhering to the integrated development of urban and rural areas,and enhancing inter-regional collaborative governance are powerful measures to promote the joint progress of new urbanization and high-quality agricultural development.

An Analysis of the Degree of Coupling and Coordination of Agricultural Modernization and New-Type Urbanization in the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle

Based on the panel data(2005-2019)of cities(prefectures)in the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle,we have developed an evaluation system for agricultural modernization and new-type urbanization that measures the development level of each city and applies the coupling and coordination model to calculate their coupling and combination levels.The results indicate that the level of comprehensive order parameters of agricultural modernization in various cities(prefectures)in the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle generally displays an upward trend.The areas with high-degree agricultural modernization were mainly distributed in Chengdu from 2005 to 2010,and the center of agricultural modernization was shifted to western areas after 2010,with a stable upward trend in the level of comprehensive order parameters of new-type urbanization.In terms of coupling degree,there was an overall upward trend.Except for Nanchong and Dazhou,other cities(prefectures)progressed from“Undeveloped Coordination”to“Intermediate Coordination.”The imbalanced development of agricultural modernization and new-type urbanization continually improved,with the combination level increasing from“Low-Low”to“Medium-Medium.”

Review and Prospect of Development Capability of New Generation Farmers

In the context of dual economic structure,there occurs shift of numerous rural surplus labors in China. As a special group lingering about in the edges of urban and rural areas,the new generation farmers become a hot spot of research. How to help them smoothly become successors of China's agricultural modernization construction is a focus of academic circles. Based on literature review,this paper analyzed connotation of development capability of new generation farmers from agricultural modernization,thinking ability construction,system and policy,and new farmers. Finally,it came up with prospect for development of new generation farmers.

Coordinated development of land multi-function space: An analytical framework for matching the supply of resources and environment with the use of land space for ecological protection, agricultural production and urban construction

Based on the carrying capacity of the resources and the environment,this article defines the connotation of the land multifunctional space(LMFS)from three aspects,ecological protection,agricultural production and urban construction,in the new era of land space planning system.Moreover,a framework is constructed for the coordinated development of the multi-functional oriented space to match the use of land space(ULS)with the supply of resources and environment(SRE).Based on this,the technology and methods of comprehensive evaluation,dominance recognition,and matching relationship division functions of the use of land space(FULS)and functions of the supply of resources and environment(FSRE)are discussed.The advantageous functions of the use of land space(AFULS)and advantageous functions of the supply of resources and environment(AFSRE)are also identified in the study area.A LMFS coordinated development system integrating“function position-comprehensive partition-regulation strategy”is proposed.Through the empirical study of Shandong province,we found that,first,the FULS of ecological protection space in the province is mainly found in high value areas,and the FSRE is mainly in low value areas,which has certain complementarity in the space.The FULS of agricultural production space is mainly observed in high value areas,the FSRE is mainly in middle value areas,and the spatial distribution is balanced and staggered.The FULS of the urban construction space and the FSRE are mainly in middle values areas,and the spatial distribution is basically similar.Second,the FULS in the study area is dominated by the single advantage of agricultural production and urban construction,while the FSRE has a relatively balanced distribution of the advantages of ecological protection,single agricultural production and compound advantages of agricultural production and urban construction,and urban construction and ecological protection.The matching between the two is mainly at high and middle levels.Specifically,70%of the province’s land space still has a certain development and utilization potential,and 30%of ULS intensity is close to or exceeds the resource and environment carrying capacity.Third,considering the comprehensive impact of resource endowment,social and economic development and policy and institutional environment on different matching relationships,this paper constructs the land spatial development strategic pattern of“two screens-seven regions-multicore”positioning and“four regions-eight categories”hierarchical area of Shandong at the macro level,and puts forward a differentiated land space development strategy.

Strategies for Prioritizing Ecological Construction with Consideration of Agricultural Industry Development in Northern China’s Agro- pastoral Ecotone : A Perspective of Opportunity Cost

In northern China’s agro-pastoral ecotone,there are conflicts between agricultural industry and ecological construction resource competition,and also problems urgently to be solved for economic growth and sustainable ecological improvement.Taking the development concept of"lucid waters and lush mountains being mountains of gold and silver"as the guiding principle of prioritizing ecological and green development,this paper studied the strategies for prioritizing ecological construction with consideration of economic development of agricultural industry from the perspective of opportunity cost.Through the analysis of opportunity cost,externality,and Pareto optimal theory,and using the calculation method of the unit equivalent factor value of terrestrial ecological service function,this paper calculated the ecological service value of forest,grassland,and farmland.It found that the ecological value of forest and grassland per unit area was greater than the ecological value of agricultural industry.This indicates that the opportunity cost of farmland for ecological construction was less than that of agricultural industry.Based on the theoretical and quantitative analysis,it came up with recommendations for establishing a comprehensive system for prioritizing ecological construction with consideration of agricultural industry development and establishing and improving the incentive mechanism of ecological construction.

以现代化产业体系建设赋能城乡融合发展:逻辑、堵点与进路

作为现代化国家的重要物质技术基础,现代化产业体系建设能够在推动城乡融合发展中发挥积极作用。在理论逻辑上,现代化产业体系建设通过加速传统农业转型升级、引领城乡产业融合发展、畅通城乡要素双向流动、推动实现农村现代化等路径赋能城乡融合发展。针对要素双向流动受阻、乡村空间利用低效、现代农业发展困难、县域支撑不足等现实堵点,应当以破除城乡要素流动的体制障碍、推动现代化乡村空间治理体系建设、加大现代农业发展的要素投入保障、强化现代化产业体系建设县域支撑等为实践进路,推动现代化产业体系建设更好赋能城乡产业融合发展。

毛泽东对中国式现代化工农相互支援联动发展实现路径的探索

以毛泽东同志为主要代表的中国共产党人在探索中国式现代化进程中,从实现追赶世界工业化进程的战略目标出发,从以工业为先导的农业现代化建设、服务农业现代化的工业体系建设、农业向工业提供农产品支撑等产业关联性方面,对工农相互支援联动发展实现路径进行了积极探索,构建起以重工业为中心并带动农业现代化建设、农业为工业提供农产品支撑的工农产业体系,回答了作为工业化后发国家如何追赶世界工业化进程的命题,其所进行的理论和实践探索具有开创性意义。中国式现代化进程中探索工农相互支援联动发展的实践表明,对于中国社会主义革命和建设时期工农城乡关系的讨论,不能仅仅看到农业为工业提供资金支持而弱化了其发展能力,还要看到工业为农业提供现代生产要素而提升了其发展能力,以及为农村提供现代生活用品而改善了农民生活条件。

坚持“四水四定”推动经济社会高质量发展——以宁夏回族自治区“四水四定”创新实践为例

坚持“四水四定”,强化水资源刚性约束,既是缓解我国水资源供需矛盾、保障水安全的必然选择,也是推动高质量发展、建设美丽中国的客观要求。文章以宁夏回族自治区为例,深入分析了宁夏回族自治区“四水四定”改革实践,总结了相关经验启示,为探索以水资源节约集约利用推动经济社会高质量发展提供了参考。

服务业高质量发展对城乡收入差距的影响与机制

服务业高质量发展有助于农村劳动力就业、扩大农民收入来源。促进现代服务业高质量发展是缩减城乡收入差距、推进共同富裕的重要路径。基于1997—2021年我国30个省份(未含香港地区、澳门地区、台湾地区、西藏地区)数据,使用合成控制法、双重差分模型和三重差分模型分析服务业高质量发展对城乡收入差距的影响及其机制。研究发现,服务业高质量发展有助于缩减城乡收入差距,且这种缩减作用在北京、上海最强,在江苏、天津、浙江次之,在广东最弱;服务业高质量发展对东部、中部和西部地区城乡收入差距的缩减作用均显著,但在中部地区最强,在东部和西部地区较弱;绿色发展和区域协调发展在服务业高质量发展对城乡收入差距的影响中发挥正向调节作用,服务业高质量发展对城乡收入差距的缩减作用在绿色发展水平较高、区域协调发展水平较高的省份更强;服务业高质量发展能够通过产业结构升级(包括产业结构高级化、产业结构合理化)缩减城乡收入差距。为进一步发挥服务业高质量发展对城乡收入差距的缩减作用,应持续加强服务创新,推动服务业高质量发展;发挥区域比较优势,推动区域协调发展;引导绿色消费和生产,提升绿色发展水平;推动现代服务业和新兴产业发展,促进产业结构升级。

高质量发展目标下脱贫县农业产业化与农地利用生态效率耦合协调分析:以江西省为例

探究脱贫县农业产业化与农地利用生态效率耦合协调关系,对促进农业高质量发展具有重要意义。基于新发展理念,以江西省25个脱贫县为研究对象,构建农业产业化与农地利用生态效率耦合评价体系,借助耦合协调模型和泰尔指数模型测度两者的耦合协调水平及其区域差异。结果表明:(1)2011—2020年,江西省脱贫县农地利用生态效率总体水平较高,年均值为0.738,赣南地区高于赣中和赣北地区;(2)2011—2020年,江西省脱贫县农业产业化发展指数总体水平较低,年均值为0.414,赣北地区最高,其次为赣中,赣南最低;(3)2011—2020年,脱贫县农业产业化与农地利用生态效率耦合协调指数由期初的0.321升至期末的0.342,总体处于中度失调和轻度失调阶段;(4)脱贫县地区内差异对泰尔指数总体贡献最大,县域农业发展协调性较弱。进一步分析可以发现,市场与政府的作用差异是导致农业产业化水平与农地利用生态效率存在差异的主要原因,综合运用行政和市场手段推动农业产业化发展是提高两者耦合协调水平的关键。

农业强国背景下饲料产业现代化发展的困境与路径研究

饲料产业现代化发展是确保畜牧养殖稳定生产、肉蛋奶供应安全的前提。在农业强国背景下,只有发挥饲料产业对“种养加”行业的带动作用,才能切实满足市场对动物源性食品的旺盛需求。可以说,无论是食品安全还是农业发展都离不开饲料产业。虽然国家政策扶持,科技创新驱动,市场旺盛需求等外在因素积极推动了饲料产业的现代化发展,但其依旧面临着一定的发展困境。所以需要进行针对性分析,并对饲料产业现代化发展路径进行研究,提出相应措施,从而加快推进农业强国建设。

农民工市民化影响城乡融合发展的理论阐释与实证分析

将农民工市民化与城乡融合发展纳入统一分析框架,在构建城乡融合发展进程评价指标体系和计算农民工城市融入工资测算农民工市民化程度的基础上,基于2009—2021年省级面板数据,构建双向固定效应模型,实证检验农民工市民化对城乡融合发展的影响。研究发现:推进农民工市民化能够显著促进城乡融合发展;分区域看,农民工市民化对城乡融合发展的促进作用在中西部地区更加明显;通过加快农业现代化、加快农村现代化、促进基本公共服务均等化以及提高新型城镇化质量等作用渠道推进农民工市民化促进城乡融合发展。

京津冀建设中国式现代化先行区、示范区的理论逻辑与路径选择

基于建设中国式现代化先行区、示范区的战略使命,回顾了京津冀协同发展的演进历程及阶段特征,识别了京津冀协同发展的新要求;依托区域经济发展机制分析了京津冀协同发展面临的经济社会环境变化,结合京津冀创新实践构建了“疏建结合的要素投入”“内涵集约的要素组合”“地方品质导向的要素聚集”“多节点网络化的要素布局”“深化协同的要素治理”五个方面的京津冀协同发展理论框架。在此基础上,从根植国家经济社会发展宏观背景、立足区域发展现实基础、遵循区域经济发展规律出发,围绕着经济发展、协同开放、空间布局、政府治理、共同富裕和生态改善提出了京津冀建设中国式现代化先行区、示范区的路径构想。

数字技术赋能城乡产业协调发展的内在机制与实现路径

数字技术的发展与普及应用推动生产要素在中国城乡的双向流动,进而推进城乡产业协调发展,但目前针对数字技术对城乡产业协调发展影响作用的实证研究不足。因此,借助省级面板数据,深入探究数字技术对中国城乡产业协调发展的总体影响和区域异质性及其作用机制,为进一步深化该主题研究,为利用数字技术推进城乡产业融合升级、实现城乡协调发展提供理论参考。以数字技术为切入点,从理论分析数字技术影响城乡产业协调发展的内在机制,基于2011—2021年中国30个省份面板数据,建立数字化综合评价指标体系,运用熵值法测算各省份数字化水平,运用耦合协调模型计算各省份城乡产业协调度,并就数字技术如何影响城乡产业协调发展进行实证分析。结果表明:数字技术对推进城乡产业协调发展具有显著正向影响;数字技术在不同空间地理位置对城乡产业协调发展存在异质性影响;县域经济在数字技术助推城乡产业协调发展过程中发挥部分中介效应;在不同经济发展水平下,数字技术对城乡产业协调发展的影响作用呈现非线性特征,当地区经济发展水平达到一定程度,数字技术才能对城乡产业协调发展产生显著正向推动作用,其门槛值为10.379。基于此,进一步从完善乡村数字基础设施建设、完善统筹规划和完善数字素养培育体系三方面提出具体对策建议。

现代化产业体系区域协同发展及驱动因素研究

本文在构建现代化产业体系发展评价指标体系的基础上,使用熵权法测算中国30个省(区、市)2012—2021年现代化产业体系发展水平指数,借助修正的引力模型和社会网络分析法测算现代化产业体系区域协同发展水平,采用二次指派程序(QAP)考察现代化产业体系区域协同发展的驱动因素。研究发现,样本考察期内,东部及中部地区现代化产业体系发展水平较高,西部及东北地区发展水平较低;省份间空间关联较弱,区域协同发展程度较低;块模型分析表明,净溢出板块现代化产业体系发展协同性最好;总体而言,内部驱动因素中的产业绿色化、产业数字化、产业基础高级化以及外部驱动因素中的政府创新支持度、人口流动对现代化产业体系区域协同发展促进作用较强。