Assessment of rural sustainable development and analysis and prediction of obstacles and coupled coordinated development:A case study of Zaozhuang City

In China,the Innovation Demonstration Zone for the National Sustainable Development Agenda is a key initiative for executing the United Nations(UN)2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.The Zone also plays critical roles in addressing the developmental bottlenecks that China faces and sharing Chinese insights into global sustainable development efforts.On July 15,2022,the State Council endorsed the Zone’s establishment in Zaozhuang City,Shandong Province,where it focuses on innovation-led sustainable development in rural areas.Research into the levels,impediments,interdependencies,and evolutionary trends of rural sustainable development is crucial.Therefore,this research aimed to assist in comprehensively assessing developmental challenges and facilitating the harmonious advancement of social,economic,and environmental aspects in rural areas.In pursuit of the three fundamental dimensions of the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs),namely development’s drivers,quality,and equity,this study was grounded in China’s national Rural Revitalization Strategy and the demands of sustainable development strategies.It also aligns with the UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the associated SDG indicators.Focusing on four key areas,namely production elements,natural elements,social elements,and rural governance,this study developed an evaluation index system for assessing the level of rural sustainable development.It employed a range of analytical models,including the game theory-based combination empowerment method,barrier degree model,coupling degree model,coupling coordination degree model,and gray prediction GM(1,1)model,to analyze the status and evolving trends of rural sustainable development in Zaozhuang City from 2015 to 2022.The key findings were as follows:①Relative to the baseline year 2015,the sustainable development level in Zaozhuang’s rural areas has shifted toward an improved state overall.②The primary barrier to achieving rural sustainable development in Zaozhuang is the city’s rural governance system.③While the components of rural sustainable development in Zaozhuang are in the early stages of both basic and moderate coordination,an overall enhancement has occurred in their integrative coordination.④Between 2023 and 2025,the level of integrative coordination in Zaozhuang is expected to rise steadily.However,reaching a state of advanced coordination will require additional time for development.

Chinese Rural labors Transfer under the Coordination of Urban-Rural Development

The strategic significance of Chinese rural labor transfer is expounded.It is conducive to solving the three agricultural problems concerning agriculture,rural areas,and farmers and coordinating the urban and rural development;promoting the rational distribution of human resources and realizing the growth of national economy;restructuring industrial structure and improving Chinese market competitiveness.The problems in the transfer of Chinese rural labors are analyzed,which include the low overall cultural level of rural labors;imperfect organization developmental;weak management mechanism and imperfect supporting measures.The rational paths for Chinese rural labor transfer are pointed out,including break the urban and rural dual structure and realize the free move of rural labors;strengthen the organization construction to provide high-quality socialized service for rural labor transfer;perfect security system to foster favorable social environment for rural labor transfer;establish scientific management mechanism to realize the sustainable rural labor transfer.

Study on the coordinated development of the rural infrastructure and the rural economy

Through the construction of the comprehensive evaluation index system and the coordination degree model of the rural in- frastructure and the rural economic development level, the author carries out an empirical analysis on the rural infrastructure and economic coordinated development in the country＇s 31 regions. Research shows that the gap between the levels of the development of the rural in-frastructure in China is large, presenting the gradually reducing gradient distribution from the east to the west. The rural infrastructure de- velopment level has significant positive correlation with the level of economic development. For those provinces of the high development level of the rural economy, the infrastructure construction level is also relatively high. From the view of the coordination degree, it presents the obvious ＂dumbbell＂ shape, and there are more provinces which belong to the high quality coordination and the serious imbalance, with the coordinated degree in the eastern regions obviously higher than that in the central and western regions.

Analysis of Coordination between the Public Service in Rural Areas and Socio-economic Development——A Case Study of Sichuan Province

Taking Sichuan Province as an example,by using the overall evaluation function of Sichuan's rural public service equalization development level and rural socio-economic development level,we conduct profound analysis on coordination between public service in Sichuan's rural areas and socio-economic development from 2003 to 2008.The results show that the coordination between rural public service and socio-economic development in Sichuan Province is not high,and the equalization phenomenon of rural public service construction and socio-economic development is very prominent.The equalization development of public service in rural areas of Sichuan Province from 2003 to 2008 lags behind socio-economic development.The coordination between public service equalization system in rural areas of Sichuan Province and socio-economic development system abates continuously;the coordination between infrastructure and socio-economic development increases slowly;the coordination between education and socio-economic development declines sharply;the coordination between public culture and socio-economic development tends to decrease;the coordination between ecological environment construction and socio-economic development decreases continuously with great amplitude;the coordination between public health and socio-economic development decreases continuously;the coordination between science and technology and socio-economic development lingers at low level;the coordination between social security and employment,and socio-economic development increases in fluctuation,but with small amplitude.

Appraisal of typical rural development models during rapid urbanization in the eastern coastal region of China

The sustainability of regional rural development depends on the integrated status and the coordination between rural resources-environment conditions and rural socioeco- nomic development. In this paper a diagnostic indicator system is proposed to appraise four representative rural development models such as Mentougou model, Taicang model, Yueqing model and Qionghai model in the eastern coastal region of China from the integrated perspective of population, resources, environment, and development. In conclusion, the formation and evolution of these diverse rural deveJopment models are the direct response to the very different characteristics in the environment, market demand, and regional culture. These models are common in that their sustainability depends on the scientific guidance of the regional development functional positioning, strong intra-regional interactions, and self-adaptability to the external conditions.

AN OVERVIEW ON THE URBAN-RURAL INTERACTION IN THE PAST 50 YEARS IN CHINA

China is a country with a long history of agricultural development,the tr adition of bureaucratic administra-tion and economic management system s for the social development.In its t ransition from traditional society to modern soci-ety during the past 50years,the rela tions between rural areas and urban a reas have been kept abnormal if considered from the point of view of the modernized co untries.Today,China still has its more than 70percent of population,bu t limited capital,lower technology and underdeveloped culture,in the rural areas.This unbalance forms not only the o bstacles to China’s modernization of social development,but also the barriers to th e society,economy and environment sustainable devel-opment.This paper focuses on the dis cussion about the coordinate develo pment of the relations between rural and urban in the past 50years,and the authors hold that only has the abnormal relation between the two areas been corrected,could China’s future development of natio nal economy be successful.

Chengdu Urban-Rural Integration Exploration and Lessons–Book Review of Coordinating Urban and Rural Development in China: Learning from Chengdu

Coordinating Urban and Rural Development in China:Learning from Chengdu Authors:Ye Yumin,Richard Le Gates Year:2013Publisher:Edward Elgar Publishing ISBN:9781781952023(424 pages,in English)Urban and rural integration,i.e.,how to deal with the issues of urban and rural disparities,urban and rural development,farmers,agriculture,migrant workers(or urban,industrial new immigrants),

Analysis on the Referential Role of Western Urbanization Theory in the Process of Urban and Rural Construction in China

Western urbanization theory has crucial influence on the course of China' s urban and rural construction.Social economy and the scientific distribution of population are the key of the layout of urban and rural construction and an important factor in facilitating the innovative development of urban and rural construction.The continuous improvement of the environment of social resources as well as the quality of life is the focus of China' s urban and rural construction.As western urbanization theory just probes into this specific issue,it offers referential value in urging us to take the path of sustainable development in urban and rural construction.

在城乡融合发展中全面推进乡村振兴:核心任务、突出问题与关键举措

全面推进乡村振兴是解决城乡发展不平衡不充分问题的重要举措,是贯彻落实新发展理念的生动体现。首先,梳理中国城乡关系的走向以及“三农”工作总抓手的转变,总结归纳在城乡融合发展中全面推进乡村振兴的实践逻辑。其次,针对在城乡融合发展中全面推进乡村振兴需要完成“农业强、农村美、农民富”的三大核心任务。再次,研究发现:中国正面临农村经济发展相对落后、生态环境短板挑战较大、城乡要素双向流动不畅、公共资源配置均等化程度不高、城乡收入失衡局面尚待扭转以及县域经济综合承载力不足等突出问题。最后,从加速农业现代化转型、加强乡村治理、打破城乡制度性约束、加大农村公共资源投入力度、多渠道增加农民收入以及推动县域经济高质量发展等角度提出相应的政策建议。

我国农村碳排放强度与乡村振兴协同发展分析

基于对2010—2020年中国农村碳排放强度与乡村振兴发展水平的测算,探究两者耦合协调度并进行空间自相关分析,借助面板向量自回归(VAR)模型佐证农村碳排放强度与乡村振兴互动效应。研究结果表明:我国农村碳排放强度波动下降,乡村振兴发展水平持续上升,但区域间发展差异性较大;两者耦合协调度稳步提升,从期初的中等协调转为优质协调状态,空间上存在正相关性,主要表现为高-高集聚和低-低集聚两种分布类型,且集聚程度均逐年减弱;农村碳排放强度与乡村振兴存在长期稳定的协整关系,农村碳排放强度与乡村振兴对自身冲击效应较大,而农村碳排放强度对乡村振兴发展的抑制作用强于乡村振兴对农村碳排放强度的促进作用。基于实证分析,建议加强政策制度建设和碳排放监管、实施补贴政策,并促进农业技术创新,以推动农业生产方式向低碳转型,以实现农村碳排放与乡村振兴的协同发展。

农村数字经济与农业绿色发展的耦合协调研究

基于2014—2020年中国省级样本数据测算农村数字经济和农业绿色发展水平,采用修正的耦合协调模型、Dagum基尼系数及QAP模型实证分析农村数字经济与农业绿色发展的耦合发展水平差异及其原因。结果表明:尽管农村数字经济和农业绿色发展均处于发展推进期,但目前两者并未达到最优耦合状态;农村数字经济与农业绿色发展耦合水平差异经历“缩小-平稳-增大”的过程,缩小地区间差异和地区内差异都是解决耦合不平衡的关键;政府调控水平、运输邮电水平以及外贸开放水平差异是造成各省耦合水平差异的主要原因,而科技水平的差异化有利于缩小各省耦合度的差异。据此,建议由地方政府牵头将现代信息技术深度融入农业农村发展,打造高效高质寄递运输网络,健全农产品国内统一大市场体系,并坚持创新驱动发展。

数字经济与农村物流的耦合协调关系测度研究

数字经济与农村物流的深入融合是农村经济高质量发展的战略选择。现有的物流体系难以满足农村地区日益增长的数字化、柔性化与专业化供给需求,亟须通过与数字经济的耦合协调机制,为农村经济的高质量发展输送“动能”。基于结合形式-主体逻辑-运作层级的理论框架,厘清数字经济与农村物流耦合协调系统的运作机理。通过构建评价指标体系与耦合协调评价模型,论证我国21个省(自治区、直辖市)数字经济与农村物流的耦合协调关系。研究结果表明:数字经济与农村物流的耦合呈低级到高级、简单到复杂的正向发展趋势;就分梯队视角而言,四梯队分别呈现齐头并进、积极驱动、左右抗衡与协调失衡的耦合协调趋势。针对耦合协调发展差异化,采取分梯队治理策略,可以为农村经济的高质量发展制配方案。

黄河流域乡村集群的空间协同发展路径——以黄河滨州段为例

立足于黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展、乡村振兴国家战略在山东的地域性实践背景,基于对黄河流域乡村集群的空间协同发展路径研究,阐释乡村集群的概念并归纳沿黄乡村集群特征,从黄河流域乡村的发展壁垒入手,将乡村集群类型划分为城乡融合型、带状集聚型、组团提升型等3种集群空间模式,提出统筹体系架构与空间优化两层面的协同路径。随后,以《滨州市黄河沿岸国土空间规划》为例,以229个村庄为样本,构建由城乡融合示范区、特色集聚段、门户提升段构成的“一区三段”乡村集群空间格局,提出“尺度嵌合、显隐结合、城乡融合”的空间协同路径,以及空间多尺度的分类传导和规划多嵌套的分级传导体系,以期为黄河流域乡村高质量发展提供可参考的路径模式。

积极应对人口老龄化战略下养老服务的均衡发展

党的二十大将实现养老服务均衡发展摆在了突出位置。在以均衡治理原则助推高质量发展的格局下,老龄化国家战略再次升级了养老服务在格局、空间、模式、性质、内容五个方面的均衡关系。然而,由于多重原因,目前我国养老服务均衡发展中存在保障对象收入差异的起点非均衡、准入条件欠缺灵活的过程非均衡、运作机制维持困境的结构非均衡问题。在积极应对人口老龄化战略背景下,亟需实现养老服务的结构优化、功能提升、内容提质,并需重点关注:一是基本养老服务均衡化的基础环境已初步形成;二是科学把握城乡区域人口老龄化分布格局趋势;三是改变现有基本养老服务制度建设的基本理念;四是区域一体化是基本养老服务均衡化的重要步伐;五是坚持基本养老服务制度全国统筹的基本思路;六是建立新型的基本养老服务事权格局。

服务业高质量发展对城乡收入差距的影响与机制

服务业高质量发展有助于农村劳动力就业、扩大农民收入来源。促进现代服务业高质量发展是缩减城乡收入差距、推进共同富裕的重要路径。基于1997—2021年我国30个省份(未含香港地区、澳门地区、台湾地区、西藏地区)数据,使用合成控制法、双重差分模型和三重差分模型分析服务业高质量发展对城乡收入差距的影响及其机制。研究发现,服务业高质量发展有助于缩减城乡收入差距,且这种缩减作用在北京、上海最强,在江苏、天津、浙江次之,在广东最弱;服务业高质量发展对东部、中部和西部地区城乡收入差距的缩减作用均显著,但在中部地区最强,在东部和西部地区较弱;绿色发展和区域协调发展在服务业高质量发展对城乡收入差距的影响中发挥正向调节作用,服务业高质量发展对城乡收入差距的缩减作用在绿色发展水平较高、区域协调发展水平较高的省份更强;服务业高质量发展能够通过产业结构升级(包括产业结构高级化、产业结构合理化)缩减城乡收入差距。为进一步发挥服务业高质量发展对城乡收入差距的缩减作用,应持续加强服务创新,推动服务业高质量发展;发挥区域比较优势,推动区域协调发展;引导绿色消费和生产,提升绿色发展水平;推动现代服务业和新兴产业发展,促进产业结构升级。

农业强国视域下粮食产区粮食产业与特色农业协同发展研究

为更好地实现“加快建设农业强国”目标,对于粮食产区而言,保证粮食安全、促进农民增收、发展现代农业、增加地方收入等是必须完成的发展任务。需要分析如何在保证粮食产业健康发展的同时,通过发展具有区位比较优势的高附加值特色农业,实现农民增收和地方财力增长,进而实现乡村振兴和农民农村共同富裕这一重点问题。结果表明,粮食产业与特色农业之间存在着诸多差异,这些差异会导致二者在发展中产生问题和矛盾。为促进粮食产业与特色农业的协同发展,应以组织方式集体化,实现粮食产业与特色农业的利益协同;以技术研发基地化,实现粮食产业与特色农业的科技协同;以生产方式工业化,实现粮食产业与特色农业的生产协同;以销售推广网络化,实现粮食产业与特色农业的渠道协同。说明粮食产业与特色农业协同发展,是农业强国视域下实现粮食产区乡村振兴和农民农村共同富裕目标的有效路径。

高质量推进农村区域协调发展:思路目标与实现路径

农村区域协调发展是解决农村发展不平衡不充分问题的关键路径,是实现共同富裕的重要支撑,是推进中国式现代化的必然要求。党的十八大以来,围绕农村区域协调发展,党和国家作出了一系列重要决策部署,将农村区域协调发展提升到了新的高度。然而,受限于资源禀赋、经济发展等诸多因素,目前我国不同地区农村发展在收入、消费、公共服务、基础设施和人居环境等维度依然存在显著差异。发达的东部地区农村与相对落后的中西部地区农村的较大差距,逐渐成为当前中国农村高质量发展的重大问题,一定程度上也制约了实现共同富裕的进程。针对这些问题,应将高质量推进农村区域协调发展摆在更为紧要的位置,并着力构建区域共同发展、区域共生发展、区域共建发展和区域共享发展的新格局。依循这一思路,本文进一步从激发农村经济内生增长动能、推进农村消费需求转型升级、强化农村基础设施建设投资、构建农村经济绿色发展模式、协同农村区域发展政策等方面,提出未来一段时期高质量推进我国农村区域协调发展的实现路径与对策建议。

基于灰色关联度农村旅游经济与生态环境的耦合协调关系研究

随着农村旅游业的发展,旅游经济与生态环境的耦合协调关系至关重要.采用灰色关联度分析法,旨在深入分析两者相互作用及耦合协调机制,以期科学管理农村经济发展与生态环境保护.分析农村旅游经济与生态环境互动及其耦合机制,并通过灰色关联度法评估二者的协调度.结果表明:初期各指标间关联度介于0.643~0.868范围内,后期关联度介于0.635~0.906范围内,显示系统间耦合协调性逐渐增强,揭示了各种因素随时间改变对耦合协调关系的作用,为促进农村旅游业可持续发展和生态环境有效保护提供了科学依据.

数字经济、生态保护与城乡融合发展的耦合协调效应——来自省域面板数据的实证检验

数字经济-生态保护-城乡融合发展的耦合协调效应是检视经济与社会高质量发展的重要维度。基于2011-2021年中国省域面板数据,采用熵值法、耦合协调度模型、探索性空间数据分析法以及灰色关联度模型,探究三者耦合协调发展的时空分异特征和驱动因素。研究结果表明:三个子系统的评价指数存在一定差异,城乡融合发展最高,生态保护居中,数字经济最低;从时间上看,研究期内三大系统的耦合协调度在低水平段位呈上升状态;从空间上看,三大系统耦合协调度表现为“东部>中部>西部”,且存在显著的正向空间自相关特征,局部空间自相关类型以“高-高”和“低-低”集聚为主;作为制约三大系统耦合协调发展的重要因素,产业结构、人口素质、经济驱动、政府调控、科技支撑的驱动效果依次递减。因此,要制定差异化区域协调发展战略,建构跨区域协作机制,实现数字经济、生态保护与城乡融合发展的互构式发展。

数字技术赋能城乡产业协调发展的内在机制与实现路径

数字技术的发展与普及应用推动生产要素在中国城乡的双向流动,进而推进城乡产业协调发展,但目前针对数字技术对城乡产业协调发展影响作用的实证研究不足。因此,借助省级面板数据,深入探究数字技术对中国城乡产业协调发展的总体影响和区域异质性及其作用机制,为进一步深化该主题研究,为利用数字技术推进城乡产业融合升级、实现城乡协调发展提供理论参考。以数字技术为切入点,从理论分析数字技术影响城乡产业协调发展的内在机制,基于2011—2021年中国30个省份面板数据,建立数字化综合评价指标体系,运用熵值法测算各省份数字化水平,运用耦合协调模型计算各省份城乡产业协调度,并就数字技术如何影响城乡产业协调发展进行实证分析。结果表明:数字技术对推进城乡产业协调发展具有显著正向影响;数字技术在不同空间地理位置对城乡产业协调发展存在异质性影响;县域经济在数字技术助推城乡产业协调发展过程中发挥部分中介效应;在不同经济发展水平下,数字技术对城乡产业协调发展的影响作用呈现非线性特征,当地区经济发展水平达到一定程度,数字技术才能对城乡产业协调发展产生显著正向推动作用,其门槛值为10.379。基于此,进一步从完善乡村数字基础设施建设、完善统筹规划和完善数字素养培育体系三方面提出具体对策建议。