Based on the consideration of operation environment and structural property, an optimum design model of offshore jacket platform is developed in this paper, namely, the reliability-based full-life cycle optimum design...Based on the consideration of operation environment and structural property, an optimum design model of offshore jacket platform is developed in this paper, namely, the reliability-based full-life cycle optimum design model. In this model, the time-dependent reliability assessment method for structural members is established by combination of the decrease of sectional size and performance deterioration of material. The initial investment, maintenance cost and failure loss cost are assembled into the model. The total cost of the platform structure system in its full service period is chosen as the objective function, and the initial reliabilities of the layer elements partitioned in advance are taken as the design variables. Different models are obtained, depending on whether the system reliability constraint is considered or not. This optimum design model can result in the lowest full-life cost and the optimal initial layer reliability of an offshore jacket platform in the design of marine structures. The feasibility of this model is illustrated with an actual jacket platform in the Liaodong Gulf as an example.展开更多
为了结合海底电缆寿命周期特点、制定适用于近海风电场高压海底电缆的选型标准,以海缆传输容量大于风电场设计向外传输容量为约束条件,构建了包括购置、敷设、损耗、故障损失、运行维护以及回收净投资成本的海缆全寿命周期成本(LCC)模型...为了结合海底电缆寿命周期特点、制定适用于近海风电场高压海底电缆的选型标准,以海缆传输容量大于风电场设计向外传输容量为约束条件,构建了包括购置、敷设、损耗、故障损失、运行维护以及回收净投资成本的海缆全寿命周期成本(LCC)模型,并以LCC等额年值最小作为选型标准。以国内某海上风电场海底电缆选型为案例进行计算分析。结果表明,购置、损耗、故障损失成本与自身LCC占比较重,最高分别达到26.4%、30.8%、62.0%;所有方案前期投资与自身LCC占比≤40%。当电压等级相同时,单芯海缆方案损耗成本至少比三芯海缆方案高出4.68×103万元;而当线芯数相同时,高电压等级故障损失成本至少比低电压等级海缆方案高出8.8×103万元;2回110 k V 3×500 mm2高压XLPE绝缘钢丝铠装海缆方案LCC等额年值(3.08×103万元/a)最小,该方案最优。展开更多
海上风电场需要对所使用的高压XLPE绝缘海缆方案的稳定性能以及故障损失风险进行评估,但目前国内外尚无应用在此领域中可靠性评估的实用方法。结合近海风电场海底电缆传输系统多种故障状态的特点,建立海底电缆的故障树模型和马尔可夫可...海上风电场需要对所使用的高压XLPE绝缘海缆方案的稳定性能以及故障损失风险进行评估,但目前国内外尚无应用在此领域中可靠性评估的实用方法。结合近海风电场海底电缆传输系统多种故障状态的特点,建立海底电缆的故障树模型和马尔可夫可修系统可靠性评估模型。最后,以国内某海上风电项目为案例进行分析,计算结果显示：三种方案的稳态无故障状态概率分别为97.5%、96.7%、97.4%;年传输容量期望计算值分别为1.9496×10^2、1.9673×10^2、1.9496×10^2MW;年故障损失成本期望值分别为2.51×10^3、1.77×10^3、2.61×10^3万元。根据计算结果可知,方案1无故障状态概率最大,但是三方案中,年传输容量和故障损失成本期望计算值对比分析,方案2（2回110 k V三芯高压XLPE绝缘交流钢丝铠装海缆）较优。实例表明,近海风电场高压XLPE绝缘海底电缆传输系统的可靠性评估需考虑其不同的故障状态,马尔可夫可修系统模型能够根据海缆传输系统不同的故障状态,从传输容量和故障损失成本的角度优化海缆的设计方案。展开更多
文摘Based on the consideration of operation environment and structural property, an optimum design model of offshore jacket platform is developed in this paper, namely, the reliability-based full-life cycle optimum design model. In this model, the time-dependent reliability assessment method for structural members is established by combination of the decrease of sectional size and performance deterioration of material. The initial investment, maintenance cost and failure loss cost are assembled into the model. The total cost of the platform structure system in its full service period is chosen as the objective function, and the initial reliabilities of the layer elements partitioned in advance are taken as the design variables. Different models are obtained, depending on whether the system reliability constraint is considered or not. This optimum design model can result in the lowest full-life cost and the optimal initial layer reliability of an offshore jacket platform in the design of marine structures. The feasibility of this model is illustrated with an actual jacket platform in the Liaodong Gulf as an example.
文摘为了结合海底电缆寿命周期特点、制定适用于近海风电场高压海底电缆的选型标准,以海缆传输容量大于风电场设计向外传输容量为约束条件,构建了包括购置、敷设、损耗、故障损失、运行维护以及回收净投资成本的海缆全寿命周期成本(LCC)模型,并以LCC等额年值最小作为选型标准。以国内某海上风电场海底电缆选型为案例进行计算分析。结果表明,购置、损耗、故障损失成本与自身LCC占比较重,最高分别达到26.4%、30.8%、62.0%;所有方案前期投资与自身LCC占比≤40%。当电压等级相同时,单芯海缆方案损耗成本至少比三芯海缆方案高出4.68×103万元;而当线芯数相同时,高电压等级故障损失成本至少比低电压等级海缆方案高出8.8×103万元;2回110 k V 3×500 mm2高压XLPE绝缘钢丝铠装海缆方案LCC等额年值(3.08×103万元/a)最小,该方案最优。
文摘海上风电场需要对所使用的高压XLPE绝缘海缆方案的稳定性能以及故障损失风险进行评估,但目前国内外尚无应用在此领域中可靠性评估的实用方法。结合近海风电场海底电缆传输系统多种故障状态的特点,建立海底电缆的故障树模型和马尔可夫可修系统可靠性评估模型。最后,以国内某海上风电项目为案例进行分析,计算结果显示：三种方案的稳态无故障状态概率分别为97.5%、96.7%、97.4%;年传输容量期望计算值分别为1.9496×10^2、1.9673×10^2、1.9496×10^2MW;年故障损失成本期望值分别为2.51×10^3、1.77×10^3、2.61×10^3万元。根据计算结果可知,方案1无故障状态概率最大,但是三方案中,年传输容量和故障损失成本期望计算值对比分析,方案2（2回110 k V三芯高压XLPE绝缘交流钢丝铠装海缆）较优。实例表明,近海风电场高压XLPE绝缘海底电缆传输系统的可靠性评估需考虑其不同的故障状态,马尔可夫可修系统模型能够根据海缆传输系统不同的故障状态,从传输容量和故障损失成本的角度优化海缆的设计方案。
