Cross-regional emergency scheduling planning for petroleum based on the supernetwork model

Petroleum, the most important energy source in the world, plays an essential role in securing economic development. If a petroleum shortage happens, it will severely disrupt production and life. Cross-regional emergency scheduling can effectively alleviate a petroleum shortage and further enhance the efficiency of the emergency response. Considering the general lack of focus on cross-regional petroleum dispatching management, we propose a three-layer emergency scheduling network for petroleum based on a supernetwork model that can increase the regional emergency correlation by adding a transfer management process. Then, we compare the total demand for petroleum and the emergency costs considered in the petroleum emergency scheduling supernetwork model（the single-region and the cross-region scenarios）.The result shows that the cross-regional emergency scheduling pattern can effectively enhance the efficiency of the emergency preparations and reduce the emergency costs in most cases. However, when the vulnerabilities in the crossregional link grow or the regional linkage decreases, the effect of single-regional scheduling is better. In addition, the advantages of the cross-regional emergency scheduling network will be strengthened with an increase in its maximum emergency capability. Nonetheless, this advantage will disappear when the petroleum demand in the crisis layer reaches the maximum emergency response capacity. Finally, according to the comparative analysis simulation among scenarios,certain strategic policy recommendations are suggested to improve the petroleum emergency scheduling ability in regions.These recommendations include strengthening the cross-regional coordination mechanism, increasing the modes of petroleum transportation and enhancing the carrying capacity of regional emergency routes.

Utilization of cross-regional interconnector and pumped hydro energy storage for further introduction of solar PV in Japan

The amount of solar PV installed capacity has steadily increased to 44.5 GW at the end of FY2017,since the introduction of the Feed in Tariff(FiT)to Japan in 2012.On the other hand,since the first curtailment of solar PV was conducted on October 13th,2018 in the Kyushu area,the curtailment has been frequently executed including wind power after that.In this study,cross-regional interconnector and pumped hydro energy storage(PHES)are focused on mitigating curtailment.In Japan,there are 9 electric power areas which connected each other by cross-regional interconnectors.According to the historical operation,cross-regional interconnectors were secured as emergency flexible measures,but after the implicit auction was started from October 2018,it is used on merit order.Regarding a PHES in Japan,they have been built with nuclear power plants for several decades.Because the output of nuclear power generation is constant,so the PHES is used to absorb the surplus at nighttime when the demand declines.All nuclear power plants in Japan have been shut down after the accident at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant following the Great East Japan Earthquake that occurred on March 11th,2011.There are several nuclear power plants that have been restarted(9 reactors,as of August 2019).In this study,the amount of curtailment for solar PV in the Kyushu area is sent to the Chugoku area using the cross-regional interconnector(Kanmon line).Then,the PHES in the Chugoku area is pumping with low price.Because the spot price in the market is low when the curtailment is executed.After that,the PHES is generating at night with high price when the solar PV is not generating.It makes a profit by the deference for the cost of pumping and the revenue of generating by the PHES.As a calculation result,for one week from May 2nd to 8th,2019,a profit becomes 152.2 million JPY(about 1.22 million EUR).For this purpose,it is necessary to raise the operation capacity of the cross-regional interconnector up to the rated capacity with the frequency control function of solar PV instead of the capacity to keep frequency in the event of an accident.This will allow the further introduction of solar PV in Japan.

区域品牌信任对跨省旅游购物行为的影响研究--区域品牌类型的调节效应

区域品牌是跨省游客获取旅游商品信息的重要渠道,基于TPB理论探讨了区域品牌信任对跨省游客旅游商品购买意愿的影响机制。研究发现:区域品牌信任正向影响跨省游客购买态度和意愿,区域品牌信任和态度中介主观规范对购买意愿的影响;区域品牌类型调节了“主观规范→区域品牌信任”和“区域品牌信任→购买意愿”两条路径,当以区域旅游商品品牌为依托型时,区域品牌信任对购买意愿有显著影响,主观规范对区域品牌信任影响则更大。

基于ISM-MICMAC模型的京津冀跨域生态环境协同治理隐性障碍研究

跨域生态环境协同治理目前存在环境治理低效、协同效应欠佳现象,尚未形成稳定的治理格局。论文基于专家访谈和问卷调查数据,采用解释结构模型(ISM)、MICMAC等方法,从系统视角剖析了京津冀跨域生态环境协同治理隐性障碍之间的递阶层级结构关系和内在作用机理。研究表明:(1)京津冀三地政府在理念认知和利益结构上的差异是根源性隐性障碍,生态环境的公共物品性以及跨区域协同治理组织领导力与权威性问题对协同治理有显著负面影响;(2)政绩评估体系片面化、各行政区内部部门权责重叠以及信息和资源共享不充分等问题是主要障碍;(3)生态环境补偿不到位、预期收益不足以及市场调节不到位导致跨区域生态环境协同治理市场驱动力不足。三地政府应在理念认知和利益结构相互包容下,打破信任壁垒,创建互惠互利且足够稳定的协同网络,建立高效灵活对话机制、降低政府间沟通协调成本,方能化解目前的协同治理低效的困境,为推动京津冀高质量协同发展奠定良好基础。

Measurement of ^(232)Th(n,γ)cross section at the CSNS Back-n facility in the unresolved resonance region from 4 keV to 100 keV

The neutron capture cross section of ^(232)Th was measured at the neutron time-of-flight facility Back-n of China Spallation Neutron Source(CSNS)for the first time.The measurement was performed with 4 hydrogen-free deuterated benzene C6D6 liquid scintillation detectors,in the ES#2 experiment station on the beam line,at a distance of about 76 m from the neutron-production assembly.The total energy detection principle in combination with the pulse height weighting technique(PHWT)was applied to analyze the measured data.Results of the ^(232)Th(n,γ)reaction cross section in the unresolved resonance region from 4 keV to 100 keV were obtained,which shows a good agreement with the existing experimental data from EXFOR,as well as with the evaluated data from the ENDF/B-VIII.0 and CENDL-3.1.In addition,the excitation function of ^(232)Th(n,γ)^(233)Th reaction in the unresolved resonance region was theoretically calculated by using the code TALYS-1.95.By fitting the experimental cross section and theoretical data,the average parameters in the unresolved resonance region were extracted.

Experimental study of cross-section ratios in the collisions of C^(q+) and O^(q+) (q=1-4) on atomic helium in strong-interaction region

We have measured the cross-section ratios of helium induced by Cq＋ and Oq＋ （q = 1-4） in an energy range from 20 keV/amu to 500 keV/amu, and obtained the two-dimensional spectra by employing the coincidence method combined with the MPA-3 data acquisition system. Hence, we obtain the ratios of total single-ionization cross-sections （SI, SC, SLSI, and DLSI）, total double-ionization cross-sections （DI, DC, TI, SLDI, and DLDI） and cross-sections of every process （SI, SC, SLSI, DLSI, DI, DC, TI, SLDI, and DLDI）, which induce the single-ionization and double-ionization, to the total cross sections respectively. The competitive relations between the reaction-channels and the experimental data law of each reaction-channel are revealed explicitly, and the qualitative explanations involved in those results are also presented accordingly.

Assessing performance of cross-administrative environment governance based on PSR model:An empirical analysis of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region

As an effective environment governance tool,environment governance performance evaluation is an important content and method to promote the modernization of environment governance system and governance ability.The environmental pollution of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has typical cross-administrative characteristics.Based on the analysis of the major environmental pollution problems in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,according to the international environment governance PSR model,a performance evaluation system that applies to the environment governance of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is established.Meanwhile,the principal component analysis method is applied to conduct an empirical analysis of the environmental governance panel data for the 13 major cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2014 to 2016.The results show that most of the cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region attach great importance to reduction of emission and pollutants,continuously alleviating the stress of environmental governance.However,the overall improvement of the environment governance performance in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has presented a polarization imbalance.There is a clear tendency for subjective biases in the implementation of environment governance and a lack of comprehensive and systematic governance.According to the environment governance performance evaluation result of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,the cross-administrative regional environment governance should improve the environment governance performance evaluation system as soon as possible,strengthen the consistency of the environment governance objectives,and implement comprehensive and systematic governance for the regional environment.

基于“情景-任务-能力”的长三角传染病区域协同处置能力提升

提升传染病区域协同处置能力是深化长三角卫生健康协同发展的重要抓手。卫生应急演练是检验卫生应急体系建设的重要手段。本研究将“情景-任务-能力”的方法引入长三角传染病区域协同处置领域,以构建杭州亚运会测试赛期间发现登革热等输入传染病病例后区域协查和联动处置情景为例,分析应急处置5个阶段的任务、主要责任单位及任务要点,并以“区域联合风险评估和风险管理”为例,从预案方案、组织领导、人员、设备与系统、物资、培训、演练等7个方面着手,详细分析能力评估的内容。同时,采用“任务分类”的思想,针对属于第二类任务的区域联动涉及的协查、评估和培训等任务,以“区域联合风险评估和风险管理”任务为例,提出制定区域联合风险评估和风险管理协议或方案,成立区域卫生应急专家智库,加强区域公共卫生风险评估交流和统一培训等措施建议。

New experimental measurement of^(nat)Se(n,γ)cross section between 1 eV to 1 keV at the CSNS Back-n facility

The^(74)Se is one of 35 p-nuclei,and^(82)Se is a r-process only nucleus,and their(n,γ)cross sections are vital input parameters for nuclear astrophysics reaction network calculations.The neutron capture cross section in the resonance range of isotopes and even natural selenium samples has not been measured.Promptγ-rays originating from neutron-induced capture events were detected by four C_(6)D_(6) liquid scintillator detectors at the Back-n facility of China Spallation Neutron Source(CSNS).The pulse height weighting technique(PHWT)was used to analyze the data in the 1 e V to 100 ke V region.The deduced neutron capture cross section was compared with ENDF/B-VIII.0,JEFF-3.2,and JENDL-4.0,and some differences were found.Resonance parameters were extracted by the R-matrix code SAMMY in the 1 e V-1 ke V region.All the cross sections ofnatSe and resonance parameters are given in the datasets.The datasets are openly available at http://www.doi.org/10.11922/sciencedb.j00113.00019.

巨型水电站参与省内-省间电力市场竞价策略联合优化方法

西南巨型水电站如何参与省内-省间电力市场联合竞价是我国多层次电力市场建设面临的新问题,电价和径流的多重不确定性叠加时空耦合的水力电力联系使得该问题极为复杂。提出一种基于边际机会成本的水电站参与省内-省间月度集中市场投标曲线联合优化方法。考虑水电站在多层次多时段市场售电量的非线性耦合关系,构建随机规划模型,求解随机电价、径流下水电站多种售电量组合的增量成本,拟合水电站在省内-省间月度集中市场的边际机会成本曲线;引入偏差面积最小准则对曲线进行缩减,得到段数符合市场要求的分段投标曲线。以溪洛渡右岸电站参与云南省内市场和南方电网省间市场联合竞价为例,验证了所提方法的有效性,结果表明所得投标曲线符合水电站机会成本变化趋势,相较于传统投标电量优化模型,所建模型能够有效提高水电站售电收益,促进水电消纳。

The spatial-temporal evolution of coherent structures in log law region of turbulent boundary layer

The spatial-temporal evolution of coherent structures （CS） is significant for turbulence control and drag re- duction. Among the CS, low and high speed streak structures show typical burst phenomena. The analysis was based on a time series of three-dimensional and three-component （3D-3C） velocity fields of the flat plate turbulent boundary layer （TBL） measured by a Tomographic and Time-resolved PIV （Tomo TRPIV） system. Using multi-resolution wavelet transform and conditional sampling method, we extracted the intrinsic topologies and found that the streak structures appear in bar-like patterns. Furthermore, we seized locations and velocity information of transient CS, and then calculated the propagation velocity of CS based on spatial-temporal cross-correlation scanning. This laid a foundation for further studies on relevant dynamics properties.

16-23S rRNA Spacer Region Polymorphism in Gangetic River Water Isolates of Salmonella

Salmonella is one of the major pathogenic bacteria present in contaminated water. 16-23S rRNA spacer region has been reported to be polymorphic at serovar level in Salmonella. Salmonella isolates obtained from Ganges river water were studied for 16-23S rRNA spacer region polymorphism. Thirty three isolates belonging to eight serovars (S. Typhimurium, S. Abuja, S. Pantypridd, S. Lagos, S. Chinkual, S. Zwickau, S. Goldenberg and S. Oritamerin) were studied for the polymorphism. Out of 33 isolates, 15 different profiles were observed no serovar specific profile. Our findings indicate that 16-23S rRNA spacer region is not specific at serovar level, but can be used for differentiation of different Salmonella isolates.

A Search for High-velocity Gas Associated H_2O Masers and Ultracompact HII Regions

With the objective of studying the relationships between high-velocity gas and water maser emissions the results of a search from 95 IRAS sources for high-velocity gas associated with star forming molecular clouds are reported. 21 sources have been identified as molecular outflow candidates.

Genetic Variation among Fragmented Populations of Atriplex halimus L. Using Start Codon Targeted (SCoT) and ITS1-5.8S-ITS2 Region Markers

Two forms of A. halimus shrubs: erect habit (A. halimus) and bushy habit shrub (A. schweinfurthii) are used naturally isolated by a considerable distance from each other and occupy the same area. To explore the effect of natural isolation on the genetic basis of the two forms, Start Codon Targeted (SCoT) and the phylogenetic relationships of A. halimus by sequencing ITS1-5.8S-ITS2 regions of the ribosomal DNA are used. Significant isolation-by-distance relationship was found (r = 0.62, P = 0.001). Soil factors did not influence molecular variations. The natural isolation of A. halimus habitats restricts gene flow among the populations and the observed high within-population genetic diversity (74.19%) in this species is best explained by its outcrossing behaviour, long-lived individuals and overlapping generations. The UPGMA analysis of the SCoT results showed that all the studied populations were divided into two discrete genetic groups with significant separation of the two forms in Burg El-Arab area (Populations 1 and 2) and insignificant separation between two forms in El-Hammam area (population 5 and 6). The sequencing of the ITS1-5.8S-ITS2 rDNA regions also showed the insignificant separation of the two A. halimus forms. We conclude that gene flow depending on habitat fragmentation was the main factor affecting the population genetic differentiation. We suggest that the two forms do not merit specific rank in presence of interference between the two forms and absence of a breeding barrier fail to separate the different populations when they become sympatric.

Variance Reduction Technique for Estimating Value-at-Risk based on the Cross - Entropy

Value-at-Risk （VaR） estimation via Monte Carlo （MC） simulation is studied here. The variance reduction technique is proposed in order to speed up MC algorithm. The algorithm for estimating the probability of high portfolio losses （more general risk measure） based on the Cross - Entropy importance sampling is developed. This algorithm can easily be applied in any light- or heavy-tailed case without an extra adaptation. Besides, it does not loose in the performance in comparison to other known methods. A numerical study in both cases is performed and the variance reduction rate is compared with other known methods. The problem of VaR estimation using procedures for estimating the probability of high portfolio losses is also discussed.

A New Interpretation of the Bipolar HII Region S106 from HCN J = 3 - 2 Mapping Observations

The first mapping observations of the bipolar HII region S106 in HCN J = 3 - 2 line were made by KOSMA submillimeter telescope in April, 2004. The results show that there is a bipolar outflow centered on the high-mass star S106 IRS4 and that the flat structure of molecular cloud core is perpendicular to the axis of the outflow. This image roughly corresponds to the optical image where a dark lane bisects the bipolar HII region. Together with the optical, infrared and radio data, we conclude that the central UC HII region and molecular outflow formed before the two lobes of the bipolar HII region, and that a neutral disk is responsible for the bipolar HII region and the outflow.

Evaluation of cross-reactive antibody response to HVR1 in chronic hepatitis C

AIM:To evaluate the presence and cross-reactive anti-bodies against hypervariable region 1(HVR1) in hepatitis C virus(HCV) infected patients and its relationship with the progression of the disease.METHODS:Sixteen representative HVR1 proteins selected from a unique set of 1600 natural sequences were used to semiquantitate the cross-reactivity of HVR1 antibodies in the sera of HCV patients.Fifty-five chronic HCV patients including 23 with asymptomatic mild hepatitis,18 with chronic hepatitis and 16 with liver cirrhosis patients were studied.RESULTS:The degree of the cross-reactivity of anti-HVR1 antibodies in 23 patients with mild asymptomatic hepatitis was 3.09 ± 2.68,which was signif icantly lower than in those with chronic hepatitis(5.44 ± 3.93,P < 0.05) and liver cirrhosis(7.44 ± 3.90,P < 0.01).No correlation was observed between the broadness of the cross-reactivity anti-HVR1 antibodies and patient's age,infection time,serum alanine aminotransferase activity,or serum HCV-RNA concentration.It was the breath of cross-reactivity rather than the presence of anti-HVR1 antibody in HCV sera that was associated with the progression of liver disease.CONCLUSION:The broadly cross-reactive HVR1 antibodies generated in natural HCV patients can not neutralize the virus,which results in persistent infection in patients with chronic hepatitis.

A multiwavelength study of the star forming HⅡ region Sh2-82

Based on a multiwavelength study, the interstellar medium and young stel- lar objects （YSOs） around the H II region Sh2-82 have been analyzed. Two molecular clumps were found from the archival data of the Galactic Ring Survey, and using the Two Micron All-Sky Survey catalog, we found two corresponding young clusters embedded in the molecular clumps. The very good relations between CO emission, infrared shells and YSOs suggest that it is probably a triggered star formation region from the expansion of Sh2-82. We further used the data from the Galactic Legacy Infrared Mid-Plane Survey Extraordinaire from Spitzer to study the YSOs within the two clumps, confirming star formation in this region. By spectral energy distribution fits to each YSO candidate with infrared excess, we derived the slope of the initial mass function. Finally, comparing the H II region＇s dynamical age and the fragmenta- tion time of the molecular shell, we discard the ＂collect and collapse＂ process as being the triggering mechanism for YSO formation. Sh2-82 can be a mixture of other pro- cesses such as radiative-driven implosion and/or collisions with pre-existing clumps.

计及风电随机性的跨区域电-气互联系统分散协调调控

针对风电出力强随机性和不同能源主体间信息私密性,影响跨区域能源合作协调调控问题,文章提出一种计及风电随机性的跨区域电-气互联系统(Cross-Regional Integrated Electricity-Gas System,CRIEGS)分散协调调控策略。首先,介绍CRIEGS内、外双层结构及跨区协调特点,并基于交替方向乘子法(Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers,ADMM)和节点撕裂法在联络管线和耦合元件处实现系统分解,利用场景法表征风电出力随机性;然后,以各个能源主体运行成本的期望值最小为目标,构建CRIEGS日前优化调控模型,并采用了变惩罚参数的交替迭代方式,分别对非线性交流潮流模型、潘汉德尔修正稳态潮流模型进行线性化处理;最后,通过多个算例对所提CRIEGS分散分布式协调调控策略的有效性进行验证。