This article briefly and historically reviews the polices of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries （OPEC） and analyzes the factors that facilitate or hinder OPEC＇s monopoly in the crude oil market. The ...This article briefly and historically reviews the polices of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries （OPEC） and analyzes the factors that facilitate or hinder OPEC＇s monopoly in the crude oil market. The industrial concentration ratio is chosen to measure OPEC＇s monopoly power based on the data from 1986 to 2004. It is concluded that OPEC possesses a long-standing cartel foundation and a rather strong monopoly in the world crude oil market. At the same time, there are unstable factors that influence and even weaken OPEC＇s monopoly.展开更多
Taking the return series of the EU carbon allowance price, WTI crude oil price, the European renewable energy index and Shenzhen carbon emission price, Daqing crude oil price, the China securities new energy index as ...Taking the return series of the EU carbon allowance price, WTI crude oil price, the European renewable energy index and Shenzhen carbon emission price, Daqing crude oil price, the China securities new energy index as sample data, the multifractal detrend cross-correlation analysis method(MF-DCCA)is used to research the dynamic cross-correlation relationships among the carbon emission market, crude oil market and the new energy market in Europe and China and the source of the multifractality. The empirical analysis shows that the cross-correlations among the carbon emission market, crude oil market and new energy market in Europe and China have all significant multifractal characteristics. Moreover, the multifractal strength of cross-correlation between the carbon emission market and crude oil market is less than that between the carbon emission market and new energy market in Europe. The Chinese market is the opposite. In addition, the multifractal strength of cross-correlation between the crude oil market and new energy market in Europe is more than that between the crude oil market and new energy market in China. It is also found that the long-range correlation of the sequences themselves and the fat-tailed distribution in fluctuations are the common causes of the multifractality, and the fat-tailed in fluctuations distribution contributes more to the multifractals of the series.展开更多
This paper proposes optimization models of crude oil distillation column for both limited and unlimited feed stock and market value of known products prices. The feed to the crude distillation column was assumed to be...This paper proposes optimization models of crude oil distillation column for both limited and unlimited feed stock and market value of known products prices. The feed to the crude distillation column was assumed to be crude oil containing naphtha gas, kerosene, petrol and diesel as the light-light key, light key, heavy key and heavy-heavy key respectively. The models determined maximum concentrations of heavy key in the distillate and light key in the bottom for limited feed stock and market condition. Both were impurities in their respective positions of the column. The limiting constraints were sales specification concentration of light key in the distillate [ ], heavy key in the bottom [ ] and an operating loading constraint of flooding above the feed tray. For unlimited feed stock and market condition, the optimization models determined the optimum separation [ and ] and feed flow rate that would give maximum profit with minimum purity sales specification constraints of light key in the distillate and heavy key in the bottom as stated above. The feed loading was limited by the reboiler capacity. However, there is need to simulate the optimization models for an existing crude oil distillation column of a refinery in order to validate the models.展开更多
调研分析国际浮式生产储油卸油装置(Floating Production Storage and Offloading,FPSO)的市场需求现状,提出国际FPSO市场需求的预测方法。采用熵值法、人工神经网络法、随机森林回归、ADABOOST回归、ARMA模型等多算法融合的方法,对国际...调研分析国际浮式生产储油卸油装置(Floating Production Storage and Offloading,FPSO)的市场需求现状,提出国际FPSO市场需求的预测方法。采用熵值法、人工神经网络法、随机森林回归、ADABOOST回归、ARMA模型等多算法融合的方法,对国际FPSO订单进行组合预测,结果表明国际FPSO市场需求在2025年、2030年、2035年的需求量分别为9、10与12艘,可见国际FPSO市场需求在未来十多年间稳步回升。我国船企应密切关注原油价格变化对FPSO市场需求的影响,积极采用新产品技术,同时减少碳排放,提高市场份额。展开更多
文摘This article briefly and historically reviews the polices of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries （OPEC） and analyzes the factors that facilitate or hinder OPEC＇s monopoly in the crude oil market. The industrial concentration ratio is chosen to measure OPEC＇s monopoly power based on the data from 1986 to 2004. It is concluded that OPEC possesses a long-standing cartel foundation and a rather strong monopoly in the world crude oil market. At the same time, there are unstable factors that influence and even weaken OPEC＇s monopoly.
基金supported by the Jiangsu postgraduate research and practice innovation program (Grant No. KYCX18_1386)
文摘Taking the return series of the EU carbon allowance price, WTI crude oil price, the European renewable energy index and Shenzhen carbon emission price, Daqing crude oil price, the China securities new energy index as sample data, the multifractal detrend cross-correlation analysis method(MF-DCCA)is used to research the dynamic cross-correlation relationships among the carbon emission market, crude oil market and the new energy market in Europe and China and the source of the multifractality. The empirical analysis shows that the cross-correlations among the carbon emission market, crude oil market and new energy market in Europe and China have all significant multifractal characteristics. Moreover, the multifractal strength of cross-correlation between the carbon emission market and crude oil market is less than that between the carbon emission market and new energy market in Europe. The Chinese market is the opposite. In addition, the multifractal strength of cross-correlation between the crude oil market and new energy market in Europe is more than that between the crude oil market and new energy market in China. It is also found that the long-range correlation of the sequences themselves and the fat-tailed distribution in fluctuations are the common causes of the multifractality, and the fat-tailed in fluctuations distribution contributes more to the multifractals of the series.
文摘This paper proposes optimization models of crude oil distillation column for both limited and unlimited feed stock and market value of known products prices. The feed to the crude distillation column was assumed to be crude oil containing naphtha gas, kerosene, petrol and diesel as the light-light key, light key, heavy key and heavy-heavy key respectively. The models determined maximum concentrations of heavy key in the distillate and light key in the bottom for limited feed stock and market condition. Both were impurities in their respective positions of the column. The limiting constraints were sales specification concentration of light key in the distillate [ ], heavy key in the bottom [ ] and an operating loading constraint of flooding above the feed tray. For unlimited feed stock and market condition, the optimization models determined the optimum separation [ and ] and feed flow rate that would give maximum profit with minimum purity sales specification constraints of light key in the distillate and heavy key in the bottom as stated above. The feed loading was limited by the reboiler capacity. However, there is need to simulate the optimization models for an existing crude oil distillation column of a refinery in order to validate the models.
文摘调研分析国际浮式生产储油卸油装置(Floating Production Storage and Offloading,FPSO)的市场需求现状,提出国际FPSO市场需求的预测方法。采用熵值法、人工神经网络法、随机森林回归、ADABOOST回归、ARMA模型等多算法融合的方法,对国际FPSO订单进行组合预测,结果表明国际FPSO市场需求在2025年、2030年、2035年的需求量分别为9、10与12艘,可见国际FPSO市场需求在未来十多年间稳步回升。我国船企应密切关注原油价格变化对FPSO市场需求的影响,积极采用新产品技术,同时减少碳排放,提高市场份额。
