Isotopic Chronological Study of the Huangsha-Tieshanlong Quartz Vein-Type Tungsten Deposit and Timescale of Molybdenum Mineralization in Southern Jiangxi Province,China

The Huangsha-Tieshanlong quartz-vein tungsten polymetallic ore deposit, located in the northern Pangushan-Tieshanlong tungsten ore field in eastern Ganxian-Yudu prospecting areas of the Yushan metallogenic belt, is a well-known tungsten deposit in southern Jiangxi province, China. SHRIMP-determined dating of zircons from the Tieshanlong granite yields ages of 168.1±2.1 Ma （n=11, MSWD-1.3）. Rhenium and osmium isotopic dating of molybdenite from the Huangsha quartz-vein tungsten deposit determined by ICP-MS yields a weighted average ages of 153-3 Ma and model ages of 150.22.1 Ma - 155.4-2.3 Ma. The age of the Huangsha tungsten deposit is 10 to 15 Ma later than the Tieshanlong granite, which shows that there might have been another early Late Jurassic magmatic activity between 150 and 160 Ma, a process which is closely related with tungsten mineralization in this area. The Tieshanlong granite, the Hnangsha tungsten deposit and the Pangushan-Tieshanlong ore field were all formed around 150-170 Ma, belonging to products of a Mesozoic second large-scale mineralization. According to the collected molybdenite Re-Os dating results in southern Jiangxi province, the timescale of the associated molybdenum mineralization is 2-6 Ma in the tungsten deposit and the timescale of independent molybdenum mineralization is 1-4 Ma, implying the complexity of tungsten mineralization. Times of molybdenum mineralization are mainly concentrated in the Yanshanian, which includes three stages of 133-135 Ma, 150-162 Ma, and 166-170 Ma, respectively. The 150-162 Ma-stage is in accordance with ages of large-scale WoSn mineralization, which is mainly molybdenum mineralization characterized by associated molybdenum mineralization with development of an even greater-intensity independent molybdenum mineralization. Independent molybdenum mineralization occurred before and after large-scale W-Sn mineralization, which indicates that favorable prospecting period for molybdenum may be in Cretaceous and early late Jurassic.

Nonlinear evolution characteristics of the climate system on the interdecadal-centennial timescale

To better understand the physical mechanism of the climate change on interdecadal-centennial timescale, this paper focuses on analysing and modelling the evolution characteristics of the climate change. The method of wavelet transform is used to pick out the interdecadal timescale oscillations from long-term instrumental observations, natural proxy records, and modelling series. The modelling series derived from the most simplified nonlinear climatic model are used to identify whether modifications are concerned with some forcings such as the solar radiation on the climate system. The results show that two major oscillations exist in various observations and model series, namely the 20- 30a and the 60-70a timescale respectively, and these quasi-periodicities are modulated with time. Further, modelling results suggest that the originations of these oscillations are not directly linked with the periodic variation of solar radiations such as the 1-year cycle, the 11-year cycle, and others, but possibly induced by the internal nonlinear effects of the climate system. It seems that the future study on the genesis of the climate change with interdecadal-centennial timescale should focus on the internal nonlinear dynamics in the climate system.

The relationship between the canonical ENSO and the phase transition of the Antarctic oscillation at the quasi-quadrennial timescale

A correlation analysis is performed to investigate the relationship between El Nino-Southern Oscillation （ENSO） and the Antarctic oscillation （AAO） at the quasi-quadrennial （QQ） timescale.It is found that the cold tongue index （CTI） and the AAO index （AAOI） are negatively correlated with about a 7-month lead-time,while they are positively correlated with about a 15-month lag-time.To further explore this relationship,complex empirical orthogonal function analysis is employed in the QQ sea level pressure （SLP） anomalies from 1951 to 2002.The results indicate that,during the ENSO cycle,there exists one kind of global tropical wave of wavenumber 1 （GTW1） propagating eastward.With the traveling of GTW1,the tropical SLP anomaly tends to intrude into the southern mid-latitudes.Accordingly,three strong signals travel synchronously along the circumSouth-Pacific path,and a relatively weak signal extends eastward and poleward over the South Ocean in the Atlantic-Indian Ocean sector.Following the propagation of these signals,the AAO phase tends to be reversed progressively.As a result,there exists an evident lead-lag correlation between CTI and AAOI.It can be concluded that ENSO plays a key role in the phase transition of AAO at the QQ timescale.It is also noticed that this regular relationship is only evident in the canonical ENSO events,for which sea surface temperature （SST） anomalies extend westward from the tropical eastern Pacific.On the other hand,the similar relationships are not found among those atypical ENSO events for which SST anomalies spread eastward from the central Pacific,such as the 1982-1983 ENSO event.

A Timescale Decomposed Threshold Regression Downscaling Approach to Forecasting South China Early Summer Rainfall

A timescale decomposed threshold regression （TSDTR） downscaling approach to forecasting South China early summer rainfall （SCESR） is described by using long-term observed station rainfall data and NOAA ERSST data. It makes use of two distinct regression downscaling models corresponding to the interannual and interdecadal rainfall variability of SCESR. The two models are developed based on the partial least squares （PLS） regression technique, linking SCESR to SST modes in preceding months on both interannual and interdecadal timescales. Specifically, using the datasets in the calibration period 1915-84, the variability of SCESR and SST are decomposed into interannual and interdecadal components. On the interannual timescale, a threshold PLS regression model is fitted to interannual components of SCESR and March SST patterns by taking account of the modulation of negative and positive phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation （PDO）. On the interdecadal timescale, a standard PLS regression model is fitted to the relationship between SCESR and preceding November SST patterns. The total rainfall prediction is obtained by the sum of the outputs from both the interannual and interdecadal models. Results show that the TSDTR downscaling approach achieves reasonable skill in predicting the observed rainfall in the validation period 1985-2006, compared to other simpler approaches. This study suggests that the TSDTR approach, considering different interannual SCESR-SST relationships under the modulation of PDO phases, as well as the interdecadal variability of SCESR associated with SST patterns, may provide a new perspective to improve climate predictions.

Impacts of Multi-Scale Solar Activity on Climate.Part Ⅱ:Dominant Timescales in Decadal-Centennial Climate Variability

Part II of this study detects the dominant decadal-centennial timescales in four SST indices up to the 2010/2011 winter and tries to relate them to the observed 11-yr and 88-yr solar activity with the sunspot number up to Solar Cycle 24. To explore plausible solar origins of the observed decadal-centennial timescales in the SSTs and climate variability in general, we design a simple one-dimensional dynamical system forced by an annual cycle modulated by a small-amplitude single- or multi-scale ＂solar activity.＂ Results suggest that nonlinear harmonic and subharmonic resonance of the system to the forcing and period-doubling bifurcations are responsible for the dominant timescales in the system, including the 60-yr timescale that dominates the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. The dominant timescales in the forced system depend on the system＇s parameter setting. Scale enhancement among the dominant response timescales may result in dramatic amplifications over a few decades and extreme values of the time series on various timescales. Three possible energy sources for such amplifications and extremes are proposed. Dynamical model results suggest that solar activity may play an important yet not well recognized role in the observed decadal-centennial climate variability. The atmospheric dynamical amplifying mechanism shown in Part I and the nonlinear resonant and bifurcation mechanisms shown in Part II help us to understand the solar source of the multi-scale climate change in the 20th century and the fact that different solar influenced dominant timescales for recurrent climate extremes for a given region or a parameter setting. Part II also indicates that solar influences on climate cannot be linearly compared with non-cyclic or sporadic thermal forcings because they cannot exert their influences on climate in the same way as the sun does.

Timescales of geological processes: Preface

1.Introduction One of the major challenges in Geoscience is to understand how the formation and evolution of the Earth System are governed by timescales-that is,how the various geological processes that continue to contribute to its present-day structure and composition operated in the deep past.The traditional view of such processes refers to events that occur at immense spatial scales and over hundreds of millions of years,constrained in most cases by the ages of rocks determined using isotopic dating methods or the fossil record.However,the modern view of geological processes has increasingly acknowledged that their durations can be significantly shorter than previously thought possible,or indeed detectable without recent analytical innovations.Earthquakes are a prime example of rapid,high energy and episodic events that have a profound effect on subsequent processes such as metamorphism,fluid transport,and ore formation e the evidence of which is written in microstructures,compositional zoning,and P-T records.Experimental studies have also revealed that the reaction rates between fluids and rocks can be extremely rapid relative to geological timescales.This has led to the notion that geological processes are not necessarily continuous over millions of years but may,in fact,be sporadic,with long periods where essentially no reactions take place punctuated by periods of intense activity.

MULTI-TIMESCALE VARIATIONS OF SOMALI JET AND ITS RELATION WITH PRECIPITATION IN CHINA

Based on the ERA reanalysis winds data, the multi-time scale variations of Somali jet are analyzed synthetically. The jet's influences on rainfall in China on interannual, interdecadal and sub-monthly scales are also studied using correlation and composite analyses. The results demonstrate that the interdecadal variations of the jet are significant.The Somali jet became weaker in the 1960 s and became the weakest in the early 1970 s before enhancing slowly in the late 1970 s. Moreover, the relation between the Somali jet and summer precipitation in China is close, but varies on different timescales. Preliminary analysis shows that the intensity variations in May and June during the early days of establishment are well correlated with summer precipitation in China. The Somali jet intensity on the interdecadal scale is closely related with interdecadal variations of the precipitation in China. Regardless of leading or contemporaneous correlation, the correlations between the Somali jet intensity and the rainfall in northern and southern China show obvious interdecadal variations. Moreover, the link between the anomalies of the jet intensity in May-August and precipitation evolution on synoptic scale in China is further studied. China has more rainfall with positive anomalies of the Somali jet but less rainfall with negative anomalies during the active period of the jet. The influence of positive Somali jet anomalies on China precipitation is more evident.

Study on Probability Distributions of Multi-Timescale Aerosol Optical Depth Using AERONET Data

The probability distribution analysis is per-formed for multi-timescale aerosol optical depth (AOD) using AErosol RObotic NETwork (AERONET) level 2.0 data.The maximum likelihood estimation is employed to determine the best-fit probability density function (PDF),and the statement that the fitting Weibull distribution will be light-tailed is proved true for these AOD samples.The best-fit PDF results for multi-site data show that the PDF of AOD samples with longer timescale in most sites tends to be stably represented by lognormal distribution,while Weibull distribution is a better fit for AOD samples with short timescales.The reason for this difference is ana-lyzed through tail characteristics of the two distributions,and an indicator for the selection between Weibull and lognormal distributions is suggested and validated.The result of this research is helpful for determining the most accurate AOD statistics for a given site and a given time-scale and for validating the retrieved AOD through its PDF.

New Integrative Stratigraphy and Timescale for China Released

New integrative stratigraphy and timescales for 13 geological periods in China from the Ediacaran to the Quaternary have recently been published in a special issue of SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences.The research summarizes the latest advances in stratigraphy and timescale as well as discusses the correlation among different blocks in China and with international timescales.

Multi-timescale Collaborative Optimization of Distribution, Distributed Generation and Load in Microgrid

The distribution loads, output of distributed generations (DGs) and dynamic power price present obvious time-sequence property, the typical property is studied in this paper. The model of microgrid (including adjustable load, DGs, storage and dynamic power price) is studied. A multi-timescale collaborative optimization model is built towards microgrid;main measures in different timescale optimization are realized. An improved adaptive genetic algorithm is used to solve the optimization problem, which improved the efficiency and reliability. The proposed optimization model is simulated in IEEE 33 node system;the results show it’s effective.

双IRS辅助大规模MIMO系统中基于双时间尺度的信道估计方案

在双智能反射面(IRS)辅助的大规模多入多出(MIMO)通信系统中,为获取信道状态信息(CSI)而进行的信道估计需要较大的导频开销。考虑到基站(BS)-IRS信道与IRS-IRS信道具有高维且准静态的特性,而IRS-用户(UE)信道具有低维且时变的特性,本文提出一种基于双时间尺度的信道估计方案。首先,对于准静态信道,由BS发送导频并基于坐标下降算法和最小二乘法分别估计BS-IRS信道和IRS-IRS信道。然后根据准静态信道的估计结果进一步基于最小二乘法估计IRS-UE信道。仿真结果表明,本文所提出的方案可以采用低于对比方案50%的导频开销来获取低于对比方案近10 dB的估计归一化均方误差(NMSE),实现用更少的导频开销获取更高的信道估计精度。

改进下垂控制下的中压直流配电系统双时间尺度分层调控方法

针对中压直流配电系统,在负荷激增、可再生能源出力突变等特殊工况下,传统优化调度方案与协调控制策略存在系统运行经济性有待提升、直流母线电压易越限的问题。为此,提出一种基于改进下垂控制的中压直流配电系统双时间尺度分层调控方法。首先,构建一种具备直流故障穿越能力的3端混合型模块化多电平换流器(modular multilevel converter,MMC)环状±10 kV中压直流配电系统,该系统含电动汽车充电站、储能系统、分布式光伏与风电等灵活性资源。其次,制定各单元协调控制策略,并采用tan函数改进传统下垂控制,以提高系统应对大幅功率波动的能力。然后,基于改进控制策略提出一种双时间尺度分层优化调控方法:在长时间尺度的系统调度层,以运行总成本最小为优化目标,确定各换流器参考功率;在短时间尺度的换流器间协调控制层,改进下垂曲线,并优化控制系数,以兼顾系统运行经济性与电能质量。最后,以典型算例验证该文所提优化调度方案及协调控制策略的有效性:通过灵活调度多种柔性资源,系统运行总成本可降低约11%;在某数据中心负荷激增100%的工况下,各直流母线电压波动仍能维持在±3%UN(额定电压)的允许范围内。

结合数据驱动与物理模型的主动配电网双时间尺度电压协调优化控制

高比例电动汽车、分布式风电、光伏接入配电网,导致电压频繁地剧烈波动。传统调压设备与逆变器动作速度差异巨大,如何协调是难点问题。该文结合数据驱动与物理建模方法,提出一种配电网双时间尺度电压协调优化控制策略。针对短时间尺度(min级)电压波动,以静止无功补偿器、分布式电源无功功率为决策变量,以电压二次方偏差最小为目标函数,针对平衡与不平衡配电网,基于支路潮流方程,计及物理约束构建了二次规划模型。针对长时间尺度(h级)电压波动,以电压调节器匝比、可投切电容电抗器挡位、储能系统充放电功率为动作,当前时段配电网节点功率为状态,节点电压二次方偏差为代价,构建了马尔可夫决策过程。为克服连续-离散动作空间维数灾,提出了一种基于松弛-预报-校正的深度确定性策略梯度强化学习求解算法。最后,采用IEEE 33节点平衡与123节点不平衡配电网验证了所提出方法的有效性。

渤海湾盆地沾化凹陷古近系沙三下亚段旋回地层学分析及地层划分

湖相细粒沉积多具有连续性,能记录和保存显著的天文旋回信号,是进行天文旋回分析的理想地层。通过对渤海湾盆地沾化凹陷重点井沙三下亚段自然伽马数据进行MTM频谱分析和FFT进化谐波分析,建立了“浮动”天文年代标尺,并在单井上进行了天文旋回地层划分及连井地层对比,为全区搭建了地层格架。研究结果表明:(1)渤海湾盆地沾化凹陷沙三下亚段记录了显著的天文旋回信号,匹配出最优沉积速率为9.0×103cm/Ma;由长偏心率、短偏心率、斜率和岁差周期产生的旋回地层厚度分别为42.3 m,9.0 m,2.4~4.7 m和1.3~1.9 m;(2)沙三下亚段比较稳定的记录了6个长偏心率旋回、25个短偏心率旋回,可将短偏心率曲线作为地层划分依据来进行高精度地层对比。(3)运用天文旋回理论进行岩相发育规律、岩相空间配置关系的预测,可为湖盆沉积中心页岩油气地质“甜点”的精细勘探提供依据。

基于谱聚类的主动配电网多时间尺度无功优化策略

高比例分布式光伏接入配电网后,传统优化方案无法有效平抑电压波动,分布式光伏逆变器的无功调控能力难以充分利用。为此,提出一种基于谱聚类的主动配电网多时间尺度无功优化策略,该方法分为日前优化和日内实时优化两个阶段。首先,对离散设备的时间耦合性进行解耦,以配电网网损、平均电压偏差、电压波动严重程度为目标函数,建立基于社交网络搜索算法的日前无功优化模型,确定离散设备静态最优档位序列;其次,通过谱聚类的方法进行耦合,确定离散设备动态最优档位序列,结合改进的分布式光伏逆变器就地控制策略,建立日内实时优化模型,从而抑制日前预测数据偏差导致的电压波动;最后,基于改进后的IEEE33节点系统进行仿真实验。仿真结果表明,所提策略可以有效降低运算难度、提高求解效率,验证了该策略的有效性和优越性。

哨声模合声波对辐射带电子扩散系数的多维建模及损失时间尺度建模研究

哨声模合声波是地球内磁层中一种典型的等离子体电磁波动,对辐射带电子动态演化起着至关重要的作用.合声波可以与外辐射带电子发生相互作用,将电子散射至损失锥进而沉降至大气;此外合声波也能将几十keV的电子加速到几MeV,是辐射带相对论电子的重要来源.因此,快速准确地计算合声波对辐射带电子的扩散系数,对于优化地球辐射带动理学建模并深入理解电子通量的演化机制具有重要作用.本研究利用Full Diffusion Code(FDC)定量计算了典型合声波波模对辐射带电子的弹跳平均投掷角、能量和交叉扩散系数,并建立了地球内磁层空间中L为2~7、背景环境参数α^(*)为1~13,投掷角α_(eq)为0°~90°、能量Ek为10 eV~10 MeV的电子散射系数矩阵数据库.在此基础上通过线性插值方法可以快速得到不同L和α^(*)参数条件下的合声波对辐射带电子的扩散系数,并计算相对误差验证应用线性插值方法的合理性和准确性.基于扩散系数矩阵数据库,本研究还计算了合声波散射辐射带电子的损失时间尺度,建立了以L、α^(*)和Ek为输入参数的电子损失时间尺度经验模型,从而可以快速获取合声波散射电子的损失时间尺度.结果表明,扩散系数矩阵数据库构建和线性插值方法的使用大幅度减少了获取不同L和α^(*)对应的扩散系数所需时间,同时建立的三维损失时间尺度经验模型可快速得到不同L、α^(*)和Ek所对应合声波散射辐射带电子的损失时间尺度,这些结果提高了地球辐射带动理学建模效率,对于空间天气预报具有重要意义.

结合电-热-氢储能的综合能源站多时间尺度优化运行

多元储能是提高综合能源系统可再生能源消纳水平的有效途径,然而,随着耦合储能设备的增多,系统复杂程度增大,由此所带来的系统运行不稳定、能效低等问题制约着综合能源系统发展。因此,提出将储电、储热、储氢集成到综合能源系统中,并开展多时间尺度优化的研究。从构建系统模型到提出日前优化调度、日内滚动优化、实时调整多时间尺度优化方案,充分发挥多元储能优势,解决源荷不确定性对系统的影响。运行结果可见,储电共计调整12.42199MW不平衡电功率,社区可再生能源消纳水平提升0.42%,购电成本降低3.5%,碳税降低1.5%。这表明提出的多时间尺度优化运行方法,通过灵活调整各设备出力,使系统运行更加平稳,提高了系统的稳定性与可再生能源消纳水平。

基于时序注意力机制的电动汽车灵活性概率建模

电动汽车是一种可以向电力系统提供灵活性的柔性负荷。现有研究对电动汽车灵活性进行建模时,多数仅考虑了充电行为的不确定性以及分时电价的影响,忽略了日前电价与实时电价的偏差,缺少对实时电价、充电负荷多时间尺度时序特征的建模。针对此问题,文中总结了电动汽车灵活性的表现形式与影响因素,考虑面向电价的响应不确定性以及充电行为不确定性,提出基于时序注意力机制的电动汽车灵活性概率建模方法。通过时序注意力机制提取不同时序权重,设计基于时序卷积网络的多时间尺度特征提取网络学习充电行为、电价等不确定性,提取多时间尺度灵活性波动特征。算例表明,所提模型能够有效学习充电行为不确定性与面向电价的响应不确定性,其概率建模效果具有更高的可靠性与精度。

基于数据驱动信息间隙理论的风光水储聚合商多元市场竞标决策模型

随着电力系统中可再生能源(renewable energy sources,RESs)比例不断增加,新能源参与能量市场和备用市场在技术上和经济上的重要性不断凸显。研究了含有风、光、水、储资源的RES聚合商在日前市场、备用市场及实时平衡市场等多个市场的综合竞价策略。针对北欧顺序交易市场框架,提出了一套考虑备用资源和波动补偿耦合的数据驱动信息间隙理论(data-driven information gap theory,DIGDT)决策模型解决RES聚合商的多阶段竞价优化问题。在DIGDT中采用基于置信区间的模糊集构造方法(confidence interval-based ambiguity set,CIAS)估计风、光的预测误差,通过机会约束对水电和储能(batteryenergy storage,BES)补偿出力偏差的可能性进行建模,并考虑备用资源与补偿容量的多时间尺度耦合。在备用市场中,利用基于备用调用场景的随机优化确保日前备用计划的可行性。通过案例分析验证了所提出模型的有效性。

基于奖惩阶梯型碳价机制的能源枢纽低碳优化策略

为进一步降低碳排放水平以及源-荷不确定性对系统运行的影响,文中提出一种基于奖惩阶梯型碳价机制和分布式模型预测控制(distributed model predictive control,DMPC)的能源枢纽(energy hub,EH)日前-日内-实时多时间尺度低碳优化调度策略。引入奖惩阶梯型碳价计算方法,构建EH日前低碳优化调度模型,并制定基于DMPC的日内滚动和实时调整的反馈闭环优化策略,降低源-荷预测误差,提高传统模型预测控制(model predictive control,MPC)的求解效率。在日内阶段,构建以阶梯型碳成本、运行成本和储能调整惩罚成本之和最小为目标的日内滚动优化模型;在实时阶段,分解整体优化问题,建立基于DMPC的多智能体实时调整模型。算例结果表明,文中所提策略能够有效提升系统经济效益,降低源-荷不确定性,实现EH的低碳经济、稳定可靠运行。