Quantitative Study on the Relationship between Water Disaster and Grain Production of Hubei Province in the 1990s

The research explored variation coefficient of grains and analyzed the fluctuations of grains in Hubei in the 1990s in order to investigate quantitative cor- relation between grain production and water-related disaster. The conclusion is that the effective irrigated area and growing structure are major factors influencing grain production capacity, whose grey relational degrees were 0.91 and 0.85 with grain production, respectively. These indicated that water-related disasters have significant effects on grain yield in Hubei Province.

Testing with high density resistivity method in prevention and cure for mine water disaster and its applied effect

The detecting examples using the high density resistivity method, about the evaluation of containing water characteristic from the floor rock and the height of overburden failure, were given. It expresses that the high density resistivity method has good effect with strong maneuverability and continuous observing section during the prevention and cure for mine water disaster. At the same time, the article pointed out that the study of space data inversion and dynamic watching technology about the high density resistivity method must be enhanced in the future because of special condition of data collecting in mine.

Field experiment on coalmine heat disaster governance using cold source from surface water

Regarding the lack of cold source for underground cooling systems from either mine inflow or return air, field experiments were taken in a high temperature deep coal mine with abundant cold source from surface water. Taking Sanhejian coal mine as an example, this paper introduced the technology scheme of heat disaster governance using surface water cold source. The paper presents the basics of this field experiment at the beginning, following by the design and site layout of the cooling system including the analysis and calculation of cold source. Numerical calculation method is also applied based on the operation parameters to simulate the influence to the surface river ecosystem. The results suggest that the temperature of surface water shall be lower than 34 ℃ after heat exchange, and when more cooling capacities are needed in the future, increasing the water flow is more favorable than increasing the cooling range of water, which is better for the ecological environment protection,

The Application of a Grey Markov Model to Forecasting Annual Maximum Water Levels at Hydrological Stations

Compared with traditional real-time forecasting,this paper proposes a Grey Markov Model(GMM) to forecast the maximum water levels at hydrological stations in the estuary area.The GMM combines the Grey System and Markov theory into a higher precision model.The GMM takes advantage of the Grey System to predict the trend values and uses the Markov theory to forecast fluctuation values,and thus gives forecast results involving two aspects of information.The procedure for forecasting annul maximum water levels with the GMM contains five main steps:1) establish the GM(1,1) model based on the data series;2) estimate the trend values;3) establish a Markov Model based on relative error series;4) modify the relative errors caused in step 2,and then obtain the relative errors of the second order estimation;5) compare the results with measured data and estimate the accuracy.The historical water level records(from 1960 to 1992) at Yuqiao Hydrological Station in the estuary area of the Haihe River near Tianjin,China are utilized to calibrate and verify the proposed model according to the above steps.Every 25 years' data are regarded as a hydro-sequence.Eight groups of simulated results show reasonable agreement between the predicted values and the measured data.The GMM is also applied to the 10 other hydrological stations in the same estuary.The forecast results for all of the hydrological stations are good or acceptable.The feasibility and effectiveness of this new forecasting model have been proved in this paper.

Cluster analysis of the domain of microseismic event attributes for fl oor water inrush warning in the working face

Differences are found in the attributes of microseismic events caused by coal seam rupture,underground structure activation,and groundwater movement in coal mine production.Based on these differences,accurate classification and analysis of microseismic events are important for the water inrush warning of the coal mine working facefloor.Cluster analysis,which classifies samples according to data similarity,has remarkable advantages in nonlinear classification.A water inrush early warning method for coal minefloors is proposed in this paper.First,the short time average over long time average(STA/LTA)method is used to identify effective events from continuous microseismic records to realize the identification of microseismic events in coal mines.Then,ten attributes of microseismic events are extracted,and cluster analysis is conducted in the attribute domain to realize unsupervised classification of microseismic events.Clustering results of synthetic andfield data demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.The analysis offield data clustering results shows that thefirst kind of events with time change rules is of considerable importance to the early warning of water inrush from the coal mine working facefloor.

煤矿井下涌水量灰色灾变预测

利用灰色灾变理论，对韩王矿历年矿井涌水量资料进行了分析、整理．建立了煤矿井下涌水量灰色灾变时间预测模型，并对矿井灾害涌水量发生时间进行了预测．预测精度较高，结果符合实际要求，为煤矿井下水害防治提供了一种有效的方法．

Internal thermal origin mechanism of Karstic collapse column with no smoothly extrinsic cycle

Huainan coal field as main object,investigation of Karstic hydrogeological con- ditions were developed in Huainan structureal unit,and the basic conditions,features and rules of Karstic growth were summarized.Geology background and causes of Karstic col- lapse columns were analyzed.Combined with ancient physiognomy,environment and li- tho-facies features.After studying synthetically Karstic collapse columns,shape of col- lapse body,filling feature,hydrodynamic condition and agglutinate material in Huainan area,considering mine hydrogeological conditions of Xuhuai coal field and referenced Karstic collapse columns characters of other mines in North China,the internal thermal origin theory is elementarily formed for Karstic collapse columns extrinsic cycle can not operate smoothly.Finaly,three aspects including distributing features of different kinds of Karstic collapse columns in north China type coal field,conditions of Karstic collapse col- umns origined from internal thermal with no smoothly extrinsic cycle,mechanics of causes were analyzed and demonstrated.