Predicting Lung Cancers Using Epidemiological Data:A Generative-Discriminative Framework

Predictive models for assessing the risk of developing lung cancers can help identify high-risk individuals with the aim of recommending further screening and early intervention.To facilitate pre-hospital self-assessments,some studies have exploited predictive models trained on non-clinical data(e.g.,smoking status and family history).The performance of these models is limited due to not considering clinical data(e.g.,blood test and medical imaging results).Deep learning has shown the potential in processing complex data that combine both clinical and non-clinical information.However,predicting lung cancers remains difficult due to the severe lack of positive samples among follow-ups.To tackle this problem,this paper presents a generative-discriminative framework for improving the ability of deep learning models to generalize.According to the proposed framework,two nonlinear generative models,one based on the generative adversarial network and another on the variational autoencoder,are used to synthesize auxiliary positive samples for the training set.Then,several discriminative models,including a deep neural network(DNN),are used to assess the lung cancer risk based on a comprehensive list of risk factors.The framework was evaluated on over 55000 subjects questioned between January 2014 and December 2017,with 699 subjects being clinically diagnosed with lung cancer between January 2014 and August 2019.According to the results,the best performing predictive model built using the proposed framework was based on DNN.It achieved an average sensitivity of 76.54%and an area under the curve of 69.24%in distinguishing between the cases of lung cancer and normal cases on test sets.

A Study on The Multi-Antenna Geometrical Depolarization Channel Modeling

The traditional geometrical depolarization model that single transmitter to single receiver provides a simple method of polarization channel modeling. It can obtain the geometrical depolarization effect of each path if known the antenna configuration, the polarization field radiation pattern and the spatial distribution of scatters. With the development of communication technology, information transmission spectrum is more and more scarce. The original model provides only a single channel polarization state, so the information will be limited that the polarization state carries in the polarization modulation. The research is so significance that how to carries polarization modulation information by using multi-antenna polarization state. However, the present study shows that have no depolarization effect model for multi-antenna systems. In this paper, we propose a multi-antenna geometrical depolarization model. On the basis of a single antenna to calculate the depolarization effect of the model, and through simulation to analysis the main factors that influence the depolarization effect. This article provides a multi-antenna geometrical depolarization channel modeling that can applied to large-scale array antenna, and to some extent increase the speed of information transmission.

Performance of real‑time neutron/gamma discrimination methods

Nuclear security usually requires the simultaneous detection of neutrons and gamma rays.With the development of crystalline materials in recent years,Cs2LiLaBr6(CLLB)dual-readout detectors have attracted extensive attention from researchers,where real-time neutron/gamma pulse discrimination is the critical factor among detector performance parameters.This study investigated the discrimination performance of the charge comparison,amplitude comparison,time comparison,and pulse gradient_(m)ethods and the effects of a Sallen–Key filter on their performance.Experimental results show that the figure of merit(FOM)of all four methods is improved by proper filtering.Among them,the charge comparison method exhibits excellent noise resistance;moreover,it is the most_(s)uitable method of real-time discrimination for CLLB detectors.However,its discrimination performance depends on the parameters t_(s),t_(m),and t_(e).When t_(s)corresponds to the moment at which the pulse is at 10%of its peak value,t_(e)requires a delay of only 640–740 ns compared to t_(s),at which time the potentially optimal FOM of the charge comparison method at 3.1–3.3 MeV is greater than 1.46.The FOM obtained using the t_(m)value calculated by a proposed maximized discrimination difference model(MDDM)and the potentially optimal FOM differ by less than 3.9%,indicating that the model can provide good guidance for parameter selection in the charge comparison method.

Misclassification analysis of discriminant model

This paper extends the criterion of the misclassification ratio of discriminant model and presents a new selection method of discriminant model.For selecting the discriminant model,this method establishes the rule of misclassification degree ratio through misclassification ratio of the discriminant model and misclassification degree of the samples.To test the effect of this method,this work uses seven UCI data sets.Numerical experiments on these examples indicate that this method has certain rationality and has a better effect to select a discriminant model.

Fisher discriminant analysis model and its application for prediction of classification of rockburst in deep-buried long tunnel

A Fisher discriminant analysis （FDA） model for the prediction of classification of rockburst in deep-buried long tunnel was established based on the Fisher discriminant theory and the actual characteristics of the project. First, the major factors of rockburst, such as the maximum tangential stress of the cavern wall σθ, uniaxial compressive strength σc, uniaxial tensile strength or, and the elastic energy index of rock Wet, were taken into account in the analysis. Three factors, Stress coefficient σθ/σc, rock brittleness coefficient σc/σt, and elastic energy index Wet, were defined as the criterion indices for rockburst prediction in the proposed model. After training and testing of 12 sets of measured data, the discriminant functions of FDA were solved, and the ratio of misdiscrimina- tion is zero. Moreover, the proposed model was used to predict rockbursts of Qinling tunnel along Xi＇an-Ankang railway. The results show that three forecast results are identical with the actual situation. Therefore, the prediction accuracy of the FDA model is acceptable.

Adaptive Object Tracking Discriminate Model for Multi-Camera Panorama Surveillance in Airport Apron

Autonomous intelligence plays a significant role in aviation security.Since most aviation accidents occur in the take-off and landing stage,accurate tracking of moving object in airport apron will be a vital approach to ensure the operation of the aircraft safely.In this study,an adaptive object tracking method based on a discriminant is proposed in multi-camera panorama surveillance of large-scale airport apron.Firstly,based on channels of color histogram,the pre-estimated object probability map is employed to reduce searching computation,and the optimization of the disturbance suppression options can make good resistance to similar areas around the object.Then the object score of probability map is obtained by the sliding window,and the candidate window with the highest probability map score is selected as the new object center.Thirdly,according to the new object location,the probability map is updated,the scale estimation function is adjusted to the size of real object.From qualitative and quantitative analysis,the comparison experiments are verified in representative video sequences,and our approach outperforms typical methods,such as distraction-aware online tracking,mean shift,variance ratio,and adaptive colour attributes.

Water resistant features of high-risk outburst coal seams and standard discriminant model of mining under water-pressure

It is important to emphasize the value of research in safe mining technology of high-risk water outburst coal seams. We describe briefly current conditions abroad and in China. Based on an Ordovician limestone aquifer with high-risk water outburst seams in the Feicheng coal field, we analyzed the water-resistant characteristics of a coal floor aquifuge and the behavior of water head intrusion of a confined aquifer and propose a safe criterion model and relevant technology of mining above aquifers. This has brought satisfactory results in engineering practice.

Geographic Classification of Chinese Grape Wines by Near-Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy

Near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy (NIRS) was applied to classify grape wines of different geographical origins (Changli, Huailai, and Yantai, China). Near infrared (NIR) spectra were collected in transmission mode in the wavelength range of 800-2500 nm. Wines (n=90) were randomly split into two sets, calibration set (n=54) and validation set (n=36). Discriminant analysis models were developed using BP neural network and discriminant partial least-squares discriminant analysis (PLS-DA). The prediction performance of calibration models in different wavelength range was also investigated. BP neural network models and PLS-DA models correctly classified 100% of the wines in calibration set. When used to predict wines in validation set, BP neural network models correctly classified 100%, 81.8%, and 90.9% of the wines from Changli, Huailai, and Yantai respectively, and PLS-DA models correctly classified 100% of all samples. The results demonstrated that NIRS could be used to discriminate Chinese grape wines as a rapid and reliable method.

A novel multimode process monitoring method integrating LCGMM with modified LFDA

Complex processes often work with multiple operation regions, it is critical to develop effective monitoring approaches to ensure the safety of chemical processes. In this work, a discriminant local consistency Gaussian mixture model(DLCGMM) for multimode process monitoring is proposed for multimode process monitoring by integrating LCGMM with modified local Fisher discriminant analysis(MLFDA). Different from Fisher discriminant analysis(FDA) that aims to discover the global optimal discriminant directions, MLFDA is capable of uncovering multimodality and local structure of the data by exploiting the posterior probabilities of observations within clusters calculated from the results of LCGMM. This may enable MLFDA to capture more meaningful discriminant information hidden in the high-dimensional multimode observations comparing to FDA. Contrary to most existing multimode process monitoring approaches, DLCGMM performs LCGMM and MFLDA iteratively, and the optimal subspaces with multi-Gaussianity and the optimal discriminant projection vectors are simultaneously achieved in the framework of supervised and unsupervised learning. Furthermore, monitoring statistics are established on each cluster that represents a specific operation condition and two global Bayesian inference-based fault monitoring indexes are established by combining with all the monitoring results of all clusters. The efficiency and effectiveness of the proposed method are evaluated through UCI datasets, a simulated multimode model and the Tennessee Eastman benchmark process.

The evaluation of the growth pattern of coal-production in Jiangsu Province and suggestions for its sound development

Using Cobb-Douglas production function and Solow Residual, this study establishes a discriminant index to measure the intensive index of coal-production at the section-level, so as to analyze the transfer trend of the growth pattern of Jiangsu＇s coal-production since 1990s. The research shows that the transition of coal production in Jiangsu Province has mainly experienced three phases, which are the quick transition phase from extensive growth to intensive growth （from 1990 to 1994）, the fluctuation phase （from 1995 to 1999）, and the transition back phase from intensive growth to extensive growth （from 2000 to 2003）. On the whole, the coal production in Jiangsu Province nowadays is still featured by extensive growth pattern and largely dependent upon capital inputs. Finally, from the aspect of the technology progress, improving the qualities of labor, changing product structures and improving enterprise management, this study puts forward suggestions on how to transfer the growth pattern of Jiangsu＇s coal-production into intensive type.

Deep Learning in Power Systems Research:A Review

With the rapid growth of power systems measurements in terms of size and complexity,discovering statistical patterns for a large variety of real-world applications such as renewable energy prediction,demand response,energy disaggregation,and state estimation is considered a crucial challenge.In recent years,deep learning has emerged as a novel class of machine learning algorithms that represents power systems data via a large hypothesis space that leads to the state-of-the-art performance compared to most recent data-driven algorithms.This study explores the theoretical advantages of deep representation learning in power systems research.We review deep learning methodologies presented and applied in a wide range of supervised,unsupervised,and semi-supervised applications as well as reinforcement learning tasks.We discuss various settings of problems solved by discriminative deep models including stacked autoencoders and convolutional neural networks as well as generative deep architectures such as deep belief networks and variational autoencoders.The theoretical and experimental analysis of deep neural networks in this study motivates longterm research on optimizing this cutting-edge class of models to achieve significant improvements in the future power systems research.

Term-Dependent Confidence Normalisation for Out-of-Vocabulary Spoken Term Detection

An important component of a spoken term detection （STD） system involves estimating confidence measures of hypothesised detections.A potential problem of the widely used lattice-based confidence estimation,however,is that the confidence scores are treated uniformly for all search terms,regardless of how much they may differ in terms of phonetic or linguistic properties.This problem is particularly evident for out-of-vocabulary （OOV） terms which tend to exhibit high intra-term diversity.To address the impact of term diversity on confidence measures,we propose in this work a term-dependent normalisation technique which compensates for term diversity in confidence estimation.We first derive an evaluation-metric-oriented normalisation that optimises the evaluation metric by compensating for the diverse occurrence rates among terms,and then propose a linear bias compensation and a discriminative compensation to deal with the bias problem that is inherent in lattice-based confidence measurement and from which the Term Specific Threshold （TST） approach suffers.We tested the proposed technique on speech data from the multi-party meeting domain with two state-ofthe-art STD systems based on phonemes and words respectively.The experimental results demonstrate that the confidence normalisation approach leads to a significant performance improvement in STD,particularly for OOV terms with phonemebased systems.

Stochastic model updating using distance discrimination analysis

This manuscript presents a stochastic model updating method, taking both uncertainties in models and variability in testing into account. The updated finite element（FE） models obtained through the proposed technique can aid in the analysis and design of structural systems. The authors developed a stochastic model updating method integrating distance discrimination analysis（DDA） and advanced Monte Carlo（MC） technique to（1） enable more efficient MC by using a response surface model,（2） calibrate parameters with an iterative test-analysis correlation based upon DDA, and（3） utilize and compare different distance functions as correlation metrics. Using DDA, the influence of distance functions on model updating results is analyzed. The proposed stochastic method makes it possible to obtain a precise model updating outcome with acceptable calculation cost. The stochastic method is demonstrated on a helicopter case study updated using both Euclidian and Mahalanobis distance metrics. It is observed that the selected distance function influences the iterative calibration process and thus, the calibration outcome, indicating that an integration of different metrics might yield improved results.

Discriminant Genetic Algorithm Extended (DGAE) model for seasonal sand and dust storm prediction

Here we use a Discriminant Genetic Algorithm Extended (DGAE) model to diagnose and predict seasonal sand and dust storm (SDS) activities occurring in Northeast Asia. The study employed the regular meteorological data, including surface data, upper air data, and NCEP reanalysis data, collected from 1980–2006. The regional, seasonal, and annual differences of 3-D atmospheric circulation structures and SDS activities in the context of spatial and temporal distributions were given. Genetic algorithms were introduced with the further extension of promoting SDS seasonal predication from multi-level resolution. Genetic probability was used as a substitute for posterior probability of multi-level discriminants, to show the dual characteristics of crossover inheritance and mutation and to build a non-linear adaptability function in line with extended genetic algorithms. This has unveiled the spatial distribution of the maximum adaptability, allowing the forecast field to be defined by the population with the largest probability, and made discriminant genetic extension possible. In addition, the effort has led to the establishment of a regional model for predicting seasonal SDS activities in East Asia. The model was tested to predict the spring SDS activities occurring in North China from 2007 to 2009. The experimental forecast resulted in highly discriminant intensity ratings and regional distributions of SDS activities, which are a meaningful reference for seasonal SDS predictions in the future.

Discriminant Models for Uncertainty Characterization in Area Class Change Categorization

Discriminant space defining area classes is an important conceptual construct for uncertainty characterization in area-class maps.Discriminant models were promoted as they can enhance consistency in area-class mapping and replicability in error modeling.As area classes are rarely completely separable in empirically realized discriminant space,where class inseparabil-ity becomes more complicated for change categorization,we seek to quantify uncertainty in area classes(and change classes)due to measurement errors and semantic discrepancy separately and hence assess their relative margins objectively.Experiments using real datasets were carried out,and a Bayesian method was used to obtain change maps.We found that there are large differences be-tween uncertainty statistics referring to data classes and information classes.Therefore,uncertainty characterization in change categorization should be based on discriminant modeling of measurement errors and semantic mismatch analysis,enabling quanti-fication of uncertainty due to partially random measurement errors,and systematic categorical discrepancies,respectively.

Prehospital Identification of Stroke Subtypes in Chinese Rural Areas

Background： Differentiating intracerebral hemorrhage （ICH） from cerebral infarction as early as possible is vital tbr the timely initiation of different treatments. This study developed an applicable model for the ambulance system to differentiate stroke subtypes. Methods： From 26,163 patients initially screened over 4 years, this study comprised 1989 consecutive patients with potential first-ever acute stroke with sudden onset of the focal neurological deficit, conscious or not, and given ambulance transport for admission to two county hospitals in Yutian County of Hebei Province. All the patients underwent cranial computed tomography （CT） or magnetic resonance imaging to confirm the final diagnosis based on stroke criteria. Correlation with stroke subtype clinical features was calculated and Bayes＇ discriminant model was applied to discriminate stroke subtypes. Results： Among the 1989 patients, 797,689, 109, and 394 received diagnoses of cerebral infarction, ICH, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and other forms of nonstroke, respectively. A history of atrial fibrillation, vomiting, and diabetes mellitus were associated with cerebral infarction, while vomiting, systolic blood pressure _〉180 mmHg, and age 〈65 years were more typical of ICH. For noncomatose stroke patients, Bayes＇ discriminant model for stroke subtype yielded a combination of multiple items that provided 72.3% agreement in the test model and 79.3% in the validation model; for comatose patients, corresponding agreement rates were 75.4% and 73.5%. Conclusions： The model herein presented, with multiple parameters, can predict stroke subtypes with acceptable sensitivity and specificity before CT scanning, either in alert or comatose patients. This may facilitate prehospital management for patients with stroke.

The phytochemical components of walnuts and their application for geographical origin based on chemical markers

Place of origin has an important influence on walnut quality and commercial value,which results in the requirement of rapid geographical traceability method.Thus,a method for geographical origin identification of walnuts on the basis of nutritional quality of walnuts from China was conducted.The concentrations of 43 phytochemical components were analyzed in walnut samples from five different walnut-producing regions of China.Based on 14 chemical markers selected by the Random Forest method from these phytochemical components,a new discriminant model for geographical origin was built,with the corresponding correct classification rate of 99.3%.In addition,the quantitative quality differences of walnuts from five regions were analyzed,with values of 0.17–1.43.Moreover,the top three chemical markers for the geographical origin discriminant analysis were Mo,V,and stearic acid,with contribution rates of 26.8%,18.9%,and 10.9%,respectively.This study provides a potentially viable method for application in food authentication.

PARAMETRIC AND NON-PARAMETRIC COMBINATION MODEL TO ENHANCE OVERALL PERFORMANCE ON DEFAULT PREDICTION

The probability of default(PD) is the key element in the New Basel Capital Accord and the most essential factor to financial institutions' risk management.To obtain good PD estimation,practitioners and academics have put forward numerous default prediction models.However,how to use multiple models to enhance overall performance on default prediction remains untouched.In this paper,a parametric and non-parametric combination model is proposed.Firstly,binary logistic regression model(BLRM),support vector machine(SVM),and decision tree(DT) are used respectively to establish models with relatively stable and high performance.Secondly,in order to make further improvement to the overall performance,a combination model using the method of multiple discriminant analysis(MDA) is constructed.In this way,the coverage rate of the combination model is greatly improved,and the risk of miscarriage is effectively reduced.Lastly,the results of the combination model are analyzed by using the K-means clustering,and the clustering distribution is consistent with a normal distribution.The results show that the combination model based on parametric and non-parametric can effectively enhance the overall performance on default prediction.