Relationship between model for end-stage liver disease score and left ventricular function in patients with end-stage liver disease

BACKGROUND:Decreased cardiac contractility has been observed in cirrhosis,suggesting a latent cardiomyopathy in these patients.This study was designed to evaluate left ventricular structure and function in patients with end-stage liver disease by the model for end-stage liver disease(MELD) scoring system. METHODS:We recruited 82 patients(72 male,10 female; mean age 50.3±8.9 years)with end-stage liver disease who underwent orthotopic liver transplantation between January 2002 and May 2008.Seventy-eight patients had cirrhosis and 4 had primary liver cancer.Patients were categorized into three groups on the basis of MELD score:≤9(27 patients, 33%);10-19(40,49%);and≥20(15,18%).The relationship between MELD score and cardiac structure and function was determined.Preoperative assessments of blood biochemistry, blood coagulation,serum virology,echocardiography and electrocardiography were performed. RESULTS:MELD score was positively correlated with enlarged left atrial diameter,increased interventricular septum thickness(IVST),increased aortic flow,corrected QT interval (QTc)extension and cardiac output(P=0.033,0.002,0.000, 0.000 and 0.009,respectively).International normalized ratio also had a correlation with the above parameters and enlarged left ventricular end-diastolic diameter(P=0.043,0.010,0.000, 0.001,0.016 and 0.008,respectively).Serum creatinine was positively correlated with IVST(r=0.257,P=0.020),but negatively correlated with early maximal ventricular filling velocity/late diastolic or atrial velocity ratio(r=-0.300, P=0.006).A difference of QTc>440 ms among the three groups was statistically significant(χ2=9.791,P=0.007).CONCLUSIONS:Abnormalities in cardiac structure and function are common in patients with end-stage liver disease. MELD score is a practically useful approach for the assessment of cardiac function in such patients.

Comparative study of indocyanine green-R15,Child-Pugh score,and model for end-stage liver disease score for prediction of hepatic encephalopathy after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt

BACKGROUND Hepatic encephalopathy(HE)remains an enormous challenge in patients who undergo transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt(TIPS)implantation.The preoperative indocyanine green retention rate at 15 min(ICG-R15),as one of the liver function assessment tools,has been developed as a prognostic indicator in patients undergoing surgery,but there are limited data on its role in TIPS.AIM To determine whether the ICG-R15 can be used for prediction of post-TIPS HE in decompensated cirrhosis patients with portal hypertension(PHT)and compare the clinical value of ICG-R15,Child-Pugh score(CPS),and model for end-stage liver disease(MELD)score in predicting post-TIPS HE with PHT.METHODS This retrospective study included 195 patients with PHT who underwent elective TIPS at Beijing Shijitan Hospital from January 2018 to June 2019.All patients underwent the ICG-R15 test,CPS evaluation,and MELD scoring 1 wk before TIPS.According to whether they developed HE or not,the patients were divided into two groups:HE group and non-HE group.The prediction of one-year post-TIPS HE by ICG-R15,CPS and MELD score was evaluated by the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves(AUCs).RESULTS A total of 195 patients with portal hypertension were included and 23%(45/195)of the patients developed post-TIPS HE.The ICG-R15 was identified as an independent predictor of post-TIPS HE.The AUCs for the ICG-R15,CPS,and MELD score for predicting post-TIPS HE were 0.664(95%confidence interval[CI]:0.557-0.743,P=0.0046),0.596(95%CI:0.508-0.679,P=0.087),and 0.641(95%CI:0.554-0.721,P=0.021),respectively.The non-parametric approach(Delong-Delong&Clarke-Pearson)showed that there was statistical significance in pairwise comparison between AUCs of ICG-R15 and MELD score(P=0.0229).CONCLUSION The ICG-R15 has appreciated clinical value for predicting the occurrence of post-TIPS HE and is a choice for evaluating the prognosis of patients undergoing TIPS.

Living donor liver transplantation for high model for endstage liver disease score:What have we learned?

AIM: To assess the impact of model for end-stage liver disease(MELD) score on patient survival and morbidity post living donor liver transplantation(LDLT). METHODS: A retrospective study was performed on 80 adult patients who had LDLT from 2011-2013. Nine patients were excluded and 71 patients were divided into two groups; Group 1 included 38 patients with a MELD score < 20, and Group 2 included 33 patients with a MELD score > 20. Comparison between both groups was done regarding operative time, intra-operative blood requirement, intensive care unit(ICU) and hospital stay, infection, and patient survival.RESULTS: Eleven patients died(15.5%); 3/38(7.9%)patients in Group 1 and 8/33(24.2%) in Group 2 with significant difference(P = 0.02). Mean operative time, duration of hospital stay, and ICU stay were similar in both groups. Mean volume of blood transfusion and cell saver re-transfusion were 8 ± 4 units and 1668 ± 202 m L, respectively, in Group 1 in comparison to 10 ± 6 units and 1910 ± 679 m L, respectively, in Group 2 with no significant difference(P = 0.09 and 0.167, respectively). The rates of infection and systemic complications(renal, respiratory, cardiovascular and neurological complications) were similar in both groups. CONCLUSION: A MELD score > 20 may predict mortality after LDLT.

Effects of serum inflammatory factors,health index and disease activity scores on ankylosing spondylitis patients with sleep disorder

BACKGROUND Patients with ankylosing spondylitis(AS)frequently suffer from comorbid sleep disorders,exacerbating the burden of the disease and affecting their quality of life.AIM To investigate the clinical significance of serum inflammatory factors,health index and disease activity scores in patients with AS complicated by sleep disorders.METHODS A total of 106 AS patients with comorbid sleep disorders were included in the study.The patients were grouped into the desirable and undesirable prognosis groups in accordance with their clinical outcomes.The serum levels of inflammatory factors,including C-reactive protein,erythrocyte sedimentation rate,interleukin(IL)-6,tumour necrosis factor-αand IL-1β,were measured.Disease activity scores,such as the Bath AS functional index,Bath AS disease activity index,Bath AS metrology index and AS disease activity score,were assessed.The health index was obtained through the Short Form-36 questionnaire.RESULTS The study found significant associations amongst serum inflammatory factors,health index and disease activity scores in AS patients with comorbid sleep disorders.Positive correlations were found between serum inflammatory factors and disease activity scores,indicating the influence of heightened systemic inflammation on disease severity and functional impairment.Conversely,negative correlations were found between disease activity scores and health index parameters,highlighting the effect of disease activity on various aspects of healthrelated quality of life.Logistic regression analysis further confirmed the predictive value of these factors on patient outcomes,underscoring their potential utility in risk assessment and prognostication.CONCLUSION The findings demonstrate the intricate interplay amongst disease activity,systemic inflammation and patientreported health outcomes in AS patients complicated by sleep disorders.The results emphasise the need for comprehensive care strategies that address the diverse needs and challenges faced by these patients and underscore the potential relevance of serum inflammatory factors,health index and disease activity scores as prognostic markers in this patient population.

Histopathological differences utilizing the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score criteria in diabetic(type 2 diabetes mellitus) and non-diabetic patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

AIM: To study clinical and histopathological features of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD) in patients with and without type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM) using updated nonalcoholic steatohepatitis clinical research network(NASH-CRN) grading system.METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed data of 235 patients with biopsy proven NAFLD with and without T2 DM.This database was utilized in the previously published study comparing ethnicity outcomes in NAFLD by the same corresponding author.The pathology database from University of Chicago was utilized for enrolling consecutive patients who met the criteria for NAFLD and their detailed clinical and histopathology findings were obtained for comparison.The relevant clinical profile of patients was collected from the Electronic Medical Records around the time of liver biopsy and the histology was read by a single well-trained histopathologist.The updated criteria for type 2 diabetes have been utilized for analysis.Background data of patients with NASH and NAFLD has been included.The mean differences were compared using χ2 and t-test along with regression analysis to evaluate the predictors of NASH and advanced fibrosis.RESULTS: Patients with NAFLD and T2 DM were significantly older(49.9 vs 43.0,P < 0.01),predominantly female(71.4 vs 56.3,P < 0.02),had higher rate of metabolic syndrome(88.7 vs 36.4,P < 0.01),had significantly higher aspartate transaminase(AST)/alanine transaminase(ALT) ratio(0.94 vs 0.78,P < 0.01) and Fib-4 index(1.65 vs 1.06,P < 0.01) as markers of NASH,showed higher mean NAFLD activity score(3.5 vs 3.0,P = 0.03) and higher mean fibrosis score(1.2 vs 0.52,P < 0.01) compared to patients with NAFLD without T2 DM.Furthermore,advanced fibrosis(32.5 vs 12.0,P < 0.01) and ballooning(27.3 vs 13.3,P < 0.01) was significantly higher among patients with NAFLD and T2 DM compared to patients with NAFLD without T2 DM.On multivariate analysis,T2 DM was independently associated with NASH(OR = 3.27,95%CI: 1.43-7.50,P < 0.01) and advanced fibrosis(OR = 3.45,95%CI: 1.53-7.77,P < 0.01) in all patients with NAFLD.There was a higher rate of T2DM(38.1 vs 19.4,P < 0.01) and cirrhosis(8.3 vs 0.0,P = 0.01) along with significantly higher mean Bilirubin(0.71 vs 0.56,P = 0.01) and AST(54.2 vs 38.3,P < 0.01) and ALT(78.7 vs 57.0,P = 0.01) level among patients with NASH when compared to patients with steatosis alone.The mean platelet count(247 vs 283,P < 0.01) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level(42.7 vs 48.1,P = 0.01) was lower among patients with NASH compared to patients with steatosis.CONCLUSION: Patients with NAFLD and T2 DM tend to have more advanced stages of NAFLD,particularly advanced fibrosis and higher rate of ballooning than patients with NAFLD without T2 DM.

Change in model for end-stage liver disease score at two weeks,as an indicator of mortality or liver transplantation at 60 days in acute-on-chronic liver failure

Background:Acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)is characterised by a sudden deterioration of underlying chronic liver disease,resulting in increased rates of mortality and liver transplantation.Early prognostication can benefit optimal allocation of resources.Methods:ACLF was defined as per the disease criteria of the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver.Inpatient discharge summaries from between January 2001 and April 2013 were reviewed.The primary outcome was mortality or liver transplantation within 60 days from onset of ACLF.Absolute‘model for end-stage liver disease’(MELD)score and change in MELD at Weeks 1,2 and 4 were reviewed in order to identify the earliest point for prediction of mortality or liver transplantation.Results:Clinical data were collected on 53 subjects who fulfilled the inclusion and exclusion criteria.At 60 days from presentation,20 patients(37.7%)died and 4(7.5%)underwent liver transplantation.Increased MELD of-2 after 2 weeks was 75.0%sensitive and 75.9%specific for predicting mortality or liver transplantation.If the MELD score did not increase at 2 weeks,predictive chance of survival was 93.8%over the next 60 days.MELD change at 1 week showed poor sensitivity and specificity.Change at 4 weeks was too late for intervention.Conclusion:Change in MELD score at 2 weeks provides an early opportunity for prognostication in ACLF.A MELD score that does not deteriorate by Week 2 would predict 93.8%chance of survival for the next 60 days.This finding warrants further validation in larger cohort studies.

Clinical value of the Toronto inflammatory bowel disease global endoscopic reporting score in ulcerative colitis

BACKGROUND Endoscopic evaluation in diagnosing and managing ulcerative colitis(UC)is becoming increasingly important.Several endoscopic scoring systems have been established,including the Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity(UCEIS)score and Mayo Endoscopic Subscore(MES).Furthermore,the Toronto Inflammatory Bowel Disease Global Endoscopic Reporting(TIGER)score for UC has recently been proposed;however,its clinical value remains unclear.AIM To investigate the clinical value of the TIGER score in UC by comparing it with the UCEIS score and MES.METHODS This retrospective study included 166 patients with UC who underwent total colonoscopy between January 2017 and March 2023 at the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University(Qingdao,China).We retrospectively analysed endoscopic scores,laboratory and clinical data,treatment,and readmissions within 1 year.Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient,receiver operating characteristic curve,and univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed using IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows,version 26.0(IBM Corp.,Armonk,NY,United States)and GraphPad Prism version 9.0.0 for Windows(GraphPad Software,Boston,Massachusetts,United States).RESULTS The TIGER score significantly correlated with the UCEIS score and MES(r=0.721,0.626,both P<0.001),showed good differentiating values for clinical severity among mild,moderate,and severe UC[8(4-112.75)vs 210(109–219)vs 328(219–426),all P<0.001],and exhibited predictive value in diagnosing patients with severe UC[area under the curve(AUC)=0.897,P<0.001].Additionally,the TIGER(r=0.639,0,551,0.488,0.376,all P<0.001)and UCEIS scores(r=0.622,0,540,0.494,and 0.375,all P<0.001)showed stronger correlations with laboratory and clinical parameters,including C-reactive protein,erythrocyte sedimentation rate,length of hospitalisation,and hospitalisation costs,than MES(r=0.509,0,351,0.339,and 0.270,all P<0.001).The TIGER score showed the best predictability for patients'recent advanced treatment,including systemic corticosteroids,biologics,or immunomodulators(AUC=0.848,P<0.001)and 1-year readmission(AUC=0.700,P<0.001)compared with the UCEIS score(AUC=0.762,P<0.001;0.627,P<0.05)and MES(AUC=0.684,P<0.001;0.578,P=0.132).Furthermore,a TIGER score of≥317 was identified as an independent risk factor for advanced UC treatment(P=0.011).CONCLUSION The TIGER score may be superior to the UCIES score and MES in improving the accuracy of clinical disease severity assessment,guiding therapeutic decision-making,and predicting short-term prognosis.

Validation model of fibrosis-8 index score to predict significant fibrosis among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND Identifying hepatic fibrosis is crucial for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD)management.The fibrosis-8(FIB-8)score,recently developed by incorporating four additional variables into the fibrosis-4(FIB-4)score,showed better performance in predicting significant fibrosis in NAFLD.AIM To validate the FIB-8 score in a biopsy-proven NAFLD cohort and compare the diagnostic performance of the FIB-8 and FIB-4 scores and NAFLD fibrosis score(NFS)for predicting significant fibrosis.METHODS We collected the data of biopsy-proven NAFLD patients from three Asian centers in three countries.All the patients with available variables for the FIB-4 score(age,platelet count,and aspartate and alanine aminotransferase levels)and FIB-8 score(the FIB-4 variables plus 4 additional parameters:The body mass index(BMI),albumin to globulin ratio,gamma-glutamyl transferase level,and presence of diabetes mellitus)were included.The fibrosis stage was scored using nonalcoholic steatohepatitis CRN criteria,and significant fibrosis was defined as at least fibrosis stage 2.RESULTS A total of 511 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD and complete data were included for validation.Of these 511 patients,271(53.0%)were female,with a median age of 51(interquartile range:41,58)years.The median BMI was 29(26.3,32.6)kg/m2,and 268(52.4%)had diabetes.Among the 511 NAFLD patients,157(30.7%)had significant fibrosis(≥F2).The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of the FIB-8 and FIB-4 scores and NFS for predicting significant fibrosis were 0.774,0.743,and 0.680,respectively.The FIB-8 score demonstrated significantly better performance for predicting significant fibrosis than the NFS(P=0.001)and was also clinically superior to FIB-4,although statistical significance was not reached(P=0.073).The low cutoff point of the FIB-8 score for predicting significant fibrosis of 0.88 showed 92.36%sensitivity,and the high cutoff point of the FIB-8 score for predicting significant fibrosis of 1.77 showed 67.51%specificity.CONCLUSION We demonstrated that the FIB-8 score had significantly better performance for predicting significant fibrosis in NAFLD patients than the NFS,as well as clinically superior performance vs the FIB-4 score in an Asian population.A novel simple fibrosis score comprising commonly accessible basic laboratories may be beneficial to use for an initial assessment in primary care units,excluding patients with significant liver fibrosis and aiding in patient selection for further hepatologist referral.

Endoscopic full-thickness plication along with argon plasma coagulation for treatment of proton pump inhibitor dependent gastroesophageal reflux disease

BACKGROUND Most endoscopic anti-reflux interventions for gastroesophageal reflux disease(GERD)management are technically challenging to practice with inadequate data to support it utility.Therefore,this study was carried to evaluate the effectiveness and safety newer endoscopic full-thickness fundoplication(EFTP)device along with Argon Plasma Coagulation to treat individuals with GERD.AIM To evaluate the effectiveness and safety newer EFTP device along with Argon Plasma Coagulation to treat individuals with GERD.METHODS This study was a single-center comparative analysis conducted on patients treated at a Noble Institute of Gastroenterology,Ahmedabad,hospital between 2020 and 2022.The research aimed to retrospectively analyze patient data on GERD symptoms and proton pump inhibitor(PPI)dependence who underwent EFTP using the GERD-X system along with argon plasma coagulation(APC).The primary endpoint was the mean change in the total gastroesophageal reflux disease health-related quality of life(GERD-HRQL)score compared to the baseline measurement at the 3-month follow-up.Secondary endpoints encompassed enhancements in the overall GERD-HRQL score,improvements in GERD symptom scores at the 3 and changes in PPI usage at the 3 and 12-month time points.RESULTS In this study,patients most were in Hill Class II,and over half had ineffective esophageal motility.Following the EFTP procedure,there were significant improvements in heartburn and regurgitation scores,as well as GERDHRQL scores(P<0.001).PPI use significantly decreased,with 82.6%not needing PPIs or prokinetics at end of 1 year.No significant adverse events related to the procedures were observed in either group.CONCLUSION The EFTP along with APC procedure shows promise in addressing GERD symptoms and improving patients'quality of life,particularly for suitable candidates.Moreover,the application of a lone clip with APC yielded superior outcomes and exhibited greater cost-effectiveness.

MELD score can predict early mortality in patients with rebleeding after band ligation for variceal bleeding

AIM:To investigate the outcomes,as well as risk factors for 6-wk mortality,in patients with early rebleeding after endoscopic variceal band ligation (EVL) for esophageal variceal hemorrhage (EVH).METHODS:Among 817 EVL procedures performed for EVH between January 2007 and December 2008,128 patients with early rebleeding,defined as rebleeding within 6 wk after EVL,were enrolled for analysis.RESULT:The rate of early rebleeding after EVL for acute EVH was 15.6% (128/817).The 5-d,6-wk,3-mo,and 6-mo mortality rates were 7.8%,38.3%,55.5%,and 58.6%,respectively,in these early rebleeding patients.The use of beta-blockers,occurrence of hypovolemic shock,and higher model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score at the time of rebleeding were independent predictors for 6-wk mortality.A cut-off value of 21.5 for the MELD score was found with an area under ROC curve of 0.862 (P < 0.001).The sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value,and negative predictive value were 77.6%,81%,71.7%,and 85.3%,respectively.As for the 6-mo survival rate,patients with a MELD score ≥ 21.5 had a significantly lower survival rate than patients with a MELD score < 21.5 (P < 0.001).CONCLUSION:This study demonstrated that the MELD score is an easy and powerful predictor for 6-wk mortality and outcomes of patients with early rebleeding after EVL for EVH.

Modified model for end-stage liver disease improves shortterm prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

AIM To investigate whether the short-term prognosis of hepatitis B virus(HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF) could be improved by using a modified model for end-stage liver disease(MELD) including serum lactate.METHODS This clinical study was conducted at the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medicine University, China. From 2009 to 2015, 236 patients diagnosed with HBV-related ACLF at our center were recruited for this 3-month followup study. Demographic data and serum lactate levels were collected from the patients. The MELD scores with or without serum lactate levels from survival and nonsurvival groups were recorded and compared.RESULTS Two hundred and thirty-six patients with HBV-ACLF were divided into two groups: survival group(S) andnon-survival group(NS). Compared with the NS group, the patients in survival the S group had a significantly lower level of serum lactate(3.11 ± 1.98 vs 4.67 ± 2.43, t = 5.43, P < 0.001) and MELD score(23.33 ± 5.42 vs 30.37 ± 6.58, t = 9.01, P = 0.023). Furthermore, serum lactate level was positively correlated with MELD score(r = 0.315, P < 0.001). Therefore, a modified MELD including serum lactate was developed by logistic regression analysis(0.314 × lactate + 0.172 × MELD-5.923). In predicting 3-month mortality using the MELD-LAC model, the patients from the S group had significantly lower baseline scores(-0.930 ± 1.34) when compared with those from the NS group(0.771 ± 1.32, t = 9.735, P < 0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUROC) was 0.859 calculated by using the MELD-LAC model, which was significantly higher than that calculated by using the lactate level(0.790) or MELD alone(0.818). When the cutoff value was set at-0.4741, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value for predicting short-term mortality were 91.5%, 80.10%, 94.34% and 74.62%, respectively. When the MELD-LAC scores at baseline level were set at-0.5561 and 0.6879, the corresponding mortality rates within three months were 75% and 90%, respectively.CONCLUSION The short-term prognosis of HBV-related ACLF was improved by using a modified MELD including serum lactate from the present 6-year clinical study.

Application of a biochemical and clinical model to predict individual survival in patients with end-stage liver disease

AIM:To investigate the capability of a biochemical and clinical model,BioCliM,in predicting the survival of cirrhotic patients.METHODS:We prospectively evaluated the survival of 172 cirrhotic patients.The model was constructed using clinical(ascites,encephalopathy and variceal bleeding) and biochemical(serum creatinine and serum total bilirubin) variables that were selected from a Cox proportional hazards model.It was applied to estimate 12-,52-and 104-wk survival.The model's calibration using the Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic was computed at 104 wk in a validation dataset.Finally,the model's validity was tested among an independent set of 85 patients who were stratified into 2 risk groups(low risk≤8 and high risk>8).RESULTS:In the validation cohort,all measures of fi t,discrimination and calibration were improved when the biochemical and clinical model was used.The proposed model had better predictive values(c-statistic:0.90,0.91,0.91) than the Model for End-stage Liver Disease(MELD) and Child-Pugh(CP) scores for 12-,52-and 104-wk mortality,respectively.In addition,the Hosmer-Lemeshow(H-L) statistic revealed that the biochemical and clinical model(H-L,4.69) is better calibrated than MELD(H-L,17.06) and CP(H-L,14.23).There were no significant differences between the observed and expected survival curves in the stratified risk groups(low risk,P=0.61;high risk,P=0.77).CONCLUSION:Our data suggest that the proposed model is able to accurately predict survival in cirrhotic patients.

Child-Pugh-Turcott versus Meld score for predicting survival in a retrospective cohort of black African cirrhotic patients

AIM: To compare the performance of the Child-Pugh-Turcott (CPT) score to that of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score in predicting survival of a retrospective cohort of 172 Black African patients with cirrhosis on a short and mid-term basis.METHODS: Univariate and multivariate (Cox model) analyses were used to identify factors related to mortality. Relationship between the two scores was appreciated by calculating the correlation coefficient. The Kaplan Meier method and the log rank test were used to elaborate and compare survival respectively. The Areas Under the Curves were used to compare the performance between scores at 3, 6 and 12 mo.RESULTS: The study population comprised 172 patients, of which 68.9% were male. The mean age of the patient was 47.5 ± 13 years. Hepatitis B virus infection was the cause of cirrhosis in 70% of the cases. The overall mortality was 31.4% over 11 years of follow up. Independent factors significantly associated with mortality were: CPT score (HR = 3.3, 95% CI [1.7-6.2]) (P < 0.001) (stage C vs stage A-B); Serum creatine (HR = 2.5, 95% CI [1.4-4.3]) (P = 0.001) (Serum creatine > 1.5 mg/dL versus serum creatine < 1.5 mg/dL); MELD score (HR = 2.9, 95% CI [1.63-5.21]) (P < 0.001) (MELD > 21 vs MELD < 21). The area under the curves (AUC) that predict survival was 0.72 and 0.75 at 3 mo (P = 0.68), 0.64 and 0.62 at 6 mo (P = 0.67), 0.69 and 0.64 at 12 mo (P = 0.38) respectively for the CPT score and the MELD score.CONCLUSION: The CPT score displays the sameprognostic significance as does the MELD score in black African patients with cirrhosis. Moreover, its handling appears less cumbersome in clinical practice as compared to the latter.

Predicting utility of a model for end stage liver disease in alcoholic liver disease

AIM： To validate the statistic utility of both the Maddrey Discriminant Function score and the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease as predictors of short term （30 d and 90 d） mortality in patients with alcoholic hepatitis and to assess prognostic factors among clinical characteristics and laboratory variables of patients with alcoholic hepatitis. METHODS： Thirty-four patients with the diagnosis of alcoholic hepatitis admitted to Hippokration University Hospital of Athens from 2000 to 2005 were assessed in the current retrospective study and a statistical analysis was conducted. RESULTS： 30- and 90-d mortality rates were reported at 5.9% （2/34） and 14.7% （5/34）, respectively. Significant correlation was demonstrated for the Model for End- Stage Liver Disease （P30 = 0.094, P90 = 0.046） and the Maddrey Discriminant Function score （P30 = 0.033, P90 = 0.038） with 30- and 90-d mortality whereas a significant association was also established for alanine aminotrans- ferase （P = 0.057）, fibrin degradation products （P = 0.048） and C-reactive protein （P = 0.067） with 90-d mortality. For 30-d mortality the Area Under the Curve was 0.969 （95%CI： 0.902-1.036, P = 0.028） for the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score and 0.984 （95%CI： 0.942-1.027, P = 0.023） for the Maddrey Discriminant Function score with the optimal cut off point of 30.5 （sensitivity 1, specificity 0.937） and 108.68 （sensitivity 1, specificity 0.969）, respectively. Accordingly, for 90-d mortality the Area Under the Curve was 0.762 （95%CI： 0.559-0.965, P = 0.065） for the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score and 0.752 （95%CI： 0.465-1.038, P = 0.076） for the Maddrey Discriminant Function score with the optimal cut off point of 19 （sensitivity 0.6, specificity 0.6） and 92 （sensitivity 0.6, specificity 0.946）, respectively. The observed Kaplan Meier survival rates for different score-categories were compared with logrank tests and higher score values were correlated with a lower survival. CONCLUSION： Equivalency of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease and the Maddrey Discriminant Function score is implied by the current study, verified by the plotted Receiver Operative Curves and the estimated survival rates. A statistically significant utility of C-reactive protein, fibrin degradation products and alanine aminotransferase as independent predictors of 90-d mortality has also been verified.

A Novel Prognostic Score for Acute-on-Chronic Hepatitis B Liver Failure

Patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure（HBV-ACLF） show high morbidity and mortality. Independent prognostic predictors of short-term HBV-ACLF mortality include the Child-Turcotte-Pugh（CTP） score, the model for end-stage liver disease（MELD） score, other MELD-based indices and the dynamic changes in these indices. The aims of this study were to evaluate the existing prognostic scores in a large cohort of HBV-ACLF patients and create a new predictive model. We retrospectively reviewed 392 HBV-ACLF patients from December 2008 to November 2011 and evaluated their 3-month survival. The predictive accuracy of CTP, MELD and MELD-based indices and the dynamic changes in the MELD-related scores（Δ scoring systems） upon admission and after two weeks of treatment were compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic（ROC） curve method. Life-threatening factors and a series of bio-clinical parameters were studied by univariate and multivariate analyses. Among the existing scores, MELD had the best predictive ability. However, our new regression model provided an area under the curve of 0.930±0.0161（95% CI： 0.869 to 0.943）, which was significantly larger than that obtained with the MELD score at admission and after two weeks of treatment as well as with the dynamic changes of the MELD score（0.819, 0.921, and 0.826, respectively）（Z=3.542, P=0.0004）. In a large cohort of patients retrospectively reviewed for this study, our prognostic model was superior to the MELD score and is, therefore, a promising predictor of short-term survival in patients with HBV-ACLF.

Helicobacter pylori infection is not associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

AIM: To determine whether Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection confers a higher risk of Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).METHODS: Healthy people who underwent health screening were analyzed retrospectively. Inclusion criteria were age ≥ 20 years, history of H. pylori infection, and recorded insulin level. Participants were classified as H. pylori positive or negative according to 13C urea breath tests. NAFLD was defined using the hepatic steatosis index (HSI) and NAFLD liver fat score (NAFLD-LFS). Those with an HSI > 36 or NAFLD-LFS > -0.640 were considered to have NAFLD. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify risk factors for NAFLD.RESULTS: Three thousand six hundred and sixty-three people were analyzed and 1636 (44.7%) were H. pylori positive. H. pylori infection was associated with older age, male gender, hypertension, higher body mass index, and a dyslipidemic profile. HSI differed significantly between H. pylori positive and negative subjects (median 33.2, interquartile range (IQR) 30.0-36.2 for H. pylori-positive vs median 32.6, IQR 29.8-36.0 for negative participants, P = 0.005), but NAFLD-LSF did not [median -1.7, IQR -2.4 - -0.7 vs median -1.8, IQR -2.4-(-0.7), respectively, P = 0.122]. The percentage of people with NAFLD did not differ between infected and uninfected groups: HIS, 26.9% vs 27.1%, P = 0.173; NAFLD-LFS, 23.5% vs 23.1%, P = 0.778. H. pylori infection was not a risk factor, but C-reactive protein concentration and smoking were significant risk factors for NAFLD.CONCLUSION: H. pylori infection is not a risk factor for NAFLD as indicated by HSI or NAFLD-LFS. Prospective, large-scale studies involving liver biopsies should be considered.

Validation of conventional non-invasive fibrosis scoring systems in patients with metabolic associated fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND Non-invasive fibrosis scores are not yet validated in the newly defined metabolic associated fatty liver disease(MAFLD).AIM To evaluate the diagnostic performance of four non-invasive scores including aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index(APRI),fibrosis-4 index(FIB-4),body mass index,aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio,diabetes score(BARD),and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score(NFS)in patients with MAFLD.METHODS Consecutive patients with histologically confirmed MAFLD were included.The discrimination ability of different non-invasive scores was compared.RESULTS A total of 417 patients were included;156(37.4%)of them had advanced fibrosis(Metavir≥F3).The area under receiver operating characteristic curve of FIB-4,NFS,APRI,and BARD for predicting advanced fibrosis was 0.736,0.724,0.671,and 0.609,respectively.The area under receiver operating characteristic curve of FIB-4 and NFS was similar(P=0.523),while the difference between FIB-4 and APRI(P=0.001)and FIB-4 and BARD(P<0.001)was statistically significant.The best thresholds of FIB-4,NFS,APRI,and BARD for diagnosis of advanced fibrosis in MAFLD were 1.05,-2.1,0.42,and 2.A subgroup analysis showed that FIB-4,APRI,and NFS performed worse in the pure MAFLD group than in the hepatitis B virus-MAFLD group.CONCLUSION APRI and BARD scores do not perform well in MAFLD.The FIB-4 and NFS could be more useful,but a new threshold is needed.Novel non-invasive scoring systems for fibrosis are required for MAFLD.

Efficacy of Sitagliptin on Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in High-fat-diet-fed Diabetic Mice

Objective Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD)is a common cause of clinical liver dysfunction and an important prepathological change of liver cirrhosis.Central obesity,type 2 diabetes mellitus,dyslipidemia,and metabolic syndrome are the major risk factors for NAFLD.Sitagliptin(Sig)is a novel hypoglycemic agent that improves blood glucose levels by increasing the level of active incretin.Sig has been shown to prevent the development of fatty livers in mice on a fructose-rich diet.The purpose of this study was to observe the efficacy of Sig on NAFLD in type 2 diabetic mice.Methods The diet-induced obesity mouse model was established,and the diabetic mice were screened by an intraperitoneal glucose tolerance trial.The mice were randomly divided into four groups for 8 weeks of intervention:high-fat diet(HFD)group,Sig group,metformin(Met)group,and Sig+Met group.After the intervention,the liver function indexes as well as the blood glucose and blood lipid levels of the mice were measured.In addition,the wet weight of the liver was measured;the pathological sections of the liver tissues were stained to observe the hepatocyte fatty degeneration,inflammation,necrosis,and fibrosis;and the hepatic histological injury was recorded as the NAFLD activity score(NAS).Results Compared with the normal control group,the body weight,liver weight,blood glucose level,insulin resistance(IR),blood lipid level,and transaminase level of the mice in the HFD group were significantly increased,showing typical metabolic syndrome.After treatment with Sig and/or Met,the mice gained less weight,had lower levels of blood glucose,triglyceride(TG),low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C),and transaminase,and had improved IR compared with the HFD group.The liver pathological NASs in the Sig group(P=0.01),Met group(P=0.028),and Sig+Met group(P<0.001)were lower than those in the HFD group(P<0.05),suggesting that the use of the two drugs alone or in combination can improve the state of liver inflammation.In terms of fibrosis,there was no fibrosis in the control group but there was significant fibrosis in the HFD group(P<0.001).There was no significant difference between the drug intervention groups and the HFD group,indicating that the drug therapy(Sig and/or Met)did not significantly improve the pre-existing fibrosis.Conclusion Our experiment proved that Sig can improve NAFLD,including improvement of the serum transaminase level,hepatic pathological inflammation level,and hepatocyte adiposis,suggesting that Sig may play a role by improving glucose and lipid metabolism,reducing the body weight and liver weight,improving insulin sensitivity,and inhibiting fatty liver inflammation.Sig may be a new direction for the treatment of patients with a nonalcoholic fatty liver and diabetes,delaying the progression of NAFLD.

Evaluation of a new Tunisian version of behcet’s disease current activity form

Background: Beh&#231;et’s Syndrome (BS) is characterized by a heterogeneous vessel involvement, a fluctuating natural history and by the absence of biological markers correlated to disease activity that’s why objective clinical scores are needed for the assessment of its activity. The Beh&#231;et’s Disease Clinical Activity Form (BDCAF) is the most recent and widely used clinical activity score. Objectives: To perform a cross-cultural adaptation of the Beh&#231;et’s Disease Current Activity Form (BDCAF) to the Tunisian Dialect (Arabic Language) and to evaluate the metrological characteristics of the Tunisian version (Tu-BDCAF) especially its reliability in BD activity evaluation. Methods: Cross-cultural adaptation was done according to the established guidelines. Reliability of Tu-BDCAF was tested among 40 BD patients (mean age: 38 years, sex ratio: 1.37). Patients were questioned by two BD specialists at 20 minutes interval to evaluate inter-observer reproducibility and twice by the same physician at 48 hours interval to assess the intra-observer reproducibility. k Coefficient was used to test the concordance between qualitative variables and correlation between quantitative variables was evaluated used Pearson coefficient and Bland and Altman graphical method. Results: There was a good correlation between global scores calculated by the two physicians on the same day (r = 0.94, p < 0.0001) and also between the scores calculated by the same clinician at different times (r = 0.98, p k Coefficient analyses demonstrated a good intra and inter observer reliability for all the Tu-BDCAF items excepted for diarrhea and Clinician’s impression. As the original version, Tu-BDCAF is an objective, easy-calculated and reliable index for assessing disease activity in BD. The main limit of the BDCAF score remains the absence of a cut-off point defining BD activity. Conclusion: Tu-BDACF is a Tunisian version of the BDCAF score which can be used in routine to assess BD activity but also in international studies and clinical trials.

SVEAT score outperforms HEART score in patients admitted to a chest pain observation unit

BACKGROUND Timely and accurate identification of subgroup at risk for major adverse cardiovascular events among patients presenting with acute chest pain remains a challenge.Currently available risk stratification scores are suboptimal.Recently,a new scoring system called the Symptoms,history of Vascular disease,Electrocardiography,Age,and Troponin(SVEAT)score has been shown to outperform the History,Electrocardiography,Age,Risk factors and Troponin(HEART)score,one of the most used risk scores in the United States.AIM To assess the potential usefulness of the SVEAT score as a risk stratification tool by comparing its performance to HEART score in chest pain patients with low suspicion for acute coronary syndrome and admitted for overnight observation.METHODS We retrospectively reviewed medical records of 330 consecutive patients admitted to our clinical decision unit for acute chest pain between January 1st to April 17th,2019.To avoid potential biases,investigators assigned to calculate the SVEAT,and HEART scores were blinded to the results of 30-d combined endpoint of death,acute myocardial infarction or confirmed coronary artery disease requiring revascularization or medical therapy[30-d major adverse cardiovascular event(MACE)].An area under receiving-operator characteristic curve(AUC)for each score was then calculated.C-statistic and logistic model were used to compare RESULTS A 30-d MACE was observed in 11 patients(3.33%of the subjects).The AUC of SVEAT score(0.8876,95%CI:0.82-0.96)was significantly higher than the AUC of HEART score(0.7962,95%CI:0.71-0.88),P=0.03.Using logistic model,SVEAT score with cut-off of 4 or less significantly predicts 30-d MACE(odd ratio 1.52,95%CI:1.19-1.95,P=0.001)but not the HEART score(odd ratio 1.29,95%CI:0.78-2.14,P=0.32).CONCLUSION The SVEAT score is superior to the HEART score as a risk stratification tool for acute chest pain in low to intermediate risk patients.