Uncertainties of landslide susceptibility prediction:influences of different study area scales and mapping unit scales

This study aims to investigate the effects of different mapping unit scales and study area scales on the uncertainty rules of landslide susceptibility prediction(LSP).To illustrate various study area scales,Ganzhou City in China,its eastern region(Ganzhou East),and Ruijin County in Ganzhou East were chosen.Different mapping unit scales are represented by grid units with spatial resolution of 30 and 60 m,as well as slope units that were extracted by multi-scale segmentation method.The 3855 landslide locations and 21 typical environmental factors in Ganzhou City are first determined to create spatial datasets with input-outputs.Then,landslide susceptibility maps(LSMs)of Ganzhou City,Ganzhou East and Ruijin County are pro-duced using a support vector machine(SVM)and random forest(RF),respectively.The LSMs of the above three regions are then extracted by mask from the LSM of Ganzhou City,along with the LSMs of Ruijin County from Ganzhou East.Additionally,LSMs of Ruijin at various mapping unit scales are generated in accordance.Accuracy and landslide suscepti-bility indexes(LSIs)distribution are used to express LSP uncertainties.The LSP uncertainties under grid units significantly decrease as study area scales decrease from Ganzhou City,Ganzhou East to Ruijin County,whereas those under slope units are less affected by study area scales.Of course,attentions should also be paid to the broader representativeness of large study areas.The LSP accuracy of slope units increases by about 6%–10%compared with those under grid units with 30 m and 60 m resolution in the same study area's scale.The significance of environmental factors exhibits an averaging trend as study area scale increases from small to large.The importance of environmental factors varies greatly with the 60 m grid unit,but it tends to be consistent to some extent in the 30 m grid unit and the slope unit.

糖尿病发病时间趋势及其与中国内脏脂肪指数的关系:一项前瞻性队列研究

背景糖尿病仍是全球重大公共卫生问题,横断面研究发现内脏脂肪与糖尿病患病密切相关,但糖尿病发病时间趋势及其与中国内脏脂肪指数(CVAI)关系的前瞻性队列研究较少。目的通过前瞻性队列研究分析上海市浦东新区居民糖尿病发病时间趋势及其与CVAI的关系,为其科学防治提供依据。方法本研究为前瞻性队列研究。选取2013年1—7月参与浦东新区慢性病危险因素监测项目的12个乡镇街道的35个村、居委的居民5236人为研究队列。收集其基线资料,内容包括CVAI、内脏脂肪指数(VAI)、BMI、腰围(WC)、腰臀比(WHR)、腰高比(WHtR)、身体形态指数(ABSI)和身体肥胖指数(BAI),分别于2016年和2019年进行追踪随访;截至随访结束(2019年10月),通过问卷调查、实验室检查、医疗系统就诊信息和生命统计信息系统判断该研究队列糖尿病新发情况。依据基线CVAI、VAI、BMI、WC、WHR、WHtR、ABSI、BAI四分位数将纳入人群分别分为第Q1~Q4四分位数:CVAI各组人数依次为1306、1307、1307、1307人;VAI各组人数依次为1300、1316、1306、1306例;BMI各组人数依次为1305、1302、1312、1311人;WC各组人数依次为1302、1273、1287、1367人;WHR各组人数依次为1180、1203、1332、1514人;WHtR各组人数依次为1199、1393、1400、1237人;ABSI各组人数依次为1316、1302、1302、1308人;BAI各组人数依次为1310、1304、1308、1307人。采用多因素Cox回归分析CVAI和其他肥胖指标与糖尿病发病的关系;采用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)比较CVAI与其他肥胖指标的预测作用。结果浦东新区居民2013—2016年糖尿病发病密度为33.55/1000人年,2017—2019年糖尿病发病密度为23.25/1000人年,随着年龄的增长,糖尿病总发病密度呈现出升高趋势(2013—2016年:χ^(2)=28.503,P_(趋势)<0.001;2017—2019年:χ^(2)=25.600,P_(趋势)<0.001)。截至2016年,基线CVAI四分位数越高,糖尿病累积发病率(CVAI:χ^(2)=131.865,P_(趋势)<0.001)和发病密度(CVAI:χ^(2)=100.105,P_(趋势)<0.001)均越高。调整相关混杂因素后的多因素Cox回归分析结果显示,与CVAI处于Q1相比,CVAI处于Q4的男性糖尿病的发病风险增加79.4%(HR=1.794,95%CI=1.044~3.083,P<0.05),女性糖尿病的发病风险增加371.2%(HR=4.712,95%CI=2.601~8.538,P<0.05)。ROC曲线结果显示,在预测男性糖尿病发病情况中,CVAI对男性糖尿病预测的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为0.600(95%CI=0.561~0.640),识别男性糖尿病的约登指数为0.181,截断值为104.118;Delong检验结果显示,CVAI对女性糖尿病预测的准确性最高(AUC=0.699),且在识别女性糖尿病时有最大的约登指数值0.317,最佳截断值为104.609。结论2013—2019年上海市浦东新区居民糖尿病发病密度随年龄的增长呈升高趋势;且相较于其他肥胖指标,CVAI可作为预测糖尿病发病风险的指标。

Double-row repair of rotator cuff tears: Comparing tendon contact area between techniques

BACKGROUND In rotator cuff repair surgery,the double-row technique is widely performed.Studies have shown that with increased contact area and pressure between tendon and bone interface,better healing is promoted.AIM To assess the different suture configurations with the double-row technique and how this influences the contact area of the rotator cuff tendon to bone.METHODS This was a controlled laboratory study where identical tears were created in 24 fresh porcine shoulders over a 1.5 cm×2.5 cm infraspinatus insertion footprint.Double-row repair techniques,with 3 to 4-suture anchors in different configurations(2 medial,2 lateral vs 2 medial,1 lateral vs 1 medial,2 lateral),were employed for three control groups.Each group consisted of eight shoulders with identical repair configurations.Footprint contact areas of the repaired tendon against the tuberosity were determined using pressure sensitive Fujifilm placed between the tendon and tuberosity.RESULTS The mean contact area between tendon and insertion footprint from the imprinted Fujifilm was obtained using computer software.The contact area measured from a standard 4-suture anchor double row repair was 75.1±9.3 mm2,whereas areas obtained for the 2 lateral-1 medial and 2 medial-1 lateral anchor configurations were 72.9±5.2 mm2 and 75.0±4.9 mm2 respectively.No statistical significance was noted between the three groups.CONCLUSION In the technique of double-row repair,using a 3-suture anchor configuration may offer a non-inferior alternative to the standard 4-anchor construct in terms of efficacy.This may also result in overall cost reduction and shorter surgical time.

A study on zooplankton distribution patterns and indicator species in Kuroshio upstream area and adjacent East China Sea

On the basis of the data of zooplankton biomass and three major taxa—— Copepoda, Chaetognatha andSiphonophora of May-June 1986, July-August and December 1987, the distributional patterns and the indicator species of zooplankton in the Kuroshio and adjacent waters of the East China Sea are preliminarily studied. The results are as follows:The horizontal distribution of zooplankton biomass and the abundance of copepods, chaetognaths and siphonophores arecurred in the continent area northwest of Taiwan and the south-centre section of the East China Sea continent, which are the mix front of different waters. Zooplankton in the water area inside of Ryukyu Islands presented low abundance and high diversity. There are clear seasonal variations in zooplankton biomass and abundance in the study area. The strength or weakness of different water masses and fronts is the basic reason for the variations of zooplankton biomass and abundance.The species composition of zooplankton in the study area is complex and varies, however, the tropic oceanic species predominates overwhelmingly. The distribution of different ecotype species evidences the distribution of different water masses and the state of mixture. The indicator species of each water mass are listed in the paper so as to provide grounds for the variation of currents in the Kuroshio area.The temperature and salinity of sea water are important factors affecting zooplankton distribution, composition and diversity , however the role of salinity is major. With the replacement of one season by another, the correlative levels of temperature and salinity to various zooplankton taxa are more or less significant.

Genome-wide association study for rib eye muscle area in a Large White×Minzhu F_2 pig resource population

Rib eye muscle area（REMA） is an economically important trait and one of the main selection criteria for breeding in the swine industry. In the genome-wide association study（GWAS）, the Illumina Porcine SNP60 Bead Chip containing 62 163 single nucleotide polymorphisms（SNPs） was used to genotype 557 pigs from a porcine Large White×Minzhu intercross population. The REMA（at the 5th–6th, 10th–11th and the last ribs） was measured after slaughtered at the age of（240±7） d for each animal. Association tests between REMA trait and SNPs were performed via the Genome-Wide Rapid Association using the Mixed Model and Regression-Genomic Control（GRAMMAR-GC） approach. From the Ensembl porcine database, SNP annotation was implemented using Sus scrofa Build 10.2. Thirty-three SNPs on SSC12 and 3 SNPs on SSC2 showed significant association with REMA at the last rib at the chromosome-wide significance level. None of the SNPs of REMA at the 5th–6th rib and only a few numbers of the SNPs of REMA at the 10th–11th ribs were found in this study. The Haploview V3.31 program and the Haplo.Stats R package were used to detect and visualize haplotype blocks and to analyze the association of the detected haplotype blocks with REMA at the last rib. A linkage analysis revealed that 4 haplotype blocks contained 4, 4, 2, and 4 SNPs, respectively. Annotations from pig reference genome suggested 2 genes（NOS2, NLK） in block 1（266 kb）, one gene（TMIGD1） in block 2（348 kb）, and one gene（MAP2K4） in block 3（453 kb）. A functional analysis indicated that MYH3 and MYH13 genes are the potential genes controlling REMA at the last rib. We screened several candidate intervals and genes based on the SNPs location and the gene function, and inferred that NOS2 and NLK genes maybe the main genes of REMA at the last ribs.

The Discovery and Study of Mantle-Derived Dunite Inclusions in Hornblende-Diorite in the Handan-Xingtai Area,Hebei

Phlogopiie-and diopside-bearing dunite occurs as rounded inclusions in hornblende-diorite. Thepetrofabrics, mineral composition and abundances of the trace elements in the dunite indicate that the inclu-sions were derived from the upper mantle and are the residues of high-degree partial melting of mantlepeirdotite. The study of trace elements in the inclusions and their host rocks shows that the magma was origi-nated from the mantle which was enriched in incompatible elements by mantle metasomatism prior to the par-tial melting.

Study of radioactive status in the Zhujiang Estuary and adjacent sea area in South China Sea (SCS)

Through the investigation on radioactive activities of water, sediment and some marine organismsin the Zhujiang Estuary, adjacent sea area and the distributary mouths of the Zhujiang River, activities of total α. radioactivity, total β radioactivity, artificial radioactive 90Srand 157Cs, and factors inflencing the distribution and the content of U in seawater are studied.The mainly radioactive pollution substances and their sources in the sea area are studied by γ spectra obtained from sediment in the sea area. The results show that the main radioactivity substances are natural radioactivity U,Th series and 40K. which were produced by the modern industry and transported into the sea through the main current of the Zhujiang River.

Effects of Land Use Change on Eco-environment in Hilly Area of Central Sichuan Basin——A Case Study of Yanting County, Sichuan Province

With the artificial alder and cypress mixed forest being planted, there has been a marked land use change since 1970s' in Hilly Area of Central Sichuan Basin, China. Data from meteorological observations or posts operated over long time, measurement and calculation of NPP (net primary production) and biomass of biological community, and analysis of soil organic matter content show that the artificial alder and cypress mixed forest has outstanding eco-environmental effect: adjusting local climate, raising soil fertility, alleviating menace of drought, and raising NPP and biomass of biological community. It is very beneficial for improving ecological environment to afforest artificial alder and cypress mixed forest in populous Hilly Area of Central Sichuan Basin, China. Key Words: land use/land cover change (LUCC); eco-environmental effect; Hilly Area of Central Sichuan Basin; the artificial alder and cypress mixed forest

Lead Isotope Studies of Massive Surphur-Iron-Gold Deposits in the Tongling Area, Anhui Province

Pb isotope ratios and their variation have been measured and explained on ores of massive S-Fe-Au depos-its hosted in the Middle-Upper Carboniferous, on feldspars from diorite bodies closely related tomineralization and on whole rocks from ore-hosting strata (carbonate rocks) in the Tongling area, Anhui Prov-ince. Through a comparison of Pb isotope features of these geological bodies, it has been suggested that oresubstances of the deposits were derived from ore-hosting strata. In the meanwhile, the measurement of ore Pbisotopes of different mineralization types of the same deposit indicates that different mineralization types havedistinct Pb isotope characteristics, showing the potentiality of the Pb isotopic method used in mineral explora-tion.

A Study of Siliceous Pneumoconiosis in a Desert Area of Sunan County,Gansu Province,China

Three hundred and ninety five residents in a desert area were examined with chest radiographs and 28 cases with siliceous pneumoconiosis were found. The prevalence of siliceous pneumoconiosis was 7.09%, and that over 40 years of age was 21%. The histological findings of lungs from a camel living in that area for 20 years also confirmed to have siliceous pneumoconiosis.

Numerical study of the influence of Kuroshio Current on the thermocline in the sea area around Taiwan Island

Using P0M97. an oceanic model, we separately do numerical tests to simulate the 3-D struc ture of temperature in the sea area around Taiwan Island with or without effect of Kuroshio (Current). Through contrast analysis. we find that inflow of Kuroshio results in winter mean water temperature of sub-surface layer in the whole sea regions raising 5 - 6℃ more than that without effect of Kuroshio. The existence of Kuroshio does important role on oceanic thermocline of deep water area in the east of Taiwan Island, and has some effect on intensity of seasonal thermocline of Taiwan Strait and its southern shallow water area.

Confinement and Semi-confinement Raising Fattening Technology of Yaks in Agricultural Areas of Tibet

In the study, confinement and semi-confinement raising fattening technology of yaks in agricultural areas of tibet were analyzed. And several suggestions for improving the efficiency of yak raising were put forward. Aiming at providing the reference of healthy raising and sustainable development of yaks in the agricul- tural areas of tibet.

STUDY ON THE VISIBILITY REDUCTION CAUSED BY ATMOSPHERIC HAZE IN GUANGZHOU AREA

Using the non-hydrostatic meso-scale model MM5v3, dense fog that occurred from March 7 to March 8, 2001 over the Mts. Nanling area was studied. With integrated field experiments and observations, the occurrence, development and lift mechanism of fog were analyzed. The results indicate that before the coming of stratiform clouds, southerly warm and wet air ascended along mountainside and cooling condensation formed mountain fog. Then fog was formed by the stratiform on cloud-contacting mountaintop. A front inversion layer accelerated the development and extended the duration of the lower cloud and fog. The intensity, occurrence time, mass content and the variation of temperature and relative humidity of the fog agreed with those of the observation. It showed that the meso-scale model has the potential to forecast mountain fog.

Study on the mussel (Mytilus viridis ) as an ^(90)Sr contaminative bioindicator of a sea area

It is well known that mussels have been applied more and more to monitoring marine pollution, and have been reported on the marine radioactive monitoring. The majority concentrates the attention on the study of monitoring active products. However, the report on monitoring fission products is rare. T. R. Rice reported that the phytoplankton could concentrateSr, but its drawback is too large mobility to reflect the radioactive level of the specific sea area. For this purpose, the paper applies the mussel, which life range is more fixed, to discuss the possibility of monitoringSr.

Lower air temperature is associated with higher ambulance transports in Sakata area, Yamagata prefecture, Japan

To investigate the link between low air temperature and ambulance transports in Japan. Data on climate parameters i.e. air temperature, humidity and daylight hours in Sakata area, Yamagata prefecture, Japan, which is northern part (Tohoku) in Japan, was obtained from Japan Meteorological Agency. Monthly data on ambulance transports due to acute disease from 2005 to 2011 was also directly obtained from Sakata area official website, Japan. The relations between air temperature and ambulance transports were evaluated by ecological study. Ambulance transports per day were 10.1 ± 1.0 and mean air temperature was 13.0 ± 8.4 (°C). Ambulance transports per day were weakly and negatively correlated with mean air temperature, mean of the highest air temperature, mean of the lowest air temperature, the highest air temperature and daylight hours. It was also weakly and positively correlated with mean humidity. However, the relation between ambulance transports and mean air temperature was well estimated by quadratic curve (r = 0.633,

Engineering Geological Study of Regional Tectonic Stability in the Area of the Longyang Gorge Power Station on the Huanghe (Yellow) River

In the stability study of the regional structures in the area of the Longyang Gorge Hydroelectrical Power Station, a model of the current stress-deformation field of the area was constructed based on analyses of available data of regional surveys and historical earthquakes and field investigations of active faults and ancient earthquakes. This model was examined and verified by physical and mathematical simulation experiments, and quantitative relations and data were obtained.

A numerical study of the impact of SST anomaly in the warm pool area on atmospheric circulation in winter

In this paper the impacts of the anomalous SST in the warm pool area of the Western Equatorial Pacific on the winter time circulation and the East Asian monsoon are studied by using the NCAR CCM. It is found that the abnormal heating in the warm pool area will change the strength and the position of the Walker Cell in the Equatorial Pacific and the anti-Walker Cell in the equatorial Indian Ocean. Both the Walker and anti-Walker Cells are strengthened. The local Hadley Cells over two hemispheres near the warm pool are also strengthened. The subtropical highs in two hemispheres become stronger and move poleward slightly. The westerly jets in the extratropical regions have similar changes as the subtropical highs. The winter monsoon in South-East Asia is weakened by the abnormal heating in the warm pool. The experiment also show that there are wave trains emanating from surrounding areas of the warm pool to the high latitudes, causing various changes in circulations and local weather.

A Study of the Radiation-Climate Effect of Aerosol over Beijing Area

In this paper, the monthly-averaged planetary albedo and equivalent blackbody temperature are calculated by using Gauss-Seidle numerical model to solve the equation of radiative transfer, based on measured aerosol data over Beijing aera. With the increase of atmospheric turbidity, the planetary albedo has different characteristics in different seasons, and there is an evident decrease in the winter season. It means that the local aerosol has an heating effect to the atmosphere in winter. The correlation feature between the surface temperature and the horizontal visibility from 1963 to 1986 is analyzed, and anticorrelation is discovered in winter. It is found that surface temperature increases with the increase of aeresol.

Research on the Winter Study Movement in Shanxi Anti-Japanese Base Area from the Perspective of Mass

Playing a major role on social education in Shanxi anti-Japanese base area,the winter study movement is a popular education movement implemented by the Communist Party of China,which takes into consideration the base area’s reality and makes full use of the leisure time in winter of rural area.With a wide coverage of education in culture,politics,daily life,anti-Japanese war as well as other aspects.The winter study movement provides efficient education to rural peasants,achieving great effects on mobilization on the masses of the people.This paper focuses on the original archives of the grassroots,conveying comprehensive analysis on the institutional arrangement,organizational mechanism and specific implementation of the winter study movement,thus to provide an overall understanding of the winter study movement in Shanxi anti-Japanese base area from the perspective of mass mobilization.

Metabasic Dyke Swarms in a High-Grade Metamorphic Terrane——A Case Study in the Taipingzhai-Jinchangyu Area,Eastern Hebei Province

Geological and petrological studies indicate that three phases of metabasic dykes are present in theTaipingzhai-Jinchangyu area within the high-grade metamorphic terrane of eastern Hebei. Garnet andhornblende in metabasic dykes of the second and third phases occur separately, forming two mineral aggregateareas gl+cpx+pl±hy and hb+cpx+pl-hy. P_(H_2O) in the rocks appears to be the main factor controlling theformation of the two aggregate areas. Both were formed simultaneously at the same metamorphic temperature. The second-phase basic dykes underwent metamorphism of pyroxene-granulite facies at a temperature ofsome 825C: later the dykes, together with the third-phase basic dykes experienced metamorphism ofamphibole-granulite facies at a temperature of about 750C under pressure of 0.9GPa.