Discussion on Statistical Monitoring and Evaluation of High-Quality Development of County Economy

The county economy serves as the fundamental unit in China’s economic development and construction.There exists a significant correlation between the quality and level of county economic development and the overall economic construction level of the country.In recent years,China’s economy has experienced rapid growth,contributing to an improved living environment and substantial economic income for its citizens.However,this progress has also brought to light certain issues,such as an unbalanced industrial structure and inefficient resource utilization,leading to problems such as low efficiency and severe environmental pollution.Therefore,it becomes imperative to enhance the statistical monitoring and evaluation of high-quality county economic development.This approach aims to gather insights into the development status of the county economy and provide essential data support for decision-making in county economic development.Consequently,this paper proposes development suggestions for the statistical monitoring and evaluation of high-quality county economic development,serving as a crucial starting point for future initiatives.

Spatial Pattern Evolution and Casual Analysis of County Level Economy in Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan Urban Agglomeration, China

In order to evaluate whether or not the county units′ economy in the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan(Chang-Zhu-Tan) Urban Agglomeration was growing as expected, this study analyzed the spatial economy pattern at county-level by using the Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis(ESDA) method. In this process, the global Moran′s I and local Getis-Ord G*i indexes were employed to analyze indicators including per capita GDP and three industrials(i.e. primary, secondary and tertiary industry) from 2000 to 2010. The results show that: 1) the county units′ economy in the Chang-Zhu-Tan Urban Agglomeration has exhibited a strong spatial autocorrelation and an accelerated integration trend since 2008(Moran′ s I increased from 0.26 to 0.56); 2) there is a significant difference in economy development between the northern and southern county units in the Chang-Zhu-Tan Urban Agglomeration: the hotspot zone with high economic level was formed among the northern county units whereas the coldspot zone with low economic level was located in the southern areas. This difference was caused primarily by the increasingly prominent economic radiation effect of Changsha ′upheaval′; 3) town density, secondary industry, and the integration policy are the major contributors driving the evolution of the spatial economy pattern in the Chang-Zhu-Tan Urban Agglomeration.

Spatial Pattern and Influencing Factor of County-level Industrial Development in Liaoning Province of China

County-level industrial development and structure upgrade is one of the most important issues of revitaliz- ing old industrial base of China. After the cluster analysis on GDP per capita and GDP per area of each county in Liaoning Province, this paper finds the similarity of population size, land use intensity, and economic development of each county. Location quotient reflects the specialization intensity of industries in each county, and it also reflects the spatial differences of county-level industrial development. Economic development level is higher in the southeast than in the northwest of Liaoning, and the industry driving effect on county-level economy is apparent. The main influenc- ing factors include location, industrial foundation and economic system reform, capital input level, knowledge and technology dissemination, conditions of domestic and overseas markets, population and labor force transfer. Industri- alization is an important approach to urbanization for the counties in Liaoning Province. The proportion of agriculture is much higher in the northwest than in the southeast of Liaoning, so it will be take longer time for counties in the northwest of Liaoning to make industrialization, urbanization and modernization.

Correlation between Geographical Regional Economy and Construction of County-level Vocational Education Centers

In the period of Eleventh Five-Year Plan,the construction of county-level vocational education centers in Shanxi Province made great contribution to local social and economic development. Due to influence of special geography,population environment and regional economic development situation,it forms the pattern of strong in southeast and weak in northwest. Thus,scientific making plan for construction of vocational education centers in northwestern counties( cities) and establishing long-term mechanism for construction of vocational education centers will be helpful for serving regional economic construction.

Function Zoning of the Major Function Development-optimized County:A Case in Shangyu,Zhejiang

The 11th Five Year Plan has divided national functional zones in the basic unit of county-level administrative region.After implementation of national Major Function-oriented Zones (MFOZ) at prefecture and county levels,the spatial development sequence must be specified,development intensity must be limited,oriented zones must be designated and "red line" areas of spatial governance must be defined.In view of the above,choosing a typical county area and exploring its functional zoning after orienting its major functions will supply reference for carrying out the national spatial planning in the 12th Five Year Period,and it will also provide experience for the study of function regionalization which is the theme of MFOZ in the present academic circles.In this paper,the authors take Shangyu County as an example to study the general principles,train of thought of county-level functional regionalization in development-optimized areas,and to explore its reasonable functional zoning plan.Consequently,the authors present five principles and suggest a function-oriented zoning plan with 2 levels and 4 types.

County financial ecology and the development of new socialist countryside in China

The new rural construction will involve many fields, such as the upgrade of the industrial structure of agriculture, the improvement of the efficiency in the use of agricultural resources, the increase of farmers’ income, maintaining sustainable agricultural development, and strengthening the construction of agricultural service system and circulation system. Finance, as the core of modern economy, should serve the new rural construction. However, there are many problems about the financial system in the rural area for a long time. So it is vital to build a good county financial eco-environment to promote the development of county financial systems and give full scope to the supporting function of finance. Only when we solve the problems in rural financial ecology and make clear the government’s function and activities, the county financial environment can function and be improved. Based on the reality of county economic development and starting from the connotation of county financial ecology, this paper analyzes the status quo of county financial eco-environment, especially the significance of optimizing the county financial eco-environment under the macroscopic background that the country proposed the socialist new rural reconstruction, and proposes the opinions and suggestions to construct and the maintain county financial eco-environment.

Effects of altitude on county economic development in China

Mountain regions play an increasingly essential role in global sustainable development, and the related sustainable development issues have attracted increasing attention. There are obvious vertical spatial differentiation phenomena in both natural and socio-economic fields with altitude being a key factor affecting the economic development of mountain regions. However, the exact influence of altitude is still unknown. Based on the county scale, this paper used the gravitational potential energy model to evaluate the effects of altitude on economic development in China. The results indicate that the high-altitude areas were the depression areas of county economic development, and county economic density showed a decreasing trend with the increase of altitude. County economic density respectively decreased by 0.10%, 0.04% and 0.02% with every 1% increase in altitude in 2000, 2005 and 2010. Here we demonstrate that high altitude has negative effect on county economy, although the negative effect presented a downward trend. The results also showed that increasing capital and labor investments could reduce the negative effect of high altitude on county economy. In 2010, with every 1% increase in capital and labor density, county economic density increased by 0.62% and 0.83%, respectively. The effects of altitude were the results of multidimensional factors. The fundamental approach to reduce the negative effects of high altitude is to combine the ecological environment and resources to develop characteristic industries. The construction of infrastructure should be strengthened, which can promote the occurrence of the contra-flow of people, logistics and capital, and promote the balanced development of county economy.

Changes of surface water pollution of Suzhou region: a case study in Taicang County, China

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电子商务进农村综合示范政策对县域农业增长的影响研究

本文利用2000—2019年我国县域数据,采用多期DID等方法探讨了电子商务进农村综合示范政策对县域农业发展水平的影响。研究结果显示,电子商务进农村综合示范政策对县域农业经济发展水平提高具有显著的促进作用,且这种促进作用具有长期效应。这一结果在考虑实验组非随机分配、更换因变量和调整样本后仍然稳健。电子商务进农村综合示范政策主要通过农业产业集聚、农业金融服务改善两个途径对县域农业发展水平产生影响。异质性分析表明,电子商务进农村综合示范政策对粮食主产区、经济欠发达地区、地形平缓地区的农业发展水平的促进作用更强。因此,应重视农村电子商务发展对推进乡村全面振兴、促进共同富裕的重要作用,政府要在农村电子商务带头人培训、电子商务基础设施建设、农业产业集聚的产业空间布局规划等方面发挥作用,注重数字普惠金融与县域农业发展的融合,强化数字普惠金融的支持力度。

我国县域经济韧性的实践检验

县域是连接乡村与城市的重要纽带,是拉动城乡要素双向流动的中转站。通过测度2014—2020年我国2 074个县以及296个城市的经济韧性发现,城市经济韧性整体高于县域经济,当受到外部冲击后,县域经济韧性逆势上升;在产业方面,第三产业韧性高于第二产业,受到外部冲击后,第一产业韧性逆势上升,第二产业韧性波动较小,第三产业韧性下降明显;在区域方面,中西部地区的县域经济韧性较强,东部地区的城市经济韧性较强。此外,通过双向固定效应模型回归发现,经济增长和经济稳定对经济韧性均有显著的边际贡献,经济增长提高经济发展活力,经济稳定为降低韧性波动提供有益支撑。2020年受新冠疫情冲击,县域的经济增长对韧性的边际贡献有所下降,经济稳定对韧性的边际贡献显著提升;对县域而言,第三产业、东部地区、外围城市的经济增长显著,第一产业、第二产业、中西部地区的经济稳定显著。为实现县域经济韧性对我国经济的带动作用,要充分发展壮大县域经济,提高县域经济韧性,破解发展不平衡不充分的问题;要注重经济韧性的产业和区域差异,协调产业间及区域间经济发展协作关系;既要充分发挥增长对经济的带动作用,也要发挥经济稳定对降低经济波动作用,实现经济增长和经济稳定的平衡统一,促进经济高质量发展。

中国数字经济发展水平时空演变及区域差异分析

数字经济作为国民经济的核心增长极之一,正在成为促进经济发展的新动能。构建数字经济发展水平指标体系,运用熵值法对2014—2020年中国省际数字经济发展水平进行测度,在此基础上进一步探究中国数字经济发展的分布动态和区域差异。研究结果表明:与2014年相比,2020年中国数字经济发展水平整体有所提升,分区域看,东部地区数字经济发展水平呈波动下降趋势,中西部地区呈上升趋势且差距较小;空间分布上,中国数字经济呈现东高西低的发展格局,而且在发展过程中逐步形成多极分化状态;东、中、西地区数字经济发展的相对差异呈不断缩小趋势,并且区域内差异是造成数字经济发展存在差异的主要原因。

乡村振兴与县域经济耦合发展对中国式现代化发展的影响效应研究

乡村振兴与县域经济耦合发展对中国式现代化发展具有重要影响,能够加快人口规模巨大的现代化发展、全体人民共同富裕的现代化、人与自然和谐共生的现代化以及物质文明与精神文明相协调的现代化发展,是推进中国式现代化发展的有力推手。基于理论分析提出研究假说,进而通过指标体系构建、熵值法、回归模型构建等方法,进一步分析2013—2022年乡村振兴与县域经济耦合发展对中国式现代化发展的影响效应。结果表明:(1)乡村振兴与县域经济耦合发展对中国式现代化发展具有积极效应,主要表现在乡村振兴与县域经济耦合发展对中国式现代化发展具有经济促进效应、社会辐射效应和生态促进效应;(2)乡村振兴与县域经济耦合发展对中国式现代化发展的影响效应具有明显的区域异质性,东部地区乡村振兴与县域经济耦合发展对中国式现代化发展的影响效应要大于其他地区。

县域旅游助推县域经济高质量发展的逻辑诠释与实施路径

明确县域旅游推动县域经济高质量发展的内在逻辑和实践路径对于广大县域坚定旅游发展信心具有重要意义。从旅游的同时性、同在性和综合性、开放性等自身特性入手诠释了县域旅游助推县域经济高质量发展的内在逻辑,并基于这种逻辑关系探索了具体实施路径。研究表明,旅游自身特性使得县域旅游与县域经济深度融合具备可能性,两者的融合又随着县域旅游的高质量发展最终使县域旅游助推县域经济高质量发展成为现实;以产业链、创新链、供应链、要素链、制度链“五链”耦合促进县域旅游与县域经济深度融合,形成“县域旅游高质量发展—‘五链’耦合—县域经济高质量发展”驱动模式,是县域旅游助推县域经济高质量发展的可行实施路径。

县级融媒体中心深度发展的几个关键问题

县级融媒体中心是地方党委政府“治县理政”的抓手与平台,作为一种战略安排,融媒体中心有其技术、经济、政治与文化时代背景,数字信息技术不断革新下的挑战与机遇,使得县级传统媒体必然转型为融媒体中心,因而其生产者构成、职能部门构成、渠道构成、产品构成、受众构成、社会构成等必然有新的规律和特点,但本质上依然是一种新闻机构。这就要求我们从宏观、中观、微观等层面来把握这种战略安排,对融媒体中心深度发展的逻辑遵循、核心构成、地方价值、舆论引导和文化建设的理解,就成为管理者、研究者和从业者所有工作的重中之重。

中国生态经济发展水平的统计测度

加强生态环境保护、推进生态文明建设可促进经济社会全面绿色转型,赋能生态经济高质量发展。文章选取2005—2021年我国30个省份的面板数据作为研究样本,构建了生态经济发展水平测度指标体系,并使用纵向拉开档次法、等距离划分法及TOPSIS模型对生态经济发展水平进行综合测度,为生态经济高质量发展提供数据支撑。研究结果显示:2005—2021年我国生态经济发展水平增速显著,生态经济取得较大发展成效;分维度来看,生态发展效益指数最高,生态投资次之,生态产出再次,生态环境水平增速相对缓慢。据此提出加大生态经济投资力度、提高生态经济产出效率、优化生态环境保护方式、强化生态效益发展根基的建议。

数字经济发展对种植业碳排放效率的影响研究——基于中介和门槛效应的实证检验

农业源温室气体排放量(碳排放)仅次于工业,种植业作为农业的基础,其碳排放量在农业中占据较大比重,种植业碳减排对于“双碳”目标的实现具有重要意义。在“碳达峰、碳中和”的碳排放格局下,数字经济已成为推动种植业绿色低碳高质量发展的新引擎。本文在理论探讨基础上,结合2011—2021年中国31个省(自治区、直辖市,不包括中国香港地区、澳门地区和台湾地区)面板数据,综合利用固定效应回归模型、工具变量模型、中介效应模型、门槛效应模型,实证考察了数字经济发展与种植业碳排放效率之间的内在关系。研究发现,数字经济发展对种植业碳排放效率具有显著的正向影响,且存在农业生产功能与区域异质性;数字经济发展通过促进技术创新和规模经营来抑制种植业碳排放,且“技术创新效应”的贡献份额大于“规模经营效应”;数字经济发展对种植业碳排放效率的促进作用还受经济发展水平的影响,当经济发展水平低于阈值时,数字经济发展对种植业碳排放效率的影响并不显著,当经济发展水平超过阈值后,数字经济发展能够对种植业碳排放效率产生显著的提升效应。

数字经济促进城乡融合发展了吗?

文章基于熵权TOPSIS法分别测度了2011—2020年省际数字经济发展、乡村振兴与新型城镇化水平,采用耦合协调函数测算了城乡融合发展水平,实证考察了数字经济对城乡融合发展的影响。结果表明:数字经济对城乡融合发展具有显著的促进作用,在选取工具变量与更换估计方法的稳健性检验后该结论仍然成立。进一步分析发现,数字经济通过加快城乡产业融合升级和促进要素双向自由流动两方面来推动城乡融合发展。基于以上结论,提出深度利用城乡产业协同发展数字平台来激发城乡产业资源潜力并加强农村信息网络基础设施建设的建议。

边境县域产业高质量发展水平测度及影响因素研究——基于西藏县域面板数据的实证分析

第五次西藏工作座谈会后,中央、西藏自治区党委和政府在边境县域实施了系列重要行动和举措,以推动边境县域产业高质量发展。本研究使用2005—2020年西藏边境县域面板数据,以产业高质量发展水平为研究对象。首先,使用熵权法对边境县域产业高质量发展水平进行测度;其次,采用嵌入熵权法的灰色关联度模型分析各因素与边境县域产业高质量发展水平之间的关联性;再次,使用固定效应面板模型进一步分析边境县域产业高质量发展的影响因素;最后,得出相关结论并提出促进西藏边境县域产业高质量发展的政策建议,以期为加快构建我国边境县域产业高质量发展新格局提供参考。

县域经济高质量发展的差异化路径:基于经济—人口—资源环境三维分类框架

基于经济—人口—资源环境三维分类框架,本文将全国县域分为领先型、潜力型、基础型三类。其中,领先型县市187个,未来发展主要受限于空间范围狭小、行政等级偏低,应以改革创新为核心,扩权赋能激发县域发展自主性和能动性,率先实现高质量发展。潜力型县市687个,主要面临过早过快“去工业化”、人口和资金外流、经济调控能力弱、开发区作用不突出等问题,未来需要以锻长补短为核心,开动新型工业化和新型城镇化两大引擎,培育县域经济新增长点。基础型县市996个,肩负着保障国家粮食、生态、能源和边疆安全重任,客观上牺牲了发展权,统筹发展和保护压力大、缩小与全国发展差距难度高,需要国家和省级层面统筹协调和利益补偿,推动点上开发、面上保护,将资源环境优势转化为发展优势。

河南省县域经济发展区域差异及时空格局演变研究

县域经济是城镇经济和乡村经济的交叉点,也是我国国民经济的重要组成部分。运用加权变异系数和空间自相关分析等方法,探讨了2009—2021年河南省县域经济发展的时空格局演变。结果发现:研究期内,河南省县域经济发展水平不断提高,但增长速率下降明显,县域经济发展差异呈现不断扩大的趋势,区域发展仍不协调;全省县域经济发展呈现从西北向东南的梯次差异,大中城市的辐射作用强,豫南、豫东南的经济塌陷问题显著;河南省县域经济发展总体表现为较强的空间自相关性,经济发展相似的地区在空间上集聚分布。高高集聚区(HH)主要集中在以郑州、焦作为核心的偏西北地区的县域,低低集聚区(LL)多位于周口、驻马店等地市的下属县域。