Missing value is one of the main factors that cause dirty data.Without high-quality data,there will be no reliable analysis results and precise decision-making.Therefore,the data warehouse needs to integrate high-qual...Missing value is one of the main factors that cause dirty data.Without high-quality data,there will be no reliable analysis results and precise decision-making.Therefore,the data warehouse needs to integrate high-quality data consistently.In the power system,the electricity consumption data of some large users cannot be normally collected resulting in missing data,which affects the calculation of power supply and eventually leads to a large error in the daily power line loss rate.For the problem of missing electricity consumption data,this study proposes a group method of data handling(GMDH)based data interpolation method in distribution power networks and applies it in the analysis of actually collected electricity data.First,the dependent and independent variables are defined from the original data,and the upper and lower limits of missing values are determined according to prior knowledge or existing data information.All missing data are randomly interpolated within the upper and lower limits.Then,the GMDH network is established to obtain the optimal complexity model,which is used to predict the missing data to replace the last imputed electricity consumption data.At last,this process is implemented iteratively until the missing values do not change.Under a relatively small noise level(α=0.25),the proposed approach achieves a maximum error of no more than 0.605%.Experimental findings demonstrate the efficacy and feasibility of the proposed approach,which realizes the transformation from incomplete data to complete data.Also,this proposed data interpolation approach provides a strong basis for the electricity theft diagnosis and metering fault analysis of electricity enterprises.展开更多
Studying user electricity consumption behavior is crucial for understanding their power usage patterns.However,the traditional clustering methods fail to identify emerging types of electricity consumption behavior.To ...Studying user electricity consumption behavior is crucial for understanding their power usage patterns.However,the traditional clustering methods fail to identify emerging types of electricity consumption behavior.To address this issue,this paper introduces a statistical analysis of clusters and evaluates the set of indicators for power usage patterns.The fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm is then used to analyze 6 months of electricity consumption data in 2017 from energy storage equipment,agricultural drainage irrigation,port shore power,and electric vehicles.Finally,the proposed method is validated through experiments,where the Davies-Bouldin index and profile coefficient are calculated and compared.Experiments showed that the optimal number of clusters is 4.This study demonstrates the potential of using a fuzzy C-means clustering algorithmin identifying emerging types of electricity consumption behavior,which can help power system operators and policymakers to make informed decisions and improve energy efficiency.展开更多
On average, long-haul trucks in the U.S. use approximately 667 million gallons of fuel each year just for idling. This idling primarily facilitates climate control operations during driver rest periods. To mitigate th...On average, long-haul trucks in the U.S. use approximately 667 million gallons of fuel each year just for idling. This idling primarily facilitates climate control operations during driver rest periods. To mitigate this, our study explored ways to diminish the electrical consumption of climate control systems in class 8 trucks through innovative load reduction technologies. We utilized the CoolCalc software, developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), which integrates heat transfer principles with extensive weather data from across the U.S. to mimic the environmental conditions trucks face year-round. The analysis of the CoolCalc simulations was performed using MATLAB. We assessed the impact of various technologies, including white paint, advanced curtains, and Thinsulate insulation on reducing electrical demand compared to standard conditions. Our findings indicate that trucks operating in the eastern U.S. could see electrical load reductions of up to 40%, while those in the western regions could achieve reductions as high as 55%. Such significant decreases in energy consumption mean that a 10 kWh battery system could sufficiently manage the HVAC needs of these trucks throughout the year without idling. Given that many long-haul trucks are equipped with battery systems of around 800 Ah (9.6 kWh), implementing these advanced technologies could substantially curtail the necessity for idling to power air conditioning systems.展开更多
With the rapid development of artificial intelligence and computer technology,grid corporations have also begun to move towards comprehensive intelligence and informatization.However,data-based informatization can bri...With the rapid development of artificial intelligence and computer technology,grid corporations have also begun to move towards comprehensive intelligence and informatization.However,data-based informatization can bring about the risk of privacy exposure of fine-grained information such as electricity consumption data.The modeling of electricity consumption data can help grid corporations to have a more thorough understanding of users’needs and their habits,providing better services for users.Nevertheless,users’electricity consumption data is sensitive and private.In order to achieve highly efficient analysis of massive private electricity consumption data without direct access,a blockchain-based federated learning method is proposed for users’electricity consumption forecasting in this paper.Specifically,a blockchain systemis established based on a proof of quality(PoQ)consensus mechanism,and a multilayer hybrid directional long short-term memory(MHD-LSTM)network model is trained for users’electricity consumption forecasting via the federal learning method.In this way,the model of the MHD-LSTM network is able to avoid suffering from severe security problems and can only share the network parameters without exchanging raw electricity consumption data,which is decentralized,secure and reliable.The experimental result shows that the proposed method has both effectiveness and high-accuracy under the premise of electricity consumption data’s privacy preservation,and can achieve better performance when compared to traditional long short-term memory(LSTM)and bidirectional LSTM(BLSTM).展开更多
Current power systems face significant challenges in supporting large-scale access to new energy sources,and the potential of existing flexible resources needs to be fully explored from the power supply,grid,and custo...Current power systems face significant challenges in supporting large-scale access to new energy sources,and the potential of existing flexible resources needs to be fully explored from the power supply,grid,and customer perspectives.This paper proposes a multi-objective electricity consumption optimization strategy considering the correlation between equipment and electricity consumption.It constructs a multi-objective electricity consumption optimization model that considers the correlation between equipment and electricity consumption to maximize economy and comfort.The results show that the proposed method can accurately assess the potential for electricity consumption optimization and obtain an optimal multi-objective electricity consumption strategy based on customers’actual electricity consumption demand.展开更多
With the rapid development of the internet of things(IoT),electricity consumption data can be captured and recorded in the IoT cloud center.This provides a credible data source for enterprise credit scoring,which is o...With the rapid development of the internet of things(IoT),electricity consumption data can be captured and recorded in the IoT cloud center.This provides a credible data source for enterprise credit scoring,which is one of the most vital elements during the financial decision-making process.Accordingly,this paper proposes to use deep learning to train an enterprise credit scoring model by inputting the electricity consumption data.Instead of predicting the credit rating,our method can generate an absolute credit score by a novel deep ranking model–ranking extreme gradient boosting net(rankXGB).To boost the performance,the rankXGB model combines several weak ranking models into a strong model.Due to the high computational cost and the vast amounts of data,we design an edge computing framework to reduce the latency of enterprise credit evaluation.Specially,we design a two-stage deep learning task architecture,including a cloud-based weak credit ranking and an edge-based credit score calculation.In the first stage,we send the electricity consumption data of the evaluated enterprise to the computing cloud server,where multiple weak-ranking networks are executed in parallel to produce multiple weak-ranking results.In the second stage,the edge device fuses multiple ranking results generated in the cloud server to produce a more reliable ranking result,which is used to calculate an absolute credit score by score normalization.The experiments demonstrate that our method can achieve accurate enterprise credit evaluation quickly.展开更多
Rapidly increasing cryptocurrency prices have encouraged cryptocurrency miners to participate in cryptocurrency production,increasing network hashrates and electricity consumption.Growth in network hashrates has furth...Rapidly increasing cryptocurrency prices have encouraged cryptocurrency miners to participate in cryptocurrency production,increasing network hashrates and electricity consumption.Growth in network hashrates has further crowded out small cryptocurrency investors owing to the heightened costs of mining hardware and electricity.These changes prompt cryptocurrency miners to become new investors,leading to cryptocurrency price increases.The potential bidirectional relationship between cryptocurrency price and electricity consumption remains unidentified.Hence,this research thus utilizes July 312015–July 122019 data from 13 cryptocurrencies to investigate the short-and long-run causal effects between cryptocurrency transaction and electricity consumption.Particularly,we consider structural breaks induced by external shocks through stationary analysis and comovement relationships.Over the examined time period,we found that the series of cryptocurrency transaction and electricity consumption gradually returns to mean convergence after undergoing daily shocks,with prices trending together with hashrates.Transaction fluctuations exert both a temporary effect and permanent influence on electricity consumption.Therefore,owing to the computational power deployed to wherever high profit is found,transactions are vital determinants of electricity consumption.展开更多
With proliferation of electric appliances, residential electricity consumption, in particular the air conditioning load becomes more and more important and shares higher and higher percentage in total consumption in l...With proliferation of electric appliances, residential electricity consumption, in particular the air conditioning load becomes more and more important and shares higher and higher percentage in total consumption in large cities like Shanghai. The paper reports in detail the survey on characteristics of residential electric consumption, in particular the air conditioning consumption. To optimize power system operation and expand power market, the paper concludes that power industry must learn to investigate, open up and adapt itself to power market economy.展开更多
Electricity demand forecasting plays an important role in smart grid expansion planning.In this paper,we present a dynamic GM(1,1) model based on grey system theory and cubic spline function interpolation principle.Us...Electricity demand forecasting plays an important role in smart grid expansion planning.In this paper,we present a dynamic GM(1,1) model based on grey system theory and cubic spline function interpolation principle.Using piecewise polynomial interpolation thought,this model can dynamically predict the general trend of time series data.Combined with low-order polynomial,the cubic spline interpolation has smaller error,avoids the Runge phenomenon of high-order polynomial,and has better approximation effect.Meanwhile,prediction is implemented with the newest information according to the rolling and feedback mechanism and fluctuating error is controlled well to improve prediction accuracy in time-varying environment.Case study using the living electricity consumption data of Jiangsu province in 2008 is presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model.展开更多
The influence of climatic variables and cooling degree days (CDD) on summer residential electricity consumption for the period 1980 through 1994 in Hong Kong was investigated. The association between Clo, a measure of...The influence of climatic variables and cooling degree days (CDD) on summer residential electricity consumption for the period 1980 through 1994 in Hong Kong was investigated. The association between Clo, a measure of amount of Clothing insulation to maintain comfort, and residential electricity consumption was also examined. Utilizing monthly data and multiple regression analyses, it is discovered vapor pressure was not significantly related to electricity consumption while Cloud cover was negatively associated with electricity use. Climatic variables, CDD and Clo provided highly comparable results in modeling summer residential electricity consumption. Mean temperature and Cloud gave the best result. Clo yielded a slightly higher R2 value (0.867) than that of CDD (0.865) in the models. These results indicated that Clo could replace the weather variables and CDD to model electricity consumption.展开更多
Due to the increase in the number of smart meter devices,a power grid generates a large amount of data.Analyzing the data can help in understanding the users’electricity consumption behavior and demands;thus,enabling...Due to the increase in the number of smart meter devices,a power grid generates a large amount of data.Analyzing the data can help in understanding the users’electricity consumption behavior and demands;thus,enabling better service to be provided to them.Performing power load profile clustering is the basis for mining the users’electricity consumption behavior.By examining the complexity,randomness,and uncertainty of the users’electricity consumption behavior,this paper proposes an ensemble clustering method to analyze this behavior.First,principle component analysis(PCA)is used to reduce the dimensions of the data.Subsequently,the single clustering method is used,and the majority is selected for integrated clustering.As a result,the users’electricity consumption behavior is classified into different modes,and their characteristics are analyzed in detail.This paper examines the electricity power data of 19 real users in China for simulation purposes.This manuscript provides a thorough analysis along with suggestions for the users’weekly electricity consumption behavior.The results verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.展开更多
Electricity consumption forecasting is one of the most important tasks for power system workers,and plays an important role in regional power systems.Due to the difference in the trend of power load and the past in th...Electricity consumption forecasting is one of the most important tasks for power system workers,and plays an important role in regional power systems.Due to the difference in the trend of power load and the past in the new normal,the influencing factors are more diversified,which makes it more difficult to predict the current electricity consumption.In this paper,the grey system theory and BP neural network are combined to predict the annual electricity consumption in Jiangsu.According to the historical data of annual electricity consumption and the six factors affecting electricity consumption,the gray correlation analysis method is used to screen the important factors,and three factors with large correlation degree are selected as the input parameters of BP neural network.The power forecasting model uses nearly 18 years of data to train and validate the model.The results show that the gray correlation analysis and BP neural network method have higher accuracy in power consumption prediction,and the calculation is more convenient than traditional methods.展开更多
Recently, urban high temperature phenomenon has become a problem which results from human activities, the increase in energy consumption, and land-cover change in urban areas. As extremely hot weather caused by urban ...Recently, urban high temperature phenomenon has become a problem which results from human activities, the increase in energy consumption, and land-cover change in urban areas. As extremely hot weather caused by urban high temperature continues, demand for power is increased and results in the degradation of electricity reserves. The current trend in climate change, regardless of the summer and winter power demand, is likely to have much effect on the power demand. Thus, sensitivity to electricity consumption in urban areas due to climate change was researched. The results show that, 1) the basic unit of the sensitivity to electricity consumption in the target areas is 1.25-1.58W/(m2.℃); 2) The maximum sensitivity is recorded at around 8:00 pm in the area crowded with commercial and business area. And in the business area, electricity consumption load is even from 9:00 am to 6:00 pm.展开更多
South Korea is an energy-guzzling country.Economic reasons in the country force its households to save more energy.Household energy consumption in South Korea has grown slow compared to other sectors and household ene...South Korea is an energy-guzzling country.Economic reasons in the country force its households to save more energy.Household energy consumption in South Korea has grown slow compared to other sectors and household energy consumption per capita is lower than the OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) average.However,its per capita electricity use soared and expected to keep climbing mainly due to the increasing number of one-person household.To establish effective strategy against a possible electricity shortage,the amount of electricity energy consumption needs to be understood clearly first.We adopted both general survey and detailed survey for people living in apartment housings and collected data on electrical instrument use according to individual schedule.Based on these data,we tried to analyze electricity consumption patterns resulting from energy using activities at home and find out electricity using tendency according to each family member's characteristics in apartment housings.展开更多
Reducing greenhouse gases (RHG) is going on actively in the international movement. In the field of architecture, RHG is an inevitable work. To establish a plan for RHG, firstly we need to reduce energy consumption. G...Reducing greenhouse gases (RHG) is going on actively in the international movement. In the field of architecture, RHG is an inevitable work. To establish a plan for RHG, firstly we need to reduce energy consumption. Greenhouse gas generated by energy consumption is the main cause of global warming. For this we should know that how much electricity consumption we use. The research targets of this study are commercial buildings with various businesses. Their electricity consumption was analyzed by business units rather than buildings. Each business was divided into 13 sectors according to industrial classification and electricity consumption was analyzed for each industry. For commercial buildings, the electricity consumption is done by the private sector and construction management is an autonomy system in private instead of an integrated management system. In this study, we classified and analyzed the electricity consumption characteristics according to collected data, analyzed the relationship between the electricity consumption with atmospheric temperature through SPSS, and developed an electricity prediction model.展开更多
Electricity,being the most efficient secondary energy,contributes for a larger proportion of overall energy usage.Due to a lack of storage for energy resources,over supply will result in energy dissipation and substan...Electricity,being the most efficient secondary energy,contributes for a larger proportion of overall energy usage.Due to a lack of storage for energy resources,over supply will result in energy dissipation and substantial investment waste.Accurate electricity consumption prediction is vital because it allows for the preparation of potential power generation systems to satisfy the growing demands for electrical energy as well as:smart distributed grids,assessing the degree of socioeconomic growth,distributed system design,tariff plans,demand-side management,power generation planning,and providing electricity supply stability by balancing the amount of electricity produced and consumed.This paper proposes amedium-termprediction model that can predict electricity consumption for a given location in Saudi Arabia.Hence,this study implemented a standalone ArtificialNeuralNetwork(ANN)model and bagging ensemble for predicting total monthly electricity consumption in 18 locations across Saudi Arabia.The dataset used in this research is gathered exclusively from the Saudi Electric Company.The pre-processing phase included normalizing the data using min-max method and mapping the cyclical attribute to its sine and cosine facets.The number of neurons and learning rate of the standalone model were optimized using hyperparameter tuning.Finally,the standalone model was tested against the bagging ensemble using the optimized ANN.The bagging ensemble with an optimized ANN as the chosen classifier outperformed the standalone ANN model.The results for the proposed model produced 0.9116 Correlation Coefficient(CC),0.2836 Mean Absolute Percentage Error(MAPE),0.4578,Root Mean Squared Percentage Error(RMSPE),0.0298 MAE,and 0.069 Root Mean Squared Error(RMSE),respectively.展开更多
With the exponential development of Chinese population,the massive energy consumption of buildings has recently become an interest subject.Although much research has been conducted on residential buildings,heating ven...With the exponential development of Chinese population,the massive energy consumption of buildings has recently become an interest subject.Although much research has been conducted on residential buildings,heating ventilation and air conditioning(HVAC),little research has been conducted on the relationship between student’s behavior,campus buildings,and their subsystems.Using classical seasonal decomposition,hierarchical clustering,and apriori algorithm,this paper aims to provide an empirical model for consumption data in campus library.Smart meter data from a library in Beijing,China,is adopted in this paper.Building electricity consumption patterns are investigated on an hourly/daily/monthly basis.According to the monthly analysis,electricity consumption peaks each year around June and December due to teaching programs,social exams,and outdoor temperatures.Hourly data analysis revealed a relatively stable consumption pattern.It shows three different types of daily load profiles.Daily data analysis demonstrated a high relationship between HVAC consumption and building total consumption,with a lift value of 5.9.Furthermore,links between temperature and subsystems were also discovered.Through a case study of library,this study provides a unique insight into campus electricity use.The results could help to develop operational strategies for campus facilities.展开更多
The paper intends to analyze economic factors that influence electricity consumption in the OECD economies. A special interest in this context is given to spillover effects of trade on electricity consumption. For thi...The paper intends to analyze economic factors that influence electricity consumption in the OECD economies. A special interest in this context is given to spillover effects of trade on electricity consumption. For this purpose, a model is constructed that using a dynamic panel study approach. The model is estimated in a GMM framework in which a dynamic procedure is conducted along the balanced growth path for electricity consumption in each economy. In advance, the long run dynamic behavior of prices, GDP, and trade induced spillover variables is determined. In a further step, the short run dynamic mechanism is pursued by estimating the partial adjustment dynamic coefficient on the target level of electricity consumption. The analysis is conducted for industrial, as well as residential electricity consumption. Alternatively, the same procedure is estimated by the application of a fixed period model. The model provides a benchmark tool for electricity policy decisions and for electricity consumption projections.展开更多
Wholesale and retail markets for electricity and power require consumers to forecast electricity consumption at different time intervals. The study aims to</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"&g...Wholesale and retail markets for electricity and power require consumers to forecast electricity consumption at different time intervals. The study aims to</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> increase economic efficiency of the enterprise through the introduction of algorithm for forecasting electric energy consumption unchanged in technological process. Qualitative forecast allows you to essentially reduce costs of electrical </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">energy, because power cannot be stockpiled. Therefore, when buying excess electrical power, costs can increase either by selling it on the balancing energy </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">market or by maintaining reserve capacity. If the purchased power is insufficient, the costs increase is due to the purchase of additional capacity. This paper illustrates three methods of forecasting electric energy consumption: autoregressive integrated moving average method, artificial neural networks and classification and regression trees. Actual data from consuming of electrical energy was </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">used to make day, week and month ahead prediction. The prediction effect of</span><span> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">prediction model was proved in Statistica simulation environment. Analysis of estimation of the economic efficiency of prediction methods demonstrated that the use of the artificial neural networks method for short-term forecast </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">allowed reducing the cost of electricity more efficiently. However, for mid-</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">range predictions, the classification and regression tree was the most efficient method for a Jerky Enterprise. The results indicate that calculation error reduction allows decreases expenses for the purchase of electric energy.展开更多
The cooling effects of urban green vegetation cover, which can help decrease LST (land surface temperature) in urban area. When air temperature decreases, the electricity consumption of household will also mitigate ...The cooling effects of urban green vegetation cover, which can help decrease LST (land surface temperature) in urban area. When air temperature decreases, the electricity consumption of household will also mitigate loading. Meanwhile, that lack of assessment of green vegetation coverage impact to LST and electricity consumption, so that it could not clearly quantify the environmental contribution of green coves. In Taipei city, for example, FVC (fractional vegetation cover) value and LST was collected from Aster satellite remote sensing images, and data of household electricity consumption was acquired from Taiwan Power Company. Based on these three factors, it analyzed relative model. In the urban area, fractional vegetation cover might influence with land surface temperature and electricity consumption. The result shows that when the value of fractional vegetation cover is low, the air temperature is high. While fractional vegetation cover is increase, not only the land surface temperature is decreasing but the electricity consumption is also reducing. This study hopes can be the reference materials for the future metropolis plan and to inhibit the spread of urban thermal environment.展开更多
基金This research was funded by the National Nature Sciences Foundation of China(Grant No.42250410321).
文摘Missing value is one of the main factors that cause dirty data.Without high-quality data,there will be no reliable analysis results and precise decision-making.Therefore,the data warehouse needs to integrate high-quality data consistently.In the power system,the electricity consumption data of some large users cannot be normally collected resulting in missing data,which affects the calculation of power supply and eventually leads to a large error in the daily power line loss rate.For the problem of missing electricity consumption data,this study proposes a group method of data handling(GMDH)based data interpolation method in distribution power networks and applies it in the analysis of actually collected electricity data.First,the dependent and independent variables are defined from the original data,and the upper and lower limits of missing values are determined according to prior knowledge or existing data information.All missing data are randomly interpolated within the upper and lower limits.Then,the GMDH network is established to obtain the optimal complexity model,which is used to predict the missing data to replace the last imputed electricity consumption data.At last,this process is implemented iteratively until the missing values do not change.Under a relatively small noise level(α=0.25),the proposed approach achieves a maximum error of no more than 0.605%.Experimental findings demonstrate the efficacy and feasibility of the proposed approach,which realizes the transformation from incomplete data to complete data.Also,this proposed data interpolation approach provides a strong basis for the electricity theft diagnosis and metering fault analysis of electricity enterprises.
基金supported by the Science and Technology Project of State Grid Jiangxi Electric Power Corporation Limited‘Research on Key Technologies for Non-Intrusive Load Identification for Typical Power Industry Users in Jiangxi Province’(521852220004)。
文摘Studying user electricity consumption behavior is crucial for understanding their power usage patterns.However,the traditional clustering methods fail to identify emerging types of electricity consumption behavior.To address this issue,this paper introduces a statistical analysis of clusters and evaluates the set of indicators for power usage patterns.The fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm is then used to analyze 6 months of electricity consumption data in 2017 from energy storage equipment,agricultural drainage irrigation,port shore power,and electric vehicles.Finally,the proposed method is validated through experiments,where the Davies-Bouldin index and profile coefficient are calculated and compared.Experiments showed that the optimal number of clusters is 4.This study demonstrates the potential of using a fuzzy C-means clustering algorithmin identifying emerging types of electricity consumption behavior,which can help power system operators and policymakers to make informed decisions and improve energy efficiency.
文摘On average, long-haul trucks in the U.S. use approximately 667 million gallons of fuel each year just for idling. This idling primarily facilitates climate control operations during driver rest periods. To mitigate this, our study explored ways to diminish the electrical consumption of climate control systems in class 8 trucks through innovative load reduction technologies. We utilized the CoolCalc software, developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), which integrates heat transfer principles with extensive weather data from across the U.S. to mimic the environmental conditions trucks face year-round. The analysis of the CoolCalc simulations was performed using MATLAB. We assessed the impact of various technologies, including white paint, advanced curtains, and Thinsulate insulation on reducing electrical demand compared to standard conditions. Our findings indicate that trucks operating in the eastern U.S. could see electrical load reductions of up to 40%, while those in the western regions could achieve reductions as high as 55%. Such significant decreases in energy consumption mean that a 10 kWh battery system could sufficiently manage the HVAC needs of these trucks throughout the year without idling. Given that many long-haul trucks are equipped with battery systems of around 800 Ah (9.6 kWh), implementing these advanced technologies could substantially curtail the necessity for idling to power air conditioning systems.
基金supported by the Technology Project of State Grid Tianjin Electric Power Company(KJ22-1-47).
文摘With the rapid development of artificial intelligence and computer technology,grid corporations have also begun to move towards comprehensive intelligence and informatization.However,data-based informatization can bring about the risk of privacy exposure of fine-grained information such as electricity consumption data.The modeling of electricity consumption data can help grid corporations to have a more thorough understanding of users’needs and their habits,providing better services for users.Nevertheless,users’electricity consumption data is sensitive and private.In order to achieve highly efficient analysis of massive private electricity consumption data without direct access,a blockchain-based federated learning method is proposed for users’electricity consumption forecasting in this paper.Specifically,a blockchain systemis established based on a proof of quality(PoQ)consensus mechanism,and a multilayer hybrid directional long short-term memory(MHD-LSTM)network model is trained for users’electricity consumption forecasting via the federal learning method.In this way,the model of the MHD-LSTM network is able to avoid suffering from severe security problems and can only share the network parameters without exchanging raw electricity consumption data,which is decentralized,secure and reliable.The experimental result shows that the proposed method has both effectiveness and high-accuracy under the premise of electricity consumption data’s privacy preservation,and can achieve better performance when compared to traditional long short-term memory(LSTM)and bidirectional LSTM(BLSTM).
文摘Current power systems face significant challenges in supporting large-scale access to new energy sources,and the potential of existing flexible resources needs to be fully explored from the power supply,grid,and customer perspectives.This paper proposes a multi-objective electricity consumption optimization strategy considering the correlation between equipment and electricity consumption.It constructs a multi-objective electricity consumption optimization model that considers the correlation between equipment and electricity consumption to maximize economy and comfort.The results show that the proposed method can accurately assess the potential for electricity consumption optimization and obtain an optimal multi-objective electricity consumption strategy based on customers’actual electricity consumption demand.
基金This research was funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China (61906036)Science and Technology Project of State Grid Jiangsu Power Supply Company (No.J2021034).
文摘With the rapid development of the internet of things(IoT),electricity consumption data can be captured and recorded in the IoT cloud center.This provides a credible data source for enterprise credit scoring,which is one of the most vital elements during the financial decision-making process.Accordingly,this paper proposes to use deep learning to train an enterprise credit scoring model by inputting the electricity consumption data.Instead of predicting the credit rating,our method can generate an absolute credit score by a novel deep ranking model–ranking extreme gradient boosting net(rankXGB).To boost the performance,the rankXGB model combines several weak ranking models into a strong model.Due to the high computational cost and the vast amounts of data,we design an edge computing framework to reduce the latency of enterprise credit evaluation.Specially,we design a two-stage deep learning task architecture,including a cloud-based weak credit ranking and an edge-based credit score calculation.In the first stage,we send the electricity consumption data of the evaluated enterprise to the computing cloud server,where multiple weak-ranking networks are executed in parallel to produce multiple weak-ranking results.In the second stage,the edge device fuses multiple ranking results generated in the cloud server to produce a more reliable ranking result,which is used to calculate an absolute credit score by score normalization.The experiments demonstrate that our method can achieve accurate enterprise credit evaluation quickly.
基金funding agencies in the public,commercial,or notfor-profit sectors.
文摘Rapidly increasing cryptocurrency prices have encouraged cryptocurrency miners to participate in cryptocurrency production,increasing network hashrates and electricity consumption.Growth in network hashrates has further crowded out small cryptocurrency investors owing to the heightened costs of mining hardware and electricity.These changes prompt cryptocurrency miners to become new investors,leading to cryptocurrency price increases.The potential bidirectional relationship between cryptocurrency price and electricity consumption remains unidentified.Hence,this research thus utilizes July 312015–July 122019 data from 13 cryptocurrencies to investigate the short-and long-run causal effects between cryptocurrency transaction and electricity consumption.Particularly,we consider structural breaks induced by external shocks through stationary analysis and comovement relationships.Over the examined time period,we found that the series of cryptocurrency transaction and electricity consumption gradually returns to mean convergence after undergoing daily shocks,with prices trending together with hashrates.Transaction fluctuations exert both a temporary effect and permanent influence on electricity consumption.Therefore,owing to the computational power deployed to wherever high profit is found,transactions are vital determinants of electricity consumption.
文摘With proliferation of electric appliances, residential electricity consumption, in particular the air conditioning load becomes more and more important and shares higher and higher percentage in total consumption in large cities like Shanghai. The paper reports in detail the survey on characteristics of residential electric consumption, in particular the air conditioning consumption. To optimize power system operation and expand power market, the paper concludes that power industry must learn to investigate, open up and adapt itself to power market economy.
基金This work has been supported by the National 863 Key Project Grant No. 2008AA042901, National Natural Science Foundation of China Grant No.70631003 and No.90718037, Foundation of Hefei University of Technology Grant No. 2010HGXJ0083.
文摘Electricity demand forecasting plays an important role in smart grid expansion planning.In this paper,we present a dynamic GM(1,1) model based on grey system theory and cubic spline function interpolation principle.Using piecewise polynomial interpolation thought,this model can dynamically predict the general trend of time series data.Combined with low-order polynomial,the cubic spline interpolation has smaller error,avoids the Runge phenomenon of high-order polynomial,and has better approximation effect.Meanwhile,prediction is implemented with the newest information according to the rolling and feedback mechanism and fluctuating error is controlled well to improve prediction accuracy in time-varying environment.Case study using the living electricity consumption data of Jiangsu province in 2008 is presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model.
文摘The influence of climatic variables and cooling degree days (CDD) on summer residential electricity consumption for the period 1980 through 1994 in Hong Kong was investigated. The association between Clo, a measure of amount of Clothing insulation to maintain comfort, and residential electricity consumption was also examined. Utilizing monthly data and multiple regression analyses, it is discovered vapor pressure was not significantly related to electricity consumption while Cloud cover was negatively associated with electricity use. Climatic variables, CDD and Clo provided highly comparable results in modeling summer residential electricity consumption. Mean temperature and Cloud gave the best result. Clo yielded a slightly higher R2 value (0.867) than that of CDD (0.865) in the models. These results indicated that Clo could replace the weather variables and CDD to model electricity consumption.
基金supported by the State Grid Science and Technology Project (No.5442AI90009)Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 6170337)
文摘Due to the increase in the number of smart meter devices,a power grid generates a large amount of data.Analyzing the data can help in understanding the users’electricity consumption behavior and demands;thus,enabling better service to be provided to them.Performing power load profile clustering is the basis for mining the users’electricity consumption behavior.By examining the complexity,randomness,and uncertainty of the users’electricity consumption behavior,this paper proposes an ensemble clustering method to analyze this behavior.First,principle component analysis(PCA)is used to reduce the dimensions of the data.Subsequently,the single clustering method is used,and the majority is selected for integrated clustering.As a result,the users’electricity consumption behavior is classified into different modes,and their characteristics are analyzed in detail.This paper examines the electricity power data of 19 real users in China for simulation purposes.This manuscript provides a thorough analysis along with suggestions for the users’weekly electricity consumption behavior.The results verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.
基金This work is supported by the Natural Science Foundation of the Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions of China(19KJB520028)the Collaborative Innovation Center of Jiangsu Maritime Institute。
文摘Electricity consumption forecasting is one of the most important tasks for power system workers,and plays an important role in regional power systems.Due to the difference in the trend of power load and the past in the new normal,the influencing factors are more diversified,which makes it more difficult to predict the current electricity consumption.In this paper,the grey system theory and BP neural network are combined to predict the annual electricity consumption in Jiangsu.According to the historical data of annual electricity consumption and the six factors affecting electricity consumption,the gray correlation analysis method is used to screen the important factors,and three factors with large correlation degree are selected as the input parameters of BP neural network.The power forecasting model uses nearly 18 years of data to train and validate the model.The results show that the gray correlation analysis and BP neural network method have higher accuracy in power consumption prediction,and the calculation is more convenient than traditional methods.
基金Project(NRF-20110030631) supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea Grant funded by the Korean Government
文摘Recently, urban high temperature phenomenon has become a problem which results from human activities, the increase in energy consumption, and land-cover change in urban areas. As extremely hot weather caused by urban high temperature continues, demand for power is increased and results in the degradation of electricity reserves. The current trend in climate change, regardless of the summer and winter power demand, is likely to have much effect on the power demand. Thus, sensitivity to electricity consumption in urban areas due to climate change was researched. The results show that, 1) the basic unit of the sensitivity to electricity consumption in the target areas is 1.25-1.58W/(m2.℃); 2) The maximum sensitivity is recorded at around 8:00 pm in the area crowded with commercial and business area. And in the business area, electricity consumption load is even from 9:00 am to 6:00 pm.
基金Funded by the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) of the Korea Government (MEST) (No.2011-0029867)
文摘South Korea is an energy-guzzling country.Economic reasons in the country force its households to save more energy.Household energy consumption in South Korea has grown slow compared to other sectors and household energy consumption per capita is lower than the OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) average.However,its per capita electricity use soared and expected to keep climbing mainly due to the increasing number of one-person household.To establish effective strategy against a possible electricity shortage,the amount of electricity energy consumption needs to be understood clearly first.We adopted both general survey and detailed survey for people living in apartment housings and collected data on electrical instrument use according to individual schedule.Based on these data,we tried to analyze electricity consumption patterns resulting from energy using activities at home and find out electricity using tendency according to each family member's characteristics in apartment housings.
基金Funded by the National Research Foundation of Korea (MEST) (NRF-2011-0000868)
文摘Reducing greenhouse gases (RHG) is going on actively in the international movement. In the field of architecture, RHG is an inevitable work. To establish a plan for RHG, firstly we need to reduce energy consumption. Greenhouse gas generated by energy consumption is the main cause of global warming. For this we should know that how much electricity consumption we use. The research targets of this study are commercial buildings with various businesses. Their electricity consumption was analyzed by business units rather than buildings. Each business was divided into 13 sectors according to industrial classification and electricity consumption was analyzed for each industry. For commercial buildings, the electricity consumption is done by the private sector and construction management is an autonomy system in private instead of an integrated management system. In this study, we classified and analyzed the electricity consumption characteristics according to collected data, analyzed the relationship between the electricity consumption with atmospheric temperature through SPSS, and developed an electricity prediction model.
文摘Electricity,being the most efficient secondary energy,contributes for a larger proportion of overall energy usage.Due to a lack of storage for energy resources,over supply will result in energy dissipation and substantial investment waste.Accurate electricity consumption prediction is vital because it allows for the preparation of potential power generation systems to satisfy the growing demands for electrical energy as well as:smart distributed grids,assessing the degree of socioeconomic growth,distributed system design,tariff plans,demand-side management,power generation planning,and providing electricity supply stability by balancing the amount of electricity produced and consumed.This paper proposes amedium-termprediction model that can predict electricity consumption for a given location in Saudi Arabia.Hence,this study implemented a standalone ArtificialNeuralNetwork(ANN)model and bagging ensemble for predicting total monthly electricity consumption in 18 locations across Saudi Arabia.The dataset used in this research is gathered exclusively from the Saudi Electric Company.The pre-processing phase included normalizing the data using min-max method and mapping the cyclical attribute to its sine and cosine facets.The number of neurons and learning rate of the standalone model were optimized using hyperparameter tuning.Finally,the standalone model was tested against the bagging ensemble using the optimized ANN.The bagging ensemble with an optimized ANN as the chosen classifier outperformed the standalone ANN model.The results for the proposed model produced 0.9116 Correlation Coefficient(CC),0.2836 Mean Absolute Percentage Error(MAPE),0.4578,Root Mean Squared Percentage Error(RMSPE),0.0298 MAE,and 0.069 Root Mean Squared Error(RMSE),respectively.
基金in part by the Doctoral Scientific Research Foundationof Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture under Grant ZF15054in part by theFundamental Research Funds for Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture underGrant X18066in part by the 2021 BUCEA Post Graduate Innovation Project under GrantPG2021011.
文摘With the exponential development of Chinese population,the massive energy consumption of buildings has recently become an interest subject.Although much research has been conducted on residential buildings,heating ventilation and air conditioning(HVAC),little research has been conducted on the relationship between student’s behavior,campus buildings,and their subsystems.Using classical seasonal decomposition,hierarchical clustering,and apriori algorithm,this paper aims to provide an empirical model for consumption data in campus library.Smart meter data from a library in Beijing,China,is adopted in this paper.Building electricity consumption patterns are investigated on an hourly/daily/monthly basis.According to the monthly analysis,electricity consumption peaks each year around June and December due to teaching programs,social exams,and outdoor temperatures.Hourly data analysis revealed a relatively stable consumption pattern.It shows three different types of daily load profiles.Daily data analysis demonstrated a high relationship between HVAC consumption and building total consumption,with a lift value of 5.9.Furthermore,links between temperature and subsystems were also discovered.Through a case study of library,this study provides a unique insight into campus electricity use.The results could help to develop operational strategies for campus facilities.
文摘The paper intends to analyze economic factors that influence electricity consumption in the OECD economies. A special interest in this context is given to spillover effects of trade on electricity consumption. For this purpose, a model is constructed that using a dynamic panel study approach. The model is estimated in a GMM framework in which a dynamic procedure is conducted along the balanced growth path for electricity consumption in each economy. In advance, the long run dynamic behavior of prices, GDP, and trade induced spillover variables is determined. In a further step, the short run dynamic mechanism is pursued by estimating the partial adjustment dynamic coefficient on the target level of electricity consumption. The analysis is conducted for industrial, as well as residential electricity consumption. Alternatively, the same procedure is estimated by the application of a fixed period model. The model provides a benchmark tool for electricity policy decisions and for electricity consumption projections.
文摘Wholesale and retail markets for electricity and power require consumers to forecast electricity consumption at different time intervals. The study aims to</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> increase economic efficiency of the enterprise through the introduction of algorithm for forecasting electric energy consumption unchanged in technological process. Qualitative forecast allows you to essentially reduce costs of electrical </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">energy, because power cannot be stockpiled. Therefore, when buying excess electrical power, costs can increase either by selling it on the balancing energy </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">market or by maintaining reserve capacity. If the purchased power is insufficient, the costs increase is due to the purchase of additional capacity. This paper illustrates three methods of forecasting electric energy consumption: autoregressive integrated moving average method, artificial neural networks and classification and regression trees. Actual data from consuming of electrical energy was </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">used to make day, week and month ahead prediction. The prediction effect of</span><span> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">prediction model was proved in Statistica simulation environment. Analysis of estimation of the economic efficiency of prediction methods demonstrated that the use of the artificial neural networks method for short-term forecast </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">allowed reducing the cost of electricity more efficiently. However, for mid-</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">range predictions, the classification and regression tree was the most efficient method for a Jerky Enterprise. The results indicate that calculation error reduction allows decreases expenses for the purchase of electric energy.
文摘The cooling effects of urban green vegetation cover, which can help decrease LST (land surface temperature) in urban area. When air temperature decreases, the electricity consumption of household will also mitigate loading. Meanwhile, that lack of assessment of green vegetation coverage impact to LST and electricity consumption, so that it could not clearly quantify the environmental contribution of green coves. In Taipei city, for example, FVC (fractional vegetation cover) value and LST was collected from Aster satellite remote sensing images, and data of household electricity consumption was acquired from Taiwan Power Company. Based on these three factors, it analyzed relative model. In the urban area, fractional vegetation cover might influence with land surface temperature and electricity consumption. The result shows that when the value of fractional vegetation cover is low, the air temperature is high. While fractional vegetation cover is increase, not only the land surface temperature is decreasing but the electricity consumption is also reducing. This study hopes can be the reference materials for the future metropolis plan and to inhibit the spread of urban thermal environment.