This is the first study on the psychological selection of winter over members of the Chinese National Antarctic Research Expedition. The methods include EPQ, BPQ, 16PF, Self reported Questionnaire, test of level of ...This is the first study on the psychological selection of winter over members of the Chinese National Antarctic Research Expedition. The methods include EPQ, BPQ, 16PF, Self reported Questionnaire, test of level of stress and direct observation of behavior. According to the results of the 54 winter over candidates of the ⅩⅠⅠⅠ and ⅩⅠⅤ Team, the validity was roughly tested. This research lay a foundation for the future studies in this field.展开更多
利用2007年6月8日—8月31日东亚地区TIGGE集合预报资料中欧洲中期天气预报中心(European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts,ECMWF)和英国气象局(United Kingdom Met Office,UKMO)两个中心的地面2 m气温资料进行集合成员...利用2007年6月8日—8月31日东亚地区TIGGE集合预报资料中欧洲中期天气预报中心(European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts,ECMWF)和英国气象局(United Kingdom Met Office,UKMO)两个中心的地面2 m气温资料进行集合成员优选研究。结果表明,对于24-96 h预报,集合成员优选方法能够较好地选出预报技巧较高和预报技巧较低的集合成员。个例分析表明,在极端天气出现的地区,优选集合平均的预报优势较为明显。对比ECMWF和UKMO的集合成员优选结果发现,ECMWF的预报效果优于UKMO的预报效果。展开更多
文摘This is the first study on the psychological selection of winter over members of the Chinese National Antarctic Research Expedition. The methods include EPQ, BPQ, 16PF, Self reported Questionnaire, test of level of stress and direct observation of behavior. According to the results of the 54 winter over candidates of the ⅩⅠⅠⅠ and ⅩⅠⅤ Team, the validity was roughly tested. This research lay a foundation for the future studies in this field.
文摘利用2007年6月8日—8月31日东亚地区TIGGE集合预报资料中欧洲中期天气预报中心(European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts,ECMWF)和英国气象局(United Kingdom Met Office,UKMO)两个中心的地面2 m气温资料进行集合成员优选研究。结果表明,对于24-96 h预报,集合成员优选方法能够较好地选出预报技巧较高和预报技巧较低的集合成员。个例分析表明,在极端天气出现的地区,优选集合平均的预报优势较为明显。对比ECMWF和UKMO的集合成员优选结果发现,ECMWF的预报效果优于UKMO的预报效果。