In the paper, the martingales and super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures are systematically studied. The notion of local regular super-martingale relative to a convex set of equivalent measu...In the paper, the martingales and super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures are systematically studied. The notion of local regular super-martingale relative to a convex set of equivalent measures is introduced and the necessary and sufficient conditions of the local regularity of it in the discrete case are founded. The description of all local regular super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures is presented. The notion of the complete set of equivalent measures is introduced. We prove that every bounded in some sense super-martingale relative to the complete set of equivalent measures is local regular. A new definition of the fair price of contingent claim in an incomplete market is given and the formula for the fair price of Standard Option of European type is found. The proved Theorems are the generalization of the famous Doob decomposition for super-martingale onto the case of super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures.展开更多
The mean correcting martingale measure for the stochastic process defined as the exponential of an additive process is constructed. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of mean correcting martingale a...The mean correcting martingale measure for the stochastic process defined as the exponential of an additive process is constructed. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of mean correcting martingale are also obtained. The investigation of this paper will establish a unified way that is applicable both to the case of Ldvy processes and that of the sums of independent random variables. As an application, we present the necessary and sufficient conditions that the discounted stock price process is a martingale.展开更多
A deep representation theorem of random conjugate spaces and its several important applications are given. As an application of the representation theorem, the following basic theorem is also proved: let B* be the con...A deep representation theorem of random conjugate spaces and its several important applications are given. As an application of the representation theorem, the following basic theorem is also proved: let B* be the conjugate space of a Banach space B, be a given probability space. Then every B*-valued w*-u-measurable function defined on is w*-equivalent to a B*-valued u-measurable function defined on if and only if B* has the Radon-Nikodym property with respect to展开更多
利用最优增长投资组合法(The Optim al G row th Portfolio)解决了连续时间不完全市场下期货合约的定价问题,推导出不完全市场期货定价模型的解析表达式。该表达式具有与完全市场持有成本模型(即现货价格与持有成本之和)相似的结构,表...利用最优增长投资组合法(The Optim al G row th Portfolio)解决了连续时间不完全市场下期货合约的定价问题,推导出不完全市场期货定价模型的解析表达式。该表达式具有与完全市场持有成本模型(即现货价格与持有成本之和)相似的结构,表现为现货价格与现货价格同某一价格因子乘积的和,价格因子的正负取决于现货价格的变化。模型实证采用动态模拟方法,所得理论期货价格与实际期货价格拟合度很高。本文用相同的方法和数据对完全市场单因素持有成本期货定价模型进行了检验,结果表明不完全市场期货定价模型比完全市场单因素持有成本期货定价模型更准确。展开更多
文摘In the paper, the martingales and super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures are systematically studied. The notion of local regular super-martingale relative to a convex set of equivalent measures is introduced and the necessary and sufficient conditions of the local regularity of it in the discrete case are founded. The description of all local regular super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures is presented. The notion of the complete set of equivalent measures is introduced. We prove that every bounded in some sense super-martingale relative to the complete set of equivalent measures is local regular. A new definition of the fair price of contingent claim in an incomplete market is given and the formula for the fair price of Standard Option of European type is found. The proved Theorems are the generalization of the famous Doob decomposition for super-martingale onto the case of super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures.
基金Supported by the Foundation for Innovative Research Groups of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71221061)National Natural Science Foundation of China(11171101)+3 种基金National Social Science Fund of China(11BTJ01115BJY122)Social Sciences Foundation of Ministry of Education of China(12YJAZH173)Aid program for Science and Technology Innovative Research Team in Higher Educational Institutions of Hunan Province
文摘The mean correcting martingale measure for the stochastic process defined as the exponential of an additive process is constructed. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of mean correcting martingale are also obtained. The investigation of this paper will establish a unified way that is applicable both to the case of Ldvy processes and that of the sums of independent random variables. As an application, we present the necessary and sufficient conditions that the discounted stock price process is a martingale.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China the Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province of China.
文摘A deep representation theorem of random conjugate spaces and its several important applications are given. As an application of the representation theorem, the following basic theorem is also proved: let B* be the conjugate space of a Banach space B, be a given probability space. Then every B*-valued w*-u-measurable function defined on is w*-equivalent to a B*-valued u-measurable function defined on if and only if B* has the Radon-Nikodym property with respect to
文摘利用最优增长投资组合法(The Optim al G row th Portfolio)解决了连续时间不完全市场下期货合约的定价问题,推导出不完全市场期货定价模型的解析表达式。该表达式具有与完全市场持有成本模型(即现货价格与持有成本之和)相似的结构,表现为现货价格与现货价格同某一价格因子乘积的和,价格因子的正负取决于现货价格的变化。模型实证采用动态模拟方法,所得理论期货价格与实际期货价格拟合度很高。本文用相同的方法和数据对完全市场单因素持有成本期货定价模型进行了检验,结果表明不完全市场期货定价模型比完全市场单因素持有成本期货定价模型更准确。
文摘考虑金融时间序列发生的跳跃、随机波动率和"杠杆效应",建立由不同Lévy过程驱动的非高斯OU随机波动模型.通过结构保持等价鞅测度变换和FFT技术,对不同Lévy过程驱动下的非高斯OU(non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process)期权定价问题进行研究.同时,在结构保持等价鞅测度下,推导出不同Lévy过程驱动下BNS模型离散化表达形式,并构建了基于SMC(sequential Monte Carlo)的极大似然估计、联合样本估计、梯度-SMC估计的非高斯OU期权定价模型参数估计方法.实证研究中,采用近470万个S&P500期权价格数据,从样本内拟合效果、样本外预测、模型稳定性、综合矫正风险几个方面,对不同Lévy过程驱动的非高斯OU期权定价模型、参数估计方法以及期权定价效果进行全面系统研究.实证研究表明,所有模型对实值期权的定价效果要优于虚值期权.本文基于联合样本估计和梯度-SMC估计的非高斯OU期权定价模型具有明显的优势.
