This paper puts forward a Poisson-generalized Pareto (Poisson-GP) distribution. This new form of compound extreme value distribution expands the existing application of compound extreme value distribution, and can be ...This paper puts forward a Poisson-generalized Pareto (Poisson-GP) distribution. This new form of compound extreme value distribution expands the existing application of compound extreme value distribution, and can be applied to predicting financial risk, large insurance settlement and high-grade earthquake, etc. Compared with the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and compound moment estimation (CME), probability-weighted moment estimation (PWME) is used to estimate the parameters of the distribution function. The specific formulas are presented. Through Monte Carlo simulation with sample sizes 10, 20, 50, 100, 1 000, it is concluded that PWME is an efficient method and it behaves steadily. The mean square errors (MSE) of estimators by PWME are much smaller than those of estimators by CME, and there is no significant difference between PWME and MLE. Finally, an example of foreign exchange rate is given. For Dollar/Pound exchange rates from 1990-01-02 to 2006-12-29, this paper formulates the distribution function of the largest loss among the investment losses exceeding a certain threshold by Poisson-GP compound extreme value distribution, and obtains predictive values at different confidence levels.展开更多
In this paper, we apply the symmetric Galerkin methods to the numerical solutions of a kind of singular linear two-point boundary value problems. We estimate the error in the maximum norm. For the sake of obtaining fu...In this paper, we apply the symmetric Galerkin methods to the numerical solutions of a kind of singular linear two-point boundary value problems. We estimate the error in the maximum norm. For the sake of obtaining full superconvergence uniformly at all nodal points, we introduce local mesh refinements. Then we extend these results to a class of nonlinear problems. Finally, we present some numerical results which confirm our theoretical conclusions.展开更多
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.70573077)
文摘This paper puts forward a Poisson-generalized Pareto (Poisson-GP) distribution. This new form of compound extreme value distribution expands the existing application of compound extreme value distribution, and can be applied to predicting financial risk, large insurance settlement and high-grade earthquake, etc. Compared with the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and compound moment estimation (CME), probability-weighted moment estimation (PWME) is used to estimate the parameters of the distribution function. The specific formulas are presented. Through Monte Carlo simulation with sample sizes 10, 20, 50, 100, 1 000, it is concluded that PWME is an efficient method and it behaves steadily. The mean square errors (MSE) of estimators by PWME are much smaller than those of estimators by CME, and there is no significant difference between PWME and MLE. Finally, an example of foreign exchange rate is given. For Dollar/Pound exchange rates from 1990-01-02 to 2006-12-29, this paper formulates the distribution function of the largest loss among the investment losses exceeding a certain threshold by Poisson-GP compound extreme value distribution, and obtains predictive values at different confidence levels.
基金Supported by the Scientific Research Foundation for the Doctor,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics(No.1008-907359)
文摘In this paper, we apply the symmetric Galerkin methods to the numerical solutions of a kind of singular linear two-point boundary value problems. We estimate the error in the maximum norm. For the sake of obtaining full superconvergence uniformly at all nodal points, we introduce local mesh refinements. Then we extend these results to a class of nonlinear problems. Finally, we present some numerical results which confirm our theoretical conclusions.
