Ro-Ro vessels for cargo and passengers （RoPax） are a relatively new concept that has proven to be popular in the Mediterranean region and is becoming more widespread in Northern Europe. Due to its design characteris...Ro-Ro vessels for cargo and passengers （RoPax） are a relatively new concept that has proven to be popular in the Mediterranean region and is becoming more widespread in Northern Europe. Due to its design characteristics and amount of passengers, although less than a regular passenger liner, accidents with RoPax vessels have far reaching consequences both for economical and for human life. The objective of this paper is to identify hazards related to casualties of RoPax vessels. The terminal casualty events chosen are related to accident and incident statistics for this type of vessel. This paper focuses on the identification of the basic events that can lead to an accident and the performance requirements. The hazard identification is carried out as the first step of a Formal Safety Assessment （FSA） and the modelling of the relation between the relevant events is made using Fault Tree Analysis （FTA）. The conclusions of this study are recommendations to the later steps of FSA rather than for decision making （Step 5 of FSA）. These recommendations will be focused on the possible design shortcomings identified during the analysis by fault trees throughout cut sets. Also the role that human factors have is analysed through a sensitivity analysis where it is shown that their influence is higher for groundings and collisions where an increase of the initial probability leads to the change of almost 90% of the accident occurrence.展开更多
针对应急通信车通信网络综合组网复杂性和故障关联关系复杂性越来越高的问题,提出了基于故障树分析(Fault Tree Analysis,FTA)法的应急通信车通信网络故障集中诊断方法。该方法可以实现通信网络故障的快速诊断,并能够将诊断结果反馈到...针对应急通信车通信网络综合组网复杂性和故障关联关系复杂性越来越高的问题,提出了基于故障树分析(Fault Tree Analysis,FTA)法的应急通信车通信网络故障集中诊断方法。该方法可以实现通信网络故障的快速诊断,并能够将诊断结果反馈到应急通信车智能通信网络管控系统,通过故障专家知识库支撑和资源调控智能化辅助,实现人工干预或通信网络自适应快速调整和恢复,从而提升应急通信车可靠性、维修性水平。该设计方法可推广应用到大型复杂通信系统和通信、指挥车辆平台通信网络的运维管理系统中,具有较广阔的设计分析和工程应用前景。展开更多
针对传统Petri网(P/T系统)无法根据后继标识确定系统失效部位的问题,采用着色Petri网(Colored Petri Net,CPN)建立动车组列控车载子系统的故障传播模型。首先,通过CPN与传统Petri网理论的对比说明采用CPN建模的可行性。其次,根据车载子...针对传统Petri网(P/T系统)无法根据后继标识确定系统失效部位的问题,采用着色Petri网(Colored Petri Net,CPN)建立动车组列控车载子系统的故障传播模型。首先,通过CPN与传统Petri网理论的对比说明采用CPN建模的可行性。其次,根据车载子系统的结构组成及工作模式建立故障树模型,并通过Petri网描述故障树逻辑门事件之间的逻辑关系,给出故障树的Petri网表示方法,建立车载子系统的P/T系统模型;进一步根据CPN理论确定托肯染色方法、权函数等模型参数,将P/T系统转化为着色网系统,并举例说明后继标识的计算规则。最后,通过与传统Petri网推理及故障识别过程的对比,证明了采用CPN分析系统故障机理的正确性及在故障识别过程中的高效性。所提方法可为车载子系统的故障识别提供一定依据。展开更多
故障树分析(Fault Tree Analysis)在系统可靠性评估中起着至关重要的作用。然而,作为故障树分析的核心故障树(FT)的构建,传统构建故障树的方法存在耗时长且容易出错等缺点。为了解决这些问题并应对复杂系统自动建造故障树的困难,该文提...故障树分析(Fault Tree Analysis)在系统可靠性评估中起着至关重要的作用。然而,作为故障树分析的核心故障树(FT)的构建,传统构建故障树的方法存在耗时长且容易出错等缺点。为了解决这些问题并应对复杂系统自动建造故障树的困难,该文提出一种基于元部件模型及系统结构模型的规范化描述方法,并以此为基础,通过建立元部件模型库、复杂标识符库,设计出故障树自动建树及分析软件,实现系统结构模型搭建、自动建树、复杂结构识别处理及可靠性分析过程的全自动化。详细阐述了故障树自动建树软件自动建树及分析的基本步骤,并通过一个简化的汽车ABS系统应用实例验证了该软件的有效性和可行性。实例应用结果表明,该故障树自动建树及分析软件不仅能够实现自动构建和分析故障树,提高工作效率,而且能够识别处理具有复杂结构的故障树,对复杂系统的自动建树及可靠性分析的推广具有重要意义。展开更多
文摘Ro-Ro vessels for cargo and passengers （RoPax） are a relatively new concept that has proven to be popular in the Mediterranean region and is becoming more widespread in Northern Europe. Due to its design characteristics and amount of passengers, although less than a regular passenger liner, accidents with RoPax vessels have far reaching consequences both for economical and for human life. The objective of this paper is to identify hazards related to casualties of RoPax vessels. The terminal casualty events chosen are related to accident and incident statistics for this type of vessel. This paper focuses on the identification of the basic events that can lead to an accident and the performance requirements. The hazard identification is carried out as the first step of a Formal Safety Assessment （FSA） and the modelling of the relation between the relevant events is made using Fault Tree Analysis （FTA）. The conclusions of this study are recommendations to the later steps of FSA rather than for decision making （Step 5 of FSA）. These recommendations will be focused on the possible design shortcomings identified during the analysis by fault trees throughout cut sets. Also the role that human factors have is analysed through a sensitivity analysis where it is shown that their influence is higher for groundings and collisions where an increase of the initial probability leads to the change of almost 90% of the accident occurrence.
文摘针对应急通信车通信网络综合组网复杂性和故障关联关系复杂性越来越高的问题,提出了基于故障树分析(Fault Tree Analysis,FTA)法的应急通信车通信网络故障集中诊断方法。该方法可以实现通信网络故障的快速诊断,并能够将诊断结果反馈到应急通信车智能通信网络管控系统,通过故障专家知识库支撑和资源调控智能化辅助,实现人工干预或通信网络自适应快速调整和恢复,从而提升应急通信车可靠性、维修性水平。该设计方法可推广应用到大型复杂通信系统和通信、指挥车辆平台通信网络的运维管理系统中,具有较广阔的设计分析和工程应用前景。
文摘针对传统Petri网(P/T系统)无法根据后继标识确定系统失效部位的问题,采用着色Petri网(Colored Petri Net,CPN)建立动车组列控车载子系统的故障传播模型。首先,通过CPN与传统Petri网理论的对比说明采用CPN建模的可行性。其次,根据车载子系统的结构组成及工作模式建立故障树模型,并通过Petri网描述故障树逻辑门事件之间的逻辑关系,给出故障树的Petri网表示方法,建立车载子系统的P/T系统模型;进一步根据CPN理论确定托肯染色方法、权函数等模型参数,将P/T系统转化为着色网系统,并举例说明后继标识的计算规则。最后,通过与传统Petri网推理及故障识别过程的对比,证明了采用CPN分析系统故障机理的正确性及在故障识别过程中的高效性。所提方法可为车载子系统的故障识别提供一定依据。
文摘故障树分析(Fault Tree Analysis)在系统可靠性评估中起着至关重要的作用。然而,作为故障树分析的核心故障树(FT)的构建,传统构建故障树的方法存在耗时长且容易出错等缺点。为了解决这些问题并应对复杂系统自动建造故障树的困难,该文提出一种基于元部件模型及系统结构模型的规范化描述方法,并以此为基础,通过建立元部件模型库、复杂标识符库,设计出故障树自动建树及分析软件,实现系统结构模型搭建、自动建树、复杂结构识别处理及可靠性分析过程的全自动化。详细阐述了故障树自动建树软件自动建树及分析的基本步骤,并通过一个简化的汽车ABS系统应用实例验证了该软件的有效性和可行性。实例应用结果表明,该故障树自动建树及分析软件不仅能够实现自动构建和分析故障树,提高工作效率,而且能够识别处理具有复杂结构的故障树,对复杂系统的自动建树及可靠性分析的推广具有重要意义。
