In view of the lack of patent big data in research on technology foresight in the industrial robot field, this paper introduces an improved method based on patent mining and knowledge map. Firstly, SAO structure is ex...In view of the lack of patent big data in research on technology foresight in the industrial robot field, this paper introduces an improved method based on patent mining and knowledge map. Firstly, SAO structure is extracted from selected patents, secondly, the similarity between patents is calculated based on extracted SAO structure, thirdly, patent network and patent map are drawn based on calculated patent similarity matrix, technology evolution process and future trends of industrial robot are summarized from patent network, and future potential technology opportunities are predicted based on technological vacancies identified from patent map. Finally, this paper identifies six key technical areas and four potential technical opportunities in the field of the industrial robot.展开更多
The paper provides mathematical analysis of sensitivity of different combination rules in the DS/AHP method when an alternative is added to the set of decision alternatives while solving foresight problems. Different ...The paper provides mathematical analysis of sensitivity of different combination rules in the DS/AHP method when an alternative is added to the set of decision alternatives while solving foresight problems. Different cases of rank reversals are defined and two sets of conditions for these cases using the method DS/AHP are considered. Rank reversals are illustrated when the DS/AHP method is used to solve practical problem of critical technologies of energy conservation and power efficiency evaluation in Ukraine. It is shown that the DS/AHP method is not sensitive to exclusion (or addition) of an irrelevant decision alternative from (or to) the set of decision alternatives.展开更多
Referring to the well established foreign language proficiency evaluation scale frameworks such as the CEFR （Common European Framework of Reference for Languages） in Europe and ILR （The Interagency Language Roundta...Referring to the well established foreign language proficiency evaluation scale frameworks such as the CEFR （Common European Framework of Reference for Languages） in Europe and ILR （The Interagency Language Roundtable） scale in the United States, Chinese language education authority is dedicating great efforts to the contruction of the Chinese targeted and tailored national proficiency evaluation system. This initiative will tremendously subvert the traditional language learning and testing mechanism, bring phenomenal transformations and innovations to the future language learning and teaching approaches and methodologies, and meanwhile impose great influence on the language concerning administration and profession.展开更多
This article sorts out the research changes on the speech act from a multimodal perspective.After collecting relevant documents from the two major retrieval systems of Web of Science and China National Knowledge Infra...This article sorts out the research changes on the speech act from a multimodal perspective.After collecting relevant documents from the two major retrieval systems of Web of Science and China National Knowledge Infrastructure(CNKI)databases,the research direction of speech behavior in the linguistics field has shown a shift from monomodal to multimodal,and the research object has shown a shift from written language to on-site speech.The research method has changed from formalization to corpus construction.Through these changes,this article conducts a forward-looking discussion on potential research topics in the future,intending to provide assistance for future research on speech acts.展开更多
Dimensions in breadth （to be or not to be）： presence or absence. Dimensions of being （to be and to have）： essential sens of existence. Dimensions of prospective （inspiration and reason）： needs and wishes.Dime...Dimensions in breadth （to be or not to be）： presence or absence. Dimensions of being （to be and to have）： essential sens of existence. Dimensions of prospective （inspiration and reason）： needs and wishes.Dimensions offacts （minute and, or, assembled）： irrefutable reasoning and logic. Dimensions of deeds （track record and recognition）： proof and ease. Dimensions of values （precise and or wide）： religious convictions and truths.Multicultural appreciation： life experience, knowledge, and awareness. Single or Multiple： individual freedom, or multiplied treasons. Monovoiced and scope （melody and harmony）.Vertical, lateral, and open-ended （toward the future）： for work afield, in spirit and Time. Broad market returns [hedge-funds （markets are slower than finances, hence manageable）]. Today＇s philosophy [Paul Ricoeur （1913-2005） （Theologean and Philosopher）]： might primarily be adapted and worked to a Western civilization!展开更多
Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles an...Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles and limitations of Delphi method and Technology Roadmap in development of strategic emerging industries and offers suggestions on how to strengthen the effectiveness of Technology Foresight in it.展开更多
Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles an...Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles and limitations of Delphi method and Technology Roadmap in development of strategic emerging industries and offers suggestions on how to strengthen the effectiveness of Technology Foresight in it.展开更多
The increasing importance of technology foresight has simultaneously raised the significance of methods that determine crucial areas and technologies.However,qualitative and quantitative methods have shortcomings.The ...The increasing importance of technology foresight has simultaneously raised the significance of methods that determine crucial areas and technologies.However,qualitative and quantitative methods have shortcomings.The former involve high costs and many limitations,while the latter lack expert experience.Intelligent knowledge management emphasizes human–machine integration,which combines the advantages of expert experience and data mining.Thus,we proposed a new technology foresight method based on intelligent knowledge management.This method constructs a technological online platform to increase the number of participating experts.A secondary mining is performed on the results of patent analysis and bibliometrics.Thus,forward-looking,innovative,and disruptive areas and relevant experts must be discovered through the following comprehensive process:Topic acquisition→topic delivery→topic monitoring→topic guidance→topic reclamation→topic sorting→topic evolution→topic conforming→expert recommendation.展开更多
文摘In view of the lack of patent big data in research on technology foresight in the industrial robot field, this paper introduces an improved method based on patent mining and knowledge map. Firstly, SAO structure is extracted from selected patents, secondly, the similarity between patents is calculated based on extracted SAO structure, thirdly, patent network and patent map are drawn based on calculated patent similarity matrix, technology evolution process and future trends of industrial robot are summarized from patent network, and future potential technology opportunities are predicted based on technological vacancies identified from patent map. Finally, this paper identifies six key technical areas and four potential technical opportunities in the field of the industrial robot.
文摘The paper provides mathematical analysis of sensitivity of different combination rules in the DS/AHP method when an alternative is added to the set of decision alternatives while solving foresight problems. Different cases of rank reversals are defined and two sets of conditions for these cases using the method DS/AHP are considered. Rank reversals are illustrated when the DS/AHP method is used to solve practical problem of critical technologies of energy conservation and power efficiency evaluation in Ukraine. It is shown that the DS/AHP method is not sensitive to exclusion (or addition) of an irrelevant decision alternative from (or to) the set of decision alternatives.
文摘Referring to the well established foreign language proficiency evaluation scale frameworks such as the CEFR （Common European Framework of Reference for Languages） in Europe and ILR （The Interagency Language Roundtable） scale in the United States, Chinese language education authority is dedicating great efforts to the contruction of the Chinese targeted and tailored national proficiency evaluation system. This initiative will tremendously subvert the traditional language learning and testing mechanism, bring phenomenal transformations and innovations to the future language learning and teaching approaches and methodologies, and meanwhile impose great influence on the language concerning administration and profession.
文摘This article sorts out the research changes on the speech act from a multimodal perspective.After collecting relevant documents from the two major retrieval systems of Web of Science and China National Knowledge Infrastructure(CNKI)databases,the research direction of speech behavior in the linguistics field has shown a shift from monomodal to multimodal,and the research object has shown a shift from written language to on-site speech.The research method has changed from formalization to corpus construction.Through these changes,this article conducts a forward-looking discussion on potential research topics in the future,intending to provide assistance for future research on speech acts.
文摘Dimensions in breadth （to be or not to be）： presence or absence. Dimensions of being （to be and to have）： essential sens of existence. Dimensions of prospective （inspiration and reason）： needs and wishes.Dimensions offacts （minute and, or, assembled）： irrefutable reasoning and logic. Dimensions of deeds （track record and recognition）： proof and ease. Dimensions of values （precise and or wide）： religious convictions and truths.Multicultural appreciation： life experience, knowledge, and awareness. Single or Multiple： individual freedom, or multiplied treasons. Monovoiced and scope （melody and harmony）.Vertical, lateral, and open-ended （toward the future）： for work afield, in spirit and Time. Broad market returns [hedge-funds （markets are slower than finances, hence manageable）]. Today＇s philosophy [Paul Ricoeur （1913-2005） （Theologean and Philosopher）]： might primarily be adapted and worked to a Western civilization!
文摘Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles and limitations of Delphi method and Technology Roadmap in development of strategic emerging industries and offers suggestions on how to strengthen the effectiveness of Technology Foresight in it.
文摘Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles and limitations of Delphi method and Technology Roadmap in development of strategic emerging industries and offers suggestions on how to strengthen the effectiveness of Technology Foresight in it.
基金The work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.71471169,91546201 and 71071151).
文摘The increasing importance of technology foresight has simultaneously raised the significance of methods that determine crucial areas and technologies.However,qualitative and quantitative methods have shortcomings.The former involve high costs and many limitations,while the latter lack expert experience.Intelligent knowledge management emphasizes human–machine integration,which combines the advantages of expert experience and data mining.Thus,we proposed a new technology foresight method based on intelligent knowledge management.This method constructs a technological online platform to increase the number of participating experts.A secondary mining is performed on the results of patent analysis and bibliometrics.Thus,forward-looking,innovative,and disruptive areas and relevant experts must be discovered through the following comprehensive process:Topic acquisition→topic delivery→topic monitoring→topic guidance→topic reclamation→topic sorting→topic evolution→topic conforming→expert recommendation.
