Function fitting for modeling seasonal normalized difference vegetation index time series and early forecasting of soybean yield

Forecasting crop yields based on remote sensing data is one of the most important tasks in agriculture.Soybean is the main crop in the Russian Far East.It is desirable to forecast soybean yield as early as possible while maintaining high accuracy.This study aimed to investigate seasonal time series of the normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI) to achieve early forecasting of soybean yield.This research used data from the Moderate Resolution Image Spectroradiometer(MODIS),an arable-land mask obtained from the VEGA-Science web service,and soybean yield data for 2008-2017 for the Jewish Autonomous Region(JAR) districts.Four approximating functions were fitted to model the NDVI time series:Gaussian,double logistic(DL),and quadratic and cubic polynomials.In the period from calendar weeks 22-42(end of May to mid-October),averaged over two districts,the model using the DL function showed the highest accuracy(mean absolute percentage error-4.0%,root mean square error(RMSE)-0.029,P <0.01).The yield forecast accuracy of prediction in the period of weeks 25-30 in JAR municipalities using the parameters of the Gaussian function was higher(P <0.05) than that using the other functions.The mean forecast error for the Gaussian function was 14.9% in week 25(RMSE was0.21 t ha) and 5.1%-12.9% in weeks 26-30(RMSE varied from 0.06 to 0.15 t ha) according to the2013-2017 data.In weeks 31-32,the error was 5.0%-5.4%(RMSE was 0.07 t ha) using the Gaussian parameters and 7.4%-7.7%(RMSE was 0.09-0.11 t ha) for the DL function.When the method was applied to municipal districts of other soy-producing regions of the Russian Far East.RMSE was0.14-0.32 t hain weeks 25-26 and did not exceed 0.20 t hain subsequent weeks.

The Application of Multiquadric Function Fitting to Borehole Strain Time Series Data Processing

Based on the existing continuous borehole strain observation,the multiquadric function fitting method was used to deal with time series data. The impact of difference kernel function parameters was discussed to obtain a valuable fitting result,from which the physical connotation of the original data and its possible applications were analyzed.Meanwhile,a brief comparison was made between the results of multiquadric function fitting and polynomial fitting.

Large Scattered Data Fitting Based on Radial Basis Functions

Solving large radial basis function （RBF） interpolation problem with non-customized methods is computationally expensive and the matrices that occur are typically badly conditioned. In order to avoid these difficulties, we present a fitting based on radial basis functions satisfying side conditions by least squares, although compared with interpolation the method loses some accuracy, it reduces the computational cost largely. Since the fitting accuracy and the non-singularity of coefficient matrix in normal equation are relevant to the uniformity of chosen centers of the fitted RBE we present a choice method of uniform centers. Numerical results confirm the fitting efficiency.

Thermodynamic Fit Functions of the Two-Phase Fluid and Critical Exponents

Two-phase fluid properties such as entropy, internal energy, and heat capacity are given by thermodynamically defined fit functions. Each fit function is expressed as a temperature function in terms of a power series expansion about the critical point. The leading term with the critical exponent dominates the temperature variation between the critical and triple points. With β being introduced as the critical exponent for the difference between liquid and vapor densities, it is shown that the critical exponent of each fit function depends (if at all) on β. In particular, the critical exponent of the reciprocal heat capacity c﹣1 is α=1-2β and those of the entropy s and internal energy u are?2β, while that of the reciprocal isothermal compressibility?κ﹣1T is γ=1. It is thus found that in the case of the two-phase fluid the Rushbrooke equation conjectured α +?2β + γ=2 combines the scaling laws resulting from the two relations c=du/dT and?κT=dlnρ/dp. In the context with c, the second temperature derivatives of the chemical potential μ and vapor pressure p are investigated. As the critical point is approached, ﹣d2μ/dT2 diverges as c, while?d2p/dT2 converges to a finite limit. This is explicitly pointed out for the two-phase fluid, water (with β=0.3155). The positive and almost vanishing internal energy of the one-phase fluid at temperatures above and close to the critical point causes conditions for large long-wavelength density fluctuations, which are observed as critical opalescence. For negative values of the internal energy, i.e. the two-phase fluid below the critical point, there are only microscopic density fluctuations. Similar critical phenomena occur when cooling a dilute gas to its Bose-Einstein condensate.

Fitness of Four-Parameter Beta Distribution Function for Forecasting Gold Reserve and Its Production Lifespan in Ghana

Ghana, renowned for its abundant gold reserves, plays a significant role in the global mining industry. Effective management and accurate forecasting of these reserves are vital for sustainable resource utilization and economic planning. Forecasting gold reserves and estimating their production lifespan are complex tasks that require robust statistical models capable of capturing the underlying dynamics of gold deposit accumulation and extraction. To this end, the four-parameter Beta distribution function emerges as a promising candidate due to its flexibility and ability to handle non-negative data. This research aims to investigate the fitness and applicability of the four-parameter Beta distribution function for forecasting Ghana’s gold reserves and estimating the production lifespan of this precious resource. The empirical paper relied mainly on quarterly secondary datasets on gold reserve between the years 2009 and 2022 secured from the Minerals Commission of Ghana, Accra. Several known statistical distributions including Beta, Weibull, Normal, Logistic and Gamma were explored with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and evaluated using model selection criteria as AIC and BIC. Goodness of Fits were evaluated using Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test (K-S), Cramer-Von Mises Statistic and Anderson-Darling Statistic. Based on the analysis conducted, the four-parameter Beta distribution provided the best fit for gold reserve in Ghana. At a 99.9% confidence level and considering the current annual average gold production estimate of 3,700,031.248 to 4,302,647.888 ounces, the projected lifespan of gold production in Ghana extends to the year 1,953,765. This astounding estimate suggests that the country’s gold reserves are expected to sustain production for an extended period, providing a critical resource for economic development and supporting the mining industry well into the distant future.

Fitness of Four-Parameter Beta Distribution Function for Forecasting Gold Reserve and Its Production Lifespan in Ghana

Ghana, renowned for its abundant gold reserves, plays a significant role in the global mining industry. Effective management and accurate forecasting of these reserves are vital for sustainable resource utilization and economic planning. Forecasting gold reserves and estimating their production lifespan are complex tasks that require robust statistical models capable of capturing the underlying dynamics of gold deposit accumulation and extraction. To this end, the four-parameter Beta distribution function emerges as a promising candidate due to its flexibility and ability to handle non-negative data. This research aims to investigate the fitness and applicability of the four-parameter Beta distribution function for forecasting Ghana’s gold reserves and estimating the production lifespan of this precious resource. The empirical paper relied mainly on quarterly secondary datasets on gold reserve between the years 2009 and 2022 secured from the Minerals Commission of Ghana, Accra. Several known statistical distributions including Beta, Weibull, Normal, Logistic and Gamma were explored with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and evaluated using model selection criteria as AIC and BIC. Goodness of Fits were evaluated using Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test (K-S), Cramer-Von Mises Statistic and Anderson-Darling Statistic. Based on the analysis conducted, the four-parameter Beta distribution provided the best fit for gold reserve in Ghana. At a 99.9% confidence level and considering the current annual average gold production estimate of 3,700,031.248 to 4,302,647.888 ounces, the projected lifespan of gold production in Ghana extends to the year 1,953,765. This astounding estimate suggests that the country’s gold reserves are expected to sustain production for an extended period, providing a critical resource for economic development and supporting the mining industry well into the distant future.

有氧运动对心肌梗死患者内皮祖细胞动员和功能的影响

背景:运动康复是心肌梗死患者非药物治疗的重要手段,能够改善心肌灌注和心血管功能,其机制可能与血管内皮细胞介导的血管新生与修复有关,而内皮祖细胞是血管内皮细胞的前体细胞。目的:探讨12周有氧运动对心肌梗死患者内皮祖细胞动员和功能的影响。方法:(1)选择2022年1-10月在郑州大学第一附属医院接受经皮冠状动脉介入治疗后的急性心肌梗死患者66例,按照随机数字表法分为运动组(n=33)和对照组(n=33),对照组患者接受常规心脏康复治疗12周,运动组患者接受常规心脏康复+12周有氧运动干预。干预前及干预结束后72 h,检测患者心肺适能、纽约心脏协会分级、左心室射血分数、血清肌钙蛋白Ⅰ和脑钠肽水平及外周血内皮祖细胞数量。(2)干预前及干预结束后72 h,从两组患者外周血中分离提取内皮组细胞,检测内皮组细胞的增殖、黏附和迁移能力。结果与结论:(1)干预结束后72 h,运动组患者的纽约心脏协会分级、血清肌钙蛋白Ⅰ和脑钠肽水平均低于干预前、对照组(P<0.05),峰值摄氧量、最大功率、递增负荷试验完成时间、峰值运动时左心室射血分数高于干预前、对照组(P<0.05),平均心率和平均主观疲劳感觉评分低于干预前、对照组(P<0.05),外周血内皮组细胞数量多于干预前、对照组(P<0.05);(2)干预结束后72 h,运动组患者外周血内皮祖细胞的增殖、黏附与迁移能力均高于干预前、对照组(P<0.05);(3)结果表明,规律有氧运动能够促进内皮祖细胞动员并增强其增殖、黏附和迁移能力,进而改善心肌梗死患者临床病情、心功能和心肺适能。

Fitting集与根函数

群类理论是在有限可解群研究工作的基础上发展起来的,但近年来对有限群论的许多方面都起到越来越大的作用.Fitting类是重要群类之一.为了更深入地研究Fitting类,主要研究了Fitting集所具有的性质,用构造的方法证明了Fitting集与根函数之间可以建立一个一一对应的关系,证明了两个根函数的合成依然是根函数,并刻画了与该合成相关联的Fitting集,得到两个重要的定理.这对于Fitting类的研究具有重要意义.

函数系数自回归模型推广形式的Back-Fitting估计

文章针对时间序列中函数系数自回归模型给出其推广形式,借助向后拟合的思想介绍推广形式中函数系数部分和参数部分的估计,该方法可以得到模型中的常值系数估计量的精确表达式;并通过一个数值模拟表明所提出的估计方法具有可行性和稳定性。

Performance on the Functional Movement Screen in older active adults

Background:The Functional Movement Screen(FMS^(TM)) has become increasingly popular for identifying functional limitations in basic functional movements.This exploratory and descriptive study was undertaken to confirm feasibility of performing the FMS^(TM) in older active adults,assess prevalence of asymmetries and to evaluate the relationship between functional movement ability,age,physical activity levels and body mass index(BMI).Methods:This is an observational study;97 men(n = 53) and women(n = 44) between the ages of 52 and 83 participated.BMI was computed and self-reported physical activity levels were obtained.Subjects were grouped by age(5-year intervals),BMI(normal,over-weight,and obese)and sex.Each participant's performance on the FMS^(TM) was digitally recorded for later analysis.Results:The youngest age group(50–54 years) scored highest in all seven tests and the oldest age group(75+) scored lowest in most of the tests compared to all other age groups.The subjects in the 'normal weight' group performed no different than those who were in the 'overweight' group;both groups performed better than the 'obese' group.Of the 97 participants 54 had at least one asymmetry.The pairwise correlations between the total FMS^(TM) score and age(r =-0.531),BMI(r =-0.270),and the measure of activity level(r = 0.287) were significant(p < 0.01 for all).Conclusion:FMS^(TM) scores decline with increased BMI,increased age,and decreased activity level.The screen identifies range of motion-and strength-related asymmetries.The FMS^(TM) can be used to assess functional limitations and asymmetries.Future research should evaluate if a higher total FMS^(TM) score is related to fewer falls or injuries in the older population.

The Trace Elements are Bounded by Organic Functional Groups in Coal:A Studying Result Based on FTIR Analysis

The relationship between trace elements in coal and organic functional groups of coal, also some of aromatic structure, was investigated by using curve fitting of infrared spectra. Cluster analysis was also performed according to the degree of affinity of organic groups to the trace elements. The results show that there is a possibility that trace elements, especially LREE, were bound to peripheral organic functional groups of middle rank coal macromolecule. The most possible functional group that binds trace element is the hydroxyl, and to the less degree, the asymmetric -CH3 and 〉CH2 stretching, -CH3 stretching, etc. The degree of affinity of trace elements to different functional groups varies. The tendency obeys the natural structural changing law of trace elements-- the periodic law. The deviation of some trace elements from this regular trend is attributed to the deviation of intrinsic ＂confusion degree＂ （conventional molar entropy） of the matter system of coal basin, which is affected by the inner and outer factors during the evolution.

A comparison of piecewise cubic Hermite interpolating polynomials,cubic splines and piecewise linear functions for the approximation of projectile aerodynamics

Modelling and simulation of projectile flight is at the core of ballistic computer software and is essential to the study of performance of rifles and projectiles in various engagement conditions.An effective and representative numerical model of projectile flight requires a relatively good approximation of the aerodynamics.The aerodynamic coefficients of the projectile model should be described as a series of piecewise polynomial functions of the Mach number that ideally meet the following conditions:they are continuous,differentiable at least once,and have a relatively low degree.The paper provides the steps needed to generate such piecewise polynomial functions using readily available tools,and then compares Piecewise Cubic Hermite Interpolating Polynomial(PCHIP),cubic splines,and piecewise linear functions,and their variant,as potential curve fitting methods to approximate the aerodynamics of a generic small arms projectile.A key contribution of the paper is the application of PCHIP to the approximation of projectile aerodynamics,and its evaluation against a set of criteria.Finally,the paper provides a baseline assessment of the impact of the polynomial functions on flight trajectory predictions obtained with 6-degree-of-freedom simulations of a generic projectile.

Differences in Body Composition and Physical Fitness in Elderly Men and Women

The aim of this study was to determine differences in body composition and physical fitness in elderly men and women. Five hundred twenty six subjects were included in this study, 272 were men （52%） and 254 women （48%）. To determine the trend of changes of anthropometric parameters and physical fitness in people aged over 60, the authors were divided subjects in 5 age groups： 60-64, 65-69, 70-74, 75-79 and over 80 years of age. Decrease in strength is observed with the aging process so that the respondents aged 60-64 years significantly differ in the strength of the lower extremities of elderly subjects 70-74 and 75-79 years of age. Also this difference is noticeable if they compare with men and women. In this study, they found that there was an increase in the amount of adipose tissue, reducing the level of muscle activity and decreased muscle strength and endurance of the aging process.

Comparison of the Chapman-Richards Function with the Schnute Model in Stand growth

The Chapman-Richards Function and its two exception cases in applications were discussed and compared with the Schnute model in stand growth studies. Compared from all perspective, it was found that the Schnute model commonly used in foreitry was identical to the Chapman-Richards function. If some parameter in the Chapman-Richdrds Function was unconstraint, the function could also be very versatile to fit some exceptional growth curves, the fitted function should be identical to that the Schnute model.

基于正弦函数拟合的高动态捷联惯导姿态更新算法

为提高捷联惯导在高动态条件下的姿态解算精度,基于等效旋转矢量泰勒级数展开法,提出一种基于正弦函数拟合的高动态捷联惯导姿态更新算法。以正弦函数拟合载体运动角速度,考虑Bortz方程高阶项的影响,对陀螺角增量表示的旋转矢量进行泰勒六阶展开,对比旋转矢量不同形式表达式求得误差补偿系数。在MATLAB平台上,以圆锥运动与大角速率转动并存环境作为仿真条件,对所提算法与传统算法进行对比仿真分析。仿真结果表明,在小半锥角低频圆锥运动伴随高速角速率转动情况下,所提算法性能较好,当半锥角为0.5°、角频率为2.26πrad/s、常值角速率为5.30 rad/s、姿态解算周期为0.02 s时,所提正弦函数拟合三子样旋转矢量算法与传统扩展形式频率级数/显示频率三子样圆锥算法相比误差降低了2个数量级。

GENETIC ALGORITHM WITH FUZZY FITNESS EVALUATION

Using a fuzzy estimator to evaluate the fitness of chromosomes in a genetic algorithm and adaptively training it in the evolutionary process, the genetic algorithm with fuzzy fitness evaluation is proposed to reduce the computation time of the algorithm. An analysis on the optimization performance of the proposed algorithm shows that it maintains good performance with its computation time saved. Finally, simulation results on design of a fuzzy controller are presented.

基于RUL和SVs-GFF的云服务器老化预测方法

针对云服务器中存在软件老化现象,将造成系统性能衰退与可靠性下降问题,借鉴剩余使用寿命(Remaining useful life,RUL)概念,提出基于支持向量和高斯函数拟合(Support vectors and Gaussian function fitting,SVs-GFF)的老化预测方法.首先,提取云服务器老化数据的统计特征指标,并采用支持向量回归(Support vector regression,SVR)对统计特征指标进行数据稀疏化处理,得到支持向量(Support vectors,SVs)序列数据;然后,建立基于密度聚类的高斯函数拟合(Gaussian function fitting,GFF)模型,对不同核函数下的支持向量序列数据进行老化曲线拟合,并采用Fréchet距离优化算法选取最优老化曲线;最后,基于最优老化曲线,评估系统到达老化阈值前的RUL,以预测系统何时发生老化.在OpenStack云服务器4个老化数据集上的实验结果表明,基于RUL和SVs-GFF的云服务器老化预测方法与传统预测方法相比,具有更高的预测精度和更快的收敛速度.

Appropriateness of Reduced Modified Three-Parameter Weibull Distribution Function for Predicting Gold Production in Ghana

Forecasting mine production is pertinent to gold mining as it serves as production goals for investors. It is therefore important to identify the exact distribution that gold production as a response variable naturally follows. It is even more appropriate to have a model(s) with few predictor variables. This paper seeks to identify appropriate statistical distribution functions for fitting gold production in Ghana. The empirical paper relied mainly on quarterly secondary datasets on gold production between the years 2009 and 2022 secured from the Minerals Commission of Ghana, Accra. Several known statistical distributions including Weibull, Log-Normal, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) were explored with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and evaluated using model selection criteria as AIC, AICc and BIC. Goodness of Fits were evaluated using Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test (K-S), Cramer-Von Mises Statistic and Anderson-Darling Statistic. Based on the analysis conducted, the reduced modified 3-parameter Weibull distribution provided the best fit for gold production in Ghana. Though the reduced modified Weibull function is proposed, it is important however to recognize that other external factors can influence production levels. Also, the average quarterly fitted gold production is 1000334.8918 ± 75,327.080 (±7.5%) [i.e., 925,007.812 – 1,075,661.972]. This indicates that the average annually fitted gold production lies between 3700031.248 and 4302647.888 ounces at 99.9% confidence level. Therefore, the predicted gold production for the year 2022 is 3.7million ounces at 99.9% confidence level.

Appropriateness of Reduced Modified Three-Parameter Weibull Distribution Function for Predicting Gold Production in Ghana

Forecasting mine production is pertinent to gold mining as it serves as production goals for investors. It is therefore important to identify the exact distribution that gold production as a response variable naturally follows. It is even more appropriate to have a model(s) with few predictor variables. This paper seeks to identify appropriate statistical distribution functions for fitting gold production in Ghana. The empirical paper relied mainly on quarterly secondary datasets on gold production between the years 2009 and 2022 secured from the Minerals Commission of Ghana, Accra. Several known statistical distributions including Weibull, Log-Normal, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) were explored with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and evaluated using model selection criteria as AIC, AICc and BIC. Goodness of Fits were evaluated using Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test (K-S), Cramer-Von Mises Statistic and Anderson-Darling Statistic. Based on the analysis conducted, the reduced modified 3-parameter Weibull distribution provided the best fit for gold production in Ghana. Though the reduced modified Weibull function is proposed, it is important however to recognize that other external factors can influence production levels. Also, the average quarterly fitted gold production is 1000334.8918 ± 75,327.080 (±7.5%) [i.e., 925,007.812 – 1,075,661.972]. This indicates that the average annually fitted gold production lies between 3700031.248 and 4302647.888 ounces at 99.9% confidence level. Therefore, the predicted gold production for the year 2022 is 3.7million ounces at 99.9% confidence level.

基于功能性体适能指标构建老年慢性阻塞性肺疾病患者的居家康复护理方案

目的 基于功能性体适能指标构建老年慢性阻塞性肺疾病患者的居家康复护理方案。方法 通过文献检索、病例回顾,以及结合老年慢性阻塞性肺疾病患者日常生活需要、疾病特点、体适能等核心指标,构建老年慢性阻塞性肺疾病患者居家康复护理方案初稿。编制专家函询问卷,并通过小组讨论,遴选出12名呼吸、康复相关专家,进行2轮专家函询。结果 2轮专家函询问卷回收率均为83.3%。专家权威系数为0.90。居家康复护理方案共有4个一级指标、11个二级指标和33个三级指标。结论 以功能性体适能指标构建的老年慢性阻塞性肺疾病患者居家康复护理方案具有可实施性、科学性、创新性,可为临床应用提供理论依据。