Hybrid Support Vector Regression with Parallel Co-Evolution Algorithm Based on GA and PSO for Forecasting Monthly Rainfall

Accurate and timely monthly rainfall forecasting is a major challenge for the scientific community in hydrological research such as river management project and design of flood warning systems. Support Vector Regression (SVR) is a very useful precipitation prediction model. In this paper, a novel parallel co-evolution algorithm is presented to determine the appropriate parameters of the SVR in rainfall prediction based on parallel co-evolution by hybrid Genetic Algorithm and Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm, namely SVRGAPSO, for monthly rainfall prediction. The framework of the parallel co-evolutionary algorithm is to iterate two GA and PSO populations simultaneously, which is a mechanism for information exchange between GA and PSO populations to overcome premature local optimum. Our methodology adopts a hybrid PSO and GA for the optimal parameters of SVR by parallel co-evolving. The proposed technique is applied over rainfall forecasting to test its generalization capability as well as to make comparative evaluations with the several competing techniques, such as the other alternative methods, namely SVRPSO (SVR with PSO), SVRGA (SVR with GA), and SVR model. The empirical results indicate that the SVRGAPSO results have a superior generalization capability with the lowest prediction error values in rainfall forecasting. The SVRGAPSO can significantly improve the rainfall forecasting accuracy. Therefore, the SVRGAPSO model is a promising alternative for rainfall forecasting.

Adaptive Co-evolution Model for Multi-agent System

It is important to harmonize effectively the behaviors of the agents in the multi-agent system (MAS) to complete the solution process. The co-evolution computing techniques, inspired by natural selection and genetics, are usually used to solve these problems. Based on learning and evolution mechanisms of the biological systems, an adaptive co-evolution model was proposed in this paper. Inner-population, inter-population, and community learning operators were presented. The adaptive co-evolution algorithm (ACEA) was designed in detail. Some simulation experiments were done to evaluate the performance of the ACEA. The results show that the ACEA is more effective and feasible than the genetic algorithm to solve the optimization problems.

A Hybrid Differential Evolution Algorithm Integrated with Particle Swarm Optimization

To implement self-adaptive control parameters, a hybrid differential evolution algorithm integrated with particle swarm optimization （PSODE） is proposed. In the PSODE, control parameters are encoded to be a symbiotic individual of original individual, and each original individual has its own symbiotic individual. Differential evolution （ DE） operators are used to evolve the original population. And, particle swarm optimization （PSO） is applied to co-evolving the symbiotic population. Thus, with the evolution of the original population in PSODE, the symbiotic population is dynamically and self-adaptively adjusted and the realtime optimum control parameters are obtained. The proposed algorithm is compared with some DE variants on nine functious. The results show that the average performance of PSODE is the best.

Strategic flight assignment approach based on multi-objective parallel evolution algorithm with dynamic migration interval

The continuous growth of air traffic has led to acute airspace congestion and severe delays, which threatens operation safety and cause enormous economic loss. Flight assignment is an economical and effective strategic plan to reduce the flight delay and airspace congestion by rea- sonably regulating the air traffic flow of China. However, it is a large-scale combinatorial optimiza- tion problem which is difficult to solve. In order to improve the quality of solutions, an effective multi-objective parallel evolution algorithm （MPEA） framework with dynamic migration interval strategy is presented in this work. Firstly, multiple evolution populations are constructed to solve the problem simultaneously to enhance the optimization capability. Then a new strategy is pro- posed to dynamically change the migration interval among different evolution populations to improve the efficiency of the cooperation of populations. Finally, the cooperative co-evolution （CC） algorithm combined with non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II （NSGA-II） is intro- duced for each population. Empirical studies using the real air traffic data of the Chinese air route network and daily flight plans show that our method outperforms the existing approaches, multi- objective genetic algorithm （MOGA）, multi-objective evolutionary algorithm based on decom- position （MOEA/D）, CC-based multi-objective algorithm （CCMA） as well as other two MPEAs with different migration interval strategies.