Mechanical Properties Prediction of the Mechanical Clinching Joints Based on Genetic Algorithm and BP Neural Network

For optimal design of mechanical clinching steel-aluminum joints, the back propagation （BP） neural network is used to research the mapping relationship between joining technique parameters including sheet thickness, sheet hardness, joint bottom diameter etc., and mechanical properties of shearing and peeling in order to investigate joining technology between various material plates in the steel-aluminum hybrid structure car body. Genetic algorithm （GA） is adopted to optimize the back-propagation neural network connection weights. The training and validating samples are made by the BTM Tog-L-Loc system with different technologic parameters. The training samples＇ parameters and the corresponding joints＇ mechanical properties are supplied to the artificial neural network （ANN） for training. The validating samples＇ experimental data is used for checking up the prediction outputs. The calculation results show that GA can improve the model＇s prediction precision and generalization ability of BP neural network. The comparative analysis between the experimental data and the prediction outputs shows that ANN prediction models after training can effectively predict the mechanical properties of mechanical clinching joints and prove the feasibility and reliability of the intelligent neural networks system when used in the mechanical properties prediction of mechanical clinching joints. The prediction results can be used for a reference in the design of mechanical clinching steel-aluminum joints.

An Approach to Carbon Emissions Prediction Using Generalized Regression Neural Network Improved by Genetic Algorithm

The study on scientific analysis and prediction of China’s future carbon emissions is conducive to balancing the relationship between economic development and carbon emissions in the new era,and actively responding to climate change policy.Through the analysis of the application of the generalized regression neural network(GRNN)in prediction,this paper improved the prediction method of GRNN.Genetic algorithm(GA)was adopted to search the optimal smooth factor as the only factor of GRNN,which was then used for prediction in GRNN.During the prediction of carbon dioxide emissions using the improved method,the increments of data were taken into account.The target values were obtained after the calculation of the predicted results.Finally,compared with the results of GRNN,the improved method realized higher prediction accuracy.It thus offers a new way of predicting total carbon dioxide emissions,and the prediction results can provide macroscopic guidance and decision-making reference for China’s environmental protection and trading of carbon emissions.

Prediction of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Market Returns Using Artificial Neural Network and Genetic Algorithm

Stock Market is the market for security where organized issuance and trading of Stocks take place either through exchange or over the counter in electronic or physical form. It plays an important role in canalizing capital from the investors to the business houses, which consequently leads to the availability of funds for business expansion. In this paper, we investigate to predict the daily excess returns of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) indices over the respective Treasury bill rate returns. Initially, we prove that the excess return time series do not fluctuate randomly. We are applying the prediction models of Autoregressive feed forward Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to predict the excess return time series using lagged value. For the Artificial Neural Networks model using a Genetic Algorithm is constructed to choose the optimal topology. This paper examines the feasibility of the prediction task and provides evidence that the markets are not fluctuating randomly and finally, to apply the most suitable prediction model and measure their efficiency.

Prediction and Research on Vegetable Price Based on Genetic Algorithm and Neural Network Model

Considering the complexity of vegetables price forecast,the prediction model of vegetables price was set up by applying the neural network based on genetic algorithm and using the characteristics of genetic algorithm and neural work.Taking mushrooms as an example,the parameters of the model are analyzed through experiment.In the end,the results of genetic algorithm and BP neural network are compared.The results show that the absolute error of prediction data is in the scale of 10%;in the scope that the absolute error in the prediction data is in the scope of 20% and 15%.The accuracy of genetic algorithm based on neutral network is higher than the BP neutral network model,especially the absolute error of prediction data is within the scope of 20%.The accuracy of genetic algorithm based on neural network is obviously better than BP neural network model,which represents the favorable generalization capability of the model.

Stage-Wise Categorization and Prediction of Diabetic Retinopathy Using Ensemble Learning and 2D-CNN

Diabetic Eye Disease(DED)is a fundamental cause of blindness in human beings in the medical world.Different techniques are proposed to forecast and examine the stages in Prognostication of Diabetic Retinopathy(DR).The Machine Learning(ML)and the Deep Learning(DL)algorithms are the predomi-nant techniques to project and explore the images of DR.Even though some solu-tions were adapted to challenge the cause of DR disease,still there should be an efficient and accurate DR prediction to be adapted to refine its performance.In this work,a hybrid technique was proposed for classification and prediction of DR.The proposed hybrid technique consists of Ensemble Learning(EL),2 Dimensional-Conventional Neural Network(2D-CNN),Transfer Learning(TL)and Correlation method.Initially,the Stochastic Gradient Boosting(SGB)EL method was used to predict the DR.Secondly,the boosting based EL method was used to predict the DR of images.Thirdly 2D-CNN was applied to categorize the various stages of DR images.Finally,the TL was adopted to transfer the clas-sification prediction to training datasets.When this TL was applied,a new predic-tion feature was increased.From the experiment,the proposed technique has achieved 97.8%of accuracy in prophecies of DR images and 98%accuracy in grading of images.The experiment was also extended to measure the sensitivity(99.6%)and specificity(97.3%)metrics.The predicted accuracy rate was com-pared with existing methods.

基于改进SMOTE算法和Ensemble模型的学习结果预测方法

为解决不同领域的数据分类和预测任务中单个机器学习算法适用性较差的问题,以及缓解数据集严重不平衡对预测性能的影响,提出了基于合成少数类过采样(SMOTE)和Ensemble集成模型的数据分类方法。传统SMOTE算法通过对少数类样本进行插值来生成新的合成样本,合成样本中存在噪声和样本间相似性较高的问题。为此,提出了改进的SMOTE算法,通过距离计算移除噪声样本和易混淆样本,得到高区分度的纯净合成样本。然后,利用Ensemble方法调整样本和分类器权重,并组成分类效果更好的强分类器。在公开在线学习数据集Kalboard360上的实验结果表明,使用极限随机树(ERT)分类器时,结合改进SMOTE和Ensemble模型后实现了97.9%的预测准确度,比单个ERT分类器提升了5.5%,证明所提改进SMOTE算法能够生成高质量的均衡化数据,且集成学习模型的性能显著优于单个机器学习算法。

Design of artificial neural networks using a genetic algorithm to predict saturates of vacuum gas oil

Accurate prediction of chemical composition of vacuum gas oil （VGO） is essential for the routine operation of refineries. In this work, a new approach for auto-design of artificial neural networks （ANN） based on a genetic algorithm （GA） is developed for predicting VGO saturates. The number of neurons in the hidden layer, the momentum and the learning rates are determined by using the genetic algorithm. The inputs for the artificial neural networks model are five physical properties, namely, average boiling point, density, molecular weight, viscosity and refractive index. It is verified that the genetic algorithm could find the optimal structural parameters and training parameters of ANN. In addition, an artificial neural networks model based on a genetic algorithm was tested and the results indicated that the VGO saturates can be efficiently predicted. Compared with conventional artificial neural networks models, this approach can improve the prediction accuracy.

MENDED GENETIC BP NETWORK AND APPLICATION TO ROLLING FORCE PREDICTION OF 4-STAND TANDEM COLD STRIP MILL

In order to make good use of the ability to approach any function of BP (backpropagation) network and overcome its local astringency, and also make good use of the overallsearch ability of GA (genetic algorithms), a proposal to regulate the network's weights using bothGA and BP algorithms is suggested. An integrated network system of MGA (mended genetic algorithms)and BP algorithms has been established. The MGA-BP network's functions consist of optimizing GAperformance parameters, the network's structural parameters, performance parameters, and regulatingthe network's weights using both GA and BP algorithms. Rolling forces of 4-stand tandem cold stripmill are predicted by the MGA-BP network, and good results are obtained.

A chaos genetic algorithm for optimizing an artificial neural network of predicting silicon content in hot metal

A genetic algorithm based on the nested intervals chaos search (NICGA) hasbeen given. Because the nested intervals chaos search is introduced into the NICGA to initialize thepopulation and to lead the evolution of the population, the NICGA has the advantages of decreasingthe population size, enhancing the local search ability, and improving the computational efficiencyand optimization precision. In a multi4ayer feed forward neural network model for predicting thesilicon content in hot metal, the NICGA was used to optimize the connection weights and thresholdvalues of the neural network to improve the prediction precision. The application results show thatthe precision of predicting the silicon content has been increased.

Recovery and grade prediction of pilot plant flotation column concentrate by a hybrid neural genetic algorithm

Today flotation column has become an acceptable means of froth flotation for a fairly broad range of applications, in particular the cleaning of sulfides. Even after having been used for several years in mineral processing plants, the full potential of the flotation column process is still not fully exploited. There is no prediction of process performance for the complete use of available control capabilities. The on-line estimation of grade usually requires a significant amount of work in maintenance and calibration of on-stream analyzers, in order to maintain good accuracy and high availability. These difficulties and the high cost of investment and maintenance of these devices have encouraged the approach of prediction of metal grade and recovery. In this paper, a new approach has been proposed for metallurgical performance prediction in flotation columns using Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Despite of the wide range of applications and flexibility of NNs, there is still no general framework or procedure through which the appropriate network for a specific task can be designed. Design and structural optimization of NNs is still strongly dependent upon the designer's experience. To mitigate this problem, a new method for the auto-design of NNs was used, based on Genetic Algorithm (GA). The new proposed method was evaluated by a case study in pilot plant flotation column at Sarcheshmeh copper plant. The chemical reagents dosage, froth height, air, wash water flow rates, gas holdup, Cu grade in the rougher feed, flotation column feed, column tail and final concentrate streams were used to the simulation by GANN. In this work, multi-layer NNs with Back Propagation (BP) algorithm with 8-17-10-2 and 8- 13-6-2 arrangements have been applied to predict the Cu and Mo grades and recoveries, respectively. The correlation coefficient (R) values for the testing sets for Cu and Mo grades were 0.93, 0.94 and for their recoveries were 0.93, 0.92, respectively. The results discussed in this paper indicate that the proposed model can be used to predict the Cu and Mo grades and recoveries with a reasonable error.

Optimizing neural networks by genetic algorithms for predicting particulate matter concentration in summer in Beijing

We developed and tested an improved neural network to predict the average concentration of PM10(particulate matter with diameter smaller than 10 ?m) several hours in advance in summer in Beijing.A genetic algorithm optimization procedure for optimizing initial weights and thresholds of the neural network was also evaluated.This research was based upon the PM10 data from seven monitoring sites in Beijing urban region and meteorological observation data,which were recorded every 3 h during summer of 2002.Two neural network models were developed.Model I was built for predicting PM10 concentrations 3 h in advance while Model II for one day in advance.The predictions of both models were found to be consistent with observations.Percent errors in forecasting the numerical value were about 20.This brings us to the conclusion that short-term fluctuations of PM10 concentrations in Beijing urban region in summer are to a large extent driven by meteorological conditions.Moreover,the predicted results of Model II were compared with the ones provided by the Models-3 Community Multiscale Air Quality(CMAQ) modeling system.The mean relative errors of both models were 0.21 and 0.26,respectively.The performance of the neural network model was similar to numerical models,when applied to short-time prediction of PM10 concentration.

Predicting Optimal Trading Actions Using a Genetic Algorithm and Ensemble Method

Machine learning has been applied to the foreign exchange market for algorithmic trading. However, the selection of trading algorithms is a difficult problem. In this work, an approach that combines trading agents is designed. In the proposed approach, an artificial neural network is used to predict the optimum actions of each agent for USD/JPY currency pairs. The agents are trained using a genetic algorithm and are then combined using an ensemble method. We compare the performance of the combined agent to the average performance of many agents. Simulation results show that the total return is better when the combined agent is used.

Software Defect Prediction Using Hybrid Machine Learning Techniques: A Comparative Study

When a customer uses the software, then it is possible to occur defects that can be removed in the updated versions of the software. Hence, in the present work, a robust examination of cross-project software defect prediction is elaborated through an innovative hybrid machine learning framework. The proposed technique combines an advanced deep neural network architecture with ensemble models such as Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and XGBoost. The study evaluates the performance by considering multiple software projects like CM1, JM1, KC1, and PC1 using datasets from the PROMISE Software Engineering Repository. The three hybrid models that are compared are Hybrid Model-1 (SVM, RandomForest, XGBoost, Neural Network), Hybrid Model-2 (GradientBoosting, DecisionTree, LogisticRegression, Neural Network), and Hybrid Model-3 (KNeighbors, GaussianNB, Support Vector Classification (SVC), Neural Network), and the Hybrid Model 3 surpasses the others in terms of recall, F1-score, accuracy, ROC AUC, and precision. The presented work offers valuable insights into the effectiveness of hybrid techniques for cross-project defect prediction, providing a comparative perspective on early defect identification and mitigation strategies. .

Predicting Dementia Risk Factors Based on Feature Selection and Neural Networks

Dementia is a disorder with high societal impact and severe consequences for its patients who suffer from a progressive cognitive decline that leads to increased morbidity,mortality,and disabilities.Since there is a consensus that dementia is a multifactorial disorder,which portrays changes in the brain of the affected individual as early as 15 years before its onset,prediction models that aim at its early detection and risk identification should consider these characteristics.This study aims at presenting a novel method for ten years prediction of dementia using on multifactorial data,which comprised 75 variables.There are two automated diagnostic systems developed that use genetic algorithms for feature selection,while artificial neural network and deep neural network are used for dementia classification.The proposed model based on genetic algorithm and deep neural network had achieved the best accuracy of 93.36%,sensitivity of 93.15%,specificity of 91.59%,MCC of 0.4788,and performed superior to other 11 machine learning techniques which were presented in the past for dementia prediction.The identified best predictors were:age,past smoking habit,history of infarct,depression,hip fracture,single leg standing test with right leg,score in the physical component summary and history of TIA/RIND.The identification of risk factors is imperative in the dementia research as an effort to prevent or delay its onset.

Research on Railway Passenger Flow Prediction Method Based on GA Improved BP Neural Network

This paper chooses passenger flow data of some stations in China from January 2015 to March 2016, and the time series prediction model of BP neural network for railway passenger flow is established. But because of its slow convergence speed and easily falling into local optimal solution of the problem, we propose to improve the time series model of BP neural network by genetic algorithm to predict railway passenger flow. Experimental results show that the improved method has higher prediction accuracy and better nonlinear fitting ability.

Traffic prediction using a self-adjusted evolutionary neural network

Short-term prediction of traffic flow is one of the most essential elements of all proactive traffic control systems.The aim of this paper is to provide a model based on neural networks(NNs)for multi-step-ahead traffic prediction.NNs'dependency on parameter setting is the major challenge in using them as a predictor.Given the fact that the best combination of NN parameters results in the minimum error of predicted output,the main problem is NN optimization.So,it is viable to set the best combination of the parameters according to a specific traffic behavior.On the other hand,an automatic method—which is applicable in general cases—is strongly desired to set appropriate parameters for neural networks.This paper defines a self-adjusted NN using the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II(NSGA-II)as a multi-objective optimizer for short-term prediction.NSGA-II is used to optimize the number of neurons in the first and second layers of the NN,learning ratio and slope of the activation function.This model addresses the challenge of optimizing a multi-output NN in a self-adjusted way.Performance of the developed network is evaluated by application to both univariate and multivariate traffic flow data from an urban highway.Results are analyzed based on the performance measures,showing that the genetic algorithm tunes the NN as well without any manually pre-adjustment.The achieved prediction accuracy is calculated with multiple measures such as the root mean square error(RMSE),and the RMSE value is 10 and 12 in the best configuration of the proposed model for single and multi-step-ahead traffic flow prediction,respectively.

Ensemble Recurrent Neural Network-Based Residual Useful Life Prognostics of Aircraft Engines

Residual useful life(RUL)prediction is a key issue for improving efficiency of aircraft engines and reducing their maintenance cost.Owing to various failure mechanism and operating environment,the application of classical models in RUL prediction of aircraft engines is fairly difficult.In this study,a novel RUL prognostics method based on using ensemble recurrent neural network to process massive sensor data is proposed.First of all,sensor data obtained from the aircraft engines are preprocessed to eliminate singular values,reduce random fluctuation and preserve degradation trend of the raw sensor data.Secondly,three kinds of recurrent neural networks(RNN),including ordinary RNN,long shortterm memory(LSTM),and gated recurrent unit(GRU),are individually constructed.Thirdly,ensemble learning mechanism is designed to merge the above RNNs for producing a more accurate RUL prediction.The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated using two characteristically different turbofan engine datasets.Experimental results show a competitive performance of the proposed method in comparison with typical methods reported in literatures.