New estimations of radiative forcing due to CO2 were calculated using updated concentration data of CO2 and a high-resolution radiative transfer model. The stratospheric adjusted radiative forcing (ARF) due to CO2 f...New estimations of radiative forcing due to CO2 were calculated using updated concentration data of CO2 and a high-resolution radiative transfer model. The stratospheric adjusted radiative forcing (ARF) due to CO2 from the year 1750 to the updated year of 2010 was found to have increased to 1.95 W m-2, which was 17% larger than that of the IPCC's 4th Assessment Report because of the rapid increase in CO2 concentrations since 2005. A new formula is proposed to accurately describe the relationship between the ARF of CO2 and its concentration. Furthermore, according to the relationship between the ARF and surface temperature change, possible changes in equilibrium surface temperature were estimated under the scenarios that the concentration of CO2 increases to 1.5, 2, 2.5, 3, 3.5 and 4 times that of the concentration in the year 2008. The result was values of +2.2℃, +3.8℃, +5.1℃, +6.2℃, +7.1℃ and +8.0℃ respectively, based on a middle-level climate sensitivity parameter of 0.8 K (W m 3)-1. Non-equilibrium surface temperature changes over the next 500 years were also calculated under two kinds of emission scenarios (pulsed and sustained emissions) as a comparison, according to the Absolute Global Temperature change Potential (AGTP) of CO2. Results showed that CO2 will likely continue to contribute to global warming if no emission controls are imposed, and the effect on the Earth-atmosphere system will be difficult to restore to its original level.展开更多
<p> A. <span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Changes </span></span></span><...<p> A. <span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Changes </span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">in</span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> average global temperature are not driven by changes in the concentration of carbon dioxide;</span></span></span></span> </p> <p> <span style="font-family:Verdana;">B. </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Instead, autonomous changes in the concentration of water vapor, </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Δ</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">TPW, </span><span color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">drive changes in water vapor heating, thus, </span><span style="background:#C00000;font-family:Verdana;">changes in</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> the average global temperature, </span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Δ</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><i>T</i></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><sub>Avg</sub></span><span color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">, </span><span style="background:#C00000;font-family:Verdana;">in deg. Celsius are calculated</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> in accordance with this principle,</span></span> </p> <p style="text-align:center;margin-left:10pt;"> <span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;"></span><img src="Edit_6e770969-a7c9-4192-a6ad-03de906a4d65.bmp" alt="" /><br /> </span></span></span> </p> <p align="center" style="margin-left:10.0pt;text-align:center;"> <span><span><span style="font-family:;" "=""><span></span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""></span></span></span></span> </p> <p> <span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;background:#c00000;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">measured in kg<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"="">·</span></span>m</span><sup><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#ffffff;"="">-</span>2</span></sup><span style="font-family:Verdana;">,</span></span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""> </span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">the average accuracy of which is ±0.14%, when compared to the variable annual, 1880 </span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> 2019, </span><span style="background:#C00000;font-family:Verdana;">average global </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">temperature record;</span></span></span></span> </p>展开更多
[ Objective] The study aimed to discuss the effects of the adjustment of energy structure on daily average concentration of NO2 in different regions of Urumqi city in winter. [ Method] The changes of daily average con...[ Objective] The study aimed to discuss the effects of the adjustment of energy structure on daily average concentration of NO2 in different regions of Urumqi city in winter. [ Method] The changes of daily average concentration of NO2 in different areas of Urumqi City from January to February ( NO2 pollution was most serious) before and after the implementation of the project "changing coal to gas" were analyzed. [ Result] After the implementation of the project, daily average concentration of NO2 in different areas of Urumqi City was increased due to the rapid increase of ve- hicle quantity, but there were certain differences in the increase among various regions. From south to north, daily average concentration of NO2 in winter was decreased gradually, that is, daily average concentration of NO2 was the highest in the south area, while in the north area, it didn't change significantly before and after the implementation of the project, but it was still high. Therefore, the local government should pay more attention to pollution NO2 during environmental management process. [ Conclusion] The research could provide scientific references for the control of atmospheric pollution in future.展开更多
When compared to the average annual global temperature record from 1880, no published climate model posited on the assumption that the increasing concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide is the driver of climate ch...When compared to the average annual global temperature record from 1880, no published climate model posited on the assumption that the increasing concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide is the driver of climate change can accurately replicate the significant variability in the annual temperature record. Therefore, new principles of atmospheric physics are developed for determining changes in the average annual global temperature based on changes in the average atmospheric concentration of water vapor. These new principles prove that: 1) Changes in average global temperature are not driven by changes in the concentration of carbon dioxide;2) Instead, autonomous changes in the concentration of water vapor, <span style="white-space:nowrap;">Δ</span>TPW, drive changes in water vapor heating, thus, the average global temperature, <span style="white-space:nowrap;">Δ</span>T<sub>Avg</sub>, in accordance with this principle, <span style="white-space:normal;"><span style="white-space:nowrap;">Δ</span>T</span><span style="white-space:normal;"><sub>Avg</sub>=0.4<span style="white-space:normal;"><span style="white-space:nowrap;">Δ</span>TPW </span></span>the average accuracy of which is ±0.14%, when compared to the variable annual, 1880-2019, temperature record;3) Changes in the concentration of water vapor and changes in water vapor heating are not a feedback response to changes in the concentration of CO<sub>2</sub>;4) Rather, increases in water vapor heating and increases in the concentration of water vapor drive each other in an autonomous positive feedback loop;5) This feedback loop can be brought to a halt if the average global rate of precipitation can be brought into balance with the average global rate of evaporation and maintained there;and, 6) The recent increases in average global temperature can be reversed, if average global precipitation can be increased sufficiently to slightly exceed the average rate of evaporation.展开更多
The data were collected during Chinese Arctic and Antarctic Expeditions in the western Arctic Ocean and themarginal sea ice zone (MSIZ) of the Southern Ocean, respectively in the boreal summer from July to September o...The data were collected during Chinese Arctic and Antarctic Expeditions in the western Arctic Ocean and themarginal sea ice zone (MSIZ) of the Southern Ocean, respectively in the boreal summer from July to September of1999 and in the austral summer from December of 1999 to January of 2000. The concentrations of CO2 in surfacewater of the survey regions would mostly present lower than those in the atmosphere. A significant biologicaldriving force could also been observed in summer waters in both of the above oceans. Air to sea CO2 fluxes were alsocalculated to compare oceanic uptake capacity of CO2 in both oceans with the world oceans using Liss, Wanninkhof,and Jacobss methods. The averaged CO2 fluxes of air to sea in the western Arctic Ocean or in the MSIZ of theSouthern Ocean doubled that in the world oceans.展开更多
采用T-FACE(Temperature-free air carbon dioxide enrichment)试验平台,设置田间常规温度和CO_(2)浓度(CK)、田间常规温度和增加CO_(2)浓度至575μmol·L^(-1)(C)、升高温度(高于大气温度2℃)和田间常规CO_(2)浓度(T)以及升高温度...采用T-FACE(Temperature-free air carbon dioxide enrichment)试验平台,设置田间常规温度和CO_(2)浓度(CK)、田间常规温度和增加CO_(2)浓度至575μmol·L^(-1)(C)、升高温度(高于大气温度2℃)和田间常规CO_(2)浓度(T)以及升高温度(高于大气温度2℃)和增加CO_(2)浓度至575μmol·L^(-1)(CT)共4个处理,对田间冬小麦进行控制实验。在小麦播种期、越冬期、分蘖期和成熟期分别采集不同层次的土壤样品(耕作层0-14cm、犁底层14-33cm、潴育层33-59cm和潜育层59-80cm),分析大气CO_(2)浓度增加和温度升高后农田土壤N、P含量及其有效性的动态变化,以揭示气候变化对农田土壤中养分含量的时空影响。结果表明:(1)冬小麦在越冬期CO_(2)浓度增加的情况下,常规或升高温度可使潴育层土壤中硝态氮含量出现下降趋势,在越冬期除T处理外,CK、C和CT处理的硝态氮含量在播种期低于耕作层。在越冬期的各处理中,硝态氮含量以CK处理增加最为明显。(2)在增加CO_(2)浓度和升高温度的情况下,耕作层土壤中铵态氮含量在越冬期和分蘖期显著低于田间正常的CO_(2)浓度和温度处理,且在不同土壤层次中未表现出明显的上升或下降的现象;铵态氮含量在小麦整个生长期相对稳定,但CT、C和T三种不同处理条件下,小麦成熟期铵态氮含量明显增加,且温度升高处理下的增加趋势显著(P<0.05);在小麦整个生育期内,C处理下铵态氮表现出先上升后下降的趋势,而CK、CT和T处理则表现出上升—下降—上升的趋势。(3)小麦全生育期内CK处理的速效磷含量明显高于其它处理,且在播种期、越冬期和分蘖期,CK处理与CT和T处理速效磷含量差异显著(P<0.05)。未来气候变化引起的CO_(2)浓度增加和温度升高情况下,应合理施用N、P肥,减少不必要的养分流失。展开更多
Investigation of the climate change effects on drought is required to develop management strategies for minimizing adverse social and economic impacts.Therefore,studying the future meteorological drought conditions at...Investigation of the climate change effects on drought is required to develop management strategies for minimizing adverse social and economic impacts.Therefore,studying the future meteorological drought conditions at a local scale is vital.In this study,we assessed the efficiency of seven downscaled Global Climate Models(GCMs)provided by the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections(NEX-GDDP),and investigated the impacts of climate change on future meteorological drought using Standard Precipitation Index(SPI)in the Karoun River Basin(KRB)of southwestern Iran under two Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP)emission scenarios,i.e.,RCP4.5 and RCP8.5.The results demonstrated that SPI estimated based on the Meteorological Research Institute Coupled Global Climate Model version 3(MRI-CGCM3)is consistent with the one estimated by synoptic stations during the historical period(1990-2005).The root mean square error(RMSE)value is less than 0.75 in 77%of the synoptic stations.GCMs have high uncertainty in most synoptic stations except those located in the plain.Using the average of a few GCMs to improve performance and reduce uncertainty is suggested by the results.The results revealed that with the areas affected by wetness decreasing in the KRB,drought frequency in the North KRB is likely to increase at the end of the 21st century under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios.At the seasonal scale,the decreasing trend for SPI in spring,summer,and winter shows a drought tendency in this region.The climate-induced drought hazard can have vast consequences,especially in agriculture and rural livelihoods.Accordingly,an increasing trend in drought during the growing seasons under RCP scenarios is vital for water managers and farmers to adopt strategies to reduce the damages.The results of this study are of great value for formulating sustainable water resources management plans affected by climate change.展开更多
It is predicted that the current atmospheric CO2 concentration will be doubled and global mean temperature will increase by 1.5-6&#176;C by the end of this century. Although a number of studies have addressed the sep...It is predicted that the current atmospheric CO2 concentration will be doubled and global mean temperature will increase by 1.5-6&#176;C by the end of this century. Although a number of studies have addressed the separate effects of CO2 and temperature on plant-insect interactions, few have concerned with their combined impacts. In the current study, a factorial experiment was carried out to examine the effect of a doubling CO2 concentration and a 3℃ temperature increase on a complete generation of the brown planthopper (Nilaparvata lugens) on rice (Oryza sativa). Both elevated CO2 and temperature increased rice stem height and biomass of stem parts. Leaf chlorophyll content increased under elevated CO2, but only in ambient temperature treatment. Water content of stem parts was reduced under elevated temperature, but only when coupled with elevated CO2. Elevated CO2 alone increased biomass of root and elevated temperature alone enhanced leaf area and reduced ratio of root to stem parts. Brown planthopper (BPH) nymphal development was accelerated, and weight of and honeydew excretion by the F1 adults was reduced under elevated temperature only. Longevity of brachypterous females was affected by a signiifcant interaction between CO2 and temperature. At elevated temperature, CO2 had no effect on female longevity, but at ambient temperature, the females lived shorter under elevated CO2. Female fecundity was higher at elevated than at ambient temperature and higher at elevated CO2 than at ambient CO2. These results indicate that the combined effects of elevated temperature and CO2 may enhance the brown planthopper population size.展开更多
Studies on the relationship between plant nitrogen content and soil nitrogen reduction under elevated CO2 conditions and with different nitrogen additions in wetland ecosystems are lacking. This study was meant to ass...Studies on the relationship between plant nitrogen content and soil nitrogen reduction under elevated CO2 conditions and with different nitrogen additions in wetland ecosystems are lacking. This study was meant to assess the effects of elevated CO2 concentrations and inorganic nitrogen additions on soil and plant nitrogen cycling. A cultured riparian wetland, alligator weeds, and two duplicated open top chambers (OTCs) with ambient (380μmol/mol) and elevated (700 μmol/mol) CO2 concentrations at low (4 mg/L) and high (6 mg/L) nitrogen fertilization levels were used. The total plant biomass increased by 30.77% and 31.37% at low and high nitrogen fertilization levels, respectively, under elevated CO2 conditions. Plant nitrogen content decreased by 6.54% and 8.86% at low and high nitrogen fertilization levels, respectively. The coefficient of determination (R2) of soil nitrogen contents ranged from 0.81 to 0.96. Under elevated CO2 conditions, plants utilized the assimilated inorganic nitrogen (from the soil) for growth and other internal physiological transformations, which might explain the reduction in plant nitrogen content. A reduction in soil dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) under elevated CO2 conditions might have also caused the reduction in plant nitrogen content. Reduced plant and soil nitrogen contents are to be expected due to the potential exhaustive use of inorganic nitrogen by soil microorganisms even before it can be made available to the soil and plants. The results from this study provide important information to help policy makers make informed decisions on sustainable management of wetlands. Larger-scale field work is recommended in future research.展开更多
Global change and desertification are the serious environmental problems in the world today and exert great impacts on human existence and social development. Therefore, the United Nations has set up quite a number of...Global change and desertification are the serious environmental problems in the world today and exert great impacts on human existence and social development. Therefore, the United Nations has set up quite a number of relevant organizations to encourage millions upon millions of people to combat this harmful problem. At the same time, since the 1992 UN Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED) in Rio de Janeiro, the UN Convention to Combat Desertification has been signed and this signment of the Convention will powerfully promote the concrete action programs to combat desertification of each affected country and enlarge the exchange and cooperation among the affected countries. According to recent information of UN Organizations, more than 100 countries and their one-fifth world of population are facing the problem of desertification processes and desertification impacts, and are suffering from expansion of desertification. The total areas of arid, semi-arid and dry sub-humid zones cover approximately about 6.5 billion ha, occupying 41 percent of the total land area of the earth. There are 3.6 billion ha of arable land and grazing land under the impact of desertification in the world. From 1984 to 1991, the annual increase of land desertification is 3.4 percent. The harmful results of desertification on human existence in terms of environment, societies and economy are serious and called for great attention from the UN Systems. It is concluded that desertification is the most serious environmental problem in the world and its resulting impact is socially and economically surprising.展开更多
Climate change is one of the most important challenges of the 21st Century. As greenhouse gas concentration of the atmosphere has reached the 400ppm threshold of a 2°C global warming on 9 May 2013 and irreversibl...Climate change is one of the most important challenges of the 21st Century. As greenhouse gas concentration of the atmosphere has reached the 400ppm threshold of a 2°C global warming on 9 May 2013 and irreversible tipping points of the climatic system at some point of time have got even more likely, the question of the individual contribution to climate change becomes more and more virulent. For a long time, the absorption capacity of the environment has been regarded as limitless, and based on this perception, the economic entities used the environment for hundreds of years without constraints. Today, with progress of scientific knowledge, we are now aware of the possible negative impacts of climate change to environmental, economic and social systems on Earth. This awareness, however, did not lead to a significant change of individual behavior, because the perceived individual contribution to both the anthropogenic cause of climate change and its mitigation is still regarded as marginal. To encounter this misperception or “diffusion of environmental responsibility”, this article presents an alternative calculation of the individual contribution to climate change taking the incremental approach to a tipping point or a 2°C global warming threshold into account.展开更多
The TEEOF method that expands temporally is used to conduct a diagnostic study of the variation patterns of 1, 3, 6 and 10 years with regard to mean air temperature over the globe and Southern and Northern Hemispheres...The TEEOF method that expands temporally is used to conduct a diagnostic study of the variation patterns of 1, 3, 6 and 10 years with regard to mean air temperature over the globe and Southern and Northern Hemispheres over the course of 100 years. The results show that the first mode of TEEOF takes up more than 50% in the total variance, with each of the first mode in the interannual oscillations generally standing for annually varying patterns which are related with climate and reflecting long-term tendency of change in air temperature. It is particularly true for the first mode on the 10-year scale, which shows an obvious ascending trend concerning the temperature in winter and consistently the primary component of time goes in a way that is very close to the sequence of actual temperature. Apart from the first mode of all time sections of TEEOF for the globe and the two hemispheres and the second mode of the 1-year TEEOF, interannual variation described by other characteristic vectors are showing various patterns, with corresponding primary components having relation with long-term variability of specific interannual quasi-periodic oscillation structures. A 2T test applied to the annual variation pattern shows that the abrupt changes for the Southern Hemisphere and the globe come closer to the result of a uni-element t test for mean temperature than those for the Northern Hemisphere do. It indicates that the 2Ttest, when carried out with patterns of multiple variables, seems more reasonable than the t test with single elements.展开更多
The responses of photosynthesis and growth of forest trees to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration [CO2] are modified by ecosystem conditions. With the exception of a few, the vast majority of empirical stu...The responses of photosynthesis and growth of forest trees to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration [CO2] are modified by ecosystem conditions. With the exception of a few, the vast majority of empirical studies on the impact of future high CO2 levels on forest trees have focused on [CO2] alone or in combination with an environmental factor. This paper uses the case of CO2 × nutrient and CO2 × nutrient-related interactions to evaluate the relative value of single or multiple ecosystem factors in determining the responses of photosynthesis and growth to elevated [CO2]. A comprehensive literature search was conducted with Google Scholar. The findings show a consensus among studies that CO2 and nutrient availability have synergistic effects on photosynthesis and growth. However, combinations of nutrient availability with temperature or moisture modify the CO2 effect in ways different from nutrient availability alone. To increase the predictive power of empirical studies, it is recommended that conclusions on the responses of forest trees to elevated atmospheric [CO2] be based on interactions with multiple, rather than single, ecosystem conditions.展开更多
A coupled nonlinear Schrodinger equations is considered in 2-D space. Based upon the conservation of mass and energy, local identities is established by the study of the limit behavior of the solutions, and L^2-concen...A coupled nonlinear Schrodinger equations is considered in 2-D space. Based upon the conservation of mass and energy, local identities is established by the study of the limit behavior of the solutions, and L^2-concentration for the blow-up solutions with radially symmetry is obtained.展开更多
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant Nos. 2010CB955703 and 2011CB403405)the Public Meteorology Special Foundation of MOST (Grant No. GYHY200906020)
文摘New estimations of radiative forcing due to CO2 were calculated using updated concentration data of CO2 and a high-resolution radiative transfer model. The stratospheric adjusted radiative forcing (ARF) due to CO2 from the year 1750 to the updated year of 2010 was found to have increased to 1.95 W m-2, which was 17% larger than that of the IPCC's 4th Assessment Report because of the rapid increase in CO2 concentrations since 2005. A new formula is proposed to accurately describe the relationship between the ARF of CO2 and its concentration. Furthermore, according to the relationship between the ARF and surface temperature change, possible changes in equilibrium surface temperature were estimated under the scenarios that the concentration of CO2 increases to 1.5, 2, 2.5, 3, 3.5 and 4 times that of the concentration in the year 2008. The result was values of +2.2℃, +3.8℃, +5.1℃, +6.2℃, +7.1℃ and +8.0℃ respectively, based on a middle-level climate sensitivity parameter of 0.8 K (W m 3)-1. Non-equilibrium surface temperature changes over the next 500 years were also calculated under two kinds of emission scenarios (pulsed and sustained emissions) as a comparison, according to the Absolute Global Temperature change Potential (AGTP) of CO2. Results showed that CO2 will likely continue to contribute to global warming if no emission controls are imposed, and the effect on the Earth-atmosphere system will be difficult to restore to its original level.
文摘<p> A. <span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Changes </span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">in</span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> average global temperature are not driven by changes in the concentration of carbon dioxide;</span></span></span></span> </p> <p> <span style="font-family:Verdana;">B. </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Instead, autonomous changes in the concentration of water vapor, </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Δ</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">TPW, </span><span color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">drive changes in water vapor heating, thus, </span><span style="background:#C00000;font-family:Verdana;">changes in</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> the average global temperature, </span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Δ</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><i>T</i></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><sub>Avg</sub></span><span color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">, </span><span style="background:#C00000;font-family:Verdana;">in deg. Celsius are calculated</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> in accordance with this principle,</span></span> </p> <p style="text-align:center;margin-left:10pt;"> <span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;"></span><img src="Edit_6e770969-a7c9-4192-a6ad-03de906a4d65.bmp" alt="" /><br /> </span></span></span> </p> <p align="center" style="margin-left:10.0pt;text-align:center;"> <span><span><span style="font-family:;" "=""><span></span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""></span></span></span></span> </p> <p> <span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;background:#c00000;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">measured in kg<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"="">·</span></span>m</span><sup><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#ffffff;"="">-</span>2</span></sup><span style="font-family:Verdana;">,</span></span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""> </span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">the average accuracy of which is ±0.14%, when compared to the variable annual, 1880 </span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:" color:black;"=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> 2019, </span><span style="background:#C00000;font-family:Verdana;">average global </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">temperature record;</span></span></span></span> </p>
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation(41161074)
文摘[ Objective] The study aimed to discuss the effects of the adjustment of energy structure on daily average concentration of NO2 in different regions of Urumqi city in winter. [ Method] The changes of daily average concentration of NO2 in different areas of Urumqi City from January to February ( NO2 pollution was most serious) before and after the implementation of the project "changing coal to gas" were analyzed. [ Result] After the implementation of the project, daily average concentration of NO2 in different areas of Urumqi City was increased due to the rapid increase of ve- hicle quantity, but there were certain differences in the increase among various regions. From south to north, daily average concentration of NO2 in winter was decreased gradually, that is, daily average concentration of NO2 was the highest in the south area, while in the north area, it didn't change significantly before and after the implementation of the project, but it was still high. Therefore, the local government should pay more attention to pollution NO2 during environmental management process. [ Conclusion] The research could provide scientific references for the control of atmospheric pollution in future.
文摘When compared to the average annual global temperature record from 1880, no published climate model posited on the assumption that the increasing concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide is the driver of climate change can accurately replicate the significant variability in the annual temperature record. Therefore, new principles of atmospheric physics are developed for determining changes in the average annual global temperature based on changes in the average atmospheric concentration of water vapor. These new principles prove that: 1) Changes in average global temperature are not driven by changes in the concentration of carbon dioxide;2) Instead, autonomous changes in the concentration of water vapor, <span style="white-space:nowrap;">Δ</span>TPW, drive changes in water vapor heating, thus, the average global temperature, <span style="white-space:nowrap;">Δ</span>T<sub>Avg</sub>, in accordance with this principle, <span style="white-space:normal;"><span style="white-space:nowrap;">Δ</span>T</span><span style="white-space:normal;"><sub>Avg</sub>=0.4<span style="white-space:normal;"><span style="white-space:nowrap;">Δ</span>TPW </span></span>the average accuracy of which is ±0.14%, when compared to the variable annual, 1880-2019, temperature record;3) Changes in the concentration of water vapor and changes in water vapor heating are not a feedback response to changes in the concentration of CO<sub>2</sub>;4) Rather, increases in water vapor heating and increases in the concentration of water vapor drive each other in an autonomous positive feedback loop;5) This feedback loop can be brought to a halt if the average global rate of precipitation can be brought into balance with the average global rate of evaporation and maintained there;and, 6) The recent increases in average global temperature can be reversed, if average global precipitation can be increased sufficiently to slightly exceed the average rate of evaporation.
基金These projects were supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract Nos 49836001,49836010 and 40406014Youth Science Foundation of SOA under contract No.2004606by the Ministry of Science and Technology of China under contract Nos 2001DIA50040 and 200301B 4JB5.
文摘The data were collected during Chinese Arctic and Antarctic Expeditions in the western Arctic Ocean and themarginal sea ice zone (MSIZ) of the Southern Ocean, respectively in the boreal summer from July to September of1999 and in the austral summer from December of 1999 to January of 2000. The concentrations of CO2 in surfacewater of the survey regions would mostly present lower than those in the atmosphere. A significant biologicaldriving force could also been observed in summer waters in both of the above oceans. Air to sea CO2 fluxes were alsocalculated to compare oceanic uptake capacity of CO2 in both oceans with the world oceans using Liss, Wanninkhof,and Jacobss methods. The averaged CO2 fluxes of air to sea in the western Arctic Ocean or in the MSIZ of theSouthern Ocean doubled that in the world oceans.
文摘采用T-FACE(Temperature-free air carbon dioxide enrichment)试验平台,设置田间常规温度和CO_(2)浓度(CK)、田间常规温度和增加CO_(2)浓度至575μmol·L^(-1)(C)、升高温度(高于大气温度2℃)和田间常规CO_(2)浓度(T)以及升高温度(高于大气温度2℃)和增加CO_(2)浓度至575μmol·L^(-1)(CT)共4个处理,对田间冬小麦进行控制实验。在小麦播种期、越冬期、分蘖期和成熟期分别采集不同层次的土壤样品(耕作层0-14cm、犁底层14-33cm、潴育层33-59cm和潜育层59-80cm),分析大气CO_(2)浓度增加和温度升高后农田土壤N、P含量及其有效性的动态变化,以揭示气候变化对农田土壤中养分含量的时空影响。结果表明:(1)冬小麦在越冬期CO_(2)浓度增加的情况下,常规或升高温度可使潴育层土壤中硝态氮含量出现下降趋势,在越冬期除T处理外,CK、C和CT处理的硝态氮含量在播种期低于耕作层。在越冬期的各处理中,硝态氮含量以CK处理增加最为明显。(2)在增加CO_(2)浓度和升高温度的情况下,耕作层土壤中铵态氮含量在越冬期和分蘖期显著低于田间正常的CO_(2)浓度和温度处理,且在不同土壤层次中未表现出明显的上升或下降的现象;铵态氮含量在小麦整个生长期相对稳定,但CT、C和T三种不同处理条件下,小麦成熟期铵态氮含量明显增加,且温度升高处理下的增加趋势显著(P<0.05);在小麦整个生育期内,C处理下铵态氮表现出先上升后下降的趋势,而CK、CT和T处理则表现出上升—下降—上升的趋势。(3)小麦全生育期内CK处理的速效磷含量明显高于其它处理,且在播种期、越冬期和分蘖期,CK处理与CT和T处理速效磷含量差异显著(P<0.05)。未来气候变化引起的CO_(2)浓度增加和温度升高情况下,应合理施用N、P肥,减少不必要的养分流失。
文摘Investigation of the climate change effects on drought is required to develop management strategies for minimizing adverse social and economic impacts.Therefore,studying the future meteorological drought conditions at a local scale is vital.In this study,we assessed the efficiency of seven downscaled Global Climate Models(GCMs)provided by the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections(NEX-GDDP),and investigated the impacts of climate change on future meteorological drought using Standard Precipitation Index(SPI)in the Karoun River Basin(KRB)of southwestern Iran under two Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP)emission scenarios,i.e.,RCP4.5 and RCP8.5.The results demonstrated that SPI estimated based on the Meteorological Research Institute Coupled Global Climate Model version 3(MRI-CGCM3)is consistent with the one estimated by synoptic stations during the historical period(1990-2005).The root mean square error(RMSE)value is less than 0.75 in 77%of the synoptic stations.GCMs have high uncertainty in most synoptic stations except those located in the plain.Using the average of a few GCMs to improve performance and reduce uncertainty is suggested by the results.The results revealed that with the areas affected by wetness decreasing in the KRB,drought frequency in the North KRB is likely to increase at the end of the 21st century under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios.At the seasonal scale,the decreasing trend for SPI in spring,summer,and winter shows a drought tendency in this region.The climate-induced drought hazard can have vast consequences,especially in agriculture and rural livelihoods.Accordingly,an increasing trend in drought during the growing seasons under RCP scenarios is vital for water managers and farmers to adopt strategies to reduce the damages.The results of this study are of great value for formulating sustainable water resources management plans affected by climate change.
基金funded by the National Basic Research Program of China(2010CB951503)
文摘It is predicted that the current atmospheric CO2 concentration will be doubled and global mean temperature will increase by 1.5-6&#176;C by the end of this century. Although a number of studies have addressed the separate effects of CO2 and temperature on plant-insect interactions, few have concerned with their combined impacts. In the current study, a factorial experiment was carried out to examine the effect of a doubling CO2 concentration and a 3℃ temperature increase on a complete generation of the brown planthopper (Nilaparvata lugens) on rice (Oryza sativa). Both elevated CO2 and temperature increased rice stem height and biomass of stem parts. Leaf chlorophyll content increased under elevated CO2, but only in ambient temperature treatment. Water content of stem parts was reduced under elevated temperature, but only when coupled with elevated CO2. Elevated CO2 alone increased biomass of root and elevated temperature alone enhanced leaf area and reduced ratio of root to stem parts. Brown planthopper (BPH) nymphal development was accelerated, and weight of and honeydew excretion by the F1 adults was reduced under elevated temperature only. Longevity of brachypterous females was affected by a signiifcant interaction between CO2 and temperature. At elevated temperature, CO2 had no effect on female longevity, but at ambient temperature, the females lived shorter under elevated CO2. Female fecundity was higher at elevated than at ambient temperature and higher at elevated CO2 than at ambient CO2. These results indicate that the combined effects of elevated temperature and CO2 may enhance the brown planthopper population size.
基金supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Grant No.2009B17714)the National Program on Key Basic Research Projects of China(Grant No.2012CB719800)
文摘Studies on the relationship between plant nitrogen content and soil nitrogen reduction under elevated CO2 conditions and with different nitrogen additions in wetland ecosystems are lacking. This study was meant to assess the effects of elevated CO2 concentrations and inorganic nitrogen additions on soil and plant nitrogen cycling. A cultured riparian wetland, alligator weeds, and two duplicated open top chambers (OTCs) with ambient (380μmol/mol) and elevated (700 μmol/mol) CO2 concentrations at low (4 mg/L) and high (6 mg/L) nitrogen fertilization levels were used. The total plant biomass increased by 30.77% and 31.37% at low and high nitrogen fertilization levels, respectively, under elevated CO2 conditions. Plant nitrogen content decreased by 6.54% and 8.86% at low and high nitrogen fertilization levels, respectively. The coefficient of determination (R2) of soil nitrogen contents ranged from 0.81 to 0.96. Under elevated CO2 conditions, plants utilized the assimilated inorganic nitrogen (from the soil) for growth and other internal physiological transformations, which might explain the reduction in plant nitrogen content. A reduction in soil dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) under elevated CO2 conditions might have also caused the reduction in plant nitrogen content. Reduced plant and soil nitrogen contents are to be expected due to the potential exhaustive use of inorganic nitrogen by soil microorganisms even before it can be made available to the soil and plants. The results from this study provide important information to help policy makers make informed decisions on sustainable management of wetlands. Larger-scale field work is recommended in future research.
文摘Global change and desertification are the serious environmental problems in the world today and exert great impacts on human existence and social development. Therefore, the United Nations has set up quite a number of relevant organizations to encourage millions upon millions of people to combat this harmful problem. At the same time, since the 1992 UN Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED) in Rio de Janeiro, the UN Convention to Combat Desertification has been signed and this signment of the Convention will powerfully promote the concrete action programs to combat desertification of each affected country and enlarge the exchange and cooperation among the affected countries. According to recent information of UN Organizations, more than 100 countries and their one-fifth world of population are facing the problem of desertification processes and desertification impacts, and are suffering from expansion of desertification. The total areas of arid, semi-arid and dry sub-humid zones cover approximately about 6.5 billion ha, occupying 41 percent of the total land area of the earth. There are 3.6 billion ha of arable land and grazing land under the impact of desertification in the world. From 1984 to 1991, the annual increase of land desertification is 3.4 percent. The harmful results of desertification on human existence in terms of environment, societies and economy are serious and called for great attention from the UN Systems. It is concluded that desertification is the most serious environmental problem in the world and its resulting impact is socially and economically surprising.
文摘Climate change is one of the most important challenges of the 21st Century. As greenhouse gas concentration of the atmosphere has reached the 400ppm threshold of a 2°C global warming on 9 May 2013 and irreversible tipping points of the climatic system at some point of time have got even more likely, the question of the individual contribution to climate change becomes more and more virulent. For a long time, the absorption capacity of the environment has been regarded as limitless, and based on this perception, the economic entities used the environment for hundreds of years without constraints. Today, with progress of scientific knowledge, we are now aware of the possible negative impacts of climate change to environmental, economic and social systems on Earth. This awareness, however, did not lead to a significant change of individual behavior, because the perceived individual contribution to both the anthropogenic cause of climate change and its mitigation is still regarded as marginal. To encounter this misperception or “diffusion of environmental responsibility”, this article presents an alternative calculation of the individual contribution to climate change taking the incremental approach to a tipping point or a 2°C global warming threshold into account.
文摘The TEEOF method that expands temporally is used to conduct a diagnostic study of the variation patterns of 1, 3, 6 and 10 years with regard to mean air temperature over the globe and Southern and Northern Hemispheres over the course of 100 years. The results show that the first mode of TEEOF takes up more than 50% in the total variance, with each of the first mode in the interannual oscillations generally standing for annually varying patterns which are related with climate and reflecting long-term tendency of change in air temperature. It is particularly true for the first mode on the 10-year scale, which shows an obvious ascending trend concerning the temperature in winter and consistently the primary component of time goes in a way that is very close to the sequence of actual temperature. Apart from the first mode of all time sections of TEEOF for the globe and the two hemispheres and the second mode of the 1-year TEEOF, interannual variation described by other characteristic vectors are showing various patterns, with corresponding primary components having relation with long-term variability of specific interannual quasi-periodic oscillation structures. A 2T test applied to the annual variation pattern shows that the abrupt changes for the Southern Hemisphere and the globe come closer to the result of a uni-element t test for mean temperature than those for the Northern Hemisphere do. It indicates that the 2Ttest, when carried out with patterns of multiple variables, seems more reasonable than the t test with single elements.
文摘The responses of photosynthesis and growth of forest trees to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration [CO2] are modified by ecosystem conditions. With the exception of a few, the vast majority of empirical studies on the impact of future high CO2 levels on forest trees have focused on [CO2] alone or in combination with an environmental factor. This paper uses the case of CO2 × nutrient and CO2 × nutrient-related interactions to evaluate the relative value of single or multiple ecosystem factors in determining the responses of photosynthesis and growth to elevated [CO2]. A comprehensive literature search was conducted with Google Scholar. The findings show a consensus among studies that CO2 and nutrient availability have synergistic effects on photosynthesis and growth. However, combinations of nutrient availability with temperature or moisture modify the CO2 effect in ways different from nutrient availability alone. To increase the predictive power of empirical studies, it is recommended that conclusions on the responses of forest trees to elevated atmospheric [CO2] be based on interactions with multiple, rather than single, ecosystem conditions.
文摘A coupled nonlinear Schrodinger equations is considered in 2-D space. Based upon the conservation of mass and energy, local identities is established by the study of the limit behavior of the solutions, and L^2-concentration for the blow-up solutions with radially symmetry is obtained.