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基于Partial New Causality的因果脑网络情绪识别
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作者 王斌 王忠民 张荣 《计算机应用与软件》 北大核心 2024年第2期158-163,共6页
为了研究情绪产生过程中脑区以及通道之间的因果作用,在部分格兰杰与新型因果关系的基础上,提出一种用于研究时间序列之间因果关系的部分新型因果关系(PNC)方法。在不同情绪下选取脑区内的8个通道,用PNC计算脑区内通道之间的因果连接关... 为了研究情绪产生过程中脑区以及通道之间的因果作用,在部分格兰杰与新型因果关系的基础上,提出一种用于研究时间序列之间因果关系的部分新型因果关系(PNC)方法。在不同情绪下选取脑区内的8个通道,用PNC计算脑区内通道之间的因果连接关系,根据连接关系构建因果网络;对因果网络中节点的信息流向和介数属性进行分析,将PNC因果网络和Granger因果网络节点之间的因果连接视为一种特征送入SVM中训练分类。实验结果表明,基于PNC因果网络和Granger因果网络的平均识别精度分别为76.4%和68.5%,PNC可用于计算时间序列之间的因果关系。 展开更多
关键词 部分新型因果关系 脑电 因果脑网络 脑区 网络属性分析 情绪识别
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TCAS-PINN:Physics-informed neural networks with a novel temporal causality-based adaptive sampling method
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作者 郭嘉 王海峰 +1 位作者 古仕林 侯臣平 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第5期344-364,共21页
Physics-informed neural networks(PINNs)have become an attractive machine learning framework for obtaining solutions to partial differential equations(PDEs).PINNs embed initial,boundary,and PDE constraints into the los... Physics-informed neural networks(PINNs)have become an attractive machine learning framework for obtaining solutions to partial differential equations(PDEs).PINNs embed initial,boundary,and PDE constraints into the loss function.The performance of PINNs is generally affected by both training and sampling.Specifically,training methods focus on how to overcome the training difficulties caused by the special PDE residual loss of PINNs,and sampling methods are concerned with the location and distribution of the sampling points upon which evaluations of PDE residual loss are accomplished.However,a common problem among these original PINNs is that they omit special temporal information utilization during the training or sampling stages when dealing with an important PDE category,namely,time-dependent PDEs,where temporal information plays a key role in the algorithms used.There is one method,called Causal PINN,that considers temporal causality at the training level but not special temporal utilization at the sampling level.Incorporating temporal knowledge into sampling remains to be studied.To fill this gap,we propose a novel temporal causality-based adaptive sampling method that dynamically determines the sampling ratio according to both PDE residual and temporal causality.By designing a sampling ratio determined by both residual loss and temporal causality to control the number and location of sampled points in each temporal sub-domain,we provide a practical solution by incorporating temporal information into sampling.Numerical experiments of several nonlinear time-dependent PDEs,including the Cahn–Hilliard,Korteweg–de Vries,Allen–Cahn and wave equations,show that our proposed sampling method can improve the performance.We demonstrate that using such a relatively simple sampling method can improve prediction performance by up to two orders of magnitude compared with the results from other methods,especially when points are limited. 展开更多
关键词 partial differential equation physics-informed neural networks residual-based adaptive sampling temporal causality
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Exploring the asymmetric effect of COVID‑19 pandemic news on the cryptocurrency market:evidence from nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag approach and frequency domain causality
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作者 Ştefan Cristian Gherghina Liliana Nicoleta Simionescu 《Financial Innovation》 2023年第1期692-749,共58页
This paper explores the asymmetric effect of COVID-19 pandemic news,as measured by the coronavirus indices(Panic,Hype,Fake News,Sentiment,Infodemic,and Media Coverage),on the cryptocurrency market.Using daily data fro... This paper explores the asymmetric effect of COVID-19 pandemic news,as measured by the coronavirus indices(Panic,Hype,Fake News,Sentiment,Infodemic,and Media Coverage),on the cryptocurrency market.Using daily data from January 2020 to September 2021 and the exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heter-oskedasticity model,the results revealed that both adverse and optimistic news had the same effect on Bitcoin returns,indicating fear of missing out behavior does not prevail.Furthermore,when the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model is esti-mated,both positive and negative shocks in pandemic indices promote Bitcoin’s daily changes;thus,Bitcoin is resistant to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic crisis and may serve as a hedge during market turmoil.The analysis of frequency domain causality supports a unidirectional causality running from the Coronavirus Fake News Index and Sentiment Index to Bitcoin returns,whereas daily fluctuations in the Bitcoin price Granger affect the Coronavirus Panic Index and the Hype Index.These findings may have significant policy implications for investors and governments because they highlight the impor-tance of news during turbulent times.The empirical results indicate that pandemic news could significantly influence Bitcoin’s price. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 Bitcoin NARDL EGARCH Frequency domain causality
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Immune cell signatures and causal association with irritable bowel syndrome:A mendelian randomization study 被引量:1
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作者 Wei-Hao Chai Yan Ma +3 位作者 Jia-Jia Li Fei Guo Yi-Zhan Wu Jiang-Wei Liu 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 SCIE 2024年第17期3094-3104,共11页
BACKGROUND The mucosal barrier's immune-brain interactions,pivotal for neural development and function,are increasingly recognized for their potential causal and therapeutic relevance to irritable bowel syndrome(I... BACKGROUND The mucosal barrier's immune-brain interactions,pivotal for neural development and function,are increasingly recognized for their potential causal and therapeutic relevance to irritable bowel syndrome(IBS).Prior studies linking immune inflammation with IBS have been inconsistent.To further elucidate this relationship,we conducted a Mendelian randomization(MR)analysis of 731 immune cell markers to dissect the influence of various immune phenotypes on IBS.Our goal was to deepen our understanding of the disrupted brain-gut axis in IBS and to identify novel therapeutic targets.AIM To leverage publicly available data to perform MR analysis on 731 immune cell markers and explore their impact on IBS.We aimed to uncover immunophenotypic associations with IBS that could inform future drug development and therapeutic strategies.METHODS We performed a comprehensive two-sample MR analysis to evaluate the causal relationship between immune cell markers and IBS.By utilizing genetic data from public databases,we examined the causal associations between 731 immune cell markers,encompassing median fluorescence intensity,relative cell abundance,absolute cell count,and morphological parameters,with IBS susceptibility.Sensitivity analyses were conducted to validate our findings and address potential heterogeneity and pleiotropy.RESULTS Bidirectional false discovery rate correction indicated no significant influence of IBS on immunophenotypes.However,our analysis revealed a causal impact of IBS on 30 out of 731 immune phenotypes(P<0.05).Nine immune phenotypes demonstrated a protective effect against IBS[inverse variance weighting(IVW)<0.05,odd ratio(OR)<1],while 21 others were associated with an increased risk of IBS onset(IVW≥0.05,OR≥1).CONCLUSION Our findings underscore a substantial genetic correlation between immune cell phenotypes and IBS,providing valuable insights into the pathophysiology of the condition.These results pave the way for the development of more precise biomarkers and targeted therapies for IBS.Furthermore,this research enriches our comprehension of immune cell roles in IBS pathogenesis,offering a foundation for more effective,personalized treatment approaches.These advancements hold promise for improving IBS patient quality of life and reducing the disease burden on individuals and their families. 展开更多
关键词 Irritable bowel syndrome Immunophenotypes causality Brain-gut axis Mendelian randomization Sensitivity analysis
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Causal role of immune cells in obstructive sleep apnea hypopnea syndrome:Mendelian randomization study 被引量:1
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作者 Huang-Hong Zhao Zhen Ma Dong-Sheng Guan 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 SCIE 2024年第7期1227-1234,共8页
BACKGROUND Despite being one of the most prevalent sleep disorders,obstructive sleep apnea hypoventilation syndrome(OSAHS)has limited information on its immunologic foundation.The immunological underpinnings of certai... BACKGROUND Despite being one of the most prevalent sleep disorders,obstructive sleep apnea hypoventilation syndrome(OSAHS)has limited information on its immunologic foundation.The immunological underpinnings of certain major psychiatric diseases have been uncovered in recent years thanks to the extensive use of genome-wide association studies(GWAS)and genotyping techniques using highdensity genetic markers(e.g.,SNP or CNVs).But this tactic hasn't yet been applied to OSAHS.Using a Mendelian randomization analysis,we analyzed the causal link between immune cells and the illness in order to comprehend the immunological bases of OSAHS.AIM To investigate the immune cells'association with OSAHS via genetic methods,guiding future clinical research.METHODS A comprehensive two-sample mendelian randomization study was conducted to investigate the causal relationship between immune cell characteristics and OSAHS.Summary statistics for each immune cell feature were obtained from the GWAS catalog.Information on 731 immune cell properties,such as morphologic parameters,median fluorescence intensity,absolute cellular,and relative cellular,was compiled using publicly available genetic databases.The results'robustness,heterogeneity,and horizontal pleiotropy were confirmed using extensive sensitivity examination.RESULTS Following false discovery rate(FDR)correction,no statistically significant effect of OSAHS on immunophenotypes was observed.However,two lymphocyte subsets were found to have a significant association with the risk of OSAHS:Basophil%CD33dim HLA DR-CD66b-(OR=1.03,95%CI=1.01-1.03,P<0.001);CD38 on IgD+CD24-B cell(OR=1.04,95%CI=1.02-1.04,P=0.019).CONCLUSION This study shows a strong link between immune cells and OSAHS through a gene approach,thus offering direction for potential future medical research. 展开更多
关键词 Obstructive sleep apnea hypopnea syndrome IMMUNITY causal inference MR analysis Sensitivity
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Integrated causal inference modeling uncovers novel causal factors and potential therapeutic targets of Qingjin Yiqi granules for chronic fatigue syndrome
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作者 Junrong Li Xiaobing Zhai +6 位作者 Jixing Liu Chi Kin Lam Weiyu Meng Yuefei Wang Shu Li Yapeng Wang Kefeng Li 《Acupuncture and Herbal Medicine》 2024年第1期122-133,共12页
Objective:Chronic fatigue syndrome(CFS)is a prevalent symptom of post-coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)and is associated with unclear disease mechanisms.The herbal medicine Qingjin Yiqi granules(QJYQ)constitute a cli... Objective:Chronic fatigue syndrome(CFS)is a prevalent symptom of post-coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)and is associated with unclear disease mechanisms.The herbal medicine Qingjin Yiqi granules(QJYQ)constitute a clinically approved formula for treating post-COVID-19;however,its potential as a drug target for treating CFS remains largely unknown.This study aimed to identify novel causal factors for CFS and elucidate the potential targets and pharmacological mechanisms of action of QJYQ in treating CFS.Methods:This prospective cohort analysis included 4,212 adults aged≥65 years who were followed up for 7 years with 435 incident CFS cases.Causal modeling and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed to identify the potential causal determinants of CFS.A proteome-wide,two-sample Mendelian randomization(MR)analysis was employed to explore the proteins associated with the identified causal factors of CFS,which may serve as potential drug targets.Furthermore,we performed a virtual screening analysis to assess the binding affinity between the bioactive compounds in QJYQ and CFS-associated proteins.Results:Among 4,212 participants(47.5%men)with a median age of 69 years(interquartile range:69–70 years)enrolled in 2004,435 developed CFS by 2011.Causal graph analysis with multivariate logistic regression identified frequent cough(odds ratio:1.74,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.15–2.63)and insomnia(odds ratio:2.59,95%CI:1.77–3.79)as novel causal factors of CFS.Proteome-wide MR analysis revealed that the upregulation of endothelial cell-selective adhesion molecule(ESAM)was causally linked to both chronic cough(odds ratio:1.019,95%CI:1.012–1.026,P=2.75 e^(−05))and insomnia(odds ratio:1.015,95%CI:1.008–1.022,P=4.40 e^(−08))in CFS.The major bioactive compounds of QJYQ,ginsenoside Rb2(docking score:−6.03)and RG4(docking score:−6.15),bound to ESAM with high affinity based on virtual screening.Conclusions:Our integrated analytical framework combining epidemiological,genetic,and in silico data provides a novel strategy for elucidating complex disease mechanisms,such as CFS,and informing models of action of traditional Chinese medicines,such as QJYQ.Further validation in animal models is warranted to confirm the potential pharmacological effects of QJYQ on ESAM and as a treatment for CFS. 展开更多
关键词 causal factors causal graph analysis Chronic fatigue syndrome Drug targets Mendelian randomization Qingjin Yiqi
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Causal temporal graph attention network for fault diagnosis of chemical processes
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作者 Jiaojiao Luo Zhehao Jin +3 位作者 Heping Jin Qian Li Xu Ji Yiyang Dai 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第6期20-32,共13页
Fault detection and diagnosis(FDD)plays a significant role in ensuring the safety and stability of chemical processes.With the development of artificial intelligence(AI)and big data technologies,data-driven approaches... Fault detection and diagnosis(FDD)plays a significant role in ensuring the safety and stability of chemical processes.With the development of artificial intelligence(AI)and big data technologies,data-driven approaches with excellent performance are widely used for FDD in chemical processes.However,improved predictive accuracy has often been achieved through increased model complexity,which turns models into black-box methods and causes uncertainty regarding their decisions.In this study,a causal temporal graph attention network(CTGAN)is proposed for fault diagnosis of chemical processes.A chemical causal graph is built by causal inference to represent the propagation path of faults.The attention mechanism and chemical causal graph were combined to help us notice the key variables relating to fault fluctuations.Experiments in the Tennessee Eastman(TE)process and the green ammonia(GA)process showed that CTGAN achieved high performance and good explainability. 展开更多
关键词 Chemical processes Safety Fault diagnosis causal discovery Attention mechanism Explainability
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Causal genetic regulation of DNA replication on immune microenvironment in colorectal tumorigenesis: Evidenced by an integrated approach of trans-omics and GWAS
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作者 Sumeng Wang Silu Chen +6 位作者 Huiqin Li Shuai Ben Tingyu Zhao Rui Zheng Meilin Wang Dongying Gu Lingxiang Liu 《The Journal of Biomedical Research》 CAS CSCD 2024年第1期37-50,共14页
The interplay between DNA replication stress and immune microenvironment alterations is known to play a crucial role in colorectal tumorigenesis,but a comprehensive understanding of their association with and relevant... The interplay between DNA replication stress and immune microenvironment alterations is known to play a crucial role in colorectal tumorigenesis,but a comprehensive understanding of their association with and relevant biomarkers involved in colorectal tumorigenesis is lacking.To address this gap,we conducted a study aiming to investigate this association and identify relevant biomarkers.We analyzed transcriptomic and proteomic profiles of 904 colorectal tumor tissues and 342 normal tissues to examine pathway enrichment,biological activity,and the immune microenvironment.Additionally,we evaluated genetic effects of single variants and genes on colorectal cancer susceptibility using data from genome-wide association studies(GWASs)involving both East Asian(7062 cases and 195745 controls)and European(24476 cases and 23073 controls)populations.We employed mediation analysis to infer the causal pathway,and applied multiplex immunofluorescence to visualize colocalized biomarkers in colorectal tumors and immune cells.Our findings revealed that both DNA replication activity and the flap structure-specific endonuclease 1(FEN1)gene were significantly enriched in colorectal tumor tissues,compared with normal tissues.Moreover,a genetic variant rs4246215 G>T in FEN1 was associated with a decreased risk of colorectal cancer(odds ratio=0.94,95%confidence interval:0.90–0.97,P_(meta)=4.70×10^(-9)).Importantly,we identified basophils and eosinophils that both exhibited a significantly decreased infiltration in colorectal tumors,and were regulated by rs4246215 through causal pathways involving both FEN1 and DNA replication.In conclusion,this trans-omics incorporating GWAS data provides insights into a plausible pathway connecting DNA replication and immunity,expanding biological knowledge of colorectal tumorigenesis and therapeutic targets. 展开更多
关键词 trans-omics DNA replication tumor immune microenvironment causal mediation colorectal tumorigenesis
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Causal association between 731 immunocyte phenotypes and liver cirrhosis: A bidirectional two-sample mendelian randomization analysis
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作者 Ying Li Xin Quan +3 位作者 Yang Tai Yu-Tong Wu Bo Wei Hao Wu 《World Journal of Hepatology》 2024年第8期1156-1166,共11页
BACKGROUND Liver cirrhosis is a progressive hepatic disease whose immunological basis has attracted increasing attention.However,it remains unclear whether a concrete causal association exists between immunocyte pheno... BACKGROUND Liver cirrhosis is a progressive hepatic disease whose immunological basis has attracted increasing attention.However,it remains unclear whether a concrete causal association exists between immunocyte phenotypes and liver cirrhosis.AIM To explore the concrete causal relationships between immunocyte phenotypes and liver cirrhosis through a mendelian randomization(MR)study.METHODS Data on 731 immunocyte phenotypes were obtained from genome-wide assoc-iation studies.Liver cirrhosis data were derived from the Finn Gen dataset,which included 214403 individuals of European ancestry.We used inverse variable weighting as the primary analysis method to assess the causal relationship.Sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate heterogeneity and horizontal pleiotropy.RESULTS The MR analysis demonstrated that 11 immune cell phenotypes have a positive association with liver cirrhosis[P<0.05,odds ratio(OR)>1]and that 9 immu-nocyte phenotypes were negatively correlated with liver cirrhosis(P<0.05,OR<1).Liver cirrhosis was positively linked to 9 immune cell phenotypes(P<0.05,OR>1)and negatively linked to 10 immune cell phenotypes(P<0.05;OR<1).None of these associations showed heterogeneity or horizontally pleiotropy(P>0.05).CONCLUSION This bidirectional two-sample MR study demonstrated a concrete causal association between immunocyte phenotypes and liver cirrhosis.These findings offer new directions for the treatment of liver cirrhosis. 展开更多
关键词 Liver cirrhosis Immune cell Immunocyte phenotype Mendelian analysis causal association
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Mendelian Randomization Study of Causal Relationship between Inflammatory Factors and Vascular Dementia and Chinese Herbal Medicines Screening for Prevention and Treatment
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作者 Jinzhi Zhang Wei Chen +8 位作者 Guifeng Zhuo Chun Yao Mingyang Su Bingmao Yuan Xiaomin Zhu Zizhen Zhou Fengyi Lei Yulan Fu Lin Wu 《Journal of Biosciences and Medicines》 2024年第10期270-284,共15页
Objective: This study aims to examine the causal relationship between inflammatory factors and the probability of developing vascular dementia (VD) using Mendelian Randomization (MR) and Chinese herbal medicine predic... Objective: This study aims to examine the causal relationship between inflammatory factors and the probability of developing vascular dementia (VD) using Mendelian Randomization (MR) and Chinese herbal medicine prediction method, and to screen potential Chinese herbal medicines for the prevention and treatment of VD. Methods: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that exhibit a strong association with vascular dementia (VD) were identified as instrumental variables from the summary statistics of genome-wide association studies (GWAS). The primary analytical method employed was inverse variance weighting (IVW), while auxiliary analyses included the MR-Egger method, weighted median method, simple model, and weighted model. A two-way Mendelian randomization analysis was conducted to assess the causal relationship between inflammatory factors and the risk of VD, thereby identifying the key inflammatory factors involved. The MR-Egger intercept test and Cochran’s Q test were employed to assess the horizontal polymorphism and heterogeneity of instrumental variables. A sensitivity analysis was conducted by excluding one method at a time. Ultimately, based on key inflammatory factors, predictions for the prevention and treatment using traditional Chinese medicine were made, along with the screening of homologous herbal remedies. Results: Based on the results of the forward MR, the probability of developing VD was elevated when the inflammatory factors CXCL10 and CXCL5 were expressed at higher levels, whereas the probability of developing VD decreased as the expression levels of IL-13 and IL-20RA increased. These findings were supported by the assessment of pleiotropy, heterogeneity, and sensitivity. The results of the reverse MR analysis showed that there was no causal relationship between VD, as an exposure dataset, and these four inflammatory factors. According to the key inflammatory factors, 37 Chinese herbal medicines such as Siraitia grosvenorii were selected. Their characteristics including four natures, five flavors, channel tropism and treatment efficiency were cold, warm, neutral, pungent, sweet, bitter, lung meridian, spleen meridian, liver meridian, kidney meridian and clearing heat. Among them, Siraitia grosvenorii, Poria with hostwood, Perilla frutescens, and Radix Platycodi were all medicine and food homologous Chinese herbal medicines. Conclusions: The increase of CXCL10 and CXCL5 expression levels can increase the risk of VD, and the increase of IL-13 and IL-20 RA expression levels can reduce the risk of VD. Siraitia grosvenorii and other Chinese herbal medicines might be potential sources of therapeutic drugs for the treatment of VD. Medicine and food homologous Chinese herbal medicines, such as Siraitia grosvenorii, Poria with hostwood, Perilla frutescens, and Radix Platycodi, may help the elderly population with corresponding Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) constitutions to prevent VD. 展开更多
关键词 Inflammatory Factors Vascular Dementia Mendelian Randomization Study causal Association Chinese Medicine Prediction Medicine and Food Homology
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Causal association between 25-hydroxyvitamin D status and cataract development:A two-sample Mendelian randomization study
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作者 Chun-Hui Wang Zhi-Kun Xin 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 SCIE 2024年第16期2789-2795,共7页
BACKGROUND Vitamin deficiencies are linked to various eye diseases,and the influence of vitamin D on cataract formation has been noted in prior research.However,detailed investigations into the causal relationship bet... BACKGROUND Vitamin deficiencies are linked to various eye diseases,and the influence of vitamin D on cataract formation has been noted in prior research.However,detailed investigations into the causal relationship between 25-(OH)D status and cataract development remain scarce.AIM To explore a possible causal link between cataracts and vitamin D.METHODS In this study,we explored the causal link between 25-(OH)D levels and cataract development using Mendelian randomization.Our analytical approach included inverse-variance weighting(IVW),MR-Egger,weighted median,simple mode,and weighted mode methods.The primary analyses utilized IVW with random effects,supplemented by sensitivity and heterogeneity tests using both IVW and MR-Egger.MR-Egger was also applied for pleiotropy testing.Additionally,a leave-one-out analysis helped identify potentially impactful single-nucleotide polymorphisms.RESULTS The analysis revealed a positive association between 25-(OH)D levels and the risk of developing cataracts(OR=1.11,95%CI:1.00-1.22;P=0.032).The heterogeneity test revealed that our IVW analysis exhibited minimal heterogeneity(P>0.05),and the pleiotropy test findings confirmed the absence of pleiotropy within our IVW analysis(P>0.05).Furthermore,a search of the human genotype-phenotype association database failed to identify any potentially relevant risk-factor single nucleotide polymorphisms.CONCLUSION There is a potential causal link between 25-(OH)D levels and the development of cataracts,suggesting that greater 25-(OH)D levels may be a contributing risk factor for cataract formation.Further experimental research is required to confirm these findings. 展开更多
关键词 CATARACT 25-hydroxyvitamin D Mendelian randomization Single nucleotide polymorphism causal relationship
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Noncausal relationship between body weight and breast cancer based on bidirectional Mendelian randomization evidence
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作者 Qiuhua Li Ying Wang +1 位作者 Lu Ren Zhaozhe Liu 《Oncology and Translational Medicine》 CAS 2024年第5期245-251,共7页
Background:Some observational associations between body weight and breast cancer have attracted attention.However,the causal relationship between these 2 factors remains unclear,and more clinical outcomes are needed f... Background:Some observational associations between body weight and breast cancer have attracted attention.However,the causal relationship between these 2 factors remains unclear,and more clinical outcomes are needed for its validation.Methods:Based on statistical data from a Genome Wide Association Study,we performed a bidirectional Mendelian randomization analysis to assess the bidirectional causal relationship between body weight and breast cancer using 4 methods,with inverse variance weighting as the primarymethod.To verify the robustness and reliability of the causal relationship,we performed a sensitivity analysis using horizontal pleiotropy,outlier,and one-by-one elimination tests.Results:The inverse variance weighting results revealed no significant positive causal relationship between body weight and breast cancer.Similarly,the reverse analysis revealed no causal effect of breast cancer on body weight.Conclusions:The relationship between body weight and breast cancer may be attributed to confounding factors. 展开更多
关键词 Breast cancer Body mass index Mendelian randomization causality
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What-If XAI Framework (WiXAI): From Counterfactuals towards Causal Understanding
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作者 Neelabh Kshetry Mehmed Kantardzic 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2024年第6期169-198,共30页
People learn causal relations since childhood using counterfactual reasoning. Counterfactual reasoning uses counterfactual examples which take the form of “what if this has happened differently”. Counterfactual exam... People learn causal relations since childhood using counterfactual reasoning. Counterfactual reasoning uses counterfactual examples which take the form of “what if this has happened differently”. Counterfactual examples are also the basis of counterfactual explanation in explainable artificial intelligence (XAI). However, a framework that relies solely on optimization algorithms to find and present counterfactual samples cannot help users gain a deeper understanding of the system. Without a way to verify their understanding, the users can even be misled by such explanations. Such limitations can be overcome through an interactive and iterative framework that allows the users to explore their desired “what-if” scenarios. The purpose of our research is to develop such a framework. In this paper, we present our “what-if” XAI framework (WiXAI), which visualizes the artificial intelligence (AI) classification model from the perspective of the user’s sample and guides their “what-if” exploration. We also formulated how to use the WiXAI framework to generate counterfactuals and understand the feature-feature and feature-output relations in-depth for a local sample. These relations help move the users toward causal understanding. 展开更多
关键词 XAI AI WiXAI causal Understanding COUNTERFACTUALS Counterfactual Explanation
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Analysis of causal relationship between blood metabolites and prostate cancer by two-sample Mendelian randomization
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作者 Qing-Peng Jin Yang Liao +4 位作者 Rui-Yu Mou Yu-Jia Du Wen Cheng Yun-Chao Zhang Wen-Hao Liu 《Life Research》 2024年第4期42-47,共6页
Objective:To investigate the causal relationship between blood metabolite levels and the occurrence of prostate cancer by using two-sample Mendelian randomization method.Methods:Pooled data from public databases for g... Objective:To investigate the causal relationship between blood metabolite levels and the occurrence of prostate cancer by using two-sample Mendelian randomization method.Methods:Pooled data from public databases for genome-wide association analyses of blood metabolites and prostate cancer were selected,and inverse variance weighting(IVW)was used as the primary method for estimating the causal effects,while heterogeneity tests,gene multiplicity tests and sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the stability and reliability of the results.Results:A total of six known metabolites were found to potentially increase the risk of prostate cancer development(P<0.05),namely fructose,allantoin,5-hydroxytryptophan,potassium ketoisocaproate,glycyltryptophan,and 1-heptadecanoyl-glycerol-3-phosphorylcholine,with no heterogeneity or genetic pleiotropy found.Conclusion:Six known blood metabolites may be potential risk factors for prostate cancer development in European populations. 展开更多
关键词 Mendelian randomization prostate cancer blood metabolites causal association
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CAUSALITY DIAGRAM BASED SAFETY ANALYSIS OF MICRO TURBOJET ENGINE 被引量:4
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作者 丁水汀 鲍梦瑶 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 2011年第3期262-268,共7页
An improved safety analysis based on the causality diagram for the complex system of micro aero-engines is presented.The study is examined by using the causality diagram in analytical failure cases due to rupture or p... An improved safety analysis based on the causality diagram for the complex system of micro aero-engines is presented.The study is examined by using the causality diagram in analytical failure cases due to rupture or pentration in the receiver of micro turbojet engine casing,and the comparisons are also made with the results from the traditional fault tree analysis.Experimental results show two main advantages:(1)Quantitative analysis which is more reliable for the failure analysis in jet engines can be produced by the causality diagram analysis;(2)Graphical representation of causality diagram is easier to apply in real test cases and more effective for the safety assessment. 展开更多
关键词 micro turbojet engines safety analysis causality diagram fault tree analysis FAILURE
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基于差分Causal LSTM模型的气象图像短时预测研究 被引量:1
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作者 张晓晖 白文奇 +1 位作者 杨松楠 王晓娟 《西安理工大学学报》 北大核心 2023年第4期529-535,共7页
为解决气象图像序列在短时预测时预测精度低的问题,利用一种具有级联记忆单元的Causal LSTM,将图像梯度差分惩罚因子引入训练过程,来提高预测模型对短时序列动态和突变的建模能力,提出了差分Causal LSTM模型。研究首先通过循环神经网络... 为解决气象图像序列在短时预测时预测精度低的问题,利用一种具有级联记忆单元的Causal LSTM,将图像梯度差分惩罚因子引入训练过程,来提高预测模型对短时序列动态和突变的建模能力,提出了差分Causal LSTM模型。研究首先通过循环神经网络建立气象图像短时预测模型,然后分析了ConvLSTM模型对气象雷达回波图与卫星云图序列的预测效果,对于ConvLSTM模型预测气象图像存在严重模糊的问题,使用差分Causal LSTM模型进行优化,结果表明改进的模型能够有效改善模糊,提升预测结果的准确性。改进后的差分Causal LSTM模型在HKO-7数据集的测试样本中,关键成功指数(CSI)提高了0.019,在气象云图数据集中提高了0.078,模糊程度有所减弱。 展开更多
关键词 ConvLSTM causal LSTM 端到端模型 图像梯度差分损失
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基于Time-Causality模型的供热用气量预测分析 被引量:1
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作者 孙志伟 贾洪川 马永军 《计算机应用与软件》 北大核心 2020年第7期313-319,共7页
目前关于时间序列预测的特征选择一直是研究的热点,但很少有学者分析多时间尺度下不同特征对预测的差异。提出基于Granger关系的Time-Causality预测模型,利用Granger关系进行特征选择,引入时间维度作为输入维度,并利用LSTM模型进行实验... 目前关于时间序列预测的特征选择一直是研究的热点,但很少有学者分析多时间尺度下不同特征对预测的差异。提出基于Granger关系的Time-Causality预测模型,利用Granger关系进行特征选择,引入时间维度作为输入维度,并利用LSTM模型进行实验,在多时间尺度下分析预测供热用气量的特征。实验结果表明:Time-Causality模型能筛选到更有助于用气量预测的特征;从不同的时间尺度预测,所选取的特征不同;每个特征的预测作用也可能会随时间尺度的变化而变化。这为长期和短期预测提供理论和实践支持。 展开更多
关键词 多变量时间序列数据 多时间尺度分析 特征选择 Granger关系
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基于改进causality graph的分布式可伸缩事件关联机制
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作者 郭楠 高天寒 赵宏 《通信学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2004年第4期23-30,共8页
传统事件关联技术无法有效满足分布式网络管理的需求,本文提出一种分布式可伸缩事件关联机制,采用先分布再集中的关联模式与自适应可伸缩的关联关系。定义了本地关联和网络关联两个过程,首先由设备进行本地关联,而后各地关联结果汇总到... 传统事件关联技术无法有效满足分布式网络管理的需求,本文提出一种分布式可伸缩事件关联机制,采用先分布再集中的关联模式与自适应可伸缩的关联关系。定义了本地关联和网络关联两个过程,首先由设备进行本地关联,而后各地关联结果汇总到管理平台进行网络关联;将事件的关联关系与管理任务的关联关系相结合,根据管理任务在设备端的动态配置情况构建自适应可伸缩的关联关系,并支持对逻辑事件的推理。同时,在改进Causality Graph算法的基础上提出了实现该机制的相关算法。原型系统的应用实例验证了机制的有效性和优越性。 展开更多
关键词 分布式网络管理 事件关联 分布式可伸缩事件关联 因果关系图
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Causality Diagram-based Scheduling Approach for Blast Furnace Gas System 被引量:7
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作者 Feng Jin Jun Zhao +1 位作者 Chunyang Sheng Wei Wang 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2018年第2期587-594,共8页
Rational use of blast furnace gas(BFG) in steel industry can raise economic profit, save fossil energy resources and alleviate the environment pollution. In this paper, a causality diagram is established to describe t... Rational use of blast furnace gas(BFG) in steel industry can raise economic profit, save fossil energy resources and alleviate the environment pollution. In this paper, a causality diagram is established to describe the causal relationships among the decision objective and the variables of the scheduling process for the industrial system, based on which the total scheduling amount of the BFG system can be computed by using a causal fuzzy C-means(CFCM) clustering algorithm. In this algorithm,not only the distances among the historical samples but also the effects of different solutions on the gas tank level are considered.The scheduling solution can be determined based on the proposed causal probability of the causality diagram calculated by the total amount and the conditions of the adjustable units. The causal probability quantifies the impact of different allocation schemes of the total scheduling amount on the BFG system. An evaluation method is then proposed to evaluate the effectiveness of the scheduling solutions. The experiments by using the practical data coming from a steel plant in China indicate that the proposed approach can effectively improve the scheduling accuracy and reduce the gas diffusion. 展开更多
关键词 Index Terms-Blast furnace gas system causal fuzzy C-means(CFCM) clustering causality diagram scheduling.
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Herbal hepatotoxicity:Challenges and pitfalls of causality assessment methods 被引量:9
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作者 Rolf Teschke Christian Frenzel +1 位作者 Johannes Schulze Axel Eickhoff 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2013年第19期2864-2882,共19页
The diagnosis of herbal hepatotoxicity or herb induced liver injury(HILI) represents a particular clinical and regulatory challenge with major pitfalls for the causality evaluation.At the day HILI is suspected in a pa... The diagnosis of herbal hepatotoxicity or herb induced liver injury(HILI) represents a particular clinical and regulatory challenge with major pitfalls for the causality evaluation.At the day HILI is suspected in a patient,physicians should start assessing the quality of the used herbal product,optimizing the clinical data for completeness,and applying the Council for International Organizations of Medical Sciences(CIOMS) scale for initial causality assessment.This scale is structured,quantitative,liver specific,and validated for hepatotoxicity cases.Its items provide individual scores,which together yield causality levels of highly probable,probable,possible,unlikely,and excluded.After completion by additional information including raw data,this scale with all items should be reported to regulatory agencies and manufacturers for further evaluation.The CIOMS scale is preferred as tool for assessing causality in hepatotoxicity cases,compared to numerous other causality assessment methods,which are inferior on various grounds.Among these disputed methods are the Maria and Victorino scale,an insufficiently qualified,shortened version of the CIOMS scale,as well as various liver unspecific methods such as thead hoc causality approach,the Naranjo scale,the World Health Organization(WHO) method,and the Karch and Lasagna method.An expert panel is required for the Drug Induced Liver Injury Network method,the WHO method,and other approaches based on expert opinion,which provide retrospective analyses with a long delay and thereby prevent a timely assessment of the illness in question by the physician.In conclusion,HILI causality assessment is challenging and is best achieved by the liver specific CIOMS scale,avoiding pitfalls commonly observed with other approaches. 展开更多
关键词 Herbal HEPATOTOXICITY Herb INDUCED LIVER INJURY Herbs DRUG HEPATOTOXICITY DRUG INDUCED LIVER INJURY causality assessment
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