Risk transmission evaluation for parallel construction of warships based on IFCM and the cloud model

To cope with multi-directional transmission coupling,spreading, amplification, and chain reaction of risks during multiproject parallel construction of warships, a risk transmission evaluation method is proposed, which integrates an intuitionistic cloud model with a fuzzy cognitive map. By virtue of expectancy Ex, entropy En, and hyper entropy He, the risk fuzziness and randomness of the knowledge of experts are organically combined to develop a method for converting bi-linguistic variable decision-making information into the quantitative information of the intuitionistic normal cloud(INC) model. Subsequently, the threshold function and weighted summation operation in the traditional fuzzy cognitive map is converted into the INC ordered weighted averaging operator to create the risk transmission model based on the intuitionistic fuzzy cognitive map(IFCM) and the algorithm for solving it. Subsequently, the risk influence sequencing method based on INC and the risk rating method based on nearness are proposed on the basis of Monte Carlo simulation in order to realize the mutual conversion of the qualitative and quantitative information in the risk evaluation results.Example analysis is presented to verify the effectiveness and practicality of the methods.

Evaluation and prediction of earth pressure balance shield performance in complex rock strata:A case study in Dalian,China

This research explores the potential for the evaluation and prediction of earth pressure balance shield performance based on a gray system model.The research focuses on a shield tunnel excavated for Metro Line 2 in Dalian,China.Due to the large error between the initial geological exploration data and real strata,the project construction is extremely difficult.In view of the current situation regarding the project,a quantitative method for evaluating the tunneling efficiency was proposed using cutterhead rotation(R),advance speed(S),total thrust(F)and torque(T).A total of 80 datasets with three input parameters and one output variable(F or T)were collected from this project,and a prediction framework based gray system model was established.Based on the prediction model,five prediction schemes were set up.Through error analysis,the optimal prediction scheme was obtained from the five schemes.The parametric investigation performed indicates that the relationships between F and the three input variables in the gray system model harmonize with the theoretical explanation.The case shows that the shield tunneling performance and efficiency are improved by the tunneling parameter prediction model based on the gray system model.

Orthogonal experiment on reclaimed water treatment and economic optimization model in green building

The efficacy of superior drainage in green building treated by combinational technique of coagulation sedimentation and constructed wetland was launched. The results show that the regression equation relating to effluent BOD5,cubage load (Nv),temperature (t) and addition dosage (ρ) is BOD5=2.05Nv-0.41t-0.82ρ+38.9. The orthogonal experiment results of constructed wetland post-treatment show that the regression equation relating to effluent BOD5,cubage load (NA),and temperature (t) is BOD5=1 190NA-0.32t+12.2. Based on the two orthogonal regression equations,combined of green building municipal gray reclaimed water quantity requirements in different seasons,a technology investment on economic optimization model of combinational technique was established. The results offer technological support for reclaimed water treatment,which regards superior drainage as the source and is purified by combinational technique of coagulation sedimentation and constructed wetland. According to the model,the reasonable scale of reclaimed water treatment systems can be determined,the treatment efficacy can be well predicted,and both the design and operating can be effectively guided.

Complex Sequence Quality Evaluation Model for Concealed Water Supply Pipeline of Prefabricated Construction

The accurate assessment of the quality can materially affect the safety and life of the prefabricated construction.In this paper,we studied the overall module of concealed water supply pipeline,and a new complex sequence quality evaluation model was established.By analyzing the small evaluation index elements of the model,the weight of the larger evaluation index could be deduced.The total quality evaluation score of the overall module could be obtained by calculating the weight value of the evaluation index,and then the quality standard of the overall module could be obtained.

Evaluation System for Farmers' Satisfaction Degree in the Green Energy Saving Rebuilding of Rural Residence

In view of the present situation of measuring a green residence just by energy saving and environmental protection,we propose that we should build the rural residence more from the farmer's view and set up an evaluation system based on farmers satisfaction.A total of 16 factors affecting the farmers' satisfaction degree of green energy saving rebuilding of rural residence are selected.Questionnaire survey on 110 peasant households is carried out under different situations in Guanzhong region in Shaanxi Province,so as to obtain the importance score of evaluation index.During constructing the evaluation system for farmers' satisfaction degree,Factor Analysis Method is used to classify the related influencing factors.Subjective analysis of Analytic Hierarchy Process and the objective analysis of Factor Analysis Method are combined together to determine the weights of factors at different grades.Then,the final evaluation model is obtained,which provides guidance for the further green energy saving rebuilding of rural residence in China.

Construction of Green Community Index System under the Background of Community Construction

Under the background of community construction, green community has become a concentrated embodiment of human pursuit of high-quality life. Green community plays an important role in saving energy, improving living environment and promoting sustainable development. By establishing the evaluation index system of green community, this paper attempts to make a more comprehensive evaluation from the aspects of resources, environment and management mode of green community, to effectively evaluate the development level of green community, to provide reference for government departments to manage and develop the development of decision-making green community, to provide guidance for planning and designing green community environment, and to provide direction for the construction of green sustainable development. At the same time, it is beneficial to the promotion and development of green environmental protection technology.

Study on the Whole Process Simulation and Regulation Mechanism of Urban Green Ecological Rainwater Drainage System

In view of the frequent waterlogging caused by rapid urbanization and the public’s dissatisfaction with the drainage system,the article based on the concept of the green ecological drainage system,constructed the urban green ecological drainage comprehensive simulation research system,and quickly evaluated pipe network operation and surface water of an industrial park under typical rainfall conditions.The results showed that the drainage capacity of the designed green ecological rainwater drainage system reached 100%,and there was no ponding phenomenon,which indicated that the green ecological rainwater drainage system could effectively solve the practical problems of urban drainage.The green ecological rainwater comprehensive simulation research system had good adaptability.The research results provided the scientific theoretical basis and reference significance for planning,designing,constructing,operating,and managing urban rainwater system scientifically and systematically.

Construction scheme comparison with comprehensive evaluation of independent perspectives

Considering both the characteristics of construction scheme evaluation and the lack of consideration of index proportionality after introducing comprehensive evaluation of independent perspectives into construction scheme evaluation, a construction scheme evaluation model of independent perspectives was put forward through the study and optimization of comprehensive evaluation of independent perspectives. The feasibility and rationality of the optimized method were illustrated through a case study and the evaluation results were compared between the optimized method and non-optimized method. The optimized method has the practical value in construction scheme comparison.

Research On Construction Traffic Safety Measures Based On FAHP Model In Hydropower Project

With the rapid expansion of hydropower projects, Construction safety problem has become one of the bottlenecks for the development of hydropower industry. Combined with the construction of the diversion channel project of Guan Yinyan hydropower station, from the point of view of construction traffic safety, based on the result of the FAHP model, factors which influence the construction safety of the diversion channel project of Guan Yinyan hydropower station have been found, relative measures focuses on the approach to eliminate hazards and guarantee construction safety have been elaborated.

基于PMC指数模型的铁路绿色施工政策研究

研究目的:铁路绿色施工政策是落地铁路可持续发展,打造生态铁路的方向引领与实施保障。铁路绿色施工政策的量化研究可以为政策的制定、修订、完善与优化提供重要的数据决策依据。本文借助ROSTCM6.0文本挖掘工具及PMC指数模型,旨在科学合理地评价我国当前铁路绿色施工相关政策的效果与优劣,为铁路绿色施工政策的高质量制定提供决策支持。研究结论:(1)选取7项铁路绿色施工政策作为研究样本,验证了PMC指数模型在评价铁路绿色施工政策的实用性与可靠性,结果与实际情况符合度较高,表明该模型可为铁路绿色施工政策评价提供借鉴价值;(2)各项政策的PMC指数等级可以有效判断该项政策的优劣,明确政策现状及优化方向;(3)本研究结果可为相关部委及公司制定、优化铁路绿色施工政策提供参考和借鉴。

基于灰色系统理论的电网工程绿色建造模糊综合评价模型

为贯彻落实绿色发展理念,提升现有电网工程绿色建造评价方法的全面性、系统性以及客观性,提出了一种基于灰色系统理论的模糊综合评价模型。通过研究影响电网工程设计、施工与交付等环节的重要绿色评价因子,构建了多层次的绿色建造评价指标体系。并基于灰色系统理论确定指标权重,建立了多层级模糊综合评价模型。同时选取电网工程案例来进行验证,证明了该模型能够科学、合理地确定各指标的权重,从而为电网工程绿色建造评价及不断优化提供了支撑。

小学生跨学科素养测评模型构建与应用研究

跨学科素养是小学生学习发展的关键素养,构建科学、合理的跨学科素养测评模型是开展小学生跨学科素养有效监测与提升的重要保证,对打破学科知识壁垒、培育新时代拔尖创新人才具有重要现实意义。研究遵循成熟的教育测评模型构建范式,厘清了小学生跨学科素养操作性定义,构建了包含跨学科知识、跨学科能力和跨学科情意3个一级指标、8个二级指标的小学生跨学科素养测评指标体系,开发了《小学生跨学科素养测评量表》,基于探索性、验证性因素分析以及层次分析法,构建了小学生跨学科素养测评模型:Y=0.306*Y1+0.412*Y2+0.282*Y3,其中Y表示小学生跨学科素养,Y1、Y2、Y3分别表示跨学科知识、跨学科能力、跨学科情意。应用该模型对全国东、中、西部地区12省市的18166名小学4—6年级学生进行测评,初步验证了模型的科学性、有效性与可操作性,并依据测评结果提出提升小学生跨学科素养的对策建议。

变权理论-梯形云模型融合的金属矿绿色开采评价研究

如何有效评价金属矿山绿色开采水平对于发展绿色矿业非常重要。针对目前金属矿绿色开采评价方法存在评价结果单一、忽略金属矿绿色开采指标数据的随机性和模糊性的问题,研究提出变权理论-梯形云模型融合的金属矿绿色开采评价方法。首先,构建金属矿绿色开采评价指标体系,综合使用组合赋权法和变权理论得到各项指标的变权权重;其次,利用梯形云模型计算每个指标在对应等级下的隶属度,并得出隶属度评价向量;最后,结合变权理论与梯形云模型并按最大隶属度原则实现对金属矿绿色开采情况的评价。此外,以某金属矿山为实例,计算并分析其评价结果。该实例表明此方法对金属矿绿色开采情况进行评价可行,可为金属矿绿色开采评价的问题提供参考。

基于组合赋权-云模型的智能建造应用成熟度的评价

为解决传统施工方式存在的问题,建筑施工企业向智能建造方式逐渐转型已是大势所趋。针对新时代、新基建对智能建造施工的要求并结合能力成熟度理论,提出一种基于组合赋权-云模型的智能建造应用成熟度评价模型。首先,从施工、智能、其他3个维度,构建包含勘测、设计规划、施工现场管理、资源要素、智能建造技术、数据驱动、企业顶层设计7个类别的智能建造应用成熟度评价体系。其次,采用G1法与熵权法确定各指标的主、客观权重,运用博弈论进行权重组合。最后,通过云模型展示施工企业智能建造应用成熟度等级,并依据评价结果进行展望。研究结果表明:施工企业智能建造应用成熟度评价等级为“集成共享级”,评价结果与该企业实际情况吻合,验证了本文方法的适用性与科学性,为施工企业智能建造应用的发展提供科学依据。

基于前因因素的建筑工人安全行为评价模型与应用

建筑项目中的事故主要与建筑工人的不安全行为有关,因此对建筑工人安全行为进行事前评价是预防事故发生的关键。首先通过文献可视化分析初步筛选建筑工人安全行为前因因素,结合专家意见构建建筑工人安全行为评价的指标体系;然后采用群决策改进的层次分析法确定各评价指标的综合权重,并建立可拓物元评价模型;最后对某施工项目建筑工人安全行为进行评价与分析,以验证模型的合理性和可靠性。结果表明:建筑工人安全行为评价指标中安全意识所占权重较高,是事故预防的重要因素;实例应用结果表明该项目建筑工人总体安全行为等级处于“Ⅲ级”为一般安全,说明该项目施工作业人员整体处于比较安全的水平;建筑工人个体安全行为的维度指标评价结果为正态分布或偏正态分布,表明该评价模型能够有效识别建筑工人的安全行为水平,可为建筑安全管理的研究和实践提供参考。

新疆绿色金融与生态文明耦合协调测度及交互响应分析

通过构建各子系统及总系统的综合评价模型,对2007年至2020年新疆绿色金融与生态文明建设水平进行评价,借助耦合协调模型及VAR模型分析动态协调关系。研究发现,2016年起新疆绿色金融综合评分较为稳定并出现缓慢回升趋势,各子系统综合评分演化趋势差异性较为显著;生态文明综合评分具有上升趋势,各子系统的综合评分及增长速度有所差异。绿色金融与生态文明处于高度耦合、高度协调阶段,两个系统总体表现出较强的相互作用关系;协调度呈现轻微上升趋势,应加强其二者的协调作用。脉冲响应分析结果表明绿色保险、绿色证券对生态文明建设具有显著作用,且持续时间较长。

智能建造模式下建筑企业数据管理成熟度研判

本文立足于建筑业新型生产要素数据,探究智能建造模式下建筑企业数据管理高效集成利用的理论框架,以赋能建筑业高质量发展。基于数据管理能力成熟度模型(DCMM),从数据战略、数据标准、数据信息平台、数据应用、组织建设、数据治理、数据安全、数据质量8个维度构建数据管理成熟度模型,以实现建筑企业数据管理成熟度研判。

增值性评价在“微生物学”课程中的探索与实践

将增值性评价有效融入课程评价体系对于推进教育评价现代化具有重要意义。基于学生评价的视角,确立了“微生物学”课程增值性评价的指标体系,并据此开展实证研究构建了“微生物学”课程增值性评价模型。最后,利用所建模型生成了增值性评价与传统评价的排名对比图,深入讨论了前者相较于后者在学生群体排名中的优势所在,并论述了在“微生物学”课程的教学实践中,教师作为引导者帮助学生提升自我净增值的几点建议。

基于改进DEMATEL-ISM的钢桁梁桥施工风险影响因素研究

为提高钢桁梁桥施工过程中的安全管理,对钢桁梁桥施工中的风险因素进行分析,提出了一种基于改进DEMATEL-ISM的评价方法,首先引入三角模糊数对DEMATEL法中的直接影响矩阵进行改进,从而去模糊化以减少专家评价的主观性,再通过DEMATEL法分析各影响因素的影响度、被影响度、中心度与原因度并加以排序,对得到的主要影响因素进行初步分析,利用ISM法对筛选出的影响因素进行层次划分,得到直接层影响因素、过渡层影响因素与本质影响因素,并针对分析得到的5个本质影响因素提出深入的预防预警措施,可为钢桁梁桥施工方向的安全管理提供针对性措施,为事故预防提供一定的参考依据。