Rubber producers,consumers,traders,and those who are involved in the rubber industry face major risks of rubber price fluctuations.As a result,decision-makers are required to make an accurate estimation of the price o...Rubber producers,consumers,traders,and those who are involved in the rubber industry face major risks of rubber price fluctuations.As a result,decision-makers are required to make an accurate estimation of the price of rubber.This paper aims to propose hybrid intelligent models,which can be utilized to forecast the price of rubber in Malaysia by employing monthly Malaysia’s rubber pricing data,spanning from January 2016 to March 2021.The projected hybrid model consists of different algorithms with the symbolic Radial Basis Functions Neural Network k-Satisfiability Logic Mining(RBFNN-kSAT).These algorithms,including Grey Wolf Optimization Algorithm,Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm,and Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm were utilized in the forecasting data analysis.Several factors,which affect the monthly price of rubber,such as rubber production,total exports of rubber,total imports of rubber,stocks of rubber,currency exchange rate,and crude oil prices were also considered in the analysis.To evaluate the results of the introduced model,a comparison has been conducted for each model to identify the most optimum model for forecasting the price of rubber.The findings showed that GWO with RBFNN-kSAT represents the most accurate and efficient model compared with ABC with RBFNNkSAT and PSO with RBFNN-kSAT in forecasting the price of rubber.The GWO with RBFNN-kSAT obtained the greatest average accuracy(92%),with a better correlation coefficient R=0.983871 than ABC with RBFNN-kSAT and PSO with RBFNN-kSAT.Furthermore,the empirical results of this study provided several directions for policymakers to make the right decision in terms of devising proper measures in the industry to address frequent price changes so that the Malaysian rubber industry maintains dominance in the international markets.展开更多
The scope of this paper is to forecast wind speed. Wind speed, temperature, wind direction, relative humidity, precipitation of water content and air pressure are the main factors make the wind speed forecasting as a ...The scope of this paper is to forecast wind speed. Wind speed, temperature, wind direction, relative humidity, precipitation of water content and air pressure are the main factors make the wind speed forecasting as a complex problem and neural network performance is mainly influenced by proper hidden layer neuron units. This paper proposes new criteria for appropriate hidden layer neuron unit’s determination and attempts a novel hybrid method in order to achieve enhanced wind speed forecasting. This paper proposes the following two main innovative contributions 1) both either over fitting or under fitting issues are avoided by means of the proposed new criteria based hidden layer neuron unit’s estimation. 2) ELMAN neural network is optimized through Modified Grey Wolf Optimizer (MGWO). The proposed hybrid method (ELMAN-MGWO) performance, effectiveness is confirmed by means of the comparison between Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO), Adaptive Gbest-guided Gravitational Search Algorithm (GGSA), Artificial Bee Colony (ABC), Ant Colony Optimization (ACO), Cuckoo Search (CS), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Evolution Strategy (ES), Genetic Algorithm (GA) algorithms, meanwhile proposed new criteria effectiveness and precise are verified comparison with other existing selection criteria. Three real-time wind data sets are utilized in order to analysis the performance of the proposed approach. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed hybrid method (ELMAN-MGWO) achieve the mean square error AVG ± STD of 4.1379e-11 ± 1.0567e-15, 6.3073e-11 ± 3.5708e-15 and 7.5840e-11 ± 1.1613e-14 respectively for evaluation on three real-time data sets. Hence, the proposed hybrid method is superior, precise, enhance wind speed forecasting than that of other existing methods and robust.展开更多
Ecological engineering is an emerging study of integrating both ecology and engineering, concerned with the design, monitoring, and construction of ecosystems. In recent years, the threat to amphibian animals is becom...Ecological engineering is an emerging study of integrating both ecology and engineering, concerned with the design, monitoring, and construction of ecosystems. In recent years, the threat to amphibian animals is becoming more and more serious. In particular, the loss of habitats caused by changes to the way land is used by human beings has hit amphibians particularly hard. Amphibians are known to be particularly vulnerable to human activities because they rely on both terrestrial and aquatic habitats for survival. With the increasing development of many areas in recent years, concrete structures are often installed along water bodies in order to increase the safety of local residents. The construction of concrete banks along rivers associated with human development has become a serious problem in Taiwan. Most ecosystems used by amphibians are lakes and stream banks, yet no related design solutions to accommodate the needs of amphibians. The need to develop the relevant design specification considering protecting the amphibian is imperative. Buergeria robusta, an endemic species in Taiwan, is tree frog widely distributed in lowland montane regions. Their breeding season is from April to September. They like to rest on trees or hide at caves during the daytime and move to the stream nearby in dusk for breeding. Males usually emit weak mating call while standing on stones. Sticky eggs are attached to undersides of rocks and stones. Tadpoles are found in slow flowing water of streams [1]. The goal of this study is to improve the understanding of the relationship between the climbing ability and the physical characteristics of amphibians. In this study, we use Artificial Neural Network to simulate the climbing ability of Buergeria robusta. Besides, Grey System Theory is also adopted to improve the performance of Artificial Neural Network. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is a computing system that uses a large number of artificial neurons imitating natural neural ability to deal with an information network by computing system. The numerical results have show good agreement with the experimental results. The results can serve as a reference for technicians involved in future ecological engineering designs of banks throughout the world.展开更多
The prediction of wind speed is imperative nowadays due to the increased and effective generation of wind power.Wind power is the clean,free and conservative renewable energy.It is necessary to predict the wind speed,...The prediction of wind speed is imperative nowadays due to the increased and effective generation of wind power.Wind power is the clean,free and conservative renewable energy.It is necessary to predict the wind speed,to implement wind power generation.This paper proposes a new model,named WT-GWO-BPNN,by integrating Wavelet Transform(WT),Back Propagation Neural Network(BPNN)and GreyWolf Optimization(GWO).The wavelet transform is adopted to decompose the original time series data(wind speed)into approximation and detailed band.GWO-BPNN is applied to predict the wind speed.GWO is used to optimize the parameters of back propagation neural network and to improve the convergence state.This work uses wind power data of six months with 25,086 data points to test and verify the performance of the proposed model.The proposed work,WT-GWO-BPNN,predicts the wind speed using a three-step procedure and provides better results.Mean Absolute Error(MAE),Mean Squared Error(MSE),Mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)and Root mean squared error(RMSE)are calculated to validate the performance of the proposed model.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model has better performance when compared to other methods in the literature.展开更多
Electricity consumption forecasting is one of the most important tasks for power system workers,and plays an important role in regional power systems.Due to the difference in the trend of power load and the past in th...Electricity consumption forecasting is one of the most important tasks for power system workers,and plays an important role in regional power systems.Due to the difference in the trend of power load and the past in the new normal,the influencing factors are more diversified,which makes it more difficult to predict the current electricity consumption.In this paper,the grey system theory and BP neural network are combined to predict the annual electricity consumption in Jiangsu.According to the historical data of annual electricity consumption and the six factors affecting electricity consumption,the gray correlation analysis method is used to screen the important factors,and three factors with large correlation degree are selected as the input parameters of BP neural network.The power forecasting model uses nearly 18 years of data to train and validate the model.The results show that the gray correlation analysis and BP neural network method have higher accuracy in power consumption prediction,and the calculation is more convenient than traditional methods.展开更多
At an early point,the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer is mediocre,since the radiologist is skill deficient.Serious threats have been posed due to the above reasons,hence became mandatory for the need of skilled technici...At an early point,the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer is mediocre,since the radiologist is skill deficient.Serious threats have been posed due to the above reasons,hence became mandatory for the need of skilled technicians.However,it also became a time-consuming process.Hence the need for automated diagnosis became mandatory.In order to identify the tumor accurately,this research pro-poses a novel Convolution Neural Network(CNN)based superior image classi-fication technique.The proposed deep learning classification strategy has a precision of 97.7%,allowing for more effective usage of the automatically exe-cuted feature extraction technique to diagnose cancer cells.Comparative analysis with CNN-Grey Wolf Optimization(GWO)is carried based on varied testing and training outcomes.The suggested study is carried out at a rate of 90%–10%,80%–20%,and 70%–30%,indicating the robustness of the proposed research work.Outcomes show that the suggested method is effective.GWO-CNN is reli-able and accurate relative to other detection methods available in the literatures.展开更多
Recognizing signs and fonts of prehistoric language is a fairly difficult job that requires special tools.This stipulation make the dispensation period over-riding,difficult and tiresome to calculate.This paper present ...Recognizing signs and fonts of prehistoric language is a fairly difficult job that requires special tools.This stipulation make the dispensation period over-riding,difficult and tiresome to calculate.This paper present a technique for recognizing ancient south Indian languages by applying Artificial Neural Network(ANN)associated with Opposition based Grey Wolf Optimization Algorithm(OGWA).It identifies the prehistoric language,signs and fonts.It is an apparent from the ANN system that arbitrarily produced weights or neurons linking various layers play a significant role in its performance.For adaptively determining these weights,this paper applies various optimization algorithms such as Opposition based Grey Wolf Optimization,Particle Swarm Optimization and Grey Wolf Opti-mization to the ANN system.Performance results are illustrated that the proposed ANN-OGWO technique achieves superior accuracy over the other techniques.In test case 1,the accuracy value of OGWO is 94.89%and in test case 2,the accu-racy value of OGWO is 92.34%,on average,the accuracy of OGWO achieves 5.8%greater accuracy than ANN-GWO,10.1%greater accuracy than ANN-PSO and 22.1%greater accuracy over conventional ANN technique.展开更多
基金supported by the Ministry of Higher Education Malaysia (MOHE)through the Fundamental Research Grant Scheme (FRGS),FRGS/1/2022/STG06/USM/02/11 and Universiti Sains Malaysia.
文摘Rubber producers,consumers,traders,and those who are involved in the rubber industry face major risks of rubber price fluctuations.As a result,decision-makers are required to make an accurate estimation of the price of rubber.This paper aims to propose hybrid intelligent models,which can be utilized to forecast the price of rubber in Malaysia by employing monthly Malaysia’s rubber pricing data,spanning from January 2016 to March 2021.The projected hybrid model consists of different algorithms with the symbolic Radial Basis Functions Neural Network k-Satisfiability Logic Mining(RBFNN-kSAT).These algorithms,including Grey Wolf Optimization Algorithm,Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm,and Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm were utilized in the forecasting data analysis.Several factors,which affect the monthly price of rubber,such as rubber production,total exports of rubber,total imports of rubber,stocks of rubber,currency exchange rate,and crude oil prices were also considered in the analysis.To evaluate the results of the introduced model,a comparison has been conducted for each model to identify the most optimum model for forecasting the price of rubber.The findings showed that GWO with RBFNN-kSAT represents the most accurate and efficient model compared with ABC with RBFNNkSAT and PSO with RBFNN-kSAT in forecasting the price of rubber.The GWO with RBFNN-kSAT obtained the greatest average accuracy(92%),with a better correlation coefficient R=0.983871 than ABC with RBFNN-kSAT and PSO with RBFNN-kSAT.Furthermore,the empirical results of this study provided several directions for policymakers to make the right decision in terms of devising proper measures in the industry to address frequent price changes so that the Malaysian rubber industry maintains dominance in the international markets.
文摘The scope of this paper is to forecast wind speed. Wind speed, temperature, wind direction, relative humidity, precipitation of water content and air pressure are the main factors make the wind speed forecasting as a complex problem and neural network performance is mainly influenced by proper hidden layer neuron units. This paper proposes new criteria for appropriate hidden layer neuron unit’s determination and attempts a novel hybrid method in order to achieve enhanced wind speed forecasting. This paper proposes the following two main innovative contributions 1) both either over fitting or under fitting issues are avoided by means of the proposed new criteria based hidden layer neuron unit’s estimation. 2) ELMAN neural network is optimized through Modified Grey Wolf Optimizer (MGWO). The proposed hybrid method (ELMAN-MGWO) performance, effectiveness is confirmed by means of the comparison between Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO), Adaptive Gbest-guided Gravitational Search Algorithm (GGSA), Artificial Bee Colony (ABC), Ant Colony Optimization (ACO), Cuckoo Search (CS), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Evolution Strategy (ES), Genetic Algorithm (GA) algorithms, meanwhile proposed new criteria effectiveness and precise are verified comparison with other existing selection criteria. Three real-time wind data sets are utilized in order to analysis the performance of the proposed approach. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed hybrid method (ELMAN-MGWO) achieve the mean square error AVG ± STD of 4.1379e-11 ± 1.0567e-15, 6.3073e-11 ± 3.5708e-15 and 7.5840e-11 ± 1.1613e-14 respectively for evaluation on three real-time data sets. Hence, the proposed hybrid method is superior, precise, enhance wind speed forecasting than that of other existing methods and robust.
文摘Ecological engineering is an emerging study of integrating both ecology and engineering, concerned with the design, monitoring, and construction of ecosystems. In recent years, the threat to amphibian animals is becoming more and more serious. In particular, the loss of habitats caused by changes to the way land is used by human beings has hit amphibians particularly hard. Amphibians are known to be particularly vulnerable to human activities because they rely on both terrestrial and aquatic habitats for survival. With the increasing development of many areas in recent years, concrete structures are often installed along water bodies in order to increase the safety of local residents. The construction of concrete banks along rivers associated with human development has become a serious problem in Taiwan. Most ecosystems used by amphibians are lakes and stream banks, yet no related design solutions to accommodate the needs of amphibians. The need to develop the relevant design specification considering protecting the amphibian is imperative. Buergeria robusta, an endemic species in Taiwan, is tree frog widely distributed in lowland montane regions. Their breeding season is from April to September. They like to rest on trees or hide at caves during the daytime and move to the stream nearby in dusk for breeding. Males usually emit weak mating call while standing on stones. Sticky eggs are attached to undersides of rocks and stones. Tadpoles are found in slow flowing water of streams [1]. The goal of this study is to improve the understanding of the relationship between the climbing ability and the physical characteristics of amphibians. In this study, we use Artificial Neural Network to simulate the climbing ability of Buergeria robusta. Besides, Grey System Theory is also adopted to improve the performance of Artificial Neural Network. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is a computing system that uses a large number of artificial neurons imitating natural neural ability to deal with an information network by computing system. The numerical results have show good agreement with the experimental results. The results can serve as a reference for technicians involved in future ecological engineering designs of banks throughout the world.
文摘The prediction of wind speed is imperative nowadays due to the increased and effective generation of wind power.Wind power is the clean,free and conservative renewable energy.It is necessary to predict the wind speed,to implement wind power generation.This paper proposes a new model,named WT-GWO-BPNN,by integrating Wavelet Transform(WT),Back Propagation Neural Network(BPNN)and GreyWolf Optimization(GWO).The wavelet transform is adopted to decompose the original time series data(wind speed)into approximation and detailed band.GWO-BPNN is applied to predict the wind speed.GWO is used to optimize the parameters of back propagation neural network and to improve the convergence state.This work uses wind power data of six months with 25,086 data points to test and verify the performance of the proposed model.The proposed work,WT-GWO-BPNN,predicts the wind speed using a three-step procedure and provides better results.Mean Absolute Error(MAE),Mean Squared Error(MSE),Mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)and Root mean squared error(RMSE)are calculated to validate the performance of the proposed model.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model has better performance when compared to other methods in the literature.
基金This work is supported by the Natural Science Foundation of the Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions of China(19KJB520028)the Collaborative Innovation Center of Jiangsu Maritime Institute。
文摘Electricity consumption forecasting is one of the most important tasks for power system workers,and plays an important role in regional power systems.Due to the difference in the trend of power load and the past in the new normal,the influencing factors are more diversified,which makes it more difficult to predict the current electricity consumption.In this paper,the grey system theory and BP neural network are combined to predict the annual electricity consumption in Jiangsu.According to the historical data of annual electricity consumption and the six factors affecting electricity consumption,the gray correlation analysis method is used to screen the important factors,and three factors with large correlation degree are selected as the input parameters of BP neural network.The power forecasting model uses nearly 18 years of data to train and validate the model.The results show that the gray correlation analysis and BP neural network method have higher accuracy in power consumption prediction,and the calculation is more convenient than traditional methods.
文摘At an early point,the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer is mediocre,since the radiologist is skill deficient.Serious threats have been posed due to the above reasons,hence became mandatory for the need of skilled technicians.However,it also became a time-consuming process.Hence the need for automated diagnosis became mandatory.In order to identify the tumor accurately,this research pro-poses a novel Convolution Neural Network(CNN)based superior image classi-fication technique.The proposed deep learning classification strategy has a precision of 97.7%,allowing for more effective usage of the automatically exe-cuted feature extraction technique to diagnose cancer cells.Comparative analysis with CNN-Grey Wolf Optimization(GWO)is carried based on varied testing and training outcomes.The suggested study is carried out at a rate of 90%–10%,80%–20%,and 70%–30%,indicating the robustness of the proposed research work.Outcomes show that the suggested method is effective.GWO-CNN is reli-able and accurate relative to other detection methods available in the literatures.
文摘Recognizing signs and fonts of prehistoric language is a fairly difficult job that requires special tools.This stipulation make the dispensation period over-riding,difficult and tiresome to calculate.This paper present a technique for recognizing ancient south Indian languages by applying Artificial Neural Network(ANN)associated with Opposition based Grey Wolf Optimization Algorithm(OGWA).It identifies the prehistoric language,signs and fonts.It is an apparent from the ANN system that arbitrarily produced weights or neurons linking various layers play a significant role in its performance.For adaptively determining these weights,this paper applies various optimization algorithms such as Opposition based Grey Wolf Optimization,Particle Swarm Optimization and Grey Wolf Opti-mization to the ANN system.Performance results are illustrated that the proposed ANN-OGWO technique achieves superior accuracy over the other techniques.In test case 1,the accuracy value of OGWO is 94.89%and in test case 2,the accu-racy value of OGWO is 92.34%,on average,the accuracy of OGWO achieves 5.8%greater accuracy than ANN-GWO,10.1%greater accuracy than ANN-PSO and 22.1%greater accuracy over conventional ANN technique.