This paper proposes a multi-criteria decision-making (MCGDM) method based on the improved single-valued neutrosophic Hamacher weighted averaging (ISNHWA) operator and grey relational analysis (GRA) to overcome the lim...This paper proposes a multi-criteria decision-making (MCGDM) method based on the improved single-valued neutrosophic Hamacher weighted averaging (ISNHWA) operator and grey relational analysis (GRA) to overcome the limitations of present methods based on aggregation operators. First, the limitations of several existing single-valued neutrosophic weighted averaging aggregation operators (i.e. , the single-valued neutrosophic weighted averaging, single-valued neutrosophic weighted algebraic averaging, single-valued neutrosophic weighted Einstein averaging, single-valued neutrosophic Frank weighted averaging, and single-valued neutrosophic Hamacher weighted averaging operators), which can produce some indeterminate terms in the aggregation process, are discussed. Second, an ISNHWA operator was developed to overcome the limitations of existing operators. Third, the properties of the proposed operator, including idempotency, boundedness, monotonicity, and commutativity, were analyzed. Application examples confirmed that the ISNHWA operator and the proposed MCGDM method are rational and effective. The proposed improved ISNHWA operator and MCGDM method can overcome the indeterminate results in some special cases in existing single-valued neutrosophic weighted averaging aggregation operators and MCGDM methods.展开更多
In military service joint operations, when there are more operational forces, more multifarious materials are consumed, the support is more complex and fuzzy, the deployment of personnel is more rapid, and the support...In military service joint operations, when there are more operational forces, more multifarious materials are consumed, the support is more complex and fuzzy, the deployment of personnel is more rapid, and the support provided by wartime military material support powers can be more effective. When the principles,requirements, influencing factors and goals of military material support forces are deployed in wartime, an evaluation indicator system is established. Thus, a new combined empowerment method based on an analytic hierarchy process(AHP) is developed to calculate the subjective weights, and the rough entropy method is used to calculate the objective weights. Combination weights can be obtained by calculating the weight preference coefficient error, which is determined by combining the cooperative game method and the minimum deviation into objectives. This approach can determine the grey relation projection coefficient and synthesize the measure scheme superiority to finally optimize the deployment plan using the grey relation projection decision-making method. The results show that the method is feasible and effective;it can provide a more scientific and practical decision-making basis for the military material support power deployment in wartime.展开更多
To evaluate the effectiveness of weapon systems, the advantages and disadvantages of grey relational analysis and TOPSIS for multiattribute decision-making is pointed out, and an effectiveness evaluation model of weap...To evaluate the effectiveness of weapon systems, the advantages and disadvantages of grey relational analysis and TOPSIS for multiattribute decision-making is pointed out, and an effectiveness evaluation model of weapon systems by combining grey relational analysis and TOPSIS is proposed. The model aggregates the grey relational grade and the distance to a new integrated closeness and reflects not only the trend but also the situation of the alternative. The example illuminates that the model is effective for the effectiveness evaluation of weapon systems.展开更多
Multidimensional grey relation projection value can be synthesized as one-dimensional projection value by using projection pursuit model. The larger the projection value is,the better the model. Thus,according to the ...Multidimensional grey relation projection value can be synthesized as one-dimensional projection value by using projection pursuit model. The larger the projection value is,the better the model. Thus,according to the projection value,the best one can be chosen from the model aggregation. Because projection pursuit modeling based on accelerating genetic algorithm can simplify the implementation procedure of the projection pursuit technique and overcome its complex calculation as well as the difficulty in implementing its program,a new method can be obtained for choosing the best grey relation projection model based on the projection pursuit technique.展开更多
Based on pseudo strain energy density (PSED) and grey relation coefficient (GRC), an index is proposed to locate the damage of beam-type structures in time-domain. The genetic algorithm (GA) is utilized to identify th...Based on pseudo strain energy density (PSED) and grey relation coefficient (GRC), an index is proposed to locate the damage of beam-type structures in time-domain. The genetic algorithm (GA) is utilized to identify the structural damage severity of confirmed damaged locations. Furthermore, a systematic damage identification program based on GA is developed on MATLAB platform. ANSYS is employed to conduct the finite element analysis of complicated civil engineering structures, which is embedded with interface technique. The two-step damage identification is verified by a finite element model of Xinxingtang Highway Bridge and a laboratory beam model based on polyvinylidens fluoride (PVDF). The bridge model was constructed with 57 girder segments, and simulated with 58 measurement points. The damaged segments were located accurately by GRC index regardless of damage extents and noise levels. With stiffness reduction factors of detected segments as variables, the GA program evolved for 150 generations in 6 h and identified the damage extent with the maximum errors of 1% and 3% corresponding to the noise to signal ratios of 0 and 5%, respectively. In contrast, the common GA-based method without using GRC index evolved for 600 generations in 24 h, but failed to obtain satisfactory results. In the laboratory test, PVDF patches were used as dynamic strain sensors, and the damage locations were identified due to the fact that GRC indexes of points near damaged elements were smaller than 0.6 while those of others were larger than 0.6. The GA-based damage quantification was also consistent with the value of crack depth in the beam model.展开更多
Since the existing prediction methods have encountered difficulties in processing themultiple influencing factors in short-term power load forecasting,we propose a bidirectional long short-term memory(BiLSTM)neural ne...Since the existing prediction methods have encountered difficulties in processing themultiple influencing factors in short-term power load forecasting,we propose a bidirectional long short-term memory(BiLSTM)neural network model based on the temporal pattern attention(TPA)mechanism.Firstly,based on the grey relational analysis,datasets similar to forecast day are obtained.Secondly,thebidirectional LSTM layermodels the data of thehistorical load,temperature,humidity,and date-type and extracts complex relationships between data from the hidden row vectors obtained by the BiLSTM network,so that the influencing factors(with different characteristics)can select relevant information from different time steps to reduce the prediction error of the model.Simultaneously,the complex and nonlinear dependencies between time steps and sequences are extracted by the TPA mechanism,so the attention weight vector is constructed for the hidden layer output of BiLSTM and the relevant variables at different time steps are weighted to influence the input.Finally,the chaotic sparrow search algorithm(CSSA)is used to optimize the hyperparameter selection of the model.The short-term power load forecasting on different data sets shows that the average absolute errors of short-termpower load forecasting based on our method are 0.876 and 4.238,respectively,which is lower than other forecastingmethods,demonstrating the accuracy and stability of our model.展开更多
Lithium-ion battery State of Health(SOH)estimation is an essential issue in battery management systems.In order to better estimate battery SOH,Extreme Learning Machine(ELM)is used to establish a model to estimate lith...Lithium-ion battery State of Health(SOH)estimation is an essential issue in battery management systems.In order to better estimate battery SOH,Extreme Learning Machine(ELM)is used to establish a model to estimate lithium-ion battery SOH.The Swarm Optimization algorithm(PSO)is used to automatically adjust and optimize the parameters of ELM to improve estimation accuracy.Firstly,collect cyclic aging data of the battery and extract five characteristic quantities related to battery capacity from the battery charging curve and increment capacity curve.Use Grey Relation Analysis(GRA)method to analyze the correlation between battery capacity and five characteristic quantities.Then,an ELM is used to build the capacity estimation model of the lithium-ion battery based on five characteristics,and a PSO is introduced to optimize the parameters of the capacity estimation model.The proposed method is validated by the degradation experiment of the lithium-ion battery under different conditions.The results show that the battery capacity estimation model based on ELM and PSO has better accuracy and stability in capacity estimation,and the average absolute percentage error is less than 1%.展开更多
Vehicle type recognition(VTR)is an important research topic due to its significance in intelligent transportation systems.However,recognizing vehicle type on the real-world images is challenging due to the illuminatio...Vehicle type recognition(VTR)is an important research topic due to its significance in intelligent transportation systems.However,recognizing vehicle type on the real-world images is challenging due to the illumination change,partial occlusion under real traffic environment.These difficulties limit the performance of current state-of-art methods,which are typically based on single-stage classification without considering feature availability.To address such difficulties,this paper proposes a two-stage vehicle type recognition method combining the most effective Gabor features.The first stage leverages edge features to classify vehicles by size into big or small via a similarity k-nearest neighbor classifier(SKNNC).Further the more specific vehicle type such as bus,truck,sedan or van is recognized by the second stage classification,which leverages the most effective Gabor features extracted by a set of Gabor wavelet kernels on the partitioned key patches via a kernel sparse representation-based classifier(KSRC).A verification and correction step based on minimum residual analysis is proposed to enhance the reliability of the VTR.To improve VTR efficiency,the most effective Gabor features are selected through gray relational analysis that leverages the correlation between Gabor feature image and the original image.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method not only improves the accuracy of VTR but also enhances the recognition robustness to illumination change and partial occlusion.展开更多
It is generally believed that intelligent management for sewage treatment plants(STPs) is essential to the sustainable engineering of future smart cities.The core of management lies in the precise prediction of daily ...It is generally believed that intelligent management for sewage treatment plants(STPs) is essential to the sustainable engineering of future smart cities.The core of management lies in the precise prediction of daily volumes of sewage.The generation of sewage is the result of multiple factors from the whole social system.Characterized by strong process abstraction ability,data mining techniques have been viewed as promising prediction methods to realize intelligent STP management.However,existing data mining-based methods for this purpose just focus on a single factor such as an economical or meteorological factor and ignore their collaborative effects.To address this challenge,a deep learning-based intelligent management mechanism for STPs is proposed,to predict business volume.Specifically,the grey relation algorithm(GRA) and gated recursive unit network(GRU) are combined into a prediction model(GRAGRU).The GRA is utilized to select the factors that have a significant impact on the sewage business volume,and the GRU is set up to output the prediction results.We conducted a large number of experiments to verify the efficiency of the proposed GRA-GRU model.展开更多
Grain yield security is a basic national policy of China,and changes in grain yield are influenced by a variety of factors,which often have a complex,non-linear relationship with each other.Therefore,this paper propos...Grain yield security is a basic national policy of China,and changes in grain yield are influenced by a variety of factors,which often have a complex,non-linear relationship with each other.Therefore,this paper proposes a Grey Relational Analysis-Adaptive Boosting-Support Vector Regression(GRA-AdaBoost-SVR)model,which can ensure the prediction accuracy of the model under small sample,improve the generalization ability,and enhance the prediction accuracy.SVR allows mapping to high-dimensional spaces using kernel functions,good for solving nonlinear problems.Grain yield datasets generally have small sample sizes and many features,making SVR a promising application for grain yield datasets.However,the SVR algorithm’s own problems with the selection of parameters and kernel functions make the model less generalizable.Therefore,the Adaptive Boosting(AdaBoost)algorithm can be used.Using the SVR algorithm as a training method for base learners in the AdaBoost algorithm.Effectively address the generalization capability problem in SVR algorithms.In addition,to address the problem of sensitivity to anomalous samples in the AdaBoost algorithm,the GRA method is used to extract influence factors with higher correlation and reduce the number of anomalous samples.Finally,applying the GRA-AdaBoost-SVR model to grain yield forecasting in China.Experiments were conducted to verify the correctness of the model and to compare the effectiveness of several traditional models applied to the grain yield data.The results show that the GRA-AdaBoost-SVR algorithm improves the prediction accuracy,the model is smoother,and confirms that the model possesses better prediction performance and better generalization ability.展开更多
Dynamic reliability is a very important issue in reliability research. The dynamic reliability analysis for the project is still in search of domestic and international research in the exploration stage. By now, dynam...Dynamic reliability is a very important issue in reliability research. The dynamic reliability analysis for the project is still in search of domestic and international research in the exploration stage. By now, dynamic reliability research mainly concentrates on the reliability assessment; the methods mainly include dynamic fault tree, extension of event sequence diagram and Monte Carlo simulation, and et al. The paper aims to research the dynamic reliability optimization. On the basis of analysis of the four quality influence factors in the construction engineering, a method based on gray correlation degree is employed to calculate the weights of factors affecting construction process quality. Then the weights are added into the reliability improvement feasible index (RIFI). Furthermore, a novel nonlinear programming mathematic optimization model is established. In the Insight software environment, the Adaptive Simulated Annealing (ASA) algorithm is used to get a more accurate construction subsystem optimal reliability under different RIFI conditions. In addition, the relationship between construction quality and construction system reliability is analyzed, the proposed methods and detailed processing can offer a useful reference for improving the construction system quality level.展开更多
The application of Bayesian network(BN) theory in risk assessment is an emerging trend. But in cases where data are incomplete and variables are mutually related, its application is restricted. To overcome these probl...The application of Bayesian network(BN) theory in risk assessment is an emerging trend. But in cases where data are incomplete and variables are mutually related, its application is restricted. To overcome these problems, an improved BN assessment model with parameter retrieval and decorrelation ability is proposed.First, multivariate nonlinear planning is applied to the feedback error learning of parameters. A genetic algorithm is used to learn the probability distribution of nodes that lack quantitative data. Then, based on an improved grey relational analysis that considers the correlation of variation rate, the optimal weight that characterizes the correlation is calculated and the weighted BN is improved for decorrelation. An improved risk assessment model based on the weighted BN then is built. An assessment of sea ice disaster shows that the model can be applied for risk assessment with incomplete data and variable correlation.展开更多
文摘This paper proposes a multi-criteria decision-making (MCGDM) method based on the improved single-valued neutrosophic Hamacher weighted averaging (ISNHWA) operator and grey relational analysis (GRA) to overcome the limitations of present methods based on aggregation operators. First, the limitations of several existing single-valued neutrosophic weighted averaging aggregation operators (i.e. , the single-valued neutrosophic weighted averaging, single-valued neutrosophic weighted algebraic averaging, single-valued neutrosophic weighted Einstein averaging, single-valued neutrosophic Frank weighted averaging, and single-valued neutrosophic Hamacher weighted averaging operators), which can produce some indeterminate terms in the aggregation process, are discussed. Second, an ISNHWA operator was developed to overcome the limitations of existing operators. Third, the properties of the proposed operator, including idempotency, boundedness, monotonicity, and commutativity, were analyzed. Application examples confirmed that the ISNHWA operator and the proposed MCGDM method are rational and effective. The proposed improved ISNHWA operator and MCGDM method can overcome the indeterminate results in some special cases in existing single-valued neutrosophic weighted averaging aggregation operators and MCGDM methods.
基金supported by the Education Science Fund of the Military Science Institute of Beijing,China(2015JY320)
文摘In military service joint operations, when there are more operational forces, more multifarious materials are consumed, the support is more complex and fuzzy, the deployment of personnel is more rapid, and the support provided by wartime military material support powers can be more effective. When the principles,requirements, influencing factors and goals of military material support forces are deployed in wartime, an evaluation indicator system is established. Thus, a new combined empowerment method based on an analytic hierarchy process(AHP) is developed to calculate the subjective weights, and the rough entropy method is used to calculate the objective weights. Combination weights can be obtained by calculating the weight preference coefficient error, which is determined by combining the cooperative game method and the minimum deviation into objectives. This approach can determine the grey relation projection coefficient and synthesize the measure scheme superiority to finally optimize the deployment plan using the grey relation projection decision-making method. The results show that the method is feasible and effective;it can provide a more scientific and practical decision-making basis for the military material support power deployment in wartime.
文摘To evaluate the effectiveness of weapon systems, the advantages and disadvantages of grey relational analysis and TOPSIS for multiattribute decision-making is pointed out, and an effectiveness evaluation model of weapon systems by combining grey relational analysis and TOPSIS is proposed. The model aggregates the grey relational grade and the distance to a new integrated closeness and reflects not only the trend but also the situation of the alternative. The example illuminates that the model is effective for the effectiveness evaluation of weapon systems.
基金The Key Project of NSFC(No.70631003)the Liberal Arts and Social Science Programming Project of Chinese Ministry of Education(No.07JA790109)
文摘Multidimensional grey relation projection value can be synthesized as one-dimensional projection value by using projection pursuit model. The larger the projection value is,the better the model. Thus,according to the projection value,the best one can be chosen from the model aggregation. Because projection pursuit modeling based on accelerating genetic algorithm can simplify the implementation procedure of the projection pursuit technique and overcome its complex calculation as well as the difficulty in implementing its program,a new method can be obtained for choosing the best grey relation projection model based on the projection pursuit technique.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 50778077 and No. 50608036)
文摘Based on pseudo strain energy density (PSED) and grey relation coefficient (GRC), an index is proposed to locate the damage of beam-type structures in time-domain. The genetic algorithm (GA) is utilized to identify the structural damage severity of confirmed damaged locations. Furthermore, a systematic damage identification program based on GA is developed on MATLAB platform. ANSYS is employed to conduct the finite element analysis of complicated civil engineering structures, which is embedded with interface technique. The two-step damage identification is verified by a finite element model of Xinxingtang Highway Bridge and a laboratory beam model based on polyvinylidens fluoride (PVDF). The bridge model was constructed with 57 girder segments, and simulated with 58 measurement points. The damaged segments were located accurately by GRC index regardless of damage extents and noise levels. With stiffness reduction factors of detected segments as variables, the GA program evolved for 150 generations in 6 h and identified the damage extent with the maximum errors of 1% and 3% corresponding to the noise to signal ratios of 0 and 5%, respectively. In contrast, the common GA-based method without using GRC index evolved for 600 generations in 24 h, but failed to obtain satisfactory results. In the laboratory test, PVDF patches were used as dynamic strain sensors, and the damage locations were identified due to the fact that GRC indexes of points near damaged elements were smaller than 0.6 while those of others were larger than 0.6. The GA-based damage quantification was also consistent with the value of crack depth in the beam model.
基金supported by the Major Project of Basic and Applied Research in Guangdong Universities (2017WZDXM012)。
文摘Since the existing prediction methods have encountered difficulties in processing themultiple influencing factors in short-term power load forecasting,we propose a bidirectional long short-term memory(BiLSTM)neural network model based on the temporal pattern attention(TPA)mechanism.Firstly,based on the grey relational analysis,datasets similar to forecast day are obtained.Secondly,thebidirectional LSTM layermodels the data of thehistorical load,temperature,humidity,and date-type and extracts complex relationships between data from the hidden row vectors obtained by the BiLSTM network,so that the influencing factors(with different characteristics)can select relevant information from different time steps to reduce the prediction error of the model.Simultaneously,the complex and nonlinear dependencies between time steps and sequences are extracted by the TPA mechanism,so the attention weight vector is constructed for the hidden layer output of BiLSTM and the relevant variables at different time steps are weighted to influence the input.Finally,the chaotic sparrow search algorithm(CSSA)is used to optimize the hyperparameter selection of the model.The short-term power load forecasting on different data sets shows that the average absolute errors of short-termpower load forecasting based on our method are 0.876 and 4.238,respectively,which is lower than other forecastingmethods,demonstrating the accuracy and stability of our model.
基金This work was supported by the State Grid Corporation Headquarters Management Technology Project(SGTYHT/19-JS-215)Southwest Jiaotong University new interdisciplinary cultivation project by(YH1500112432273).
文摘Lithium-ion battery State of Health(SOH)estimation is an essential issue in battery management systems.In order to better estimate battery SOH,Extreme Learning Machine(ELM)is used to establish a model to estimate lithium-ion battery SOH.The Swarm Optimization algorithm(PSO)is used to automatically adjust and optimize the parameters of ELM to improve estimation accuracy.Firstly,collect cyclic aging data of the battery and extract five characteristic quantities related to battery capacity from the battery charging curve and increment capacity curve.Use Grey Relation Analysis(GRA)method to analyze the correlation between battery capacity and five characteristic quantities.Then,an ELM is used to build the capacity estimation model of the lithium-ion battery based on five characteristics,and a PSO is introduced to optimize the parameters of the capacity estimation model.The proposed method is validated by the degradation experiment of the lithium-ion battery under different conditions.The results show that the battery capacity estimation model based on ELM and PSO has better accuracy and stability in capacity estimation,and the average absolute percentage error is less than 1%.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.61304205 and 61502240)the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(BK20191401)the Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Project of College Students(202010300290,202010300211,202010300116E).
文摘Vehicle type recognition(VTR)is an important research topic due to its significance in intelligent transportation systems.However,recognizing vehicle type on the real-world images is challenging due to the illumination change,partial occlusion under real traffic environment.These difficulties limit the performance of current state-of-art methods,which are typically based on single-stage classification without considering feature availability.To address such difficulties,this paper proposes a two-stage vehicle type recognition method combining the most effective Gabor features.The first stage leverages edge features to classify vehicles by size into big or small via a similarity k-nearest neighbor classifier(SKNNC).Further the more specific vehicle type such as bus,truck,sedan or van is recognized by the second stage classification,which leverages the most effective Gabor features extracted by a set of Gabor wavelet kernels on the partitioned key patches via a kernel sparse representation-based classifier(KSRC).A verification and correction step based on minimum residual analysis is proposed to enhance the reliability of the VTR.To improve VTR efficiency,the most effective Gabor features are selected through gray relational analysis that leverages the correlation between Gabor feature image and the original image.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method not only improves the accuracy of VTR but also enhances the recognition robustness to illumination change and partial occlusion.
基金Project(KJZD-M202000801) supported by the Major Project of Chongqing Municipal Education Commission,ChinaProject(2016YFE0205600) supported by the National Key Research&Development Program of China+1 种基金Project(CXQT19023) supported by the Chongqing University Innovation Group Project,ChinaProjects(KFJJ2018069,1853061,1856033) supported by the Key Platform Opening Project of Chongqing Technology and Business University,China。
文摘It is generally believed that intelligent management for sewage treatment plants(STPs) is essential to the sustainable engineering of future smart cities.The core of management lies in the precise prediction of daily volumes of sewage.The generation of sewage is the result of multiple factors from the whole social system.Characterized by strong process abstraction ability,data mining techniques have been viewed as promising prediction methods to realize intelligent STP management.However,existing data mining-based methods for this purpose just focus on a single factor such as an economical or meteorological factor and ignore their collaborative effects.To address this challenge,a deep learning-based intelligent management mechanism for STPs is proposed,to predict business volume.Specifically,the grey relation algorithm(GRA) and gated recursive unit network(GRU) are combined into a prediction model(GRAGRU).The GRA is utilized to select the factors that have a significant impact on the sewage business volume,and the GRU is set up to output the prediction results.We conducted a large number of experiments to verify the efficiency of the proposed GRA-GRU model.
基金This work was support in part by Research on Key Technologies of Intelligent Decision-Making for Food Big Data under Grant 2018A01038in part by the National Science Fund for Youth of Hubei Province of China under Grant 2018CFB408+2 种基金in part by the Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province of China under Grant 2015CFA061in part by the National Nature Science Foundation of China under Grant 61272278in part by the Major Technical Innovation Projects of Hubei Province under Grant 2018ABA099。
文摘Grain yield security is a basic national policy of China,and changes in grain yield are influenced by a variety of factors,which often have a complex,non-linear relationship with each other.Therefore,this paper proposes a Grey Relational Analysis-Adaptive Boosting-Support Vector Regression(GRA-AdaBoost-SVR)model,which can ensure the prediction accuracy of the model under small sample,improve the generalization ability,and enhance the prediction accuracy.SVR allows mapping to high-dimensional spaces using kernel functions,good for solving nonlinear problems.Grain yield datasets generally have small sample sizes and many features,making SVR a promising application for grain yield datasets.However,the SVR algorithm’s own problems with the selection of parameters and kernel functions make the model less generalizable.Therefore,the Adaptive Boosting(AdaBoost)algorithm can be used.Using the SVR algorithm as a training method for base learners in the AdaBoost algorithm.Effectively address the generalization capability problem in SVR algorithms.In addition,to address the problem of sensitivity to anomalous samples in the AdaBoost algorithm,the GRA method is used to extract influence factors with higher correlation and reduce the number of anomalous samples.Finally,applying the GRA-AdaBoost-SVR model to grain yield forecasting in China.Experiments were conducted to verify the correctness of the model and to compare the effectiveness of several traditional models applied to the grain yield data.The results show that the GRA-AdaBoost-SVR algorithm improves the prediction accuracy,the model is smoother,and confirms that the model possesses better prediction performance and better generalization ability.
文摘Dynamic reliability is a very important issue in reliability research. The dynamic reliability analysis for the project is still in search of domestic and international research in the exploration stage. By now, dynamic reliability research mainly concentrates on the reliability assessment; the methods mainly include dynamic fault tree, extension of event sequence diagram and Monte Carlo simulation, and et al. The paper aims to research the dynamic reliability optimization. On the basis of analysis of the four quality influence factors in the construction engineering, a method based on gray correlation degree is employed to calculate the weights of factors affecting construction process quality. Then the weights are added into the reliability improvement feasible index (RIFI). Furthermore, a novel nonlinear programming mathematic optimization model is established. In the Insight software environment, the Adaptive Simulated Annealing (ASA) algorithm is used to get a more accurate construction subsystem optimal reliability under different RIFI conditions. In addition, the relationship between construction quality and construction system reliability is analyzed, the proposed methods and detailed processing can offer a useful reference for improving the construction system quality level.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41375002,51609254)the Provincial Natural Science Fund(BK20161464)of Jiangsu
文摘The application of Bayesian network(BN) theory in risk assessment is an emerging trend. But in cases where data are incomplete and variables are mutually related, its application is restricted. To overcome these problems, an improved BN assessment model with parameter retrieval and decorrelation ability is proposed.First, multivariate nonlinear planning is applied to the feedback error learning of parameters. A genetic algorithm is used to learn the probability distribution of nodes that lack quantitative data. Then, based on an improved grey relational analysis that considers the correlation of variation rate, the optimal weight that characterizes the correlation is calculated and the weighted BN is improved for decorrelation. An improved risk assessment model based on the weighted BN then is built. An assessment of sea ice disaster shows that the model can be applied for risk assessment with incomplete data and variable correlation.