Agents interactions in a social network are dynamic and stochastic. We model the dynamic interactions using the hidden Markov model, a probability model which has a wide array of applications. The transition matrix wi...Agents interactions in a social network are dynamic and stochastic. We model the dynamic interactions using the hidden Markov model, a probability model which has a wide array of applications. The transition matrix with three states, forgetting, reinforcement and exploration is estimated using simulation. Singular value decomposition estimates the observation matrix for emission of low, medium and high interaction rates. This is achieved when the rank approximation is applied to the transition matrix. The initial state probabilities are then estimated with rank approximation of the observation matrix. The transition and the observation matrices estimate the state and observed symbols in the model. Agents interactions in a social network account for between 20% and 50% of all the activities in the network. Noise contributes to the other portion due to interaction dynamics and rapid changes observable from the agents transitions in the network. In the model, the interaction proportions are low with 11%, medium with 56% and high with 33%. Hidden Markov model has a strong statistical and mathematical structure to model interactions in a social network.展开更多
The smart distribution system is the critical part of the smart grid, which also plays an important role in the safe and reliable operation of the power grid. The self-healing function of smart distribution network wi...The smart distribution system is the critical part of the smart grid, which also plays an important role in the safe and reliable operation of the power grid. The self-healing function of smart distribution network will effectively improve the security, reliability and efficiency, reduce the system losses, and promote the development of sustainable energy of the power grid. The risk identification process is the most fundamental and crucial part of risk analysis in the smart distribution network. The risk control strategies will carry out on fully recognizing and understanding of the risk events and the causes. On condition that the risk incidents and their reason are identified, the corresponding qualitative / quantitative risk assessment will be performed based on the influences and ultimately to develop effective control measures. This paper presents the concept and methodology on the risk identification by means of Hidden Semi-Markov Model (HSMM) based on the research of the relationship between the operating characteristics/indexes and the risk state, which provides the theoretical and practical support for the risk assessment and risk control technology.展开更多
The research hotspot in post-genomic era is from sequence to function. Building genetic regulatory network (GRN) can help to understand the regulatory mechanism between genes and the function of organisms. Probabilist...The research hotspot in post-genomic era is from sequence to function. Building genetic regulatory network (GRN) can help to understand the regulatory mechanism between genes and the function of organisms. Probabilistic GRN has been paid more attention recently. This paper discusses the Hidden Markov Model (HMM) approach served as a tool to build GRN. Different genes with similar expression levels are considered as different states during training HMM. The probable regulatory genes of target genes can be found out through the resulting states transition matrix and the determinate regulatory functions can be predicted using nonlinear regression algorithm. The experiments on artificial and real-life datasets show the effectiveness of HMM in building GRN.展开更多
In the forward channel of a networked control system （NCS）, by defining the network states as a hidden Markov chain and quantizing the network-induced delays to a discrete sequence distributing over a finite time in...In the forward channel of a networked control system （NCS）, by defining the network states as a hidden Markov chain and quantizing the network-induced delays to a discrete sequence distributing over a finite time interval, the relation between the network states and the network-induced delays is modelled as a discrete-time hidden Markov model （DTHMM）. The expectation maximization （EM） algorithm is introduced to derive the maximumlikelihood estimation （MLE） of the parameters of the DTHMM. Based on the derived DTHMM, the Viterbi algorithm is introduced to predict the controller-to-actuator （C-A） delay during the current sampling period. The simulation experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the modelling and predicting methods proposed.展开更多
Context awareness in Body Sensor Networks (BSNs) has the significance of associating physiological user activity and the environment to the sensed signals of the user. The context information derived from a BSN can be...Context awareness in Body Sensor Networks (BSNs) has the significance of associating physiological user activity and the environment to the sensed signals of the user. The context information derived from a BSN can be used in pervasive healthcare monitoring for relating importance to events and specifically for accurate episode detection. In this paper, we address the issue of context-aware sensing in BSNs, and survey different techniques for deducing context awareness.展开更多
This paper proposes a technique for synthesizing a pixel-based photo-realistic talking face animation using two-step synthesis with HMMs and DNNs. We introduce facial expression parameters as an intermediate represent...This paper proposes a technique for synthesizing a pixel-based photo-realistic talking face animation using two-step synthesis with HMMs and DNNs. We introduce facial expression parameters as an intermediate representation that has a good correspondence with both of the input contexts and the output pixel data of face images. The sequences of the facial expression parameters are modeled using context-dependent HMMs with static and dynamic features. The mapping from the expression parameters to the target pixel images are trained using DNNs. We examine the required amount of the training data for HMMs and DNNs and compare the performance of the proposed technique with the conventional PCA-based technique through objective and subjective evaluation experiments.展开更多
计算机网络缓存侧信道能够间接体现计算机内部状态以及数据传输情况,其受攻击时,用户端信息数据存在泄露风险,因此提出一种基于马尔科夫的计算机网络缓存侧信道攻击检测方法。构建隐马尔科夫模型,对计算机网络缓存侧信道状态改变的概率...计算机网络缓存侧信道能够间接体现计算机内部状态以及数据传输情况,其受攻击时,用户端信息数据存在泄露风险,因此提出一种基于马尔科夫的计算机网络缓存侧信道攻击检测方法。构建隐马尔科夫模型,对计算机网络缓存侧信道状态改变的概率进行计算。通过Baum‐Welch算法估计隐马尔科夫模型最优参数,并计算缓存侧信道状态观测序列输出概率。比较缓存侧信道观测序列输出概率与设定的阈值,判断该序列为计算机网络缓存侧信道攻击信号的可能性,并引入平均信息熵判断计算机缓存侧信道状态是否存在异常,完成计算机网络缓存侧信道攻击检测。通过实验验证得出,该方法用于计算机网络缓存侧信道攻击检测的准确率高,误报率低,在遭受DDoS攻击(Distributed denial of service)时的检测时间较短,对计算机网络缓存侧信道攻击的防御与保护产生了积极影响。展开更多
文摘Agents interactions in a social network are dynamic and stochastic. We model the dynamic interactions using the hidden Markov model, a probability model which has a wide array of applications. The transition matrix with three states, forgetting, reinforcement and exploration is estimated using simulation. Singular value decomposition estimates the observation matrix for emission of low, medium and high interaction rates. This is achieved when the rank approximation is applied to the transition matrix. The initial state probabilities are then estimated with rank approximation of the observation matrix. The transition and the observation matrices estimate the state and observed symbols in the model. Agents interactions in a social network account for between 20% and 50% of all the activities in the network. Noise contributes to the other portion due to interaction dynamics and rapid changes observable from the agents transitions in the network. In the model, the interaction proportions are low with 11%, medium with 56% and high with 33%. Hidden Markov model has a strong statistical and mathematical structure to model interactions in a social network.
文摘The smart distribution system is the critical part of the smart grid, which also plays an important role in the safe and reliable operation of the power grid. The self-healing function of smart distribution network will effectively improve the security, reliability and efficiency, reduce the system losses, and promote the development of sustainable energy of the power grid. The risk identification process is the most fundamental and crucial part of risk analysis in the smart distribution network. The risk control strategies will carry out on fully recognizing and understanding of the risk events and the causes. On condition that the risk incidents and their reason are identified, the corresponding qualitative / quantitative risk assessment will be performed based on the influences and ultimately to develop effective control measures. This paper presents the concept and methodology on the risk identification by means of Hidden Semi-Markov Model (HSMM) based on the research of the relationship between the operating characteristics/indexes and the risk state, which provides the theoretical and practical support for the risk assessment and risk control technology.
文摘The research hotspot in post-genomic era is from sequence to function. Building genetic regulatory network (GRN) can help to understand the regulatory mechanism between genes and the function of organisms. Probabilistic GRN has been paid more attention recently. This paper discusses the Hidden Markov Model (HMM) approach served as a tool to build GRN. Different genes with similar expression levels are considered as different states during training HMM. The probable regulatory genes of target genes can be found out through the resulting states transition matrix and the determinate regulatory functions can be predicted using nonlinear regression algorithm. The experiments on artificial and real-life datasets show the effectiveness of HMM in building GRN.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (60774098 60843003+3 种基金 50905172)the Science Foundation of Anhui Province (090412071 090412040)the University of Science and Technology of China Initiative Foundation
文摘In the forward channel of a networked control system （NCS）, by defining the network states as a hidden Markov chain and quantizing the network-induced delays to a discrete sequence distributing over a finite time interval, the relation between the network states and the network-induced delays is modelled as a discrete-time hidden Markov model （DTHMM）. The expectation maximization （EM） algorithm is introduced to derive the maximumlikelihood estimation （MLE） of the parameters of the DTHMM. Based on the derived DTHMM, the Viterbi algorithm is introduced to predict the controller-to-actuator （C-A） delay during the current sampling period. The simulation experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the modelling and predicting methods proposed.
文摘Context awareness in Body Sensor Networks (BSNs) has the significance of associating physiological user activity and the environment to the sensed signals of the user. The context information derived from a BSN can be used in pervasive healthcare monitoring for relating importance to events and specifically for accurate episode detection. In this paper, we address the issue of context-aware sensing in BSNs, and survey different techniques for deducing context awareness.
文摘This paper proposes a technique for synthesizing a pixel-based photo-realistic talking face animation using two-step synthesis with HMMs and DNNs. We introduce facial expression parameters as an intermediate representation that has a good correspondence with both of the input contexts and the output pixel data of face images. The sequences of the facial expression parameters are modeled using context-dependent HMMs with static and dynamic features. The mapping from the expression parameters to the target pixel images are trained using DNNs. We examine the required amount of the training data for HMMs and DNNs and compare the performance of the proposed technique with the conventional PCA-based technique through objective and subjective evaluation experiments.
文摘计算机网络缓存侧信道能够间接体现计算机内部状态以及数据传输情况,其受攻击时,用户端信息数据存在泄露风险,因此提出一种基于马尔科夫的计算机网络缓存侧信道攻击检测方法。构建隐马尔科夫模型,对计算机网络缓存侧信道状态改变的概率进行计算。通过Baum‐Welch算法估计隐马尔科夫模型最优参数,并计算缓存侧信道状态观测序列输出概率。比较缓存侧信道观测序列输出概率与设定的阈值,判断该序列为计算机网络缓存侧信道攻击信号的可能性,并引入平均信息熵判断计算机缓存侧信道状态是否存在异常,完成计算机网络缓存侧信道攻击检测。通过实验验证得出,该方法用于计算机网络缓存侧信道攻击检测的准确率高,误报率低,在遭受DDoS攻击(Distributed denial of service)时的检测时间较短,对计算机网络缓存侧信道攻击的防御与保护产生了积极影响。
