Assessment of rural sustainable development and analysis and prediction of obstacles and coupled coordinated development:A case study of Zaozhuang City

In China,the Innovation Demonstration Zone for the National Sustainable Development Agenda is a key initiative for executing the United Nations(UN)2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.The Zone also plays critical roles in addressing the developmental bottlenecks that China faces and sharing Chinese insights into global sustainable development efforts.On July 15,2022,the State Council endorsed the Zone’s establishment in Zaozhuang City,Shandong Province,where it focuses on innovation-led sustainable development in rural areas.Research into the levels,impediments,interdependencies,and evolutionary trends of rural sustainable development is crucial.Therefore,this research aimed to assist in comprehensively assessing developmental challenges and facilitating the harmonious advancement of social,economic,and environmental aspects in rural areas.In pursuit of the three fundamental dimensions of the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs),namely development’s drivers,quality,and equity,this study was grounded in China’s national Rural Revitalization Strategy and the demands of sustainable development strategies.It also aligns with the UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the associated SDG indicators.Focusing on four key areas,namely production elements,natural elements,social elements,and rural governance,this study developed an evaluation index system for assessing the level of rural sustainable development.It employed a range of analytical models,including the game theory-based combination empowerment method,barrier degree model,coupling degree model,coupling coordination degree model,and gray prediction GM(1,1)model,to analyze the status and evolving trends of rural sustainable development in Zaozhuang City from 2015 to 2022.The key findings were as follows:①Relative to the baseline year 2015,the sustainable development level in Zaozhuang’s rural areas has shifted toward an improved state overall.②The primary barrier to achieving rural sustainable development in Zaozhuang is the city’s rural governance system.③While the components of rural sustainable development in Zaozhuang are in the early stages of both basic and moderate coordination,an overall enhancement has occurred in their integrative coordination.④Between 2023 and 2025,the level of integrative coordination in Zaozhuang is expected to rise steadily.However,reaching a state of advanced coordination will require additional time for development.

Applying Humboldt’s holistic perspective in China’s sustainability

Alexander von Humboldt,was a great German geobotanist,educator and naturalist who greatly influenced sci-ence and humanities for more than two hundred years.In addition to scientific contributions(such as the un-derstanding of vegetation distribution,the concepts of isotherm and pressure contours,and the initial concept of continental drift theory),he firmly believed in the concept of the interconnection of everything and the method-ological approach of a holistic perspective to development,which has significance in achieving the UN Sustainable Development Goals,because they include both synergy and trade-offs among these goals.China has undergone tremendous changes since its reform and opening up in 1978 and now faces severe challenges in sustainable de-velopment.The scientific methods applied by Chinese scientists in sustainability fulfil the Humboldtian holistic perspective of nature.Here I provide four successful cases and their significant implications for addressing the increasingly severe water shortage,biological conservation,and conflicts between human well-being and land.The four examples discussed in this article are enlightened to establish a strong,just,and influential government and require empirical research to implement sustainable development plans.I believe that it’s vital to encourage and supervise public participation for a successful program;for example,the participants should not be restricted to project executors,i.e.,farmers or workers,but also students and scientists.Eradicating poverty must be priori-tized,and well-being is the ultimate goal for sustainable development.This review article provides an extremely valuable reference for other developing or even developed countries to address sustainability challenges.

Evaluation of coordinated development of regional resources and economy around Shandong Peninsula urban agglomerations

Promoting coordinated development of resources and environment is an important aspect of building a harmonious society and ecologically sustainable civilization. Here we provide scientific basis to promote the development of ecologically sensitive civilization, via a mathematical statistics method that calculates the degree of coordinated development. This model is of great practical and social significance, providing strength to research around coordinated development of resources and economy. Based on evaluation of characteristics of the present resource environment and economic development of Shandong Peninsula city group, a coordinated measure of resource environment and economic development was calculated. Overall, the highest coordination measurement was found for Weihai, followed by Yantai, Qingdao, Ji'nan, Weifang, Rizhao, Zibo and Dongying. According to evaluation results of coordination measures for each city, we put forward suggestions for sustainable development of Shandong Peninsula region.

Carrying Capacity and Coupling Coordination of Water and Land Resources Systems in Arid and Semi-arid Areas: A Case Study of Yulin City, China

Quantitatively assessing the carrying capacity of water and land resources systems in arid and semi-arid areas is crucial for achieving the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals.In this work,taking Yulin City in China as a case study and employing the Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation(CRITIC)method,a modified model of coupling degree was developed to evaluate the car-rying capacity of water and land resources systems endowment and utilization,as well as their coupling coordination degree from 2013 to 2020.Our findings indicate that the water and land resources of Yulin are diminishing due to declines in agriculture,higher industrial water use,and wetland shrinkage.However,reallocating domestic water for ecological sustainability and reducing sloping farmland can mitigate this trend of decline.Temporally,as the coupling coordination between water and land resources system endowment in Yulin continuously improved,the coupling coordination between water and land resources system utilization first decreased and then in-creased with 2016 as the turning point.Spatially,the carrying capacity of water and land resources systems,the coupling coordination degree between water and land resources system endowment,and the coupling coordination degree between water and land resources system utilization in Yulin exhibited the same pattern of being higher in the six northern counties than in the six southern counties.Improving the water resources endowment is vital for the highly efficient use of water and land resources.

Evaluation and countermeasures for coordinated development in the active export-oriented region: a case study on Zhejiang, China

Taking a typical active export-oriented region Zhejiang as an example, this paper tries to evaluate its Coordinated Development Degree （CDD） form 1997, focusing on the characteristics of its export-oriented econom〉 and regional environment. The results show that Zhejiang ＇s CDD has kept increasing steadily after its slight drop in 1998. Finally, four measurements are proposed to promote sustainable development, including increasing and equalizing region＇s environmental investment, changing pollution-intensive export structure to avoid restricting the whole industrial structure, restricting simple spatial translocation of high-material consumption, high-energy consumption and high-pollution industries, etc.

Assessment of Sustainable Development System in Suihua City, China

Sustainable development is a complex and systemic issue. It is essential to study it by the component analysis method from the view of system science. The urban developmental sustainability is one of focuses that people has paid more attention to, however, little common understanding how to measure and evaluate the sustainability has been gotten. In this paper, a framework is designed to evaluate the developmental sustainability of Suihua City, Heilongiiang Province in China from the aspects of economy, society, population, resources and environment. We adopt the Principal Components Analysis （PCA） to decrease dimensions and simplify the original indexes into 12 indexes. Also, the hierarchy and comprehensive multiple-criterion evaluative methods are employed to assess the sustainable development system in Suihua City. Then, the weights of indexes are attained by Analytic Hierarchy Process （AHP） method. Furthermore, urban comprehensive development level, developmental sustainability, coordinate degree are calculated and analyzed. By analyzing, we know the fluctuation of development level of subsystem, especially resources and environment subsystem, is acute. The comprehensive development level of sustainable development system in Suihua has been on the rise since 1999. That results from the effect of traditional economic development mode with high energy-consumed being decreased in the city after 1999. At the same time, it is obvious that there was an instability of development level in Suihua City during 1990-2002, the status＇trend was more harmonious in 1999-2002. with a turn in 1998, and the development could be sustainable,

Analysis of relationship between economic growth and environment in Benxi Shiqiaozi Development Zone

How to express and assess the coordination between environmental system and economic system is one crucial problem for the studies on regional sustainable development.The present study applies environmental supporting capacity (ESC) to evaluate the comparative coordination of economic development plans in a case study in Shiqiaozi Development Zone.The analysis conclusion showed the method is practicable.A new method for judging the efficiency of utilization of environmental system is also discussed in this paper.

Knowledge Economy-The Sustainable Development Economy

Reviewing evolution of natural resources utilization mode in different economic formation, the paper elaborates the meanings of knowledge economy, and points our that the cause of unsustainabte development is the acute contradiction between the taw of ecosystem and the law of economy. It also points out that the essence of sustainable development is the harmonious relation between economy and the ecosystem. Therefore. the resources allocation should be considered from the aspect of the market demand and the aspect of the supply of t he ecosystem. That is to say, firsthy, the scale and pace of economy growth must be adapted to the supply capability of the ecosystem under the current technology, Secondly, based on the supply ability of the ecosystem, we should make it clear how to make limited resources allocation attains equilibrium between market supply and demand. The paper clarifies that in the mode of knowledge economy; we may transform the way of economy growth, form optimum economy structure, change the base of resource supply, strengthen the supply capability of ecosystem expand the production-possibility frontier, and finally accomplish the eco-economy coordinated development through the innovation of institution and technology. The essence of sustainable development and the sustainable characteristics of knowledge economy that were discussed above determine that knowledge economy is an economy of sustainable development.

Coupling analysis of the major impact on sustainable development of the typical arid region of Turpan in Northwest China

Analyzing the sustainable development of a given region can provide an important reference and guide for future orientation.The study selects Turpan(including Gaochang District,Shanshan County,and Toksun County)in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of Northwest China as the study area and first investigates the essence of regional sustainable development.Based on the relevant data of the population,economy,and environment of Turpan from 2002 to 2018,we constructed an evaluation index system for three dimensions,namely,the population,economy,and environment,and analyzed them systematically.Specifically,we quantitatively calculated the comprehensive evaluation index,coupling degree,and coupling coordination degree of the sustainable development system of the study area.The study finds that Turpan has become increasingly sustainable and orderly;the development level has continually improved from near imbalance to positive coordination.During the study period,the government has adopted appropriate models and paths to promote positive interactions among the population,economy,and environment based on engineering techniques and ecological means.The results show that the coupling coordination degree has increased from 0.3692 to 0.8894 during the period 2002–2018,which reflects the actual situation of Turpan and indicates that the proposed analysis method can effectively measure and evaluate the level of sustainable development in this region.Moreover,the study also puts forward main functional zoning of Turpan(i.e.,Gaochang District as an optimized development zone,Shanshan County as a major agricultural production zone,and Toksun County as a key ecological function zone)and regional planning principles based on the population,economic,and environmental coupling analysis for the three jurisdictions in Turpan.

数字化转型与企业ESG表现——基于资源协奏视角的实证研究

数字化转型为企业可持续发展提供了新的路径。本文以2013—2021年沪深两市A股上市公司为研究样本,采取逐步回归分析法,研究数字化转型对企业ESG表现的影响及其内在机理。研究发现,数字化转型会显著提升企业ESG表现,资源协奏在数字化转型提升企业ESG表现的机制中起部分中介作用,即数字化转型可以通过提升资源协奏能力来提升企业ESG表现。

我国学前教育可持续发展评价指标体系及其测算

可持续发展是我国学前教育事业发展的战略目标和未来向往,也是学前教育事业健康稳定发展的必有表征、必需保障和必然路径。学前教育可持续发展亟需构建科学、完善的指标体系加以指引。基于可持续发展系统论,从高度与水平、空间结构、时间进程三个维度出发,构建了由发展度、协调度和永续度组成的学前教育可持续发展评价指标体系,并测算了当前我国学前教育可持续发展综合水平和“三度”水平,发现我国学前教育可持续发展整体处于中等水平,全国四大区域之间差异明显,发展度、协调度和永续度三者之间均衡性不足,“三度”内在构成要素之间也存在明显差异。我国学前教育可持续发展的实现,应以经费投入为重点,多措并举提高学前教育发展水平;以公平均衡为导向,推动城乡、园际学前教育协调发展;以内外合力为保障,驱动学前教育健康永续发展。

碳中和视角下区域性造纸产业绿色可持续发展研究

节约能源、降低二氧化碳排放量是当今时代及未来的发展趋势。造纸产业是我国碳排放几大重点行业之一,对我国碳中和战略目标的达成有义不容辞的担当和责任。对此,进行了碳中和目标下造纸产业发展的思考,简述了我国造纸产业碳排放现状与碳减排潜力,分析了碳中和视角下区域性造纸产业绿色可持续发展面临的诸多机遇与挑战,提出了推进造纸产业绿色可持续发展的有效路径,即制订区域造纸产业低碳发展规划、创新节能减碳技术、促进区域产业协同发展、优化地方政府行为等,以加快区域性造纸产业绿色发展,着力推进碳中和目标的实现。

基于可持续发展的辽宁沿海经济带港城协调发展研究

为探究可持续发展视角下沿海港口与其所在城市的关系,以辽宁沿海经济带6个港口城市为研究对象,构建港城协调发展水平评价指标体系,运用有序度模型、耦合协调度模型、障碍度模型分析辽宁沿海经济带6个城市港城协调发展水平与障碍因素.结果表明:2013—2021年6个城市的港城协调度整体呈现波动增长的趋势,协调发展的主要制约因素为城市发展水平.基于各城市的经济基础、资源禀赋与障碍因素,提出辽宁沿海经济带港城协调发展的建议.

韧性视角下湖南省生态与区域发展时空演化及影响机制

【目的】生态文明建设是区域可持续发展的重要基石,区域整体发展与生态系统之间的协调对提高区域韧性具有重要的引导意义。通过对湖南省地级市生态系统与区域发展的耦合协调水平的时空分异分析,揭示影响地区协调发展差异和发展制约因素,为湖南省生态可持续、区域稳定协调发展提供参考路径。【方法】从韧性视角出发构建生态系统—区域发展协调理论框架与指标体系,采用线性加权综合评价和耦合协调度分析了2010—2020年湖南省生态系统与区域发展水平的时空演变,然后基于地理探测器、主成分回归分析、障碍度模型等方法进一步对两者耦合协调发展的影响机制进行探究。【结果】2010—2020年湖南省各市州的生态系统—区域发展的综合评分、耦合协调度均处于上升趋势,大致呈现“U”字形空间格局。在地区发展差异上,随着省域综合发展由东向西梯级推进,2020年耦合协调度形成东高西低的空间格局,发展差异先增后减,洞庭湖区的生态系统和大湘西地区的区域发展评分仍为四大板块最末。在系统协调上,湖南省十年间从濒临失调发展提升为初级协调发展,然而生态系统的增长仍滞后于区域发展,大部分地区生态系统未充分发挥生态基底优势。【结论】这十年间湖南省综合发展水平总体趋向均衡,但长株潭地区和大湘西地区差距依然明显。韧性视角下,生态网络和城市活动联系网络的协同发展有助于提升区域耦合协调度水平。人均绿地面积、生态连通性、城市夜间活力与耦合协调度提升具有较强关联,生态连通性、固体废弃物综合利用率、人均实际使用外商投资额则是重要阻碍因子。

省域尺度下新型城镇化与可持续发展的耦合协调研究

当今,中国新型城镇化的快速发展对我国的区域可持续发展产生了一些不利影响,而全球气候变暖和极端气候事件的不断增加也给我国的区域可持续发展带来了新的挑战。在此时代背景之下,开展对新型城镇化与可持续发展的耦合协调研究,就成为了推动我国社会经济高质量发展所亟待解决的迫切问题之一。鉴于以上原因,本文基于2003—2019年我国各省份人口、经济、社会、生态环境等数据,从计算新型城镇化综合指数与环境增强型可持续发展指数(ESDI)入手,通过构建耦合协调模型与GM(1,1)灰色预测模型,来研究我国省域尺度下新型城镇化与可持续发展耦合协调度的时空演变特征,以及新型城镇化与可持续发展耦合协调作用的发展趋势。研究结果表明:1)在可持续发展水平方面,我国各个省份存在着明显的时空差异性。2003—2019年具有低水平ESDI的省份数量先增加后减少,而具有高水平ESDI的省份数量则呈上升趋势。2)在新型城镇化与可持续发展耦合协调关系方面,我国各个省份的耦合协调度以“基本失调”与“基本协调”状态为主,并总体呈现出从“基本失调”向着“基本协调”转变的趋势,但是多数省份的新型城镇化发展还处于滞后或者受阻状态。3)经过对新型城镇化与可持续发展耦合协调度发展趋势的预测表明,2020—2024年我国有20个省份的新型城镇化与可持续发展的耦合协调度处于“基本协调”状态,有9个省份处于“基本失调”状态,内蒙古自治区则处于“严重失调”状态。

乡村振兴背景下文旅小镇规划策略研究——以贵州丹寨小镇为例

在分析乡村振兴战略的基础上,结合贵州丹寨小镇规划实践,提出规划理念统筹项目全周期的重要性和必要性。首先,总体规划定位确定的发展方向和目标要符合当地社会经济文化的发展战略,为长期稳定的发展打好基础;其次,空间规划要汲取当地的空间基因打造具有传统地域风格和文化底蕴的城乡空间;再次,业态规划应把文化传承与复兴作为延续小镇活力的内生动力;最后,规划理念对招商运营决策的绝对主导,可为后续可持续发展及空间生长保驾护航。

珠三角城市群人口-产业-环境耦合协调度及其影响因素

利用人口、产业和环境三大维度相关的多源大数据,构建耦合协调度测度模型。以珠三角城市群为例,测定人口-产业-环境维度的耦合协调度,并结合相关分析与地理加权回归模型分析其影响因素。结果表明:珠三角城市群人口-产业-环境协调度普遍较低,呈现明显的高值与低值聚集的空间分布格局。城市群内各地级市与不同城乡地域类型的耦合协调度整体差异不大。耦合协调度主要受产业维度产业链串联共生度与环境维度植被净初级生产力的影响。人口与产业维度因子间相关性强且呈正相关,但二者与环境维度因子呈负相关关系。结合研究结果,提出夯实南沙与珠三角西岸地区以创新引领的高质量发展、加强珠三角城市群生态保护的可持续经济发展等建议。

城市基础设施生态化转型与城市韧性关系研究——基于复杂系统视角

目前中国城市生态化转型与城市韧性提升之间仍然缺乏较为成熟的联结机制,导致了城市建设难以在原有的生态基底上找到韧性发展的着力点。本文基于复杂适应系统理论,构建了城市韧性系统研究框架。利用中国2011-2022年的样本数据,运用系统动力学和耦合协调度模型模拟在不同的城市基础设施转型策略下城市韧性水平的变化过程,得出了分别在两种扰动情景、六种发展战略下的韧性仿真结果。结果表明:①生态转型战略中,飞地新建战略对城市生态、经济、社会韧性的影响作用最明显,其次是“生态>工业>社区”。②单一的延续发展对城市各方面韧性的影响效果最差,而转型战略与协同发展战略的影响效果视具体的扰动情景而定。③对城市韧性整体而言,协同发展战略在短期和慢性扰动视角下的效果最好,而转型发展战略在长期或急性灾害冲击下有更大的发展潜力。④我国整体城市韧性子系统只达到了勉强协调状态,增强三个子系统之间的耦合关联性是未来提升城市生态化转型能力和韧性的有效策略。

陕西省能源消费转型与环境可持续发展耦合协调度及影响因素研究

协调推动能源消费转型与环境可持续发展对推进中国式现代化有着重要的意义。从能源消费转型和环境可持续发展两个方面构建评价指标体系。运用熵权法和综合评价法,构建了能源消费转型和环境可持续发展系统的耦合协调度模型,分析了陕西省2015—2021年能源消费转型和环境可持续发展的水平与耦合协调度。研究表明,陕西省能源消费转型与环境可持续发展两个子系统之间耦合程度高,能源消费转型与环境可持续发展系统耦合协调程度不断改善。按影响程度大小,影响陕西省能源消费转型与环境可持续发展系统耦合协调度的主要因素依次为环境状态、能源消费结构、终端用能、环境治理、能源消费强度、环境压力和能源消费总量。

基于SD-协同学模型的中国农业可持续发展评价

农业大系统的经济、社会、科技、生态、自然资源、环境治理六个子系统协同控制是农业可持续协同发展和乡村振兴的产业基础。运用协同学理论和系统动力学方法构建农业大系统可持续发展评价模型,测算各子系统之间的协同度。结果表明:农业可持续协同发展六个子系统协同处于低度协同或非协同。农业科技子系统的贡献度还不高;加快发展和运用绿色低碳循环农业科技,是提升现阶段农业可持续协同发展的关键所在。