Hotspot topic trends can be captured by analyzing user attributes and historical behavior in social network. In this paper, we propose a user participation behavior prediction model for social hotspots, based on user ...Hotspot topic trends can be captured by analyzing user attributes and historical behavior in social network. In this paper, we propose a user participation behavior prediction model for social hotspots, based on user behavior and relationship data, to predict user participation behavior and topic development trends. Firstly, for the complex factors of user behavior, three dynamic influence factor functions are defined, including individual, peer and community influence. These functions take timeliness into account using a time discretization method. Secondly, to determine laws of individual behavior and group behavior within a social topic, a hotspot user participation behavior prediction model is proposed and associated with the basic concepts of randora field and Markov property in information diffusion. The experimental results show that the model can not only dynamically predict the individual behavior, but also grasp the development trends of topics.展开更多
The outbreak of hotspot in social network may contain complex dynamic genesis. Using user behavior data from hotspots in social network, we study how different user groups play different roles for a hotspot topic. Fir...The outbreak of hotspot in social network may contain complex dynamic genesis. Using user behavior data from hotspots in social network, we study how different user groups play different roles for a hotspot topic. Firstly, by analyzing users' behavior records, we mine group situation that promotes the hotspot.Several major attributions in a hotspot outbreak, such as individual, peer and group triggers, are defined formally according to the view-point of social identity, social interaction, retweet depth and opinion leader. Secondly,for the problem of the uneven and sparse data in each stage of hotspot topic's life cycle, we propose a dynamic influence model based on grey system to formalize the effect of different groups. Then the process of hotspot evolution driven by distinct crowd is showed dynamically. The experimental result confirms that the model is able not only to qualify users' influence on a hotspot topic but also to predict effectively an upcoming change in a hotspot topic.展开更多
基金supported by the National Key Basic Research Program(973 program)of China(No.2013CB329606)National Science Foundation of China(Grant No.61272400)+2 种基金Science and Technology Research Program of the Chongqing Municipal Education Committee(No.KJ1500425)Wen Feng Foundation of CQUPT(No.WF201403)Chongqing Graduate Research And Innovation Project(No.CYS14146)
文摘Hotspot topic trends can be captured by analyzing user attributes and historical behavior in social network. In this paper, we propose a user participation behavior prediction model for social hotspots, based on user behavior and relationship data, to predict user participation behavior and topic development trends. Firstly, for the complex factors of user behavior, three dynamic influence factor functions are defined, including individual, peer and community influence. These functions take timeliness into account using a time discretization method. Secondly, to determine laws of individual behavior and group behavior within a social topic, a hotspot user participation behavior prediction model is proposed and associated with the basic concepts of randora field and Markov property in information diffusion. The experimental results show that the model can not only dynamically predict the individual behavior, but also grasp the development trends of topics.
基金supported by National Basic Research Program of China(973 program)(Grant No.2013CB3296-06)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.61272400)+6 种基金Chongqing Innovative Team Fund for College Development Project(Grant No.KJTD201310)Chongqing Youth Innovative Talent Project(Grant No.cstc2013kjrc-qnrc40004)Ministry of Education of China and China Mobile Research Fund(Grant No.MCM20130351)Science and Technology Research Program of the Chongqing Municipal Education Committee(Grant No.KJ1500425)Wen Feng Foundation of CQUPT(Grant No.WF201403)Science and Technology on Information Transmission and Dissemination in Communication Networks Laboratory Open Subject(Grant No.ITD-U13002/KX132600009)Chongqing Graduate Research and Innovation Project(Grant No.CYS14146)
文摘The outbreak of hotspot in social network may contain complex dynamic genesis. Using user behavior data from hotspots in social network, we study how different user groups play different roles for a hotspot topic. Firstly, by analyzing users' behavior records, we mine group situation that promotes the hotspot.Several major attributions in a hotspot outbreak, such as individual, peer and group triggers, are defined formally according to the view-point of social identity, social interaction, retweet depth and opinion leader. Secondly,for the problem of the uneven and sparse data in each stage of hotspot topic's life cycle, we propose a dynamic influence model based on grey system to formalize the effect of different groups. Then the process of hotspot evolution driven by distinct crowd is showed dynamically. The experimental result confirms that the model is able not only to qualify users' influence on a hotspot topic but also to predict effectively an upcoming change in a hotspot topic.
