Hurricanes Katrina and Rita resulted in the largest number of platforms destroyed and damaged in the history of Gulf of Mexico operations. With the trend of global warming, sea level rising and the frequency and inten...Hurricanes Katrina and Rita resulted in the largest number of platforms destroyed and damaged in the history of Gulf of Mexico operations. With the trend of global warming, sea level rising and the frequency and intensity of typhoon increase. How to determine a reasonable deck elevation against the largest hurricane waves has become a key issue in offshore platforms design and construction for the unification of economy and safety. In this paper, the multivariate compound extreme value distribution （MCEVD） model is used to predict the deck elevation with different combination of tide, surge height, and crest height. Compared with practice recommended by American Petroleum Institute （API）, the prediction by MCEVD has probabilistic meaning and universality.展开更多
In this paper,we propose a two-stage transmission hardening and planning(TH&P)model that can meet the load growth demand of normal scenarios and the resilience requirements of hurricane-induced damage scenarios.To...In this paper,we propose a two-stage transmission hardening and planning(TH&P)model that can meet the load growth demand of normal scenarios and the resilience requirements of hurricane-induced damage scenarios.To better measure the resilience requirements,the proposed TH&P model includes two resilience assessment indexes,namely,the load shedding(LS)under the damage scenario and the average connectivity degree(ACD)at different stages.The first-stage model,which aims to meet the load growth demand while minimizing the LS,is formulated as a mixed-integer linear program(MILP)to minimize the total planning and hardening cost of transmission lines,the operating cost of generators,and the penalty cost of wind power and load shedding in both normal and damage scenarios.The second-stage model aims to further improve the ACD when the ACD of the scheme obtained from the first-stage model cannot reach the target.Specifically,the contribution of each transmission line to the ACD is calculated,and the next hardened line is determined to increase the ACD.This process is repeated until the ACD meets the requirements.Case studies of the modified IEEE RTS-24 and two-area IEEE reliability test system-1996 indicate the proposed TH&P model can meet the requirements for both normal and damage scenarios.展开更多
基金supported bythe National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.51010009)
文摘Hurricanes Katrina and Rita resulted in the largest number of platforms destroyed and damaged in the history of Gulf of Mexico operations. With the trend of global warming, sea level rising and the frequency and intensity of typhoon increase. How to determine a reasonable deck elevation against the largest hurricane waves has become a key issue in offshore platforms design and construction for the unification of economy and safety. In this paper, the multivariate compound extreme value distribution （MCEVD） model is used to predict the deck elevation with different combination of tide, surge height, and crest height. Compared with practice recommended by American Petroleum Institute （API）, the prediction by MCEVD has probabilistic meaning and universality.
基金sponsored by National Natural Science Foundation of China(U1966206,51907123)Shanghai Sailing Program(20YF1418900)State Grid Corporation of China(SGHD0000GHJS2200346)。
文摘In this paper,we propose a two-stage transmission hardening and planning(TH&P)model that can meet the load growth demand of normal scenarios and the resilience requirements of hurricane-induced damage scenarios.To better measure the resilience requirements,the proposed TH&P model includes two resilience assessment indexes,namely,the load shedding(LS)under the damage scenario and the average connectivity degree(ACD)at different stages.The first-stage model,which aims to meet the load growth demand while minimizing the LS,is formulated as a mixed-integer linear program(MILP)to minimize the total planning and hardening cost of transmission lines,the operating cost of generators,and the penalty cost of wind power and load shedding in both normal and damage scenarios.The second-stage model aims to further improve the ACD when the ACD of the scheme obtained from the first-stage model cannot reach the target.Specifically,the contribution of each transmission line to the ACD is calculated,and the next hardened line is determined to increase the ACD.This process is repeated until the ACD meets the requirements.Case studies of the modified IEEE RTS-24 and two-area IEEE reliability test system-1996 indicate the proposed TH&P model can meet the requirements for both normal and damage scenarios.
