Objective: This study aims to explore the correlation between human papillomavirus (HPV) and Mycoplasma genitalium (CT) combined with TCT detection in cervical cancer screening. Method: A cross-sectional study design ...Objective: This study aims to explore the correlation between human papillomavirus (HPV) and Mycoplasma genitalium (CT) combined with TCT detection in cervical cancer screening. Method: A cross-sectional study design was adopted, and a total of 609 women who came to seek medical treatment were recruited as the study subjects. Combination testing was evaluated on cervical cancer screening by testing the women for HPV, CT with TCT detection and analyzing the relationship of cervical lesions with HPV and CT infection. Results: The study results showed that 21.57% of the subjects were infected with both HPV and CT, and 48.42% of the cases had abnormal TCT results at the same time. Further data analysis showed that HPV infection was significantly associated with abnormal TCT outcomes (p < 0.05), suggesting a possible synergistic effect of the two infections in cervical lesions. The combined sensitivity and specificity of HPV, CT and TCT detection were 21.57% and 48.42%, respectively, which were significantly higher than that of single detection. Conclusion: In summary, the results of this study support the importance of combined HPV, CT, and TCT testing in cervical cancer screening, and propose the hypothesis that combined testing may improve screening effectiveness. However, further large sample studies are needed to confirm this conclusion and explore the prospects of combined testing in clinical practice.展开更多
Objective Previous studies have shown that meteorological factors may increase COVID-19 mortality,likely due to the increased transmission of the virus.However,this could also be related to an increased infection fata...Objective Previous studies have shown that meteorological factors may increase COVID-19 mortality,likely due to the increased transmission of the virus.However,this could also be related to an increased infection fatality rate(IFR).We investigated the association between meteorological factors(temperature,humidity,solar irradiance,pressure,wind,precipitation,cloud coverage)and IFR across Spanish provinces(n=52)during the first wave of the pandemic(weeks 10–16 of 2020).Methods We estimated IFR as excess deaths(the gap between observed and expected deaths,considering COVID-19-unrelated deaths prevented by lockdown measures)divided by the number of infections(SARS-CoV-2 seropositive individuals plus excess deaths)and conducted Spearman correlations between meteorological factors and IFR across the provinces.Results We estimated 2,418,250 infections and 43,237 deaths.The IFR was 0.03%in<50-year-old,0.22%in 50–59-year-old,0.9%in 60–69-year-old,3.3%in 70–79-year-old,12.6%in 80–89-year-old,and26.5%in≥90-year-old.We did not find statistically significant relationships between meteorological factors and adjusted IFR.However,we found strong relationships between low temperature and unadjusted IFR,likely due to Spain’s colder provinces’aging population.Conclusion The association between meteorological factors and adjusted COVID-19 IFR is unclear.Neglecting age differences or ignoring COVID-19-unrelated deaths may severely bias COVID-19 epidemiological analyses.展开更多
A two-step method was developed to quantitatively assess the infection rate of the entomophthoraceous fungus, Zoophthora anhuiensis (Li) Humber, on the green peach aphid, Myzus persicae (Sulzer) .Firstly, a standard t...A two-step method was developed to quantitatively assess the infection rate of the entomophthoraceous fungus, Zoophthora anhuiensis (Li) Humber, on the green peach aphid, Myzus persicae (Sulzer) .Firstly, a standard time-dose-mortality relationship, established by modeling data from bioassay 1 at varying conidial dosages (0.4- 10.4 conidia/mm^2) of Z. anhuiensis F97028, was used to yield an estimate of expected mortality probability at a given dosage. Secondly, bioassay 2 was conducted by simultaneously exposing six ≤4-day-old nymphal colonies to a shower of Z. anhuiensis conidia at each of four dosages (resulting from exposures of 0.3 - 8.0 min) . Subsequently, the colonies were separately immersed in a 0.1% chlorothalonil solution for 0.5 min to disinfect all surviving conidia on the host integument from 1 - 12 h after exposure under temperature treatments of 15 and 20℃, respectively. The infection rate during a specific period from the end of the exposure to the immersion was then estimated as the ratio of the observed mortality over the expected mortality probability at a particular dosage. The results showed that the infection of M. persicae from Z. anhuiensis was highly rapid with little difference between aphid colonies maintained at 15 and 20℃ before being immersed in the fungicidal solution after exposure. The first 6-hour period after exposure was most crucial to successful infection of the fungus with the infection rate greatly depending on conidial dosages. It took ≤ 1 h to infect > 50% of the aphids at a dosage of > 1.5 conida/mm^2 and > 90% at > 50 conidia/mm^2 .展开更多
Objective To investigate the infection rate of hepatitis C virus among the ambulatory patients and in-patients of a tertiary teaching hospital,and study the demographic factors related to the prevalence of hepatitis C...Objective To investigate the infection rate of hepatitis C virus among the ambulatory patients and in-patients of a tertiary teaching hospital,and study the demographic factors related to the prevalence of hepatitis C virus infection.Methods All patients tested for hepatitis C virus antibody from July 2008 to July 2009 in Peking Union Medical College Hospital were enrolled in this cross-sectional analysis.The prevalence of hepatitis C virus infection was compared according to age,gender,and departments,respectively.Among patients with positive serology hepatitis C virus marker,the positivity of hepatitis C virus RNA was analysed.Results Among 29 896 subjects included,the hepatitis C virus antibody of 494 patients were positive(1.7%).When patients were divided into 9 age groups,the age specific prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody were0.2%,1.7%,1.2%,1.1%,1.5%,1.9%,2.6%,2.4%and 2%,respectively.The prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody in non-surgical department and surgical department was 3%and 1%,respectively.The prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody of males was higher than that of the females.Total of 194 patients with positive hepatitis C virus antibody were tested for hepatitis C virus RNA,the RNA level of 113 patients(58.2%)were higher than the low detection limit.Conclusions The prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody was relatively high among patients of general tertiary hospital.Age group of 60-69,males and patients in non-surgical departments were factors associated with high rate of hepatitis C virus infection.展开更多
Taking the COVID-19 data from 2020-1-23 to 3-21 days released by the China Health Protection Committee as the sample,the hospital remaining rate,mortality rate and cure rate are selected as covariates,and the contact ...Taking the COVID-19 data from 2020-1-23 to 3-21 days released by the China Health Protection Committee as the sample,the hospital remaining rate,mortality rate and cure rate are selected as covariates,and the contact infection rate is used as response variable to establish a high precision ADL model,results of return substitution show that the predicted value of contact infection rate almost coincides with the sample value,and shows three stages of change characteristics.After March 1,2020,the overall trend is downward,stable below 12%.Main influencing factors of contact infection rate are analyzed quantitatively.Based on this,the ARIMA(1,2,2)model is established to analyze and predict the mortality change trend.The results showed that the domestic COVID-19 mortality rate is stable near 4%after 2020-3-27.展开更多
Since 2015, Côte d’Ivoire has been the world’s largest cashew producer. However, cashew orchards in Côte d’Ivoire are infected by fungal diseases that weaken production. And the contribution of weeds to t...Since 2015, Côte d’Ivoire has been the world’s largest cashew producer. However, cashew orchards in Côte d’Ivoire are infected by fungal diseases that weaken production. And the contribution of weeds to the spread of these diseases is not yet understood. This study was initiated with the aim of establishing the role of weeds in the proliferation of pathogenic fungi in orchards. It consisted of a survey of weeds showing disease symptoms in cashew orchards in Côte d’Ivoire from February 2021 to July 2022. The itinerant method was used for the weed inventory. Symptomatic leaves were collected and sent to the laboratory for diagnosis on PDA (Potatoes Dextrose Agar) medium. In total, 50 species in 46 genera and 23 families were recorded. Laboratory diagnosis of the samples showed that 80% of the weeds identified harboured pathogenic fungi. The highest infection rates were obtained on Danielia oliveri R. (99.33% to 100%), Vitellaria paradoxa G. (100%), Pterocarpus erinaceus P. (83.91% to 99.33%), Micuna pruriens L. (98.33% to 100%) and Isoberlinia doka C. et S. (56.33% to 100%). The diagnosis revealed the presence of Lasiodiplodia sp, Colletotrichum sp, Pestalotia sp, Alternaria sp and Curvularia sp on weeds in the cashew orchard in Côte d’Ivoire.展开更多
Models for diseases spreading are not just limited to SIS or SIR. For instance, for the spreading of AIDS/HIV, the susceptible individuals can be classified into different cases according to their immunity, and simila...Models for diseases spreading are not just limited to SIS or SIR. For instance, for the spreading of AIDS/HIV, the susceptible individuals can be classified into different cases according to their immunity, and similarly, the infected individuals can be sorted into different classes according to their infectivity. Moreover, some diseases may develop through several stages. Many authors have shown that the individuals' relation can be viewed as a complex network. So in this paper, in order to better explain the dynamical behavior of epidemics, we consider different epidemic models on complex networks, and obtain the epidemic threshold for each ease. Finally, we present numerical simulations for each case to verify our results.展开更多
[ Objective] To understand the epidemic status of Eperythrozoon ovis in sheep in Xinjiang region of China. [ Method ] A total of 850 blood samples were collected from seven sheep breeding areas in Xinjiang region. The...[ Objective] To understand the epidemic status of Eperythrozoon ovis in sheep in Xinjiang region of China. [ Method ] A total of 850 blood samples were collected from seven sheep breeding areas in Xinjiang region. The Eperythrozoon ovis infection was detected by blood tablet examination, blood smear stained with Wright's stain and polymerase chain reaction (PCR). [ Result] The infection rates were 97%, 97% and 75% when the samples were detected by blood tablet examination, blood smear stained with Wright's stain and PCR, respectively. Sheep eperythrozooo nosis occurred in the four seasons without seasonal epidemics. No obvious difference in infection rates was observed between the sheep breeding areas. The Eperythrozoon ovis infection was slight or mild in most cases, but the infection was severe in two periods, that is, from May to June and from November to December. [ Conclusion] The Eperythrozoon ovis infection is popular in sheep in Xinjiang region of China, and the main inducements may be changes in seasons and forage formula.展开更多
Based on the study of infection and morphological characteristics of 12 kinds of livestock Eperythrozoon,disinfection test by drugs in vitro,disinfection test by ultraviolet light,Eperythrozoon survival test at differ...Based on the study of infection and morphological characteristics of 12 kinds of livestock Eperythrozoon,disinfection test by drugs in vitro,disinfection test by ultraviolet light,Eperythrozoon survival test at different times and temperatures,drug sensitivity test and clinical treatment of infected swines were carried out on Eperythrozoon suis and Eperythrozoon wenyonii to further study the biological characteristics. Test results showed that infection level of livestock Eperythrozoon was high,while morbidity was low. Eperythrozoon suis and Eperythrozoon wenyonii could survive for 1 year at 3- 5 ℃,180 d at 16- 26 ℃ and 30 min at- 20 ℃,while which died instantly at 65 ℃. Eperythrozoon was sensitive to general chemical disinfection drugs,while not sensitive to ultraviolet light disinfection. Transmission of Eperythrozoon mainly included contagious transmission and vertical transmission. Results of drug sensitivity test showed that Eperythrozoon was sensitive to Tetracycline and antigen insect drugs. Sizes and shapes of different livestock Eperythrozoon were different. The study provided a scientific basis for the effective prevention and treatment of livestock Eperythrozoonosis.展开更多
in order to observe the efficacy or a booster dose of hepatitis B vaccine, ic4 primaryschool children with a good response were enrolled in a double-bind, placebo-controlled and randomized field trial three years afte...in order to observe the efficacy or a booster dose of hepatitis B vaccine, ic4 primaryschool children with a good response were enrolled in a double-bind, placebo-controlled and randomized field trial three years after the primary vaccination. At the end of the 6-year follow-up anti-HBspositive rate and GMT (of S/N value) In the revaccinated group were 54. 5% and 12. 0. still higherthan those in the control group (40. 5 % & 4. 8), but the difference of the positive rates was not statistically significant this time. Anti-HBs I,osltlve rate and GMT not only in the control group but inthe revaccinated group had dramatically declined against those 3 years arter the revaccination (thecontrol group: 69. 4 % & 20. 6 1 the revaccinated group: 87' 8% & 43. 3) (P < 0. of ). The higher anti-HBs titer before the revaccination, the better the persistence of anti-HBs after the revaccination.HBV infection rate (calculated by person-year) In the revacclnated group was l' 44%, without statistical difference from 3. 19% In the control group (P > 0. 05) as before. Considering the perfect longterm efficacy of hepatitis B vaccine, we concluded that a booster dose 9 years arter the primary immunization seems unnecessary.展开更多
Objective:To analyse the impact and repercussions of the surge in healthcare demand in response to the COVID-19 pandemic,assess the potential effectiveness of various infection/disease control measures,and make projec...Objective:To analyse the impact and repercussions of the surge in healthcare demand in response to the COVID-19 pandemic,assess the potential effectiveness of various infection/disease control measures,and make projections on the best approach to exit from the current lockdown.Design:A four-compartment model was constructed for SARS-CoV-2 infection based on the Wuhan data and validated with data collected in Italy,the UK,and the US.The model captures the effectiveness of various disease suppression measures in three modifiable factors:(a)the per capita contact rate(β)that can be lowered by means of social distancing,(b)infection probability upon contacting infectious individuals that can be lowered by wearing facemasks,personal hygiene,etc.,and(c)the population of infectious individuals in contact with the susceptible population,which can be lowered by quarantine.The model was used to make projections on the best approach to exit from the current lockdown.Results:The model was applied to evaluate the epidemiological data and hospital burden in Italy,the UK,and the US.The control measures were identified as the key drivers for the observed epidemiological data through sensitivity analyses.Analysing the different lockdown exit strategies showed that a lockdown exit strategy with a combination of social separation/general facemask use may work,but this needs to be supported by intense monitoring whichwould allowre-introduction/tightening of the controlmeasures if the number of newinfected subjects increases again.Conclusions and relevance:Governments should act early in a swift and decisive manner for containment policies.Any lockdown exit will need to be monitored closely,with regards to the potential of lockdown reimplementation.This mathematical model provides a framework for major pandemics in the future.展开更多
Background:The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic hit South America badly with multiple waves.Different COVID-19 variants have been storming across the region,leading to more severe infections and deaths even in places with hi...Background:The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic hit South America badly with multiple waves.Different COVID-19 variants have been storming across the region,leading to more severe infections and deaths even in places with high vaccination coverage.This study aims to assess the spatiotemporal variability of the COVID-19 pandemic and estimate the infection fatality rate(IFR),infection attack rate(IAR)and reproduction number(R0)for twelve most affected South American countries.Methods:We fit a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered(SEIR)-based model with a time-varying transmission rate to the reported COVID-19 deaths for the twelve South American countries with the highest mortalities.Most of the epidemiological datasets analysed in this work are retrieved from the disease surveillance systems by the World Health Organization,Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center and Our World in Data.We investigate the COVID-19 mortalities in these countries,which could represent the situation for the overall South American region.We employ COVID-19 dynamic model with-and-without vaccination considering time-varying flexible transmission rate to estimate IFR,IAR and R0 of COVID-19 for the South American countries.Results:We simulate the model in each scenario under suitable parameter settings and yield biologically reasonable estimates for IFR(varies between 0.303% and 0.723%),IAR(varies between 0.03 and 0.784)and R0(varies between 0.7 and 2.5)for the 12 South American countries.We observe that the severity,dynamical patterns of deaths and time-varying transmission rates among the countries are highly heterogeneous.Further analysis of the model with the effect of vaccination highlights that increasing the vaccination rate could help suppress the pandemic in South America.Conclusions:This study reveals possible reasons for the two waves of COVID-19 outbreaks in South America.We observed reductions in the transmission rate corresponding to each wave plausibly due to improvement in nonpharmaceutical interventions measures and human protective behavioral reaction to recent deaths.Thus,strategies coupling social distancing and vaccination could substantially suppress the mortality rate of COVID-19 in South America.展开更多
Background:Changes of land cover modify the characteristics of habitat,host-vector interaction and consequently infection rates of disease causing agents.In this paper,we report variations in tsetse distribution patte...Background:Changes of land cover modify the characteristics of habitat,host-vector interaction and consequently infection rates of disease causing agents.In this paper,we report variations in tsetse distribution patterns,abundance and infection rates in relation to habitat types and age in the Maasai Steppe of northern Tanzania.In Africa,Tsetse-transmitted trypanosomiasis negatively impacted human life where about 40 million people are at risk of contracting the disease with dramatic socio-economical consequences,for instance,loss of livestock,animal productivity,and manpower.Methods:We trapped tsetse flies in dry and wet seasons between October 2014 and May 2015 in selected habitats across four villages:Emboreet,Loiborsireet,Kimotorok and Oltukai adjacent to protected areas.Data collected include number and species of tsetse flies caught in baited traps,PCR identification of trypanosome species and extraction of monitored Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI)data from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer(MODIS).Results:Our findings demonstrate the variation of tsetse fly species abundance and infection rates among habitats in surveyed villages in relation to NDVI and host abundance.Results have shown higher tsetse fly abundance in Acacia-swampy ecotone and riverine habitats for Emboreet and other villages,respectively.Tsetse abundance was inconsistent among habitats in different villages.Emboreet was highly infested with Glossina swynnertoni(68%)in ecotone and swampy habitats followed by G.morsitans(28%)and G.pallidipes(4%)in riverine habitat.In the remaining villages,the dominant tsetse fly species by 95%was G.pallidipes in all habitats.Trypanosoma vivax was the most prevalent species in all infected flies(95%)with few observations of co-infections(with T.congolense or T.brucei).Conclusions:The findings of this study provide a framework to mapping hotspots of tsetse infestation and trypanosomiasis infection and enhance the communities to plan for effective control of trypanosomiasis.展开更多
Objective To investigate the risk factors and variations in postoperative infection rates among different Class I surgical incisions,and to identify potential evaluation indicators that can impact the preoperative use...Objective To investigate the risk factors and variations in postoperative infection rates among different Class I surgical incisions,and to identify potential evaluation indicators that can impact the preoperative use of antimicrobial prophylaxis in Class I incisions.Methods Literature review was employed to establish inclusion and exclusion criteria,resulting in the initial examination of 4098 articles.Then,3149 articles were screened out,and after thorough reading of full texts,55 articles were studied carefully.Results and Conclusion Findings revealed that the incidence rate of surgical site infection(SSI)in Class I incisions ranged from 0.52%to 2.34%,with main risk factors including operation duration,underlying diseases,preoperative infections,antibiotic usage,length of hospital stay,and intraoperative bleeding.Risks of SSI varied significantly across different types of Class I incision surgeries.The key influencing factors in neurosurgery included emergency procedures,(nationalnosocomial-infection-surveillance)NNIS score,age,and postoperative drainage tubes.In orthopedics,surgery type was closely associated with infection risk.In addition,emergency surgeries,special surgery types,and low serum albumin levels were considered as risk factors for the increase of postoperative infections,but age showed little correlation.Although prophylactic use of antibiotics in thyroid,breast,and inguinal hernia surgeries was not recommended,research suggested that they should be considered based on varying surgical levels.Patient’s preoperative condition had to be thoroughly assessed to prevent postoperative infections.In clinical practice,combining the high-risk factors of postoperative infection in different Class I incisions,we should consider the evaluation indicators of preventive use of antibiotics before different surgeries,and decide the rational use of antibacterial drugs for Class I incisions.展开更多
The prediction system EpiSIX was used to study the COVID-19 epidemic in China's Mainland between November 2022 and January 2023,based on reported data from December 9,2022,to January 30,2023,released by The Chines...The prediction system EpiSIX was used to study the COVID-19 epidemic in China's Mainland between November 2022 and January 2023,based on reported data from December 9,2022,to January 30,2023,released by The Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention on February 1,2023.Three kinds of reported data were used for model fitting:the daily numbers of positive nucleic acid tests and deaths,and the daily number of hospital beds taken by COVID-19 patients.It was estimated that the overall infection rate was 87.54%and the overall case fatality rate was 0.078%–0.116%(median 0.100%).Assuming that a new COVID-19 epidemic outbreak would start in March or April of 2023,induced by a slightly more infectious mutant strain,we predicted a possible large rebound between September and October 2023,with a peak demand of between 800,000 and 900,000 inpatient beds.If no such new outbreak was induced by other variants,then the current COVID-19 epidemic course in China's Mainland would remain under control until the end of 2023.However,it is suggested that the necessary medical resources be prepared to manage possible COVID-19 epidemic emergencies in the near future,especially for the period between September and October 2023.展开更多
Respiratory infection is the main route for the transmission of coronavirus pneumonia,and the results have shown that the urban spatial environment significantly influences the risk of infection.Based on the Wells-Ril...Respiratory infection is the main route for the transmission of coronavirus pneumonia,and the results have shown that the urban spatial environment significantly influences the risk of infection.Based on the Wells-Riley model of respiratory infection probability,the study determined the human respiratory-related parameters and the effective influence range;extracted urban morphological parameters,assessed the ventilation effects of different spatial environments,and,combined with population flow monitoring data,constructed a method for assessing the risk of Covid-19 respiratory infection in urban-scale grid cells.In the empirical study in Shenyang city,a severe cold region,urban morphological parameters,population size,background wind speed,and individual behavior patterns were used to calculate the distribution characteristics of temporal and spatial concomitant risks in urban areas grids under different scenarios.The results showed that the correlation between the risk of respiratory infection in urban public spaces and the above variables was significant.The exposure time had the greatest degree of influence on the probability of respiratory infection risk among the variables.At the same time,the change in human body spacing beyond 1 m had a minor influence on the risk of infection.Among the urban morphological parameters,building height had the highest correlation with the risk of infection,while building density had the lowest correlation.The actual point distribution of the epidemic in Shenyang from March to April 2022 was used to verify the evaluation results.The overlap rate between medium or higher risk areas and actual cases was 78.55%.The planning strategies for epidemic prevention and control were proposed for the spatial differentiation characteristics of different risk elements.The research results can accurately classify the risk level of urban space and provide a scientific basis for the planning response of epidemic prevention and control and the safety of public activities.展开更多
Background:A steady progress on schistosomiasis control in the Peoples’Republic of China(P.R.China)was achieved and broadened into the twelve-year medium and long term national plan(MLNP)which marled the implementati...Background:A steady progress on schistosomiasis control in the Peoples’Republic of China(P.R.China)was achieved and broadened into the twelve-year medium and long term national plan(MLNP)which marled the implementation of an integrated control strategy across all endemic areas in P.R.China in 2004.To understand the endemic trends of schistosomiasis to assess the effectiveness of an integrated strategy,we conducted an analysis of schistosomiasis surveillance data spanned from 2005 to 2015.Methods:The schistosomiasis sentinel surveillance data from sentinel sites were collected and analyzed from 2005 to 2015.In these sentinel sites,residents aged 6 years or above were screened annually by indirect hemagglutination assay(IHA),while only antibody positives were followed by stool examination either Kato-katz method(KK)and/or hatching technique(HT).Domestic animals raised in sentinel sites were examined by HT for confirming the infection of schistosomes.Snail investigation was conducted each year through systematic sampling method combined with environmental sampling method.The snails collected from field were tested by microscopic dissection method.The infection rates of schistosomes in residents,domestic animals and snails,as well as the indicators reflecting the snails’distribution were calculated and analyzed.ANOVA analysis was used to examine the changes of the number of eggs per gram feces in population and Chi-square test was used to examine any change in proportions among groups.Results:A total of 148902 residents from sentinel sites attended this study and 631676 blood samples were examined by IHA test during the 11 covered years.The annual average antibody positive rates presented a significant decrease trends,from 17.48%(95%CI:17.20–17.75%)in 2005 to 5.93%(95%CI:5.71–6.15%)(χ2=8890.47,P<0.001)in 2015.During 2005–2015,the average infection rate of schistosomes in residents declined from 2.07%(95%CI:1.96–2.17%)to 0.13%(95%CI:0.09–0.16%),accompanied by significant decrease of infection intensity in population.In 2015,the stool positives were only found in farmers,fishermen and boatmen with infection rate of 0.16%(95%CI:0.11–0.20%),0.17%(95%CI:0–0.50%)respectively.The infection rate of schistosomes in domestic animals dropped from 9.42%(538/5711,95%CI:8.66–10.18%)to 0.08%(2/2360,95%CI:0–0.20%)from 2005 to 2015.Infections were found in eight species of domestic animals at the beginning of surveillance while only two cattle were infected in 2015.Totally 98 ha of new snail habitats were found,while 94.90%(93/98)distributed in lake and marshland regions.The percentage of frames with snails decreased from 16.96%(56884/335391,95%CI:16.83–17.09%)in 2005 to 4.28%(18121/423755,95%CI:4.22–4.34%)in 2014,with a slightly increase in 2015.Meanwhile,the infection rate of schistosomes in snails was decreased from 0.26%(663/256531,95%CI:0.24–0.28%)to zero during 2005–2015.Conclusions:The infection rate of schistosomes declined significantly,providing evidence that the goal of the MLNP was achieved.Elimination of schistosomiasis as a public health problem defined as WHO was also reached in P.R.China nationwide.Surveillance-response system should be improved and strengthened to realize the final goal of schistosomiasis elimination.展开更多
Background:The prevalence of schistosomiasis japonica has decreased significantly,and the responses changing from control to elimination in Jiangsu Province,P.R.China.How to estimate the change in prevalence of schist...Background:The prevalence of schistosomiasis japonica has decreased significantly,and the responses changing from control to elimination in Jiangsu Province,P.R.China.How to estimate the change in prevalence of schistosomiasis using only serological data will be important and useful.Methods:We collected serum samples from 2011 to 2015 to build a serum bank from Dantu County of Jiangsu,China.Serum samples were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA),the positive rate and optical density(OD)value were obtained.The Bayesian model including the prior information of sensitivity and specificity of ELISA was established,and the estimated infection rates were obtained for different years,genders and age groups.Results:There was no significant difference in the mean OD between different years and genders,but there was a significant difference between the different age groups.There were statistically significant differences in the positive rate for different years and age groups,but no significant difference at different genders.The estimated infection rate for the five years was 1.288,1.456,1.032,1.485 and 1.358%,respectively.There was no significant difference between different years and between genders,but a significant difference between different age groups.Conclusions:The risk of schistosomiasis transmission in this area still exists,and risk monitoring of schistosomiasis should be strengthened.展开更多
Background:Lymphatic filariasis(LF)elimination program in Tanzania started in 2000 in response to the Global program for the elimination of LF by 2020.Evidence shows a persistent LF transmission despite more than a de...Background:Lymphatic filariasis(LF)elimination program in Tanzania started in 2000 in response to the Global program for the elimination of LF by 2020.Evidence shows a persistent LF transmission despite more than a decade of mass drug administration(MDA).It is advocated that,regular monitoring should be conducted in endemic areas to evaluate the progress towards elimination and detect resurgence of the disease timely.This study was therefore designed to assess the status of Wuchererio bancrofti infection in Culex quinqefasciatus and Anopheles species after six rounds of MDA in Masasi District,South Eastern Tanzania.展开更多
文摘Objective: This study aims to explore the correlation between human papillomavirus (HPV) and Mycoplasma genitalium (CT) combined with TCT detection in cervical cancer screening. Method: A cross-sectional study design was adopted, and a total of 609 women who came to seek medical treatment were recruited as the study subjects. Combination testing was evaluated on cervical cancer screening by testing the women for HPV, CT with TCT detection and analyzing the relationship of cervical lesions with HPV and CT infection. Results: The study results showed that 21.57% of the subjects were infected with both HPV and CT, and 48.42% of the cases had abnormal TCT results at the same time. Further data analysis showed that HPV infection was significantly associated with abnormal TCT outcomes (p < 0.05), suggesting a possible synergistic effect of the two infections in cervical lesions. The combined sensitivity and specificity of HPV, CT and TCT detection were 21.57% and 48.42%, respectively, which were significantly higher than that of single detection. Conclusion: In summary, the results of this study support the importance of combined HPV, CT, and TCT testing in cervical cancer screening, and propose the hypothesis that combined testing may improve screening effectiveness. However, further large sample studies are needed to confirm this conclusion and explore the prospects of combined testing in clinical practice.
文摘Objective Previous studies have shown that meteorological factors may increase COVID-19 mortality,likely due to the increased transmission of the virus.However,this could also be related to an increased infection fatality rate(IFR).We investigated the association between meteorological factors(temperature,humidity,solar irradiance,pressure,wind,precipitation,cloud coverage)and IFR across Spanish provinces(n=52)during the first wave of the pandemic(weeks 10–16 of 2020).Methods We estimated IFR as excess deaths(the gap between observed and expected deaths,considering COVID-19-unrelated deaths prevented by lockdown measures)divided by the number of infections(SARS-CoV-2 seropositive individuals plus excess deaths)and conducted Spearman correlations between meteorological factors and IFR across the provinces.Results We estimated 2,418,250 infections and 43,237 deaths.The IFR was 0.03%in<50-year-old,0.22%in 50–59-year-old,0.9%in 60–69-year-old,3.3%in 70–79-year-old,12.6%in 80–89-year-old,and26.5%in≥90-year-old.We did not find statistically significant relationships between meteorological factors and adjusted IFR.However,we found strong relationships between low temperature and unadjusted IFR,likely due to Spain’s colder provinces’aging population.Conclusion The association between meteorological factors and adjusted COVID-19 IFR is unclear.Neglecting age differences or ignoring COVID-19-unrelated deaths may severely bias COVID-19 epidemiological analyses.
文摘A two-step method was developed to quantitatively assess the infection rate of the entomophthoraceous fungus, Zoophthora anhuiensis (Li) Humber, on the green peach aphid, Myzus persicae (Sulzer) .Firstly, a standard time-dose-mortality relationship, established by modeling data from bioassay 1 at varying conidial dosages (0.4- 10.4 conidia/mm^2) of Z. anhuiensis F97028, was used to yield an estimate of expected mortality probability at a given dosage. Secondly, bioassay 2 was conducted by simultaneously exposing six ≤4-day-old nymphal colonies to a shower of Z. anhuiensis conidia at each of four dosages (resulting from exposures of 0.3 - 8.0 min) . Subsequently, the colonies were separately immersed in a 0.1% chlorothalonil solution for 0.5 min to disinfect all surviving conidia on the host integument from 1 - 12 h after exposure under temperature treatments of 15 and 20℃, respectively. The infection rate during a specific period from the end of the exposure to the immersion was then estimated as the ratio of the observed mortality over the expected mortality probability at a particular dosage. The results showed that the infection of M. persicae from Z. anhuiensis was highly rapid with little difference between aphid colonies maintained at 15 and 20℃ before being immersed in the fungicidal solution after exposure. The first 6-hour period after exposure was most crucial to successful infection of the fungus with the infection rate greatly depending on conidial dosages. It took ≤ 1 h to infect > 50% of the aphids at a dosage of > 1.5 conida/mm^2 and > 90% at > 50 conidia/mm^2 .
文摘Objective To investigate the infection rate of hepatitis C virus among the ambulatory patients and in-patients of a tertiary teaching hospital,and study the demographic factors related to the prevalence of hepatitis C virus infection.Methods All patients tested for hepatitis C virus antibody from July 2008 to July 2009 in Peking Union Medical College Hospital were enrolled in this cross-sectional analysis.The prevalence of hepatitis C virus infection was compared according to age,gender,and departments,respectively.Among patients with positive serology hepatitis C virus marker,the positivity of hepatitis C virus RNA was analysed.Results Among 29 896 subjects included,the hepatitis C virus antibody of 494 patients were positive(1.7%).When patients were divided into 9 age groups,the age specific prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody were0.2%,1.7%,1.2%,1.1%,1.5%,1.9%,2.6%,2.4%and 2%,respectively.The prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody in non-surgical department and surgical department was 3%and 1%,respectively.The prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody of males was higher than that of the females.Total of 194 patients with positive hepatitis C virus antibody were tested for hepatitis C virus RNA,the RNA level of 113 patients(58.2%)were higher than the low detection limit.Conclusions The prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody was relatively high among patients of general tertiary hospital.Age group of 60-69,males and patients in non-surgical departments were factors associated with high rate of hepatitis C virus infection.
基金funded by"Analysis of the Influence Mechanism of Modern Service Industry in Yunnan Province Based on Bayes Method"on the Project of Yunnan University Joint Fund.(2017FH001-068).
文摘Taking the COVID-19 data from 2020-1-23 to 3-21 days released by the China Health Protection Committee as the sample,the hospital remaining rate,mortality rate and cure rate are selected as covariates,and the contact infection rate is used as response variable to establish a high precision ADL model,results of return substitution show that the predicted value of contact infection rate almost coincides with the sample value,and shows three stages of change characteristics.After March 1,2020,the overall trend is downward,stable below 12%.Main influencing factors of contact infection rate are analyzed quantitatively.Based on this,the ARIMA(1,2,2)model is established to analyze and predict the mortality change trend.The results showed that the domestic COVID-19 mortality rate is stable near 4%after 2020-3-27.
文摘Since 2015, Côte d’Ivoire has been the world’s largest cashew producer. However, cashew orchards in Côte d’Ivoire are infected by fungal diseases that weaken production. And the contribution of weeds to the spread of these diseases is not yet understood. This study was initiated with the aim of establishing the role of weeds in the proliferation of pathogenic fungi in orchards. It consisted of a survey of weeds showing disease symptoms in cashew orchards in Côte d’Ivoire from February 2021 to July 2022. The itinerant method was used for the weed inventory. Symptomatic leaves were collected and sent to the laboratory for diagnosis on PDA (Potatoes Dextrose Agar) medium. In total, 50 species in 46 genera and 23 families were recorded. Laboratory diagnosis of the samples showed that 80% of the weeds identified harboured pathogenic fungi. The highest infection rates were obtained on Danielia oliveri R. (99.33% to 100%), Vitellaria paradoxa G. (100%), Pterocarpus erinaceus P. (83.91% to 99.33%), Micuna pruriens L. (98.33% to 100%) and Isoberlinia doka C. et S. (56.33% to 100%). The diagnosis revealed the presence of Lasiodiplodia sp, Colletotrichum sp, Pestalotia sp, Alternaria sp and Curvularia sp on weeds in the cashew orchard in Côte d’Ivoire.
基金Supported by the Foundation of Anhui Education Bureau under Grant No.KJ2007A003the Natural Science Foundation of Anhui,China under Grant No.070416225+2 种基金a Grant from the Health,Welfare and Food Bureau of the Hong Kong SAR GovernmentNSFC under Grant No.10672146supported by Shanghai Leading Academic Discipline Project,Project Number:S30104
文摘Models for diseases spreading are not just limited to SIS or SIR. For instance, for the spreading of AIDS/HIV, the susceptible individuals can be classified into different cases according to their immunity, and similarly, the infected individuals can be sorted into different classes according to their infectivity. Moreover, some diseases may develop through several stages. Many authors have shown that the individuals' relation can be viewed as a complex network. So in this paper, in order to better explain the dynamical behavior of epidemics, we consider different epidemic models on complex networks, and obtain the epidemic threshold for each ease. Finally, we present numerical simulations for each case to verify our results.
基金supported by the grants from the Science &Technology Guidance Plan Project of Xinjiang Academy of Agricultural Land Reclamation (YY2008-2)Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps Doctor Fund (2009JC09)
文摘[ Objective] To understand the epidemic status of Eperythrozoon ovis in sheep in Xinjiang region of China. [ Method ] A total of 850 blood samples were collected from seven sheep breeding areas in Xinjiang region. The Eperythrozoon ovis infection was detected by blood tablet examination, blood smear stained with Wright's stain and polymerase chain reaction (PCR). [ Result] The infection rates were 97%, 97% and 75% when the samples were detected by blood tablet examination, blood smear stained with Wright's stain and PCR, respectively. Sheep eperythrozooo nosis occurred in the four seasons without seasonal epidemics. No obvious difference in infection rates was observed between the sheep breeding areas. The Eperythrozoon ovis infection was slight or mild in most cases, but the infection was severe in two periods, that is, from May to June and from November to December. [ Conclusion] The Eperythrozoon ovis infection is popular in sheep in Xinjiang region of China, and the main inducements may be changes in seasons and forage formula.
基金Supported by People's Government Science and Technology Research Projects of Pu'er City
文摘Based on the study of infection and morphological characteristics of 12 kinds of livestock Eperythrozoon,disinfection test by drugs in vitro,disinfection test by ultraviolet light,Eperythrozoon survival test at different times and temperatures,drug sensitivity test and clinical treatment of infected swines were carried out on Eperythrozoon suis and Eperythrozoon wenyonii to further study the biological characteristics. Test results showed that infection level of livestock Eperythrozoon was high,while morbidity was low. Eperythrozoon suis and Eperythrozoon wenyonii could survive for 1 year at 3- 5 ℃,180 d at 16- 26 ℃ and 30 min at- 20 ℃,while which died instantly at 65 ℃. Eperythrozoon was sensitive to general chemical disinfection drugs,while not sensitive to ultraviolet light disinfection. Transmission of Eperythrozoon mainly included contagious transmission and vertical transmission. Results of drug sensitivity test showed that Eperythrozoon was sensitive to Tetracycline and antigen insect drugs. Sizes and shapes of different livestock Eperythrozoon were different. The study provided a scientific basis for the effective prevention and treatment of livestock Eperythrozoonosis.
文摘in order to observe the efficacy or a booster dose of hepatitis B vaccine, ic4 primaryschool children with a good response were enrolled in a double-bind, placebo-controlled and randomized field trial three years after the primary vaccination. At the end of the 6-year follow-up anti-HBspositive rate and GMT (of S/N value) In the revaccinated group were 54. 5% and 12. 0. still higherthan those in the control group (40. 5 % & 4. 8), but the difference of the positive rates was not statistically significant this time. Anti-HBs I,osltlve rate and GMT not only in the control group but inthe revaccinated group had dramatically declined against those 3 years arter the revaccination (thecontrol group: 69. 4 % & 20. 6 1 the revaccinated group: 87' 8% & 43. 3) (P < 0. of ). The higher anti-HBs titer before the revaccination, the better the persistence of anti-HBs after the revaccination.HBV infection rate (calculated by person-year) In the revacclnated group was l' 44%, without statistical difference from 3. 19% In the control group (P > 0. 05) as before. Considering the perfect longterm efficacy of hepatitis B vaccine, we concluded that a booster dose 9 years arter the primary immunization seems unnecessary.
基金This study was funded by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2018YFF0301103)Macao FDCT Grant(No.0035/2020/A)Guangzhou Regenerative Medicine and Health Guangdong Laboratory(Grant No.2020GZR110306001).
文摘Objective:To analyse the impact and repercussions of the surge in healthcare demand in response to the COVID-19 pandemic,assess the potential effectiveness of various infection/disease control measures,and make projections on the best approach to exit from the current lockdown.Design:A four-compartment model was constructed for SARS-CoV-2 infection based on the Wuhan data and validated with data collected in Italy,the UK,and the US.The model captures the effectiveness of various disease suppression measures in three modifiable factors:(a)the per capita contact rate(β)that can be lowered by means of social distancing,(b)infection probability upon contacting infectious individuals that can be lowered by wearing facemasks,personal hygiene,etc.,and(c)the population of infectious individuals in contact with the susceptible population,which can be lowered by quarantine.The model was used to make projections on the best approach to exit from the current lockdown.Results:The model was applied to evaluate the epidemiological data and hospital burden in Italy,the UK,and the US.The control measures were identified as the key drivers for the observed epidemiological data through sensitivity analyses.Analysing the different lockdown exit strategies showed that a lockdown exit strategy with a combination of social separation/general facemask use may work,but this needs to be supported by intense monitoring whichwould allowre-introduction/tightening of the controlmeasures if the number of newinfected subjects increases again.Conclusions and relevance:Governments should act early in a swift and decisive manner for containment policies.Any lockdown exit will need to be monitored closely,with regards to the potential of lockdown reimplementation.This mathematical model provides a framework for major pandemics in the future.
基金partially supported by a grant from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region,China(HKU C7123-20G)。
文摘Background:The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic hit South America badly with multiple waves.Different COVID-19 variants have been storming across the region,leading to more severe infections and deaths even in places with high vaccination coverage.This study aims to assess the spatiotemporal variability of the COVID-19 pandemic and estimate the infection fatality rate(IFR),infection attack rate(IAR)and reproduction number(R0)for twelve most affected South American countries.Methods:We fit a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered(SEIR)-based model with a time-varying transmission rate to the reported COVID-19 deaths for the twelve South American countries with the highest mortalities.Most of the epidemiological datasets analysed in this work are retrieved from the disease surveillance systems by the World Health Organization,Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center and Our World in Data.We investigate the COVID-19 mortalities in these countries,which could represent the situation for the overall South American region.We employ COVID-19 dynamic model with-and-without vaccination considering time-varying flexible transmission rate to estimate IFR,IAR and R0 of COVID-19 for the South American countries.Results:We simulate the model in each scenario under suitable parameter settings and yield biologically reasonable estimates for IFR(varies between 0.303% and 0.723%),IAR(varies between 0.03 and 0.784)and R0(varies between 0.7 and 2.5)for the 12 South American countries.We observe that the severity,dynamical patterns of deaths and time-varying transmission rates among the countries are highly heterogeneous.Further analysis of the model with the effect of vaccination highlights that increasing the vaccination rate could help suppress the pandemic in South America.Conclusions:This study reveals possible reasons for the two waves of COVID-19 outbreaks in South America.We observed reductions in the transmission rate corresponding to each wave plausibly due to improvement in nonpharmaceutical interventions measures and human protective behavioral reaction to recent deaths.Thus,strategies coupling social distancing and vaccination could substantially suppress the mortality rate of COVID-19 in South America.
基金This research received financial support from the project“Predicting vulnerability and improving resilience of the Maasai communities to vector borne infections:An Eco-health approach in Maasai steppe ecosystem,based at Nelson Mandela African Institute of Science and Technology(NM-AIST)”.
文摘Background:Changes of land cover modify the characteristics of habitat,host-vector interaction and consequently infection rates of disease causing agents.In this paper,we report variations in tsetse distribution patterns,abundance and infection rates in relation to habitat types and age in the Maasai Steppe of northern Tanzania.In Africa,Tsetse-transmitted trypanosomiasis negatively impacted human life where about 40 million people are at risk of contracting the disease with dramatic socio-economical consequences,for instance,loss of livestock,animal productivity,and manpower.Methods:We trapped tsetse flies in dry and wet seasons between October 2014 and May 2015 in selected habitats across four villages:Emboreet,Loiborsireet,Kimotorok and Oltukai adjacent to protected areas.Data collected include number and species of tsetse flies caught in baited traps,PCR identification of trypanosome species and extraction of monitored Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI)data from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer(MODIS).Results:Our findings demonstrate the variation of tsetse fly species abundance and infection rates among habitats in surveyed villages in relation to NDVI and host abundance.Results have shown higher tsetse fly abundance in Acacia-swampy ecotone and riverine habitats for Emboreet and other villages,respectively.Tsetse abundance was inconsistent among habitats in different villages.Emboreet was highly infested with Glossina swynnertoni(68%)in ecotone and swampy habitats followed by G.morsitans(28%)and G.pallidipes(4%)in riverine habitat.In the remaining villages,the dominant tsetse fly species by 95%was G.pallidipes in all habitats.Trypanosoma vivax was the most prevalent species in all infected flies(95%)with few observations of co-infections(with T.congolense or T.brucei).Conclusions:The findings of this study provide a framework to mapping hotspots of tsetse infestation and trypanosomiasis infection and enhance the communities to plan for effective control of trypanosomiasis.
文摘Objective To investigate the risk factors and variations in postoperative infection rates among different Class I surgical incisions,and to identify potential evaluation indicators that can impact the preoperative use of antimicrobial prophylaxis in Class I incisions.Methods Literature review was employed to establish inclusion and exclusion criteria,resulting in the initial examination of 4098 articles.Then,3149 articles were screened out,and after thorough reading of full texts,55 articles were studied carefully.Results and Conclusion Findings revealed that the incidence rate of surgical site infection(SSI)in Class I incisions ranged from 0.52%to 2.34%,with main risk factors including operation duration,underlying diseases,preoperative infections,antibiotic usage,length of hospital stay,and intraoperative bleeding.Risks of SSI varied significantly across different types of Class I incision surgeries.The key influencing factors in neurosurgery included emergency procedures,(nationalnosocomial-infection-surveillance)NNIS score,age,and postoperative drainage tubes.In orthopedics,surgery type was closely associated with infection risk.In addition,emergency surgeries,special surgery types,and low serum albumin levels were considered as risk factors for the increase of postoperative infections,but age showed little correlation.Although prophylactic use of antibiotics in thyroid,breast,and inguinal hernia surgeries was not recommended,research suggested that they should be considered based on varying surgical levels.Patient’s preoperative condition had to be thoroughly assessed to prevent postoperative infections.In clinical practice,combining the high-risk factors of postoperative infection in different Class I incisions,we should consider the evaluation indicators of preventive use of antibiotics before different surgeries,and decide the rational use of antibacterial drugs for Class I incisions.
基金This study was supported by grants from a Consultancy Project of the Chinese Academy of Engineering(CAE,2022-JB-06)Natural Science Foundation of Shaanxi Province,China(2023-JC-YB-676)+1 种基金Innovation Foundation of Medical Research Project of Xi’an City(2022YXYJ0040)Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province of China(2021 J01621).
文摘The prediction system EpiSIX was used to study the COVID-19 epidemic in China's Mainland between November 2022 and January 2023,based on reported data from December 9,2022,to January 30,2023,released by The Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention on February 1,2023.Three kinds of reported data were used for model fitting:the daily numbers of positive nucleic acid tests and deaths,and the daily number of hospital beds taken by COVID-19 patients.It was estimated that the overall infection rate was 87.54%and the overall case fatality rate was 0.078%–0.116%(median 0.100%).Assuming that a new COVID-19 epidemic outbreak would start in March or April of 2023,induced by a slightly more infectious mutant strain,we predicted a possible large rebound between September and October 2023,with a peak demand of between 800,000 and 900,000 inpatient beds.If no such new outbreak was induced by other variants,then the current COVID-19 epidemic course in China's Mainland would remain under control until the end of 2023.However,it is suggested that the necessary medical resources be prepared to manage possible COVID-19 epidemic emergencies in the near future,especially for the period between September and October 2023.
基金supported by the General Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51978421)。
文摘Respiratory infection is the main route for the transmission of coronavirus pneumonia,and the results have shown that the urban spatial environment significantly influences the risk of infection.Based on the Wells-Riley model of respiratory infection probability,the study determined the human respiratory-related parameters and the effective influence range;extracted urban morphological parameters,assessed the ventilation effects of different spatial environments,and,combined with population flow monitoring data,constructed a method for assessing the risk of Covid-19 respiratory infection in urban-scale grid cells.In the empirical study in Shenyang city,a severe cold region,urban morphological parameters,population size,background wind speed,and individual behavior patterns were used to calculate the distribution characteristics of temporal and spatial concomitant risks in urban areas grids under different scenarios.The results showed that the correlation between the risk of respiratory infection in urban public spaces and the above variables was significant.The exposure time had the greatest degree of influence on the probability of respiratory infection risk among the variables.At the same time,the change in human body spacing beyond 1 m had a minor influence on the risk of infection.Among the urban morphological parameters,building height had the highest correlation with the risk of infection,while building density had the lowest correlation.The actual point distribution of the epidemic in Shenyang from March to April 2022 was used to verify the evaluation results.The overlap rate between medium or higher risk areas and actual cases was 78.55%.The planning strategies for epidemic prevention and control were proposed for the spatial differentiation characteristics of different risk elements.The research results can accurately classify the risk level of urban space and provide a scientific basis for the planning response of epidemic prevention and control and the safety of public activities.
基金This study was financially supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China(No.30590373)the National Special Science and Technology Project for Major Infectious Diseases of China(No.2012ZX10004–220,2016YFC1202000).
文摘Background:A steady progress on schistosomiasis control in the Peoples’Republic of China(P.R.China)was achieved and broadened into the twelve-year medium and long term national plan(MLNP)which marled the implementation of an integrated control strategy across all endemic areas in P.R.China in 2004.To understand the endemic trends of schistosomiasis to assess the effectiveness of an integrated strategy,we conducted an analysis of schistosomiasis surveillance data spanned from 2005 to 2015.Methods:The schistosomiasis sentinel surveillance data from sentinel sites were collected and analyzed from 2005 to 2015.In these sentinel sites,residents aged 6 years or above were screened annually by indirect hemagglutination assay(IHA),while only antibody positives were followed by stool examination either Kato-katz method(KK)and/or hatching technique(HT).Domestic animals raised in sentinel sites were examined by HT for confirming the infection of schistosomes.Snail investigation was conducted each year through systematic sampling method combined with environmental sampling method.The snails collected from field were tested by microscopic dissection method.The infection rates of schistosomes in residents,domestic animals and snails,as well as the indicators reflecting the snails’distribution were calculated and analyzed.ANOVA analysis was used to examine the changes of the number of eggs per gram feces in population and Chi-square test was used to examine any change in proportions among groups.Results:A total of 148902 residents from sentinel sites attended this study and 631676 blood samples were examined by IHA test during the 11 covered years.The annual average antibody positive rates presented a significant decrease trends,from 17.48%(95%CI:17.20–17.75%)in 2005 to 5.93%(95%CI:5.71–6.15%)(χ2=8890.47,P<0.001)in 2015.During 2005–2015,the average infection rate of schistosomes in residents declined from 2.07%(95%CI:1.96–2.17%)to 0.13%(95%CI:0.09–0.16%),accompanied by significant decrease of infection intensity in population.In 2015,the stool positives were only found in farmers,fishermen and boatmen with infection rate of 0.16%(95%CI:0.11–0.20%),0.17%(95%CI:0–0.50%)respectively.The infection rate of schistosomes in domestic animals dropped from 9.42%(538/5711,95%CI:8.66–10.18%)to 0.08%(2/2360,95%CI:0–0.20%)from 2005 to 2015.Infections were found in eight species of domestic animals at the beginning of surveillance while only two cattle were infected in 2015.Totally 98 ha of new snail habitats were found,while 94.90%(93/98)distributed in lake and marshland regions.The percentage of frames with snails decreased from 16.96%(56884/335391,95%CI:16.83–17.09%)in 2005 to 4.28%(18121/423755,95%CI:4.22–4.34%)in 2014,with a slightly increase in 2015.Meanwhile,the infection rate of schistosomes in snails was decreased from 0.26%(663/256531,95%CI:0.24–0.28%)to zero during 2005–2015.Conclusions:The infection rate of schistosomes declined significantly,providing evidence that the goal of the MLNP was achieved.Elimination of schistosomiasis as a public health problem defined as WHO was also reached in P.R.China nationwide.Surveillance-response system should be improved and strengthened to realize the final goal of schistosomiasis elimination.
基金This project was supported by the National S&T Major Program(grant no.2012ZX10004220)Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.81101275)Capacity improvement project of Jiangsu Public Welfare Institute(No.BM2015024).
文摘Background:The prevalence of schistosomiasis japonica has decreased significantly,and the responses changing from control to elimination in Jiangsu Province,P.R.China.How to estimate the change in prevalence of schistosomiasis using only serological data will be important and useful.Methods:We collected serum samples from 2011 to 2015 to build a serum bank from Dantu County of Jiangsu,China.Serum samples were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA),the positive rate and optical density(OD)value were obtained.The Bayesian model including the prior information of sensitivity and specificity of ELISA was established,and the estimated infection rates were obtained for different years,genders and age groups.Results:There was no significant difference in the mean OD between different years and genders,but there was a significant difference between the different age groups.There were statistically significant differences in the positive rate for different years and age groups,but no significant difference at different genders.The estimated infection rate for the five years was 1.288,1.456,1.032,1.485 and 1.358%,respectively.There was no significant difference between different years and between genders,but a significant difference between different age groups.Conclusions:The risk of schistosomiasis transmission in this area still exists,and risk monitoring of schistosomiasis should be strengthened.
文摘Background:Lymphatic filariasis(LF)elimination program in Tanzania started in 2000 in response to the Global program for the elimination of LF by 2020.Evidence shows a persistent LF transmission despite more than a decade of mass drug administration(MDA).It is advocated that,regular monitoring should be conducted in endemic areas to evaluate the progress towards elimination and detect resurgence of the disease timely.This study was therefore designed to assess the status of Wuchererio bancrofti infection in Culex quinqefasciatus and Anopheles species after six rounds of MDA in Masasi District,South Eastern Tanzania.