Initiative Optimization Operation Strategy and Multi-objective Energy Management Method for Combined Cooling Heating and Power

This paper proposed an initiative optimization operation strategy and multi-objective energy management method for combined cooling heating and power(CCHP) with storage systems.Initially,the initiative optimization operation strategy of CCHP system in the cooling season,the heating season and the transition season was formulated.The energy management of CCHP system was optimized by the multi-objective optimization model with maximum daily energy efficiency,minimum daily carbon emissions and minimum daily operation cost based on the proposed initiative optimization operation strategy.Furthermore,the pareto optimal solution set was solved by using the niche particle swarm multi-objective optimization algorithm.Ultimately,the most satisfactory energy management scheme was obtained by using the technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution(TOPSIS) method.A case study of CCHP system used in a hospital in the north of China validated the effectiveness of this method.The results showed that the satisfactory energy management scheme of CCHP system was obtained based on this initiative optimization operation strategy and multi-objective energy management method.The CCHP system has achieved better energy efficiency,environmental protection and economic benefits.

Idealized Experiments for Optimizing Model Parameters Using a 4D-Variational Method in an Intermediate Coupled Model of ENSO

Large biases exist in real-time ENSO prediction, which can be attributed to uncertainties in initial conditions and model parameters. Previously, a 4D variational （4D-Vat） data assimilation system was developed for an intermediate coupled model （ICM） and used to improve ENSO modeling through optimized initial conditions. In this paper, this system is further applied to optimize model parameters. In the ICM used, one important process for ENSO is related to the anomalous temperature of subsurface water entrained into the mixed layer （Te）, which is empirically and explicitly related to sea level （SL） variation. The strength of the thermocline effect on SST （referred to simply as ＂the thermocline effect＂） is represented by an introduced parameter, （l＇Te. A numerical procedure is developed to optimize this model parameter through the 4D-Var assimilation of SST data in a twin experiment context with an idealized setting. Experiments having their initial condition optimized only, and having their initial condition plus this additional model parameter optimized, are compared. It is shown that ENSO evolution can be more effectively recovered by including the additional optimization of this parameter in ENSO modeling. The demonstrated feasibility of optimizing model parameters and initial conditions together through the 4D-Var method provides a modeling platform for ENSO studies. Further applications of the 4D-Vat data assimilation system implemented in the ICM are also discussed.

Direct and noisy transitions in a model shear flow

The transition to turbulence in flows where the laminar profile is linearly stable requires perturbations of finite amplitude. ＂Optimal＂ perturbations are distinguished as extrema of certain functionals, and different functionals give different optima. We here discuss the phase space structure of a 2D simplified model of the transition to turbulence and discuss optimal perturbations with respect to three criteria： energy of the initial condition, energy dissipation of the initial condition, and amplitude of noise in a stochastic transition. We find that the states triggering the transition are different in the three cases, but show the same scaling with Reynolds number.

Forecasting of dissolved oxygen in the Guanting reservoir using an optimized NGBM(1,1) model

An optimized nonlinear grey Bernoulli model was proposed by using a particle swarm optimization algorithm to solve the parameter optimization problem. In addition, each item in the first-order accumulated generating sequence was set in turn as an initial condition to determine which alternative would yield the highest forecasting accuracy. To test the forecasting performance, the optimized models with different initial conditions were then used to simulate dissolved oxygen concentrations in the Guantlng reservoir inlet and outlet （China）. The empirical results show that the optimized model can remarkably improve forecasting accuracy, and the particle swarm optimization technique is a good tool to solve parameter optimization problems. What＇s more, the optimized model with an initial condition that performs well in in-sample simulation may not do as well as in out-of-sample forecasting.

Cycle-tree guided attack of random K-core: Spin glass model and efficient message-passing algorithm

The K-core of a graph is the maximal subgraph within which each vertex is connected to at least K other vertices. It is a fundamental network concept for understanding threshold cascading processes with a discontinuous percolation transition. A minimum attack set contains the smallest number of vertices whose removal induces complete collapse of the K-core. Here we tackle this prototypical optimal initial-condition problem from the spin-glass perspective of cycle-tree maximum packing and propose a cycle-tree guided attack(CTGA) message-passing algorithm. The good performance and time efficiency of CTGA are verified on the regular random and Erd?s-Rényi random graph ensembles. Our central idea of transforming a long-range correlated dynamical process to static structural patterns may also be instructive to other hard optimization and control problems.

Quantum Parameter Estimation: From Experimental Design to Constructive Algorithm

In this paper we design the following two-step scheme to estimate the model parameter ω0 of the quantum system: first we utilize the Fisher information with respect to an intermediate variable v = cos(ω0 t) to determine an optimal initial state and to seek optimal parameters of the POVM measurement operators; second we explore how to estimate ω0 from v by choosing t when a priori information knowledge of ω0 is available. Our optimal initial state can achieve the maximum quantum Fisher information. The formulation of the optimal time t is obtained and the complete algorithm for parameter estimation is presented. We further explore how the lower bound of the estimation deviation depends on the a priori information of the model.