Impact of Selected Insolvency Indicators on the Recoveries of Creditors＇ Claims Against Closed Banks in the Philippine Context

Banks play a pivotal role in an emerging economy. They mirror the country＇s political and economic status. The more savings deposited in banks would mean the availability of cash provided to users of funds. On the other hand, their closure affects the creditors. The goals of the study include the minimization of losses imposed on creditors and the expeditious recoveries of their claims against the closed banks＇ assets. The study proved on the four significant impacts of selected insolvency indicators on the recoveries of creditors＇ claims against the assets of closed banks under the Philippine context from 1961 to 2011. The study uses various methods such as Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient to establish the strength of association of the independent variable to the dependent variable and time series technique （moving average and trend forecasting） in order to observe the pattern of data over a known period of time. Using the regression analysis, the researchers were able to establish a regression model. The ANOVA test, f-test, and R2-test were used to prove the model＇s goodness-of-fit, the significance of the predictors, and verification of the assumption of regression hold. Empirical evidence reveals that capital to estimated realizable value of assets ratio （ERVA） and debt to assets ratio （with respect to ERVA） were significant predictors of recovery. Further, the presence of high leverage on banks indicates that their liabilities exceed the value of their realizable assets. Thus, these banks fail to meet their maturing obligations, hence, imposing losses on the uninsured depositors and other creditors.

Predicting Business Insolvency： The Latvian Experience

This paper presents investigations of bankruptcy predicting models which can be useful for external users of a financial statement. Only the methods of financial analysis for insolvency prediction, useful on the basis of financial statements, were investigated. The paper studied the influence of insolvency on the development of the Latvian Economy, including such relevant points： dynamics of number of insolvency cases in Latvia, data of the payment discipline of debts, tax liabilities of the insolvent companies, dynamics of unemployment support payments. Empirical investigations shows that only Altman＇s Z＇＂ and Fulmer＇s H models demonstrate accuracy above 80% in all analyzed business sectors and they are applicable for Latvian companies. The other models are useful to some particular business sector.

Incorporating Anglo-American Reorganization Provisions in Bankruptcy Law： A 10-year Lesson From Thailand

This paper examines the appropriateness of the adoption of Anglo-American type of reorganization provisions into national bankruptcy law using Thailand as a sample. It argues that such adoption shall be cautious. Since Thailand started to accommodate such provisions, reorganization, apparently, has limited usefulness--benefitting only large-scale debtors because it does not fit with the nature of Thai business culture, i.e., the borrowing-lending relationship and less-than-arm＇s length business connections. On average, only every one in 200 bankruptcy cases employs reorganization; the rest goes for liquidation but the average outstanding debt in reorganization is over 30 times higher than liquidation. Interestingly, the adjudication rate of reorganization is faster than those of liquidation. Debtors＇ strategic use of the law and the procedural bias are suspected. Debt restructuring led by the central bank in cooperation with commercial banks, instead, is overwhelmingly more successful, equally efficient, and effective because any ailing firm can renegotiate its borrowing contract rather easily in the low transaction cost environment. Debt restructuring outperformed reorganization roughly 800 and two times in terms of cases and debt amount respectively. Thus, the adoption of non-indigenous provisions shall be made prudently. This argument applies towards the standardization of insolvency legislation. Standardizing bankruptcy procedures shall be made carefully and national economic conditions including local business nature and uniqueness are worth examined before any enactment or amendment. Otherwise, benefits of international trade and investment would be achieved at the expense of economic efficiency.

Analysis of Correlational Behavior of Solvent and Insolvent Firms Based on Accounting Ratios

The concept of crisis evolution is still not fully understood, despite over 40 years of research into investigations in the field of crisis and insolvency prediction. This is due to the fact that the financial situation of a firm changes within an unobservable life cycle continuum, comprising different economic states which are not in fact properly defined. The aim of this study was to contribute towards a better understanding of the differences between solvent and insolvent finns for the periods of one and two years prior to insolvency respectively. Through the application of correlation and factor analysis, an attempt was made to detect behavioral pattems in accounting ratios, which can in turn explain differences and similarities between the two groups of finns. The results of this study show that although accounting ratios from two consecutive years had low correlations for both groups of finns, they were much higher for insolvent firms. This provides evidence that the economic and financial situation of insolvent firms is much more dependent on its history when compared to solvent firms. Moreover, there is evidence to suggest that the change of the economic and fmancial situation of insolvent firms within the life cycle continuum tends to follow a predetermined path, in contrast to the more random nature of a solvent firm＇s behavior. Additionally, the results showed that the factor loadings for solvent and insolvent finns differ for both observation periods, indicating that there are different underlying factors affecting the final outcomes for the two groups of firms. This is mainly attributable to disturbances in the scaling factors of total assets for both observation periods, as well as the disappearing size factor for the pre-distress year for insolvent firms, based on factor analysis.

Georgian Social Insurance Fund Management Problems and Probabilistic and Statistical Analysis of Fund Capital Management

A mathematical model of management of a social insurance fund with exponential insurance reimburse and financing determined social programs is represented and analyzed; A probability density function and fund＇s functioning probabilistic characteristics are obtained, that makes it possible to determine the sufficiency of fund capital at all levels of its management. With the help of conclusion it is possible for particular period of time determine in insurance fund change of cash flow movement speed, on what basis in determined from state tax revenues assigns acceptance necessity and capacity.

Supplementary Deterrence and ＂Commutation upon Compensation＂

Utilizing the analytical framework of law and economics on deterrence and taking into account the two basic justifications for criminal penalties based on the arguments of ＂insolvency＂ and ＂insufficient deterrence,＂ this article discusses, in light of institutional efficiency, the feasibility, advantages and potential problems of ＂commutation upon compensation.＂ The article also discusses some traditional jurisprudential issues including remedial justice, retribution and equity.

CORPORATE GROUPS UNDER ITALIAN LAW:A COMPARATIVE APPROACH AND THE BRAND-NEW"CRISIS CODE"

This paper provides an overview of the evolution of the harmonization process of European law in the field of group of companies,referring to the development of a national "group of companies law" — from the company law reform to the crisis and insolvency code — with the purpose of examining the main aspects of the regulation in force,considering mainly the possible interaction with the rules on the crisis of the groups of companies introduced by the Legislative Decree No.14/2019,and with the aim of analyzing its suitability for being devoted to the prospect of harmonization across countries.